White House draws up detailed plans for shutdown with no budget deal in sight between Barack Obama and John Boehner The White House is drawing up detailed plans to shut down the federal government from Saturday that would suspend an estimated 800,000 employees and disrupt hundreds of services ranging from processing of tax returns to the closure of national parks, senior Obama administration officials said. The shutdown will begin at midnight on Friday unless the Democrats and Republicans compromise over this year’s budget, part of an ideological battle being waged over the size of the federal government and the soaring national debt. “We would anticipate significantly lower staffing levels at the White House and across all federal agencies,” one of the administration officials, who insisted on anonymity, told reporters. A shutdown would prompt widespread disruption, hitting health services, courts, housing loans, museums, weather forecasts and other federal government services. Visitors to the US would face delays as embassies stop processing visa applications. One of the officials said an estimated 800,000 out of the 2.8 million federal employees face being placed on extended leave, during which time they are unlikely to be paid. Exemptions will be made for services viewed as essential for security or safety, such as the military, law enforcement officers, customs officers and other border officials, and homeland security. The military would be paid up until Friday but, though continuing to earn beyond that date, would not receive any further pay cheques until the crisis is resolved. Democratic senator Chuck Schumer said yesterday there was “a glimmer of hope” that a deal could be reached, his cautious optimism contrasting with a meeting between Barack Obama and the Republican Speaker, John Boehner, at the White House on Tuesday which broke up without agreement and was followed by acrimonious public comments. The two spoke again yesterday and aides reported the mood was better, though the phonecall lasted for only for three minutes and significant differences remain over where cuts would be made. Boehner’s office said the Speaker told the president he “remains hopeful a deal can be reached and that talks would continue”. The statement said: “The Speaker reiterated that the House’s goal is to prevent a government shutdown and make real cuts in spending.” Congressional aides worked late on Tuesday and again yesterday on a compromise and reported some progress. The Obama administration’s decision to brief journalists on the details of a shutdown may be an attempt to pressure Republicans. The first visible sign of the shutdown would be closure signs, already being prepared, going up at Washington’s Smithsonian museums and galleries from Saturday, and scores of national parks such as Yellowstone and Yosemite shutting their gates, as will the National Zoo. Events such as the annual Cherry Blossom parade, scheduled for Washington on Saturday, will also be cancelled, an Obama official said. On a bigger scale, loans for small businesses would not be processed and there would be no home loan guarantees. The tax office would suspend the processing of about 30% of tax refunds. The National Institutes of Health would stop taking new patients. The official said that those on welfare would continue to receive their cheques, at least for a few months. Congress would continue, but with many staff seen as non-essential told to stay at home. The courts would be expected to continue functioning as normal, at least for a few weeks. Jeff Zients, deputy director of the White House’s office of management and budget, emailed the heads of federal agencies earlier this week saying it was only sensible that contingency plans were being laid. “Given the realities of the calendar, good management requires that we continue contingency planning for an orderly shutdown,” he said. The standoff in Washington focuses on the annual federal budget up until this September. Boehner and his Republicans had sought $33bn (£20bn) in cuts and Obama agreed, but Boehner wants a further $7bn in cuts and is demanding that politically divisive areas such as abortion programmes be included. The Democratic leader in the Senate, Harry Reid, speaking in the chamber yesterday, expressed frustration with Republicans. “Every time we agreed to meet in the middle, they move where the middle is,” he said. The negotiations may turn out to be Republican brinkmanship. The last shutdown, which lasted for six days in November 1995 and a further three weeks from December 1995 to January 1996, cost $1.4bn and backfired on the Republicans, setting up the then President Bill Clinton for re-election in November 1996. Although the Republicans are under pressure from members of the Tea Party movement who backed them in November’s Congressional elections on promises to cut the federal deficit, they are conscious of what happened in 1996 and of current polls. A CNN poll on Monday showed 46% of those surveyed backed Obama’s approach to the budget negotiations and 45% the Republican approach. Much of the Tea Party anger is over the size of the federal deficit, which stands at $14tn, compared with about $5tn at the time of the last shutdown. Current differences between Democrats and Republicans are relatively small given the overall size of the US budget, making a deal possible. Boehner may emerge to tell supporters he had pushed Obama to the limit and secured more than the White House was prepared to agree to initially. But bigger budget battles lie ahead, with the Republicans saying this week they are seeking trillions to be cut from the federal deficit in the decade ahead. US politics United States Barack Obama John Boehner Republicans Democrats US economy Ewen MacAskill guardian.co.uk
Continue reading …Country will ask for bailout due to high debts and difficulty raising money – which analysts say could be €80bn Portugal’s prime minister has said his country will ask for a bailout due to its high debts and difficulty raising money on international markets. Prime Minister Jose Socrates said “the government decided today to ask the European Commission for financial help”. Portugal becomes the third financially troubled eurozone country after Greece and Ireland to request assistance from Europe’s bailout fund and the IMF. Analysts expect Portugal will need up to €80bn. A bailout had long been expected as Portugal, one of the 17-nation eurozone’s smallest and weakest economies, struggled to finance its economy. The move came as fears grew of a fresh debt crisis for weak countries on the fringes of the single currency zone as the European Central Bank prepared to start raising interest rates from the emergency level plumbed during the financial crisis. The euro rose on the foreign exchanges on Wednesday in expectation that the European Central Bank would raise borrowing costs from 1% and signal further policy tightening in the months ahead. But City economists warned that the interest rate rise would add to debt servicing costs and prove more problematic for countries such as Portugal and Ireland than for the core single country nations of Germany and France. Ben May, of Capital Economics, said: “If interest rates were to rise in line with market expectations, their impact would be greatest in the periphery and may prompt a further escalation of the region’s fiscal crisis. “Higher official interest rates will not only lower economic growth in the periphery, but will also prompt the average interest rate that governments pay on their debts to rise. Other things equal, then, higher interest rates will increase the chance of peripheral government debt spiralling out of control.” Along with other central banks, the ECB slashed interest rates during the financial crisis in an attempt to pull Europe out of recession, but it has responded to rising inflation in recent months with clear signals that borrowing costs will rise. The euro’s strength coincided with a rise in the price of gold to $1,454.84 an ounce. Marchel Alexandrovich, of Jeffries International, said a 1% increase in ECB rates would mean that mortgage debt interest payments of euro area households would rise by around 7% on average, but there would be a 30% jump in debt services payments for households in Portugal and Finland, a 15% increase in Ireland and around a 10% rise in Spain and Italy. “In aggregate, debt interest payments for the euro area households and non-financial corporations would rise by around 0.3% of GDP if ECB rates are one percentage point higher,” he said. “But Germany and France would see a rise of just around 0.1% of GDP, while Portugal, Spain and Ireland would see increases equivalent to 0.8% of GDP. “The countries which least welcome higher interest rates on economic fundamentals are likely to be the ones most affected by them. One more reason why the ECB would be wise to tread very carefully in the months ahead.” Several of Portugal’s banks have been calling on the government to accept help from its eurozone partners, warning that they can no longer continue to buy up Portuguese debt. Lisbon needs to find almost €5bn in repayments this month and another €27bn in June. The rising interest rate on Portuguese borrowing has added to the sense of crisis in the eurozone, amid reports that Greece is under pressure from the International Monetary Fund to default on its borrowing. The Irish government is understood to be concerned about weaker-than-expected tax revenues and the vulnerability of its banking sector. An informal meeting of European finance ministers is planned for Friday. Portugal Europe Financial crisis Global recession Banking European Union Larry Elliott Heather Stewart Simon Goodley guardian.co.uk
Continue reading …In what could possibly be one of the most interesting races since Al Franken’s win in 2008, JoAnne Kloppenburg appears to have ousted David Prosser as Supreme Court Justice in Wisconsin by just over 200 votes . This race is really a proxy vote on whether Wisconsin voters support Scott Walker’s extreme policies, since it’s likely that his union-busting initiatives will land in front of the Wisconsin Supreme Court, along with the method by which they passed them. After trading the lead several different times last night, it’s down to one precinct left to report with Kloppenburg ahead by 224 votes. Of course, this has already sparked charges from the Tea Party of voter fraud, the standard right-wing complaint whenever their guy doesn’t win. You can also count on a recount and the attendant spin, which is already beginning. Because of the closeness of the race, a Milwaukee election commissioner has asked police to guard ballots overnight. Robert Spindell, who sits on the city’s Election Commission and is active in Republican politics, wrote in an email that he had made the request “until such time that a more formal procedure can be set in place.” Here’s why this race is so important : But Hagedorn’s e-mail laid it plain to Walker’s supporters: elect Prosser, or the governor’s agenda is in peril . From the e-mail: “If Justice Prosser loses: The Supreme Court will shift from a 4-3 conservative majority to a 4-3 liberal majority. Governor Walker’s agenda could be stopped in its tracks by this new activist majority. Union bosses and their allies will be emboldened and further push to recall the brave Senators who voted for Governor Walker’s budget repair bill. (Chief Justice) Shirley Abrahamson and her allies will continue to drag down the reputation of the Court, with an additional vote to further push through their radical agenda.” At least they didn’t try to pretend they want an independent judiciary, eh? UPDATE: Walker denies that the election was a referendum on his agenda. Right. Sure. This was just a warmup. The real referendum will be that recall election headed his way. Update: Kloppenburg has declared victory .
Continue reading …Time Magazine senior correspondent Michael Grunwald on Monday lamented the fact that Barack Obama, “a paragon of fiscal responsibility compared to [George W.] Bush,” doesn't get accolades for all his successes. Grunwald's piece, entitled, “The Counterfactual President: Obama Averted Disasters, but Getting Credit Is the Hard Part,” sarcastically compared President Obama's record on terrorism with Bush: “Apparently there needs to be a spectacular terrorist attack on U.S. soil during your presidency before you can get credit for preventing another one.” The overall thrust of the article was explaining why, despite all these accomplishments, Obama's actions have not been properly heralded. At one point, Grunwald touted Obama's economic record, fawning, “He's been a paragon of fiscal responsibility compared with Bush, but he's still blamed for the megadeficits primarily created by Bush's tax cuts and the Great Recession.” (Hat tip to the MRC's Kevin Eder for noticing the story.) It's hard to square that with $9.5 trillions deficits and a CBO prediction that “national debt under Obama's proposals would double by 2021.” He also added more to the debt in 19 months than all Presidents from Washington through Reagan. With regard to Libya, Grunwald argued that the President should be credited with preventing an atrocity in that country: “It's hard to get credit for avoiding a disaster when it's impossible to prove the disaster would have happened without you.” Of course, the Time journalist seemed to accept this idea completely. Time.com labeld Grunwald's piece opinion, but the reporter has covered straight news for outlets such as the Washington Post, in addition to Time. — Scott Whitlock is the senior news analyst for the Media Research Center. Click here to follow him on Twitter .
Continue reading …The chick lit fans have all grown up, got married and started reading ‘mum lit’. Christina Hopkinson’s book about a housework-shy husband exemplifies the new genre The Pile of Stuff at the Bottom of the Stairs was snapped up by Hodder, after a bidding war that, according to press reports, resulted in a “six-figure sum” for two novels. Author Christina Hopkinson, who looks like a slightly cross version of Teri Polo from Meet the Parents , wrinkles her nose in distaste at the subject: “You’ve seen the piece in the Bookseller, right? Well, they’re right. What’s normally so irksome about those stories is when someone says: ‘I had a week off work, and I wrote three chapters, and got a deal on the strength of that.’ It sounds so effortless. But this was a complete book. It wasn’t effortless.” Anecdotes put the deal at a quarter of a million pounds, which is huge news. An industry that claims, always, to be in the doldrums, can still muster headying sums for “mum lit”. The reason this market holds such a fascination for publishers is that it is nothing like as saturated as that for chick lit, whose readers are growing up. The romantic tropes won’t serve for a whole lifetime in mainstream fiction. There needs to be a second chapter: post-happy-ever-after, pre-divorce. Plenty of authors would be happy, or at least not enraged, to place themselves in this genre – India Knight , Mink Elliott and the under-rated Fiona Gibson . But there is more to it than simply being a book by a woman, about a woman with a family. There is more, even, than the suggestion – floated by the Bookseller and echoed in the book’s cover design – that the publishers hope to have discovered the new Allison Pearson (whose first novel, I Don’t Know How She Does It has sold more than a million copies in the UK, and who also done well in the US). Hopkinson’s book was sold on its Big Idea: what’s the thing you hate most about the one you love? What makes your heart beat faster when you don’t want to have sex because you’re too tired? (Tidying; tidying and arguing.) That’s what makes this mum
Continue reading …Court rules participants on shows should be treated as salaried staff, though day rate more than French monthly minimum wage It’s a tough life being a reality TV contestant in France. Those scantily clad figures slaving away on sun-toasted beaches and expending sweat and tears around luxury swimming pools might look as if they are having fun – mais non. In fact, it is extremely hard labour for which they deserve to be paid handsomely, France’s highest appeal court has decided. And the going rate for this relentless toil at the coal face of light entertainment?: €1,400 (£1,230) a day, slightly more than the French monthly minimum wage. The court has declared the contestants must be treated as salaried staff, paid a fixed wage plus social charges and overtime and be allowed a 35-hour working week. The decision could cost French television companies over €52m. Now the French lawyer who brought the case says it has opened the way for claims by those taking part in reality shows the world over. Jérémie Assous is already in talks with legal firms in Britain, America, Spain and Israel over future lawsuits. “The principle is universal and simple. You cannot make people work 24 hours a day, seven days a week. That is slavery, even in a country where the laws are more liberal,” he said. “And as far as I’m aware slavery is banned, even in Britain.” Assous brought a test case on behalf of 56 participants in L’île de la Tentation, the French version of Temptation Island. In it several couples were transported to a beach near the Thai resort of Koh Samui, separated and subject to temptation from scantily clad members of the opposite sex. They sued the private French channel TF1, which makes this and several other reality shows, saying that while it looked like a piece of gateau to those watching and while they may have appeared to be enjoying themselves, the demands of bossy producers made it a daily grind, like any other. “It’s incredibly tough. It’s like a film shoot except actors go to a location do their work then go back to their trailers or hotels for the evening. Now reality TV stars have the same rights.” Judges in the case, that had taken six years to resolve, set a legal precedent two years ago when they ruled that appearing in a reality show constituted work, but it was down to the appeal court to decide how much contestants should be paid. Assous had demanded €400,000 for each contestant, which television companies warned would spell the end of reality TV. He said he and the former contestants were “very happy” with the ruling and he had another 300 former participants ready to make claims. He said if every one of the 1,500 people who had taken part in a French reality TV show lasting an average 25 days claimed their €1,400 a day it would land the production companies with a €52.5m bill. “It’s a great victory. Now the contestants have to have a proper work contract and be given salaries and overtime and all the other benefits,” he said, suggesting they might also be entitled to demand a maximum 35-hour working week, as enshrined in French labour law. “I have no moral objection to reality TV and it has never been my intention to destroy it, but participants have to be treated fairly,” he said. France Reality TV Europe Television Kim Willsher guardian.co.uk
Continue reading …Court rules participants on shows should be treated as salaried staff, though day rate more than French monthly minimum wage It’s a tough life being a reality TV contestant in France. Those scantily clad figures slaving away on sun-toasted beaches and expending sweat and tears around luxury swimming pools might look as if they are having fun – mais non. In fact, it is extremely hard labour for which they deserve to be paid handsomely, France’s highest appeal court has decided. And the going rate for this relentless toil at the coal face of light entertainment?: €1,400 (£1,230) a day, slightly more than the French monthly minimum wage. The court has declared the contestants must be treated as salaried staff, paid a fixed wage plus social charges and overtime and be allowed a 35-hour working week. The decision could cost French television companies over €52m. Now the French lawyer who brought the case says it has opened the way for claims by those taking part in reality shows the world over. Jérémie Assous is already in talks with legal firms in Britain, America, Spain and Israel over future lawsuits. “The principle is universal and simple. You cannot make people work 24 hours a day, seven days a week. That is slavery, even in a country where the laws are more liberal,” he said. “And as far as I’m aware slavery is banned, even in Britain.” Assous brought a test case on behalf of 56 participants in L’île de la Tentation, the French version of Temptation Island. In it several couples were transported to a beach near the Thai resort of Koh Samui, separated and subject to temptation from scantily clad members of the opposite sex. They sued the private French channel TF1, which makes this and several other reality shows, saying that while it looked like a piece of gateau to those watching and while they may have appeared to be enjoying themselves, the demands of bossy producers made it a daily grind, like any other. “It’s incredibly tough. It’s like a film shoot except actors go to a location do their work then go back to their trailers or hotels for the evening. Now reality TV stars have the same rights.” Judges in the case, that had taken six years to resolve, set a legal precedent two years ago when they ruled that appearing in a reality show constituted work, but it was down to the appeal court to decide how much contestants should be paid. Assous had demanded €400,000 for each contestant, which television companies warned would spell the end of reality TV. He said he and the former contestants were “very happy” with the ruling and he had another 300 former participants ready to make claims. He said if every one of the 1,500 people who had taken part in a French reality TV show lasting an average 25 days claimed their €1,400 a day it would land the production companies with a €52.5m bill. “It’s a great victory. Now the contestants have to have a proper work contract and be given salaries and overtime and all the other benefits,” he said, suggesting they might also be entitled to demand a maximum 35-hour working week, as enshrined in French labour law. “I have no moral objection to reality TV and it has never been my intention to destroy it, but participants have to be treated fairly,” he said. France Reality TV Europe Television Kim Willsher guardian.co.uk
Continue reading …Entire country loses internet for five hours after woman, 75, slices through cable while scavenging for copper An elderly Georgian woman was scavenging for copper to sell as scrap when she accidentally sliced through an underground cable and cut off internet services to all of neighbouring Armenia, it emerged on Wednesday. The woman, 75, had been digging for the metal not far from the capital Tbilisi when her spade damaged the fibre-optic cable on 28 March. As Georgia provides 90% of Armenia’s internet, the woman’s unwitting sabotage had catastrophic consequences. Web users in the nation of 3.2 million people were left twiddling their thumbs for up to five hours as the country’s main internet providers – ArmenTel, FiberNet Communication and GNC-Alfa – were prevented from supplying their normal service. Television pictures showed reporters at a news agency in the capital Yerevan staring glumly at blank screens. Large parts of Georgia and some areas of Azerbaijan were also affected. “It was a 75-year-old woman who was digging for copper in the ground so that she could sell it for scrap,” said a spokesman for Georgia’s interior ministry said yesterday. Dubbed “the spade-hacker” by local media, the woman – who has not been named – is being investigated on suspicion of damaging property. She faces up to three years in prison if charged and convicted. A spokesman for Georgia’s interior ministry said the woman was temporarily released “on account of her old age” but could face more questioning. The damage was detected by a system monitoring the fibre-optic link from western Europe and a security team was immediately dispatched to the spot, where the woman was arrested. The interior ministry said she had no accomplices. The cable is owned by the Georgian railway network. It is heavily protected, but landslides or heavy rain may have exposed it to scavengers. Pulling up unused copper cables for scrap is a common means of making money in the former Soviet Union. Some entrepreneurs have even used tractors to wrench out hundreds of metres of cable from the former nuclear testing ground at Semipalatinsk in Kazakhstan. Georgia Armenia Internet Tom Parfitt guardian.co.uk
Continue reading …Entire country loses internet for five hours after woman, 75, slices through cable while scavenging for copper An elderly Georgian woman was scavenging for copper to sell as scrap when she accidentally sliced through an underground cable and cut off internet services to all of neighbouring Armenia, it emerged on Wednesday. The woman, 75, had been digging for the metal not far from the capital Tbilisi when her spade damaged the fibre-optic cable on 28 March. As Georgia provides 90% of Armenia’s internet, the woman’s unwitting sabotage had catastrophic consequences. Web users in the nation of 3.2 million people were left twiddling their thumbs for up to five hours as the country’s main internet providers – ArmenTel, FiberNet Communication and GNC-Alfa – were prevented from supplying their normal service. Television pictures showed reporters at a news agency in the capital Yerevan staring glumly at blank screens. Large parts of Georgia and some areas of Azerbaijan were also affected. “It was a 75-year-old woman who was digging for copper in the ground so that she could sell it for scrap,” said a spokesman for Georgia’s interior ministry said yesterday. Dubbed “the spade-hacker” by local media, the woman – who has not been named – is being investigated on suspicion of damaging property. She faces up to three years in prison if charged and convicted. A spokesman for Georgia’s interior ministry said the woman was temporarily released “on account of her old age” but could face more questioning. The damage was detected by a system monitoring the fibre-optic link from western Europe and a security team was immediately dispatched to the spot, where the woman was arrested. The interior ministry said she had no accomplices. The cable is owned by the Georgian railway network. It is heavily protected, but landslides or heavy rain may have exposed it to scavengers. Pulling up unused copper cables for scrap is a common means of making money in the former Soviet Union. Some entrepreneurs have even used tractors to wrench out hundreds of metres of cable from the former nuclear testing ground at Semipalatinsk in Kazakhstan. Georgia Armenia Internet Tom Parfitt guardian.co.uk
Continue reading …Guardian reader fought year-long freedom of information battle to disclose contents of report so critical it was kept under wraps Britain’s military machine was ill-prepared for the Iraq invasion, failed to prepare for counterinsurgency warfare and was slow to adapt to situations it did not foresee, according to a damning internal Ministry of Defence report. “The MoD is good at identifying lessons, but less good at learning them,” it says. “In comparison with the US, the UK military was complacent and slow in recognising and adapting to changing circumstances.” Moreover, the government failed to provide a coherent defence or explanation of what it calls “an unpopular war”, with potential damaging impact on the reputation of Britain’s armed forces. The report, by Lieutenant General Chris Brown, was commissioned by defence chiefs but is so critical that it was suppressed by Air Chief Marshal Sir Jock (now Lord) Stirrup, the former chief of defence staff. It has been released, with many redactions and after months of argument, under the Freedom of Information Act, nearly a year after a reader, Michael Bimmler, heard about it in the Guardian. Military personnel who bore the brunt of the failures of top policy-makers in the Foreign Office and Department for International Development – as well as the MoD – were furious that Brown’s report was being suppressed. Assumptions within the MoD that the armed forces should train and equip simply for high intensity conflict and then quickly adapt for “peace support” were discredited in Iraq, Brown says. Such an expectation “proved illusory”… “very significantly, we were not prepared for counterinsurgency”. The report adds: “A widespread sense that Operation Telic [the UK name given to the invasion of Iraq] was a temporary distraction from normal defence business was reinforced by a mistaken belief that the campaign would be short-lived and compounded by the limited engagement of other [Whitehall] departments.” While it criticises the MoD for being “slow to adapt”, the report notes that the invasion and its aftermath “highlighted the paucity of training in cross-Whitehall teamwork at ministerial level”. The absence of any British strategy for Iraq undermined its ability to provide support for the emerging Iraqi government and was compounded by a “paucity of military Arabic speakers” forcing commanders at all levels to rely on contracted interpreters. It would have been better for British troops to have bought off-the-shelf and more reliable US communications equipment rather than British kit, Brown’s report says. Shortages of up-to-date equipment meant service personnel had to “revert to obsolete equipment in training”. The report continues: “Inevitably, given the timescales of defence procurement, the majority of the equipment used in the initial stages [of the Iraq invasion] stemmed from the cold war. An exception was the RAF “whose involvement in continuous operations in the region since 1990 had at least ensured that the majority of their equipment was not climatically suitable and interoperable with the US”. Furthermore, the report says – referring to “an unpopular war” – that “no serious attempt appears to have been made to forge a convincing coalition-wide strategic narrative”. It warns: “The planning of strategic communications must address what it means to fight an unpopular war and what additional effort is required to compensate for this. It is crucial that an unpopular war does not undermine support for other operations, or indeed for the UK military’s wider reputation.” Military Defence policy Iraq Richard Norton-Taylor guardian.co.uk
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