The new Republican House members that swept into office aren’t making a very good impression with the voters via a new poll by the PPP: PPP’s newest national poll finds that after a little more than 3 months in charge House Republicans have fallen so far out of favor with the American public that it’s entirely possible Democrats could take control of the House back next year. 43% of voters think that House Republicans are doing a worse job now than the Democrats did, compared to only 36% who think the GOP has brought an improvement. 19% think things are about the same. 62% of voters thinking that the Republicans have either made things worse or brought no improvement to an already unpopular Congress does not bode particularly well for the party. 46% of voters say that if there was an election for Congress today they would vote Democratic, compared to only 41% who would vote Republican. That five point advantage for Democrats is only a hair below the margin Republicans won by in the national popular vote last year. A victory of that magnitude for the Democrats next year would at the very least result in the party taking back a large number of the seats it lost last year, and it could be enough to take back the outright majority- hard to say at this point without knowing how good a number the GOP can do in redistricting… read on Americans are seeing what Republicans have been doing since they took office and America is not happy. And although they haven’t polled this yet, you can only guess how they feel about the new crop of GOP Governors that have been trying to destroy long standing traditions in their states. Polls done in WI and Ohio have shown that they would love a do over. Anyway, have a good day.
Continue reading …From Oregon, a lesson in April Fool’s Day pranks, viral videos … and bipartisanship: A group of 12 state lawmakers managed to “Rickroll” their colleagues last year, by slipping the lyrics to Rick Astley’s “Never Gonna Give You Up” into speeches they made on the House floor. Put the clips together,…
Continue reading …It’s that time of year again: People ‘s “Most Beautiful” issue is out Friday, and the magazine names Jennifer Lopez as the world’s most beautiful woman for 2011. In the requisite accompanying interview, Lopez says she’s actually happiest when she’s sans makeup and can “touch my face and rub my…
Continue reading …Remember last year, when Republicans hated Obamacare because of “exchanges, difficult end-of-life decisions, cuts to vulnerable seniors”? Well, Jon Stewart does, and last night he informed America: “Guess what? [Paul] Ryan’s plan is all that, plus a $750 billion cut to Medicaid. How do they characterize a plan like that?”…
Continue reading …President’s 12-year plan to reduce budget deficit includes curbs on defence spending and Medicare reforms Barack Obama has set the stage for a new and bigger budget showdown with the Republicans, proposing a staggering $4 trillion (£2.4tn) in spending cuts over the next 12 years aimed at reducing America’s runaway deficit. Although the cut is enormous, it still falls well short of the $6.2tn the Republicans are demanding. The battle is set to dwarf last week’s 2012 budget row that came within an hour of seeing the federal government shut down. The size of the deficit, more than $14tn, is one of the biggest political issues in the US, especially with the country in hock to China, which has accumulated a horde of dollars. The deficit was one of the main reasons for the rise of the Tea Party movement and contributed to the Republican victory in last November’s congressional elections. Obama has proposed to tackle the deficit by curbing defence spending and ending tax breaks introduced by George W Bush for wealthy Americans – those earning more than $250,000 a year. In a move that will anger the Democratic base, Obama is also suggesting further cuts in the deficit would come from reforms to Medicaid, which provides basic health provision for the poor, and Medicare, which provides health care for those over 65. The president, who set out his proposals in a speech at George Washington University in DC, blamed Bush for the deficit. He said it has been known for decades that the baby boomers reaching retirement age would put a strain on health and social security at this time. Bill Clinton had left a balanced budget and the burgeoning deficit had been a consequence of the Bush era, Obama said. “We increased spending dramatically for two wars and an expensive prescription drug programme, but we didn’t pay for any of this new spending. Instead, we made the problem worse with trillions of dollars in unpaid-for tax cuts: tax cuts that went to every millionaire and billionaire in the country; tax cuts that will force us to borrow an average of $500bn every year over the next decade,” Obama said. He added: “Even after our economy recovers, our government will still be on track to spend more money than it takes in throughout this decade and beyond. That means we’ll have to keep borrowing more from countries like China. And that means more of your tax dollars will go toward paying off the interest on all the loans we keep taking out. By the end of this decade, the interest we owe on our debt could rise to nearly $1tn.” The Republicans, after meeting Obama at the White House , said they are opposed to ending the Bush tax breaks. They also want deep cuts in Medicaid and Medicare. “It is time to act,” said the Senate Republican leader Mitch McConnell. “We don’t believe a lack of revenue is part of the problem, so we will not be discussing raising taxes.” The vice-president, Joe Biden, is to begin regular meetings with Republican and Democrat congressional leaders next month and Obama said the aim was to reach a final agreement on a plan to reduce the deficit by the end of June. The focal point in the next few weeks is the raising of the country’s debt limit above $14.3tn. Normally this would be a technical move that would be voted through without much bother but it has become entangled in the battle over spending. If this is not agreed by the Republicans, the country would be temporarily bankrupt, whoch would be embarrasing for Obama and would have implications for economies round the world. The deadline is 16 May. Republican leaders said that if Obama did not agree to major debt cuts, they would not vote through the rise in in the debt ceiling from $14.3tn. The Republicans, who have a majority in the House of Representatives, are scheduled to pass a bill later this week to cut $6.2tn over the next decade without raising taxes. But it has no chance of getting through the Senate, where the Democrats have a majority. Even if it did, Obama could use his presidential veto to block it. The battle over the deficit has consequences not only for the US as it stumbles out of recession but other economies round the world. Democrats warn that the spending cuts being advocated by the Republicans would send the country back into recession. The fight last week was over the remaining six months of this year’s budget and involved only $38bn in cuts compared to the trillions at stake over the coming weeks and months. Obama’s problems are not confined to the Republicans. Many Democrats in Congress and outside, mainly the volunteers who helped get him elected in 2008, object even to the $4tn in spending cuts, and any cuts to Medicare and Medicaid. Two left-wing groups that campaigned for him last time are threatening to withhold funds next year. Some economists and political scientists also raise what they see as the danger of Republican cuts slowing or even reversing America’s climb out off recession. Thomas Ferguson, professor of politics at the University of Massachusetts, said there was a danger of repeating the mistakes of the Great Depression by chopping spending. “The US would surely take a rather large plunge. They will get Ireland and Greece outcomes. You will crater the US economy if you were to enact the [Republican] bill,” Ferguson said. US domestic policy Obama administration US economy US taxation Democrats Republicans US healthcare US politics United States Ewen MacAskill guardian.co.uk
Continue reading …On Tuesday's Early Show, CBS's Bill Plante forwarded the liberal impression that the proposed budget compromise includes ” big spending cuts ,” despite only reducing $38.5 billion from trillions in spending. Host Erica Hill also urged Republican Congressman Eric Cantor for “a little give and take ” in the budget negotiations, hinting that taxes needed to be raised to deal with the debt. Plante's report on President Obama's upcoming speech on reducing the debt led the 7 am Eastern hour. Near the end of the segment, the correspondent touted how “the President's goal today is to appear as the voice of reason, and to set the stage for the next big debate, which is going to be over raising the federal debt limit, something the Republicans say they won't vote for unless there are more big spending cuts .” Hill's interview of the House Majority Leader began immediately after this report, and she came out of the gate with her hint at the need for tax hikes: “The Republican plan…essentially looks to slash the deficit through cuts, but doesn't there also need to be, perhaps, some more money coming in to, at the same time, pay things down and make a meaningful dent. Can you really establish that just through cuts?” After Rep. Cantor gave his initial answer, the CBS host followed up with her liberal-leaning push for congressional Republicans to give up on some of their budget proposals: “At some point, does there have to be a little give and take, because, as we're seeing in the Republican plan, there are tax cuts for the wealthiest Americans, yet, there are also cuts and changes to social services programs for some of the neediest here for seniors and for the poor?” The full transcript of Erica Hill's interview of Rep. Eric Cantor from Tuesday's Early Show: HILL: Joining us now from Capitol Hill is House Majority Leader Eric Cantor. Sir, good to have you with us this morning. CANTOR: Good morning, Erica. HILL: As we looked at and- it has been sort of been analyzed, of course, over the past few days, the Republican plan- it essentially looks to slash the deficit through cuts, but doesn't there also need to be, perhaps, some more money coming in to, at the same time, pay things down and make a meaningful dent. Can you really establish that just through cuts? CANTOR: Erica, you're right. We cannot fix our fiscal crisis and bring down the debt just through cuts alone, but everybody understands that Washington has been on a spending binge of late, and we've got to start spending money the way that taxpayers are right now, and that's learning how to do more with less. But you're right, we need to grow this economy, and I think that's where the difference is and I'm hopeful I can hear from the President today something that actually will come to the middle and meet us. I don't think there are many Americans right now who want to pay more taxes. We are a few days out from tax day, and I think most people understand that Washington doesn't have a revenue problem. It has a spending problem. And the crux of the issue here is how are we going to get this economy going again and get people back to work without imposing more burdens on working families, and we can't raise taxes. I mean, that was settled, I think, last November during the election. HILL: So you say absolutely not, in terms of raising taxes. You mentioned the burden. The goal which we've heard from representatives, of course, on both sides of the aisle is to not continue to pass this debt down to everyone's children. But at some point, does there have to be a little give and take, because, as we're seeing in the Republican plan, there are tax cuts for the wealthiest Americans, yet, there are also cuts and changes to social services programs for some of the neediest here for seniors and for the poor? CANTOR: What we have proposed, when you're talking about the kinds of programs that have posed the biggest challenges, as far as our debt is concerned, you're talking about the entitlement programs, and the reality is, the Congressional Budget Office says these programs, like Medicare and Medicaid, are in serious trouble, and within the next ten years, we'll go into a bankrupt-like situation. We want to save these programs for the people that need them. That's our goal. We don't think that you should let people who need a safety net out there on their own. We believe in a safety net for those who need it, not for those who don't. And so, our plan tries to save Medicare for everyone. For those 55 and older, we say those individuals will not see any change in their benefits. But for the rest of us, we're going to have to accept the fact that these programs are not going to look the same for us, and we're trying to change the nature of those programs for the younger generations, so they will be around for the people who need them. HILL Real quickly, sir, when you meet with the President today, you want to hear something meaningful, but what are you going to say to him? CANTOR: Well, we're going to say to him, look, that we're glad you're finally coming to the table. You know, the President has missed the opportunity when he presented his budget to the country in the State of the Union address. He missed the opportunity to even talk about the specifics that he envisioned to how to address the debt problem we've got in this country. So I'm looking forward to telling him, look, we want to work with you. We've got problems and they were caused by both sides. We want to come together, we want to work with you to try and fix this debt problem, and get the economy back on track, so more people can get back to work. HILL: We will be looking for the results of that meeting and for more of the many meetings to come on the budget. Congressman Eric Cantor, thanks for your time this morning. CANTOR: Thank you. — Matthew Balan is a news analyst at the Media Research Center. You can follow him on Twitter here .
Continue reading …Abidjan residents begin to return to normal life days after capture of rogue leader, amid reports of continued violence in Yopougon The long queue zigzagging outside a reopened bakery on Wednesday hinted at a city rediscovering itself. It was one of several signs that Abidjan, the commercial capital of Ivory Coast, could be returning to something like normality two days after the capture of its rogue president, Laurent Gbagbo. Just down the street, formerly the scene of fierce combat, hundreds of people milled around fruit and vegetable stalls. A minibus pulled up and women stepped out carrying crates of eggs. At nearby restaurants, people smiled and waved at passing French military patrols. Some petrol stations reopened, communal taxis were operating and water and electricity, cut off by 10 days of fighting, were restored to most neighbourhoods, residents said. The UN Children’s Fund, Unicef, was able to deliver supplies such as medicine, soap and blankets to the city for the first time in weeks. But people were forced to step over the detritus of battle and several burnt bodies could still be seen in grasslands – one, a young man, clutching a bunch of fruit. “Life is gradually returning to normal, shops have reopened as well as pharmacies,” Mariam Kone, in the southern district of Koumassi, told Reuters. “At night, though, there is still shooting by those who have weapons. They are not happy at all that Gbagbo’s gone.” There were reports of continued violence in Yopougon, a pro-Gbagbo stronghold. “There’s a lot of submachine gunfire and we don’t know who is doing the shooting,” Stella Gogo, a resident, told Reuters. Amnesty International reported that on Tuesday armed men, some wearing military uniforms, carried out house-to-house searches in real or perceived pro-Gbagbo neighbourhoods. One witness told the rights group how a policeman from Gbagbo’s ethnic group was taken from his house and shot dead at point-blank range. Footage has emerged showing forces loyal to Gbagbo’s rival, Alassane Ouattara, walking through the front gate of Gbagbo’s presidential residence carrying firearms. Many are dressed in camouflage and wearing helmets, and some are crouched in shooting position. After orders from a commander, fighters enter the property by shooting at the lock and forcing their way inside. The footage, shot by a pro-Ouattara fighter and obtained by Associated Press, shows fighters putting a camouflage flak jacket on Gbagbo. He and his wife are then escorted to a car with a tank sitting nearby. On a visit to the residence on Wednesday, the Guardian observed burned-out armoured vehicles, wrecked cars and discarded uniforms. The front entrance was battered. A sign for Gbagbo’s elite republican guard lay lopsided. French soldiers fired teargas to deter would-be looters. In one part of the compound, a building that contained a prison cell was littered with grenades, newspapers and upturned beds, while outside a guitar rested on a fridge beside two neatly packed leather suitcases. A pristine picture of Gbagbo was on the wall. Outside, curiously, amid discarded sofas and mattresses, was a blackboard on which was chalked: “Beyonce, I love you.” Philippe Mangou, Gbagbo’s ex-army chief of staff, called on all soldiers to report to their base to serve under Ouattara’s army, the Republican Forces of Ivory Coast. Ouattara said Gbagbo had been moved out of the Golf hotel, where he was taken after his capture on Monday. He said Gbagbo would be kept in a villa and his rights as a former head of state would be respected. “Gbagbo is in a residence under surveillance somewhere in Ivory Coast,” Ouattara said. “There will be charges [against Gbagbo] on a national level and an international level. Reconciliation cannot happen without justice.” He said he had phoned South Africa’s president, Jacob Zuma, for advice about setting up a credible and independent truth and reconciliation committee. Ouattara repeated his call against violence, and said all minors being held should be released immediately. “We need to secure the country, notably Abidjan,” he said. “It is important for the country to emerge from this crisis on top.” Ivory Coast Laurent Gbagbo Alassane Ouattara David Smith guardian.co.uk
Continue reading …This week marks the 150th anniversary of the start of the Civil War. But there's another “civil war” of sorts on the horizon, this one between the ultra-liberal wing of the Democratic Party, which has thus far steadfastly refused to accept cuts to entitlement programs in the name of fiscal solvency, and the party's more moderate members (which include, amazingly, President Barack Obama and House Minority Leader Nancy Pelosi) who recognize that such cuts are all-but-inevitable. But true to form, most of the media, fond of labeling GOP infighting a civil war, has yet to brand Democrats' budget feud with that label. This despite the increasing uneasiness of liberal legislators and organizations who are worried the president has already caved to conservatives on the budget battle. In fact, some groups have gone beyond simply complaining about the apparent embrace of the Bowles-Simpson deficit reduction plan by the president (and key congressional Democrats, including Reps. Nancy Pelosi and Chris Van Hollen). The Progressive Chance Campaign Committee (PCCC) sent an email to its members on Tuesday encouraging them to withhold financial contributions to Obama's reelection campaign if his eventual plan includes any cuts to Medicare or Medicaid,
Continue reading …Click here to view this media I’m with Digby … watching this stuff just makes me want to go have a tall drink as well. Dana Bash, Ed Henry, John King and Gloria Borger were discussing how the policy debate was going on raising the debt ceiling and on the 2012 budget, and the Republicans refusal to raise taxes. Ed Henry goes from saying that the President needs to get his base excited if he hopes to be reelected in 2012 and in the next breath, talks about how having liberal Democrats mad at him “is not a bad thing.” I think our beltway Villagers love to push this stuff just to aggravate the hell out of people at the left wing blogs and anyone that writes at or reads them. In what world would Ed Henry or anyone else in our corporate media be talking about how it’s a good thing for a Republican to piss off their conservative base and conservative Congressional members and that it would somehow help their chances for reelection? Whoever it is at the White House that talked to Ed Henry has their head on backwards because liberal Congressional Democrats are trying to keep the President from giving in too much to Republicans and allowing them to destroy our fragile economy, which is obviously the Republican’s plan. They’d like nothing more than to see us in another recession because they think it helps their chances for reelection, because they can then blame the bad economy on the Democrats. And if anyone doesn’t think they’re crass enough to do it, just look at how they attacked Democrats the last election for the health care bill as an assault on Medicare . Who wants to let a few facts get in the way when you can do some fearmongering instead? I don’t know what the President is going to say tomorrow, but if he concedes too much to Republicans, I think he’s going to help them get their wish with tanking the economy again. The center of our political debate in this country has moved so far to the right, it’s ridiculous. It would really be nice to see some push back in the other direction and the hostage taking by Republicans called out for what it is so the blame can lay at their feet if their demands harm the economy, which they will. And as Digby noted in her post, Chambliss has not agreed to tax increases: Chambliss has not actually signed on to “modest tax increases” he’s signed on to “raising revenue” which is not the same thing in this debate and relies on magical thinking about loopholes — and tax cuts! She’s got more on that here — Raising revenue without raising taxes . We need to be beating back at these Republican memes. We don’t have a spending problem. We’ve got a revenue problem. And lowering taxes on the rich does nothing to reduce our deficit; it makes it worse. Transcript below the fold. BASH: I was just going to add to that. You know, what’s so interesting is when you talk about the big picture about deficit reduction, Paul Ryan’s plan definitely had some things the Democrats didn’t like with regard to entitlements, but the biggest thing that they didn’t like was the fact that he kept taxes low and doesn’t raise them to help get rid of the deficit. And now you have Republicans saying the last thing we want in the world that we’ll sign on to is a tax increase. There’s so many divides on this whole idea of reducing the deficit. But tax cuts is probably one of the biggest right now. KING: And you do have some Republicans, Saxby Chambliss for one, Tom Coburn from Oklahoma, another who come to mind, who say, I don’t want tax increases, I don’t like tax increases. But if that’s what I have to pay, if I have to take some modest tax increases as long as I get other things, I get spending cuts, I get changes to Medicare, maybe changes to Social Security. So, the question, Ed Henry, is — does the president have any realistic — do any of us have any realistic belief that they will cut a big deal now? Or are we likely to have a big debate and carry this one into the 2012 presidential cycle? HENRY: It sounds more like a big debate that carries on. Now, obviously, there are some pending problems here. There’s the, you know, debt ceiling and lifting that by May 16th. And as part of lifting that, Speaker Boehner obviously saying, look, you’ve got to put some sort of deficit reduction on the table. So, something some event like that may force the president’s hand, may force both parties frankly to do something. But I think it’s much more likely to wind up being a 2012 issue. And here’s one reason why: the day after the big speech on Wednesday, where’s the president going? He’s going to Chicago to officially sort of launch the fundraising for 2012. And so, even if they say here it’s not about politics, within 24 hours, he’s out on the campaign trail. BORGER: But here’s something that came out of those negotiations, John, that you were talking about in the government — to avoid the government shutdown. I was talking to a senior White House adviser said to me, asked him what he learned about John Boehner. And he said, “What I learned about the House speaker is he knows how to negotiate, that he played it close to the vest, that he didn’t talk to his caucus about all the details until he had to, and that we liked negotiating with him. He was a good, tough negotiator.” So, ironically, the administration that has promised sort of openness is going to cut its deals in private because that’s the way they work the best. KING: And one of the reasons people are cynical about this is that the president just a few weeks ago submitted a budget to the Congress that if had wanted to put his proposals to do this on paper, that was the place to do it. So, then a few weeks later, he comes in and says, oh, wait that minute, now, let’s essentially amend my own budget with the proposal. You know, Dana, we know that’s why the Republicans are going to say he doesn’t mean it, or he’s late to the game. What do the Democrats on Capitol Hill think? Ed talked about the interest groups, Move On and the like saying, well, Mr. President, don’t you dare? What about his Democrats on the Hill? BASH: There’s similar trepidation. There’s no question about it. But they also realize that at least many Democrats I talked to, they need to get in the game. And the Republicans in the House have this big splash with Paul Ryan’s budget, which obviously they don’t like. They still have not done — the Democrats obviously run the Senate. They have not seen the Democrats answer here. So, they do feel like they want the president to get into the game, but they are concerned, as you said, at the beginning of the segment, the president’s looking over his left shoulder. There’s a good reason for that. A lot of people here are concerned that he’s, to be blunt, selling them out. KING: And it’s hard for an incumbent president, Ed, especially an incumbent president has to do business with the other party, to do the two things you just talked about. Number one, he has to seem responsible, he has to try to negotiate with them. He has no choice. On the other hand, he is starting to gear up a campaign where he knows his base, especially if unemployment’s still around 8 percent, he’s got to get every single one of them out to vote. HENRY: He’s got to get the base excited. You’re absolutely right. And the base is pretty upset with him right now, dating back to what you mentioned before, which is the December tax deal, extending the Bush tax cuts. They’re mad about that. They’re mad about last week’s budget deal and they’re very apprehensive about what he’s going to lay out here. I was talking to a senior Democrat who advises the White House, outside the White House today, who was saying, look, you know, every time this president sits down with Speaker Boehner to Gloria’s point about negotiating skills, the president seems to give up another $5 billion, $10 billion, $20 billion. It’s like the spending cuts keep going up, if you think where the president and congressional Democrats started a couple months ago, they were talking about no spending cuts on the table. It keeps going up. But this president has a much different reality than congressional Democrats. BORGER: Right. HENRY: He’s going for the election where him going to the middle and having liberal Democrats mad at him is not a bad thing. KING: Not necessarily. All right. It’s fascinating politics and it happens to be — happens to be — incredibly important policy, as well. Ed Henry, Dana Bash, Gloria Borger — thank you.
Continue reading …Pair named locally as Sophie Taylor, 16, and Calum Murray, 18, and police say they are not looking for other suspects Detectives are investigating the deaths of two teenagers found with fatal shotgun wounds in a farmhouse in the Cairngorms. The pair – named locally as Sophie Taylor, 16, and Calum Murray, 18 – were discovered on Tuesday evening at Blairnamarrow cottage, just outside the town of Tomintoul on Speyside. Grampian police refused to discuss the background to the shootings, but said they were not looking for any other suspects. Detective Inspector Stewart Mackie said the scene inside the cottage was “particularly distressing”. He added: “We would like to reassure the local community that this is an isolated incident. Investigations into the circumstances surrounding the two deaths are at an early stage. However, it is important to stress that we are not looking for any third party at this point.” Mackie said a firearm had been found. “We’re trying to put a timeline together to establish what happened. I can’t divulge any details of the people involved in the house. It’s very much a sensitive situation for the families and the community.” Local sources said Taylor, a schoolgirl who worked part-time as a waitress at a local hotel, and Murray, a trainee gamekeeper who had recently moved to work on a nearby grouse moor, were in a relationship. Taylor was about to sit exams at Speyside high school in Aberlour. There were unconfirmed reports that Murray had been upset after being jilted by Taylor, and that the shooting took place in front of two witnesses, neither of whom were injured. Police closed off the nearby A939, between Tomintoul and Corgarff, and about 30 officers were searching the property and its surroundings. Fiona Murdoch, a local councillor, said: “It seems like a terrible tragedy. For two young people to have died is absolutely horrendous.” An employee at the Glen Avon hotel in Tomintoul, where Taylor worked, said: “She was very popular, a lovely girl. We will all miss her very much.” The cottage is close to the hideout used by Percy Toplis, the convicted army deserter, serial criminal and suspected murderer who fled from the police in Hampshire and hid out in Tomintoul in 1920, before again running off after shooting a local constable and farmer. Toplis claimed – wrongly, say historians – to be the “monocled mutineer” made famous in the Alan Bleasdale drama about the first world war. Scotland Crime Police Severin Carrell guardian.co.uk
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