Thousands of people wait in heat for chance to circle past guru’s body, displayed in glass casket ahead of Indian state funeral A mile-long line of Indians and foreigners have queued for hours in the blistering afternoon sunshine for their chance to circle past the glass coffin of Indian spiritual guru Sathya Sai Baba and pay their respects. State-run All India Radio said that the prime minister, Manmohan Singh, and the leader of the ruling Congress party, Sonia Gandhi, were expected to visit his ashram or spiritual centre in Puttaparti, the southern Indian town where the guru was born. The 84-year-old’s death on Sunday triggered an outpouring of grief from followers who included Indian politicians, movie stars, athletes and industrialists. Most remembered him as a pious, selfless person who worked to help others with the billions of dollars donated to his charitable trust. However, he had also been dismissed by some in the past as a charlatan who passed off magic tricks as miracles. Within India, Sai Baba was a well-known face and his photograph, with a halo of frizzy dark hair and orange robes, adorned millions of homes, car dashboards and lockets worn by Indian and foreign believers. His body has been kept in a glass casket inside the main auditorium of his ashram since Sunday evening. Hundreds of volunteers – men dressed in white trousers and shirts with blue scarves, and women in saris and yellow scarves – handed out plates of food and packets of cookies and drinking water to the long line of mourners. A canopy stretched several hundred feet to protect the mourners, but the serpentine queues were over a mile long and thousands waited under the beating sun. Afternoon temperatures in Puttaparti can soar to well over 37C in April. Narendra Modi, the top elected official of the western state of Gujarat, was among the mourners. Sai Baba’s body will be on display through Tuesday, and hundreds of thousands are expected to visit before his state funeral Wednesday morning. Sai Baba spiritual centers, or ashrams, exist in more than 126 countries. The guru was said to perform miracles, conjuring jewelry, Rolex watches and “vibhuti” – a sacred ash that his followers applied to their foreheads – from his hair. But rationalist critics called him a charlatan and his miracles fake. Several news reports alleged he sexually abused devotees – accusations he denied as smear campaigns. The allegations and criticism did not reduce the intense devotion from his followers. Health problems forced Sai Baba to reduce public appearances in recent years. He had been hospitalised for nearly a month. The trust – estimated to be worth at least $8.9bn, possibly much more – has no named successor. India Religion Hinduism Islam guardian.co.uk
Continue reading …Rather than rogue cells gone berserk, cancers may be the foot soldiers of ages-old atavisms Forty years ago President Richard Nixon declared a “war on cancer” . Yet in spite of $100bn (£60bn) of taxpayer-funded research in the US alone, the cancer mortality rate remains little changed. Dozens of much-hyped “cures” developed by drug companies are either useless or have marginal effect. What can be done? Two years ago, in a spectacularly enlightened move, the US National Cancer Institute (NCI) decided to enlist the help of physical scientists. The idea was to bring fresh insights from disciplines like physics to help tackle cancer in radical new ways. Twelve research centres were created to focus the effort, and I was approached to run the one based at Arizona State University . With no prior knowledge of cancer, I started asking some very basic questions. What struck me from the outset is that something as pervasive and stubborn as cancer must be a deep part of the story of life itself. Sure enough, cancer is found in almost all multicellular organisms, suggesting its origins stretch back hundreds of millions of years. Oncologists tend to think of cancer as a motley collection of cells gone berserk, but to me the way that tumours grow and spread to other organs indicates an organised and systematic strategy, designed to evade all that the body and the medical profession can throw at it. Such well-honed behaviour suggests they are the product of a long period of biological evolution. I began wondering whether cancer might be an evolutionary throwback to the dawn of multicellular life, when single cells began cooperating and forming rudimentary aggregations. Geologists trace this phase back to a time a billion or more years ago, during the so-called Proterozoic era , long before the appearance of plants and animals with their well-ordered body plans and fully differentiated cell types. The closest living analogue might be a sponge. How, then, might these ancestral forms reappear today inside the bodies of animals? Evolution works by building on what came before. The genes needed to fashion the primitive cellular aggregates of the Proterozoic era did not all become defunct. Some were incorporated into the genomes of later, more sophisticated, organisms, and lurk inside human beings to this day. That’s because they still serve a crucial function. When an embryo develops, its genes lay down a body plan, starting with the most basic and most ancient features. A century ago the German biologist Ernst Haekel pointed out that the stages of embryo development recapitulate the evolutionary history of the animal. Human embryos, for instance, develop, then lose, gills, webbed feet and rudimentary tails, reflecting their ancient aquatic life styles. The genes responsible for these features normally get silenced at a later stage of development, but sometimes the genetic control system malfunctions and babies get born with tails and other ancestral traits. Such anomalous features are called atavisms. Charles Lineweaver of the Australian National University is, like me, a cosmologist and astrobiologist with a fascination for how cancer fits into the story of life on Earth. Together we developed the theory that cancer tumours are a type of atavism that appears in the adult form when something disrupts the silencing of ancestral genes. The reason that cancer deploys so many formidable survival traits in succession, is, we think, because the ancient genetic toolkit active in the earliest stages of embryogenesis gets switched back on, re-activating the Proterozoic developmental plan for building cell colonies. If you travelled in a time machine back one billion years, you would see many clumps of cells resembling modern cancer tumours. The implications of our theory, if correct, are profound. Rather than cancers being rogue cells degenerating randomly into genetic chaos, they are better regarded as organised footsoldiers marching to the beat of an ancient drum, recapitulating a billion-year-old lifestyle. As cancer progresses in the body, so more and more of the ancestral core within the genetic toolkit is activated, replaying evolution’s story in reverse sequence. And each step confers a more malignant trait, making the oncologist’s job harder. There is some good news buried in this conclusion. The ancient toolkit will be a limited set of specific genes and therefore present a well-defined target for therapy. To build up a full picture of cancers as atavisms, we have to map not just the human genome but the genomes of our oldest common multi-celled ancestors, including those of plants, insects and fungi, and work out how the cancer story relates to these life forms too. It will be in the convergence of evolutionary biology, developmental biology and cancer biology that the answer to cancer will lie. Nor will this confluence be a one-way street. By studying cancer, biologists can gain clues about how complex life evolved on Earth, and maybe on other planets too. Cancer touches every family in one way or another. As other diseases are brought under control, cancer is set to become the number one killer, and is already in epidemic proportions worldwide. Although the elusive “cure” may be a distant dream, understanding the true nature of cancer will enable it to be better controlled and less menacing. Cancer Evolution Cancer Medical research Health Biology Paul Davies guardian.co.uk
Continue reading …• US plans sanctions against Syria • Assad sends in tanks against protesters in Deraa • Nato warplanes hit Gaddafi compound 12.01pm Syria: While human rights campaigners warn of systematic killing in Deraa, the government’s mouthpiece, Sana, has a very different account of the army’s action . The state news agency says the army has been sent into quell “extremist terrorist groups” and that weapons have been seized. Other accounts suggest the protests have been peaceful. In response to the calls for help from the citizens of Daraa and their appeal to the Armed Forces as to intervene and put an end to the operations of killings, vandalism, and horrifying by extremist terrorist groups, some Army Units entered Sunday morning, April 25th 2011, to the City of Daraa to restore tranquility, security and normal life to the citizens, an official army source declared. The official source added that the Army Units, with the participation of security forces, are now chasing the said groups adding that the Army Units were able to arrest several members from the groups and confiscated huge quantities of weapons and ammunitions. 11.53am – Syria: We have our own reports of gunfire in Deraa now, this time from Wissam Tarif, executive director of the human rights group Insan, who fears a massacre is taking place in the city and elsewhere. Within the last half an hour he overheard gunfire during a phone call to Deraa. On reports of mutiny within the army , Tarif said: We have been hearing this for the last four or five weeks. We have interviewed some of the families of soldiers who have been shot. In three cases families suspect that the soldier was shot by security forces for disobeying orders [to] shoot civilians. There is strong evidence that this might be happening, the question is at what scale? The two units employed in Deraa are very loyal to the regime. He added: The few foreign media journalist in Syria are not allowed to leave Damascus. So the Syrian regime has managed to isolate the rest of the country from the world. What is happening in the country is systematic killing. We are talking about an army surrounding a group of civilians with tanks and opening live ammunition. The absurd [thing] about this is that the international community has so far just used strong words but no action whatsoever. I don’t understand why the UN security council hasn’t referred this to the international criminal courts. _ 11.47am – Syria: A resident in Deraa has told Reuters of gunfire and artillery in the city early today. People in Deraa say telephone lines, electricity and water supplies have all been cut. One resident, speaking by satellite phone to Reuters, said there had been intermittent gunfire during the night followed by artillery rounds and intense machinegun fire at around 7.30 (0430 GMT). “Sometimes you suddenly hear a burst of heavy machinegun fire coming in all directions as though to just scare people and terrify them,” he said. He said citizens were cut off not just from the outside world but from other parts of Deraa. “A brother doesn’t know what’s happening to his brother and we are still besieged,” he said. “They have cut off the city’s inner neighbourhoods from each other and army and snipers are still encircling almost every quarter.” But he said in the Sabeel neighbourhood a demonstration of around 300 youths was allowed to go ahead. Soldiers near to a tank deployed close by put down their light arms down to signify they would not shoot, he said. But residents believed that snipers were still active in the city. “They don’t want people to bury their dead,” he said, adding that with electricity cut off mosques could not announce the names of the dead. 11.20am – Libya: This video , posted on Facebook, was taken in Misrata and shows something of the destruction in the city. In the clip you can see rebel fighters clambering over Libyan government tanks and making their way through abandoned buildings. Other videos posted by Libia Ana on the social networking site show a small group of rebel fighters engaged in battle. 10.45am – Syria: This is video purporting to show a funeral in Duma ( 10.02am ) which turned into a demonstration. The video shows protesters scattering to the sound of gunfire and a person lying on the ground. _ 10.37am – Syria: According to the Press Association, the UK, France, Germany and Portugal are drawing up a draft statement on Syria which is being circulated at the UN, where Syria is to be discussed today. In his statement, Hague confirmed that Britain is working with others at the UN security council and the EU to send a “strong signal” to President Assad that he must halt violence against civilians. 10.26am – Libya: A Nato attack on a compound used by Gaddafi caused an “amazing scene” of destruction, our colleague, Harriet Sherwood, reports from Tripoli. “The building, which officials here claim was a civilian office building housing a library and archive, was completely flattened. Nato says it was a command and control centre – it was a legitimate target. The Libya government here are saying very explicitly it was an attempt to assassinate Gaddafi and an act of terrorism.” Meanwhile, fuel queues are mounting, Harriet says. “Huge petrol queues have sprung up again in Tripoli and surrounding towns. I went to a town quite close to the Tunisian border called Zuwarah. There were massive queues of cars, five or six cars deep, and maybe half a kilometre long. And this was for petrol stations that were closed. I spoke to two guys who said they had both been waiting for five days. If Libya is running out of fuel that is a huge symbolic blow… People are very attached to their cheap fuel. That would have a big impact on morale.” _ 10.18am – Syria: The Foreign Secretary, William Hague, has issued a statement condemning the Syrian government crackdown. I condemn utterly any violence and killings perpetrated by the Syrian security forces against civilians who are expressing their views in peaceful protests. This violent repression must stop. President Assad should order his authorities to show restraint and to respond to the legitimate demands of his people with immediate and genuine reform, not with brutal repression. Words are not enough: the emergency law needs to be lifted in practice and the legitimate aspirations of the people met. 10.12am – Syria: There have been intriguing reports of defections among Syrian troops, a subject explored by Ammar Abdulhamid, a Syrian anti-government activist , on his Syrian Revolution Digest blog. In the morning of April 25, the city of Deraa was invaded from all four corners by units affiliated with the 4th Division, which falls under the direct leadership of Maher Al-Assad, the 5th Division, led by Muhammad Saleh Al-Rifai, with reinforcement from the 132 Battalion. Shortly thereafter, reports began trickling then pouring in speaking of a mutiny in the units affiliated with 5th Division and troops from these units standing up to and halting the advance of units from the 4th Division trying to reach Al-Omary Mosque in central Deraa. At first, many of us thought this might be a reference to a few more defections, as had transpired two weeks ago, but the reports continue to come from different sources and eyewitnesses that we managed to reach all through the day, leading us to believe that there might indeed be something worth monitoring here. If such a mutiny has indeed taken place so early in the game, then Assad’s military gambit seems to be backfiring, a development that could spark a wider division within the army in the next few hours and days, with all different sorts of implications for the protest movement, depending on how this internal conflict plays out. If, on the other hand, the reports turn out to be nothing more than exaggerations and wishful thinking, then the protest movement will still have a way to go before producing a significant impact on the structure and power base of the regime, and the challenge will be to keep on message and peaceful all the way through despite the mounting violence on part of the Assads. 10.02am – Syria: Suspected protesters have been rounded up in Duma, a town just to the north of the capital Damascus, eyewitnesses told a Human Rights Watch Syria researcher, Nadim Houry, who has been monitoring the crackdown from Beirut. He said: “An estimated 5,000 members of the security forces circled the town and went in knocking door-to-door arresting people. According to one family three members of their family were detained. They [the security forces] had a list of names that they were looking for. “They [the family] reported hearing gunfire at around 11am yesterday morning, but could not confirm casualty rates because they were hiding inside their apartment.” “The situation in Deraa is even more worrying but unfortunately the city remains completely cut off. We know that the Syrian army with tanks and the like entered the city on Monday morning. There are no available details at this stage of exactly what’s happening. All we have are short clips on YouTube showing the army shooting on the city.” The death toll has been increasing exponentially in Syria, Houry warned. “Between Friday and Saturday over 100 people were killed. The deployment of the army in full gear encircling a city and cutting it off, is very worrisome when you know the fatal history of the 1980s when the city of Hama paid a very heavy price for opposition to [president] Bashar al-Assad’s father.” _ 9.54am – Libya: Xan has just been back on the line to say that he’s hearing that Nato might have taken out some of the Libyan government artillery, which explains the lull in today’s shelling. So rebel frustration at Nato has eased considerably. 9.45am – Libya: Xan Rice, our colleague who is in Misrata on a surprisingly good line, says there has been a lull in the intense shelling of the only rebel-held city in western Libya. There was a lot less shelling last night and I haven’t heard any this morning so far, which is a big contrast since I arrived on Wednesday. The Gaddafi forces have been removed from the city centre and been pushed back beyond the highway, which is a big defeat for them. But residents have not rushed back to their homes as there still may be one or two Gaddafi soldiers hiding out, there is also the danger from unexploded ordinance and lots of homes have been destroyed. While people are pleased about Gaddafi forces being pushed out, there is not a sense that it’s over. The rebels managed to drive government forces out by cutting their supply lines and battering them day after day. The snipers could not be resupplied with food or ammunition. The tanks were taken out by RPGs or were blocked as rebels cut streets off with shipping containers. But there is much frustration with Nato. The rebels are saying: ‘They’re hitting us with artillery from 12 miles away, they must be in the open, why isn’t Nato attacking them.” 9.26am – Syria: It’s been noted by the Guardian’s Simon Tisdall among others that the US has been pulling its punches with Syria. As the Washington Post pointed out in its coverage, Obama has yet to declare that President Assad has lost the legitimacy to rule as he declared in the case of Gaddafi in Libya and Hosni Mubarak in Egypt. The Post quotes an administration source as saying that policy will be “event driven” . The tipping point may have come in the weekend of violence, giving Obama the popular cover he has sought before calling for regime change in the Arab world. “We’re not there yet,” the administration official said. “This will be event-driven.” Obama’s reluctance is rooted in fear of what might replace Assad, a member of Syria’s minority Alawite sect who is running a Sunni-majority country with a prevalent, if repressed, Islamist strain in its society and politics. His secular Baath Party has been viewed by neighbors as a bulwark against Islamic extremism, making his government a linchpin in the region. Many U.S. allies, including Israel, Saudi Arabia and Turkey, hope that Assad finds a way to remain in power. 9.00am: Good morning and welcome to our live coverage of unrest in the Middle East, where the Syrian government sent in tanks, snipers and thousands of troops to crush pro-democracy protesters in the southern city of Deraa. • Scores were reportedly killed and many more arrested in a widespread pre-emptive crackdown that was described by one human rights activist as a “savage war” against the pro-democracy movement . Deraa, which has been a centre of the rebellion, bore the brunt of the regime’s assault . Witnesses said at least 3,000 troops, backed by tanks and heavy weapons, entered the town in the early hours of Monday. Human rights organisations warned that this latest crackdown signalled an attempt by the regime to deliver a fatal blow to the pro-democracy movement. • The Obama administration condemned “the brutal violence used by the Syrian government”, describing it as deplorable . The US said it is pursuing a range of possible policy options, including targeted sanctions . • In Libya, Nato was accused of trying to assassinate Muammar Gaddafi after two air strikes in three days hit sites in or near the compound where he is believed to direct military strategy . At least two large missiles or bombs struck a multistorey office building in Bab al-Azizia, the sprawling complex in the centre of Tripoli, shortly after midnight yesterday . The Libyan government claimed three people were killed in the attack, although some officials there shortly after the strike said there had been no injuries. Syria Libya Arab and Middle East unrest Middle East Mark Tran Matthew Weaver guardian.co.uk
Continue reading …Ben Bernanke, chairman of Federal Reserve, expected to maintain loose monetary policy The US dollar has fallen to new lows against other major currencies, undermined by predictions that the US would continue to resist pressure to raise interest rates. In early trading, the dollar dropped to its weakest level ever against the Swiss franc, having touched a record low against the Australian dollar overnight. It also hit a four-week low against the yen, while the dollar index, which measures it against a basket of rival currencies, was close to its lowest level since August 2008. The fall came a few hours ahead of the start of the Federal Reserve’s monthly two-day meeting to set monetary policy. City experts believe that this will be a defining week for the dollar. Ben Bernanke, chairman of the Fed, will for the first time hold a press conference on Wednesday evening immediately after the Federal open market committee has voted. Traders expect no change to the Fed’s current loose monetary position. “The market will, as usual, be hanging off every word from Bernanke,” said Jane Foley, senior currency strategist at Rabobank. “There is a small risk that the Fed will toughen its stance on inflation, but in the absence of this, loose monetary policy in the US is likely to continue to weigh on the dollar at least for the remainder of the year.” The critical US interest rate has been pegged at a record low of 0% to 0.25% since December 2008. The Fed is pushing ahead with its second quantitative easing (QE) programme – buying up government and corporate bonds with freshly created money in an effort to stimulate the economy. Joshua Raymond of City Index predicted the dollar could strengthen rapidly if the Fed indicates that it will speed up its QE exit strategy. But with eurozone interest rates having been raised this month, there are concerns around the US’s more relaxed approach to the risk of inflation. Standard & Poor’s threat last week to cut America’s triple-A credit rating has focused attention on its swelling deficit. There are also fears that its recovery from recession is running out of steam. Preliminary US GDP data for the first three months of 2011 will be released on Thursday, and is expected to show that growth slowed. Uwe Parpart, Cantor Fitzgerald’s chief economist in Asia, is concerned that global economic growth remains weak. He also fears that world stock markets have been driven higher by the Fed’s policy of effectively creating more dollars though QE. Parpart warned: “While stock markets globally have had bull runs since March 2009 thanks to excess dollar liquidity, certainly global economic performance has not, and as global growth slows under the impact of higher interest rates, even US investors will have to ask themselves if [dollar] printing press-enabled stock market valuations will be sustainable when liquidity dries up.” The recent surge in the price of oil could also hamper the global economy, according to the head of Saudi Arabia’s state oil firm Aramco, Khalid al-Falih. He told a conference in Seoul that Saudi was “not comfortable” with the current oil price, saying: “I am concerned about the impact it could have on the global economy.” Dollar Currencies Ben Bernanke US economy Quantitative easing Global economy Economics United States Graeme Wearden guardian.co.uk
Continue reading …Panel finds ‘credible claims’ of human rights violations against both sides in separatist conflict and urges independent inquiry The United Nations has said there are “credible allegations” that tens of thousands of civilians were killed by the Sri Lankan government in its final offensive against Tamil Tiger rebels. In a report on the brutal end to the 26-year separatist conflict, a UN panel accused both sides of possible war crimes and called for an independent international investigation. The 200-page report (pdf), much of which was leaked to the Sri Lankan media earlier this month , said the conduct of the war was a “grave assault” on international law, cataloguing incidents it said amounted to crimes against humanity. Sri Lanka’s government, which consistently denied targeting civilians, has rejected the findings as biased and fraudulent. Tens of thousands of people died in the last five months of the war that ended in May 2009. The report said most of these were killed by widespread government shelling of no-fire zones where the government had encouraged civilians to concentrate, including hospitals, UN facilities and evacuation routes. The report also alleged atrocities were carried out by the rebel Liberation Tamil Tigers of Eelam (LTTE), accusing them of using civilians as human shields and for forced labour, recruiting child soldiers and shooting anyone who attempted to flee the conflict zone. The report said the government used intimidation to silence media reports as it masked its bloody campaign with claims of a “zero civilian casualty” policy and “humanitarian rescue operations”. “In stark contrast, the panel found credible allegations, which if proven, indicate that a wide range of serious violations of international humanitarian law and international human rights law was committed both by the government of Sri Lanka and the LTTE, some of which would amount to war crimes and crimes against humanity,” it said. “Indeed, the conduct of the war represented a grave assault on the entire regime of international law designed to protect individual dignity during both war and peace.” It said the rebels had begun shooting “point-blank” any civilians who attempted to escape the fighting as government forces launched their final push in February 2009. “Despite grave danger in the conflict zone, the LTTE refused civilians permission to leave, using them as hostages, at times even using their presence as a strategic human buffer between themselves and the advancing Sri Lanka army.” The panel urged the UN secretary general, Ban Ki-moon, to establish “an independent international mechanism” to investigate its claims. However, Ban has said he lacks the authority to order an investigation and instead urged officials in Colombo to launch their own inquiry. Before the report’s release, the Sri Lankan foreign minister, Gamini Peiris, told reporters that the UN panel’s 10-month investigation had overstepped its mandate. “It’s wrong to publish the report. It’s equally wrong and unacceptable to take any steps at all on the basis of any findings or recommendations contained in the report,” he said. “We are very conscious of the fact that the need of the hour is reconciliation. Does [the report] further that objective, or does it make the accomplishment of that objective more difficult than it needs to be?” The panel also criticised UN bodies and international officials for not acting to protect civilian lives and not publicising casualty figures to show the human toll of the war. The Tamil Tigers fought for 26 years to create an independent state for Sri Lanka’s ethnic minority Tamils. The Sinhalese majority controls the government and armed forces. The UN says that between 80,000 and 100,000 people died during fighting. Sri Lanka United Nations Tamil Tigers Barry Neild guardian.co.uk
Continue reading …It’s hard to cut a dash on the veg patch, writes Jane Perrone Take off your coat, take off your boot, Take off your woolly hat, your boiler suit… These lyrics from the song ‘Bag Lady’ by comedian Rich Hall sum up how I dress for working in the garden. While other women seem to look effortlessly chic while tending their plots (I am thinking of Michelle Obama, Carol Klein, Rachel de Thame, to name a few), I start the day by stumbling out the back door in ill-fitting cords and a shapeless sweater, and end it looking as if I have been dragged through a hedge backwards: not so much shabby chic as just plain shabby.* I realised quite how far from fashionable I’d become when I started mulling boiler suit options on the web as a viable alternative outfit for those sessions turning the compost heap. I console myself with the fact that no one barring my family sees me pottering about in the veg patch with wild hair and mismatching gloves, but what about when I’m working in my front garden, or even up on my new green roof ? Not a big problem, the neighbours probablyl already think I am bonkers. But now I’ve agreed to let photographer Paul Debois take my photograph for a series he’s doing on women garden writers. Panic. So I need help, people. What do you wear in the garden that’s comfortable, practical and effortlessly cool? Or should I continue to channel the ‘Bag Lady’ look and have done with it? Let me know what you’re mowing the lawn in these days: even better if you can supply a picture to our Flickr feed . *I should say that I did try to find a picture of myself dressed for gardening to add to this post, but of the only two I could find, one was so blurry as to be unusable and the other only showed my muddy boots. Clearly I have an inbuilt desire to avoid being captured on film looking like a tramp. Gardens Jane Perrone guardian.co.uk
Continue reading …The Guardian cartoonist visits a Stoke-on-Trent ceramics factory to see his contribution to the ‘royal junk’ industry being made Steve Bell Alex Healey
Continue reading …Doesn’t the universities minister know anything about economics? For most of the past week, one question more than any other has been rattling round my head: is David Willetts a bit thick? Please understand my reservations in asking this. As a good Indian boy brought up to respect elders, such intergenerational impertinence doesn’t come readily. And besides, Willetts is about as high-grade an intellect as Westminster has got: he writes books of political theory; he gives lectures on neuroscience; he even understands the benefits system, for heaven’s sake. Put down Two Brains as slow off the mark, and another question soon follows: just what term do you dream up for Nicholas Soames? But as universities minister, Willetts is the man in charge of introducing higher tuition fees. Faced with this delicate task, he has got his predictions, his proclamations and his maths badly wrong. That much was made clear last week, when universities submitted their proposed course levies – and Guardian research showed that almost three-quarters of English universities plan to charge the top whack of £9,000 a year for at least some subjects. Exactly the opposite of what the government promised. Now, this isn’t a general argument about how to fund higher education – we can have that out another time. For the next few minutes let’s just take for granted the fact that tuition fees are going to rise from their current level of just below £3,500. And that the government will slash university funding. Oh, and that it’s going to be really tough for school-leavers to find jobs over the next few years, which will just pile the pressure on degree-course places. Any minister working within those constraints would have struggled. But a result would have been if the 123 English universities had announced a range of fees, giving prospective students and their families some measure of choice: £9,000 a year to don sub-fusc at some grandly quandrangled Oxbridge college, say; £7,500 to study economics at a Victorian redbrick; and £3,800 for an arts degree somewhere relatively new and breeze-blocked. This was pretty much what Willetts promised – a smooth transition from the Soviet economics of higher education to a free-market nirvana. Had the reality conformed to rhetoric he could have boasted of a giant leap towards introducing a proper market in undergraduate education, where prices for degree courses reflect how much it cost to put them on and the income graduates can expect to see in return. You pays your money, and you takes your choice, Willetts could have said at that point. Although, being Willetts, he’d probably have said it in Latin. Instead, we’ve got massive confusion. Oxford has said it will charge the full £9,000 – but so too will the University of East London, for all of its courses. London Met, University of Central Lancashire, Liverpool John Moore’s: all of them will be £9k universities. Had Willetts been a bit smarter and applied just a couple of insights from economics, he could have avoided this – and the costly turmoil that will surely come next. What are they? The first is on something economists called anchoring. Even before the tuition fees vote at the end of last year, government ministers talked of fees of £9,000 a year. That figure is the one that has stuck in people’s minds – which anchors the expectations of university bureaucrats and students’ families alike. You don’t need to be an economist to know about anchoring; you just need to have gone shopping. I’m not asking for £30, a market stallholder will say, holding aloft some Chinese-made electronic good – but that is the figure he wants you to bear in mind. The other basic insight the universities minister ought to have borne in mind is that customers often deduce the quality of a product from its price. Want a machine to make popcorn? Researchers have shown that customers think the costlier poppers must be better – even when objective testers have shown the opposite. As marketing professor Akshay Rao put it in a 2005 paper: “Consumers consciously [choose] to rely on the price cue to make quality judgments, because such a process [is] cognitively efficient.” When you don’t know how to choose between the goods in front of you, going by price is as good a guide as any. Now apply these two insights to a world in which university officials suddenly have to set their own prices for courses. Nine thousand pounds is the figure everyone is talking about and each institution needs to show that it is a competitive choice. So what do they do? Why, cluster around the £9k mark. None of this is to excuse universities from kidding themselves that they’re all the same rank. But it is to hold the government responsible for not having smoothed out the process, or prevented the pandemonium that will come . As Peter Dolton, an education economist at Royal Holloway University of London, puts it: “Don’t underestimate the chaos there’ll be over the next year or two.” He predicts that there will be a slump in demand for the bottom-ranking 20 or 30 institutions, which will lead to them suffering “severe financial difficulties”. So, let’s go back to the original question: is the man in charge of making these changes a bit daft? I would say that anyone who ignored such rudimentary economic insights must be a bit thick. Either that or he’s tried to be too clever by half, which – when you’re dealing with lots of people trying to make tough decisions – usually has the same disastrous effect. University administration Higher education Tuition fees Students Aditya Chakrabortty guardian.co.uk
Continue reading …Child suffered bite wounds to her legs after attack on Fraser Island in Queensland Two dingoes have been caught and destroyed after they mauled a three-year-old girl on an Australian beach, officials said. The girl suffered bites to her legs when the wild dogs attacked her on Monday after she wandered away from her family and into sand dunes on Fraser Island in north-eastern Queensland state. Two dogs blamed for the attack were trapped on Tuesday and put down humanely, environment department general manager Terry Harper said. More than 200 dingoes live on Fraser Island, a popular tourist spot about 155 miles (250km) north of Brisbane. Fraser Island is thought to be among the last refuges for purebred dingoes, and they are a protected species in the national park that covers the island. Dingoes are also protected in some other parts of Australia, though in many places dingoes that have crossbred with feral dogs are killed as pests because they attack sheep and cattle. The child was lucky to escape with “only” bite wounds, according to the Sydney Morning Herald . Although attacks on humans are relatively rare, visitors to Fraser Island are warned not to feed the dingoes and to leave the animals alone. “This is a very timely reminder for everybody about how important it is to stay very close to your children on Fraser Island,” Harper said. “Adults should always stay very close to their children. We know that [children] do excite dingoes.” A nine-year-old boy was killed by dingoes on Fraser Island in 2001, prompting the culling of more than two dozen dogs and an overhaul of conservation practices, including warnings about human interaction with the animals. The most famous dingo attack in Australia was in 1980, when Lindy Chamberlain reported seeing a dog carry her infant daughter, Azaria, away from a tent during a camping trip to Uluru (formerly known as Ayers Rock). Chamberlain was tried for murder before a series of appeals and judicial inquiries exonerated her and found the dingo claims to be true . Her child’s body was never found. The story was made into the 1988 film A Cry in the Dark, which earned Meryl Streep an Oscar nomination. Animals Australia Wildlife Endangered species Conservation guardian.co.uk
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