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Don't look now, that tidal wave might be a drop in the bucket instead. On her MSNBC show Monday, Rachel Maddow cited a trio of reports warning of massive job losses if $61 billion in Republican-pushed spending cuts take effect. The Economic Policy Institute, which Maddow described as a “liberal group,” predicts the GOP budget plan “would likely result in job losses of just over 800,000. A confidential new report” from Goldman Sachs says spending cuts passed in the House “would be a drag on the economy, cutting growth by about two percent of GDP, according to Jonathan Karl at ABC News, the source cited by Maddow. The third warning along these lines came from McCain '08 campaign adviser Mark Zandi, writing at Moody's Analytics, that the Republicans' proposal “would mean some 400,000 fewer jobs created by the end of 2011 … and 700,000 fewer jobs by the end of 2012.” [Video below page break] Wow — all that by cutting a $61-billion sliver from a $3.7 trillion behemoth? Well, maybe not, according to Maddow's next guest, Cornell University economics professor Robert Frank — MADDOW: The Republicans in the House have proposed about $61 billion worth of spending cuts. As you say, the deficit is not a made-up problem. It is worth thinking about that for the long run. Would the kinds of cuts that the Republicans are proposing have a significant impact on the deficit? FRANK: No, that's the sad thing. The non-partisan Congressional Budget Office projects that over the next four years, we're going to add $3.8 trillion to the deficit. These $61 billion in cuts are just a drop in the bucket. This is where Maddow should have asked for clarification, given the claims of huge job losses she had previously cited, but she did not. As to be expected, Maddow was also incurious about Goldman Sachs as the source of one of these reports and the curiously timed release to its “clients”. This editorial at Investor's Business Daily criticized what it saw as “Goldman Sachs' Suspicious Call” and why the report should be viewed with skepticism — The revolving door between Goldman and government is well-known. An investigative report last year by CBS News counted “at least four dozen former employees, lobbyists or advisers at the highest reaches of power both in Washington and around the world.” They include former Treasury Secretary Henry Paulson, who crafted the stimulus plan and Wall Street bailouts; former Democratic House Majority Leader Dick Gephardt; and former SEC head Arthur Levitt, who as of last year was a paid lobbyist for Goldman. No surprise, then, that Goldman Sachs would see even the modest cuts proposed by the GOP as a danger to the economy. With its shifting business ties to government, the cuts would certainly be a danger to them. Also noteworthy was Maddow's claim, based on Jonathan Karl's reporting at The Note, that the Goldman report states GOP spending cuts would reduce economic growth “by about two percent of GDP.” But this wasn't what the report warns, as excerpted by Karl. (And finding the report in its entirety online proved oddly elusive). Instead, the report says the GOP spending plan would result in a “drag on GDP growth” in the second and third quarters this year of “1.5pp to 2pp” — percentage points, not percent. The Goldman report, at least in the sections excerpted by Karl, did not make projections for GDP growth. But assuming a rate of 3 percent, a reduction in 1.5 pp would mean growth was cut in half, not 2 percent. Presumably Maddow is aware of this, however, since earlier in her report she mentioned GDP growth for the last quarter of 2010 being adjusted downward “half a point.”

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Egypt’s revolution has been 10 years in the making | Hossam el-Hamalawy

Hosni Mubarak’s wall of fear began to crumble once people were able to see that others shared their desire for liberation In the 1990s, one could only whisper Hosni Mubarak’s name. Political talk or jokes were avoided in phone calls. This year, millions of Egyptians fought for 18 days against their ageing tyrant, braving the police troops firing teargas, rubber bullets and live ammunition. People in Egypt have lost their fear, but it did not happen overnight. The Egyptian revolution, rather than coming out of the blue on 25 January 2011 , is a result of a process that has been brewing over the previous decade – a chain reaction to the autumn 2000 protests in solidarity with the Palestinian intifada. Mubarak’s iron-fist rule and the outbreak of the dirty war between the regime and Islamist militants in the 1990s meant the death of street dissent. Public gatherings and street protests were banned and if they did take place, confronted by force. Live ammunition was used on strikers. Trade unions were put under government control. Only after the Palestinian intifada broke out in September 2000 did tens of thousands of Egyptians take to the streets in protest – probably for the first time since 1977. Although those demonstrations were in solidarity with the Palestinians, they soon gained an anti-regime dimension, and police showed up to quell the peaceful protests. The president, however, remained a taboo subject, and I rarely heard anti-Mubarak chants. I recall the first time I heard protesters en masse chanting against the president in April 2002, during the pro-Palestinian riots around Cairo University. Battling the notorious central security forces, protesters were chanting in Arabic: “Hosni Mubarak is just like [Ariel] Sharon.” The anger was to explode on an even larger scale with the outbreak of the war on Iraq in March 2003 . More than 30,000 Egyptians fought the police in downtown Cairo, briefly taking over Tahrir Square, and burning down Mubarak’s billboard. The scenes aired by al-Jazeera and other satellite networks of the Palestinian revolt or the US-led onslaught on Iraq inspired activists across Egypt to pull down the wall of fear brick by brick. It was in 2004 that pro-Palestinian and anti-war campaigners launched the Kefaya movement , which took on the president and his family. Though it failed to create a mass following among the working class and the urban poor, Kefaya’s use of both social and mainstream media helped shift the political culture in the country. Millions of Egyptians, while sitting at home, could watch those daring young activists in downtown Cairo mocking the president, raising banners with slogans that were unimaginable a decade before. In December 2006, workers at the biggest textile mill in the Middle East, located in the Nile delta town of Mahalla, went on strike . The action followed two decades of a lull in the industrial struggle, caused by repression and by an aggressive neoliberal programme that had the blessing of the IMF and the World Bank. Following their victory, which received widespread media coverage, a wave of strikes engulfed the textile sector, with workers in other mills demanding the same gains as those of Mahalla. The industrial militancy was soon to spill over into other sectors of the economy. Images of the strikes, aired via both social and mainstream media, meant millions of workers could gradually overcome their fears, and organise protests inspired by news of victories of strikes in other sectors. As a journalist covering the strike wave in 2007, I frequently heard from strikers: “We were encouraged to move after we heard of Mahalla.” Though scoffed at by some as only economic, the strike wave was political in essence . In April 2008, a mini revolt took place in the city of Mahalla over the price of bread. Security forces put down the uprising in two days, leaving at least three dead and hundreds detained and tortured. The scenes from what became known as the “Mahalla intifada” could have constituted a dress rehearsal for what happened in 2011, with protesters taking down Mubarak’s posters, battling the police troops in the streets, and challenging the symbols of the much-hated National Democratic party. Soon after, a similar revolt took place in the city of el-Borollos , north of the Nile delta. Though these uprisings were quelled, the country continued to witness almost on a daily basis strikes and sit-ins by workers, and smaller demonstrations by activists in downtown Cairo and the provinces. Protesting workers in the spring and winter of 2010 occupied the area around parliament, in what local columnists described as a “Cairo Hyde Park”. Those daily economic and political struggles against the state meant the legitimacy of Mubarak’s regime was rapidly eroding, if it ever really existed. By October 2010, there was definitely something in the air . It became normal to bump into a strike here or there while heading to work. Civil servants heading home from the office would pass by activists holding small protests in downtown Cairo. They looked, and very occasionally reacted. But they were witnessing visual displays of daily dissent . Tunisia then went through its own revolt, overthrew a tyrant, and, more importantly, the revolution was televised to millions of viewers in Egypt and elsewhere, largely via al-Jazeera again. This was only one of many catalysts – daily incidents of police brutality provided many others. The uprising that started on 25 January 2011 was the result of a long process in which the wall of fear fell, bit by bit. The key to it all was that the actions on the ground were visually transmitted to the widest possible audience. Nothing aids the erosion of one’s fear more than knowing there are others, somewhere else, who share the same desire for liberation – and have started taking action. Egypt Middle East Hosni Mubarak Protest Arab and Middle East protests Hossam el-Hamalawy guardian.co.uk

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As Mike Tobin whines to O’Reilly about mean Wisconsin protesters, Fox runs footage from other union protests

Click here to view this media I received several emails last night about this clip from O’Reilly’s show which had on FOX reporter Mike Tobin, who has been claiming he was punched by union protesters. It looks like he was fibbing about it, which is bad enough — it’s clear this is yet another case of fake right-wing victimhood like Kenneth Gladney. ( Eric Boehlert has more. ) But on Monday night, Bill was trying to find out who these violent protesters were and where they came from and asked Tobin to supply the answers. You’d expect to see the bad weather of Wisconsin in the background as they ran their ‘union protest’ footage behind Tobin, right? Wrong. Think Progress : O’Reilly sent his ambush goon Jesse Watters out to badger people protesting Fox outside their studios in New York. On Monday during an interview with Fox News’ Mike Tobin, who is reporting from Wisconsin, O’Reilly was at it again, calling chants that “Fox lies” from pro-union demonstrators “some kind of organized deal.” But during the interview, Fox aired b-roll of some unknown protest that contained physical confrontations among demonstrators and simply labeled it “union protests,” as if it was coming out of Wisconsin. Update: The footage Fox aired during O’Reilly’s discussion of the Wisconsin demonstrations appears to have come from a union rally in Sacramento, CA last week. Digby writes: What’s wrong with this picture? If you guessed the snowless ground and palm trees in Wisconsin you win a big prize. Your sanity. It just galls them that the Tea Party rallies were so out of control and produced insane signs and wackaloons saying racist things on a consistent level, while in contrast the WI protests have been orderly, supported by the police and have featured impeccably crafted signs. I think it also galls them that the protesters’ chant: “Fox News Lies!” is hitting home, where it hurts. As the truth tends to do. This is what’s known as perpetrating a News Distortion on viewers and is strictly forbidden by the FCC. Fox News has done this type of distortion previously and I filed a complaint with the FCC and documented what they had done here. Where to go to file a complaint : News Distortion . The Commission often receives complaints concerning broadcast journalism, such as allegations that stations have aired inaccurate or one-sided news reports or comments, covered stories inadequately, or overly dramatized the events that they cover. For the reasons noted above, the Commission generally will not intervene in such cases because it would be inconsistent with the First Amendment to replace the journalistic judgment of licensees with our own. However, as public trustees, broadcast licensees may not intentionally distort the news: the FCC has stated that “rigging or slanting the news is a most heinous act against the public interest.” The Commission will investigate a station for news distortion if it receives documented evidence of such rigging or slanting, such as testimony or other documentation, from individuals with direct personal knowledge that a licensee or its management engaged in the intentional falsification of the news. Of particular concern would be evidence of the direction to employees from station management to falsify the news. However, absent such a compelling showing, the Commission will not intervene. For additional information about news distortion, see http://www.fcc.gov/cgb/consumerfacts/journalism.html . Please submit a complain t against FOX News and The O’Reilly Factor I’d also call into FOX News and ask them to stop distorting the news. Address: News Corporation 1211 Avenue of the Americas New York, NY 10036 Phone: (212) 852-7017 Fax: (212) 852-7145

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As Mike Tobin whines to O’Reilly about mean Wisconsin protesters, Fox runs footage from other union protests

Click here to view this media I received several emails last night about this clip from O’Reilly’s show which had on FOX reporter Mike Tobin, who has been claiming he was punched by union protesters. It looks like he was fibbing about it, which is bad enough — it’s clear this is yet another case of fake right-wing victimhood like Kenneth Gladney. ( Eric Boehlert has more. ) But on Monday night, Bill was trying to find out who these violent protesters were and where they came from and asked Tobin to supply the answers. You’d expect to see the bad weather of Wisconsin in the background as they ran their ‘union protest’ footage behind Tobin, right? Wrong. Think Progress : O’Reilly sent his ambush goon Jesse Watters out to badger people protesting Fox outside their studios in New York. On Monday during an interview with Fox News’ Mike Tobin, who is reporting from Wisconsin, O’Reilly was at it again, calling chants that “Fox lies” from pro-union demonstrators “some kind of organized deal.” But during the interview, Fox aired b-roll of some unknown protest that contained physical confrontations among demonstrators and simply labeled it “union protests,” as if it was coming out of Wisconsin. Update: The footage Fox aired during O’Reilly’s discussion of the Wisconsin demonstrations appears to have come from a union rally in Sacramento, CA last week. Digby writes: What’s wrong with this picture? If you guessed the snowless ground and palm trees in Wisconsin you win a big prize. Your sanity. It just galls them that the Tea Party rallies were so out of control and produced insane signs and wackaloons saying racist things on a consistent level, while in contrast the WI protests have been orderly, supported by the police and have featured impeccably crafted signs. I think it also galls them that the protesters’ chant: “Fox News Lies!” is hitting home, where it hurts. As the truth tends to do. This is what’s known as perpetrating a News Distortion on viewers and is strictly forbidden by the FCC. Fox News has done this type of distortion previously and I filed a complaint with the FCC and documented what they had done here. Where to go to file a complaint : News Distortion . The Commission often receives complaints concerning broadcast journalism, such as allegations that stations have aired inaccurate or one-sided news reports or comments, covered stories inadequately, or overly dramatized the events that they cover. For the reasons noted above, the Commission generally will not intervene in such cases because it would be inconsistent with the First Amendment to replace the journalistic judgment of licensees with our own. However, as public trustees, broadcast licensees may not intentionally distort the news: the FCC has stated that “rigging or slanting the news is a most heinous act against the public interest.” The Commission will investigate a station for news distortion if it receives documented evidence of such rigging or slanting, such as testimony or other documentation, from individuals with direct personal knowledge that a licensee or its management engaged in the intentional falsification of the news. Of particular concern would be evidence of the direction to employees from station management to falsify the news. However, absent such a compelling showing, the Commission will not intervene. For additional information about news distortion, see http://www.fcc.gov/cgb/consumerfacts/journalism.html . Please submit a complain t against FOX News and The O’Reilly Factor I’d also call into FOX News and ask them to stop distorting the news. Address: News Corporation 1211 Avenue of the Americas New York, NY 10036 Phone: (212) 852-7017 Fax: (212) 852-7145

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A wide-eyed Megyn Kelly is wowed by sketchy Moonie Times report blaming ’08 economic crisis on (Chinese?) terrorists

Click here to view this media Probably the greatest blunder of the Obama White House over the past two years has been its abject failure to make certain the public understood that it was conservative misgovernance that was at the root of the great economic meltdown of 2008 — especially because it was that very downturn that propelled him into office. That failure has functionally given conservatives — the architects of the disaster — the ability to cover their tracks by erecting a narrative in which the blame was instead laid at the doorstep of Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac and minority-lending programs. And that narrative is now widely believed by over half the country. Now the Washington Times is trying to muddy the water even further, running a bizarre and thinly sourced piece claiming that perhaps terrorism — maybe even Chinese terrorists, colluding with radical Islamists, perhaps? — were actually behind the meltdown. Here’s the piece. Evidence outlined in a Pentagon contractor report suggests that financial subversion carried out by unknown parties, such as terrorists or hostile nations, contributed to the 2008 economic crash by covertly using vulnerabilities in the U.S. financial system. The unclassified 2009 report “Economic Warfare: Risks and Responses” by financial analyst Kevin D. Freeman, a copy of which was obtained by The Washington Times, states that “a three-phased attack was planned and is in the process against the United States economy.” But as you can see from reading the piece, Freeman presents no evidence other than the economic catastrophes themselves that these were terrorist attacks. Indeed, it’s nothing but unadulterated wild speculation from start to finish. Nonetheless, Megyn Kelly invited Freeman onto her Fox News yesterday and treated it as if it were potentially the biggest story in the whole wide world. She was duly wowed — even though, as you can see, Freeman couldn’t even tell her whether these were Chinese terrorists or Islamic radicals, or mebbe they were working in collusion! (As if!) No wonder everyone involved in analyzing the markets is pretty much laughing at Freeman and the reporters who gobbled up this nonsense so gullibly. Then, of course, Kelly capped it all off with the classic “minority lending programs did it” narrative as the safe story everyone believes: KELLY: But how could they have done it? Because, you know, I think the conventional wisdom in this country is, uh, you know, you had Fannie and Freddie giving out tons of mortgages that never should have been given out, then you had the Wall Street folks trading these so-called credit default swaps, basically doubling down on the bad investments, and ultimately things just started to implode in a way where, you know, we had to step in, the government bailed out those banks, and we all know the history that happened after there. That’s a pretty remarkably dense thicket of lies that have little or no relationship to reality whatsoever. Let’s try to unpack it a little: — Fannie and Freddie’s role in the economic crash was so minor as to be nearly farcical. As McClatchy explained at the time : As the economy worsens and Election Day approaches, a conservative campaign that blames the global financial crisis on a government push to make housing more affordable to lower-class Americans has taken off on talk radio and e-mail. Commentators say that’s what triggered the stock market meltdown and the freeze on credit. They’ve specifically targeted the mortgage finance giants Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac, which the federal government seized on Sept. 6, contending that lending to poor and minority Americans caused Fannie’s and Freddie’s financial problems. Federal housing data reveal that the charges aren’t true, and that the private sector, not the government or government-backed companies, was behind the soaring subprime lending at the core of the crisis. Subprime lending offered high-cost loans to the weakest borrowers during the housing boom that lasted from 2001 to 2007. Subprime lending was at its height from 2004 to 2006. Federal Reserve Board data show that: * More than 84 percent of the subprime mortgages in 2006 were issued by private lending institutions. * Private firms made nearly 83 percent of the subprime loans to low- and moderate-income borrowers that year. * Only one of the top 25 subprime lenders in 2006 was directly subject to the housing law that’s being lambasted by conservative critics. The “turmoil in financial markets clearly was triggered by a dramatic weakening of underwriting standards for U.S. subprime mortgages, beginning in late 2004 and extending into 2007,” the President’s Working Group on Financial Markets reported Friday. Conservative critics claim that the Clinton administration pushed Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac to make home ownership more available to riskier borrowers with little concern for their ability to pay the mortgages. “I don’t remember a clarion call that said Fannie and Freddie are a disaster. Loaning to minorities and risky folks is a disaster,” said Neil Cavuto of Fox News. Fannie, the Federal National Mortgage Association, and Freddie, the Federal Home Loan Mortgage Corp., don’t lend money, to minorities or anyone else, however. They purchase loans from the private lenders who actually underwrite the loans. It’s a process called securitization, and by passing on the loans, banks have more capital on hand so they can lend even more. This much is true. In an effort to promote affordable home ownership for minorities and rural whites, the Department of Housing and Urban Development set targets for Fannie and Freddie in 1992 to purchase low-income loans for sale into the secondary market that eventually reached this number: 52 percent of loans given to low-to moderate-income families. To be sure, encouraging lower-income Americans to become homeowners gave unsophisticated borrowers and unscrupulous lenders and mortgage brokers more chances to turn dreams of homeownership in nightmares. But these loans, and those to low- and moderate-income families represent a small portion of overall lending. And at the height of the housing boom in 2005 and 2006, Republicans and their party’s standard bearer, President Bush, didn’t criticize any sort of lending, frequently boasting that they were presiding over the highest-ever rates of U.S. homeownership. The “Fannie and Freddie did it” narrative has been ridiculed from a number of market and economic experts. As Barry Riholtz put it: Some people (especially the political hacks) are focusing their energies in the wrong places. According to a recent investigation by Barron’s, Fannie’s biggest problem was not the subprime mortgages they bought — it was the better quality Alt A mortgages that caused their demise … The folks who want to place the entire crisis at FNM/FRE ‘s doorstep miss the point — and let me hasten to add that I was never a fan of the company, and we were short FNM from over a year ago, at $42+ — these people seem to miss all of the big picture issues, and are focsing on minor factor and outright irrelevancies. … While I understand that reducing the complexities of economic history into bumper sticker phrases is politically expedient, it does not help us understand the root cause of the problems. And, it gets in the way of helping us fashion a solution for the future. Hence, why I hold the weasels who are attempting to obscure reality and rewrite history in such disdain. For the non-partisan, non hacks amongst you, for the policy makers and academics and economists who are truly interested in how this came to pass, and what we can do to fix it, the bottom line remains: The CRA was irrelevant to the current crisis, and Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac were mere cogs in a very complex financial machine, with many moving parts. But the primary cause of the mess? Not even close . . . Ritholtz — like hundreds of other economists and market experts who understand what happened — says the primary cause, in fact, were “a nonfeasant Fed, that ignored lending standards, and ultra-low rates.” This nonfeasance under Greenspan allowed banks, thrifts, and mortgage originators to engage in all manner of lending standard abrogations. We have detailed many times the I/O, 2/28, Piggy back, and Ninja type loans here. These never should have been permitted to proliferate the way they did. The fact that they did proliferate as they did, in fact, can be laid directly at the doorstep of conservative ideologues, whose mania for deregulation — particularly in the financial-services sector — is what led directly to the policies creating, condoning and even encouraging such dubious financial instruments. Though one might argue, in fact, that this kind of depredation committed by the oligarchical class, with working-class people taking the hit, and with little if any consequence whatsoever to the wealthy, is a kind of terrorism — economic terrorism against working Americans. But don’t expect the experts and anchors at Fox News to ever let you hear that. — Oh, and about those bailouts: Not only were they a success, they also wound up being a lot cheaper than everyone expected. That seems to be a bit of the “history” that never makes it onto Fox News, either.

Continue reading …
A wide-eyed Megyn Kelly is wowed by sketchy Moonie Times report blaming ’08 economic crisis on (Chinese?) terrorists

Click here to view this media Probably the greatest blunder of the Obama White House over the past two years has been its abject failure to make certain the public understood that it was conservative misgovernance that was at the root of the great economic meltdown of 2008 — especially because it was that very downturn that propelled him into office. That failure has functionally given conservatives — the architects of the disaster — the ability to cover their tracks by erecting a narrative in which the blame was instead laid at the doorstep of Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac and minority-lending programs. And that narrative is now widely believed by over half the country. Now the Washington Times is trying to muddy the water even further, running a bizarre and thinly sourced piece claiming that perhaps terrorism — maybe even Chinese terrorists, colluding with radical Islamists, perhaps? — were actually behind the meltdown. Here’s the piece. Evidence outlined in a Pentagon contractor report suggests that financial subversion carried out by unknown parties, such as terrorists or hostile nations, contributed to the 2008 economic crash by covertly using vulnerabilities in the U.S. financial system. The unclassified 2009 report “Economic Warfare: Risks and Responses” by financial analyst Kevin D. Freeman, a copy of which was obtained by The Washington Times, states that “a three-phased attack was planned and is in the process against the United States economy.” But as you can see from reading the piece, Freeman presents no evidence other than the economic catastrophes themselves that these were terrorist attacks. Indeed, it’s nothing but unadulterated wild speculation from start to finish. Nonetheless, Megyn Kelly invited Freeman onto her Fox News yesterday and treated it as if it were potentially the biggest story in the whole wide world. She was duly wowed — even though, as you can see, Freeman couldn’t even tell her whether these were Chinese terrorists or Islamic radicals, or mebbe they were working in collusion! (As if!) No wonder everyone involved in analyzing the markets is pretty much laughing at Freeman and the reporters who gobbled up this nonsense so gullibly. Then, of course, Kelly capped it all off with the classic “minority lending programs did it” narrative as the safe story everyone believes: KELLY: But how could they have done it? Because, you know, I think the conventional wisdom in this country is, uh, you know, you had Fannie and Freddie giving out tons of mortgages that never should have been given out, then you had the Wall Street folks trading these so-called credit default swaps, basically doubling down on the bad investments, and ultimately things just started to implode in a way where, you know, we had to step in, the government bailed out those banks, and we all know the history that happened after there. That’s a pretty remarkably dense thicket of lies that have little or no relationship to reality whatsoever. Let’s try to unpack it a little: — Fannie and Freddie’s role in the economic crash was so minor as to be nearly farcical. As McClatchy explained at the time : As the economy worsens and Election Day approaches, a conservative campaign that blames the global financial crisis on a government push to make housing more affordable to lower-class Americans has taken off on talk radio and e-mail. Commentators say that’s what triggered the stock market meltdown and the freeze on credit. They’ve specifically targeted the mortgage finance giants Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac, which the federal government seized on Sept. 6, contending that lending to poor and minority Americans caused Fannie’s and Freddie’s financial problems. Federal housing data reveal that the charges aren’t true, and that the private sector, not the government or government-backed companies, was behind the soaring subprime lending at the core of the crisis. Subprime lending offered high-cost loans to the weakest borrowers during the housing boom that lasted from 2001 to 2007. Subprime lending was at its height from 2004 to 2006. Federal Reserve Board data show that: * More than 84 percent of the subprime mortgages in 2006 were issued by private lending institutions. * Private firms made nearly 83 percent of the subprime loans to low- and moderate-income borrowers that year. * Only one of the top 25 subprime lenders in 2006 was directly subject to the housing law that’s being lambasted by conservative critics. The “turmoil in financial markets clearly was triggered by a dramatic weakening of underwriting standards for U.S. subprime mortgages, beginning in late 2004 and extending into 2007,” the President’s Working Group on Financial Markets reported Friday. Conservative critics claim that the Clinton administration pushed Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac to make home ownership more available to riskier borrowers with little concern for their ability to pay the mortgages. “I don’t remember a clarion call that said Fannie and Freddie are a disaster. Loaning to minorities and risky folks is a disaster,” said Neil Cavuto of Fox News. Fannie, the Federal National Mortgage Association, and Freddie, the Federal Home Loan Mortgage Corp., don’t lend money, to minorities or anyone else, however. They purchase loans from the private lenders who actually underwrite the loans. It’s a process called securitization, and by passing on the loans, banks have more capital on hand so they can lend even more. This much is true. In an effort to promote affordable home ownership for minorities and rural whites, the Department of Housing and Urban Development set targets for Fannie and Freddie in 1992 to purchase low-income loans for sale into the secondary market that eventually reached this number: 52 percent of loans given to low-to moderate-income families. To be sure, encouraging lower-income Americans to become homeowners gave unsophisticated borrowers and unscrupulous lenders and mortgage brokers more chances to turn dreams of homeownership in nightmares. But these loans, and those to low- and moderate-income families represent a small portion of overall lending. And at the height of the housing boom in 2005 and 2006, Republicans and their party’s standard bearer, President Bush, didn’t criticize any sort of lending, frequently boasting that they were presiding over the highest-ever rates of U.S. homeownership. The “Fannie and Freddie did it” narrative has been ridiculed from a number of market and economic experts. As Barry Riholtz put it: Some people (especially the political hacks) are focusing their energies in the wrong places. According to a recent investigation by Barron’s, Fannie’s biggest problem was not the subprime mortgages they bought — it was the better quality Alt A mortgages that caused their demise … The folks who want to place the entire crisis at FNM/FRE ‘s doorstep miss the point — and let me hasten to add that I was never a fan of the company, and we were short FNM from over a year ago, at $42+ — these people seem to miss all of the big picture issues, and are focsing on minor factor and outright irrelevancies. … While I understand that reducing the complexities of economic history into bumper sticker phrases is politically expedient, it does not help us understand the root cause of the problems. And, it gets in the way of helping us fashion a solution for the future. Hence, why I hold the weasels who are attempting to obscure reality and rewrite history in such disdain. For the non-partisan, non hacks amongst you, for the policy makers and academics and economists who are truly interested in how this came to pass, and what we can do to fix it, the bottom line remains: The CRA was irrelevant to the current crisis, and Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac were mere cogs in a very complex financial machine, with many moving parts. But the primary cause of the mess? Not even close . . . Ritholtz — like hundreds of other economists and market experts who understand what happened — says the primary cause, in fact, were “a nonfeasant Fed, that ignored lending standards, and ultra-low rates.” This nonfeasance under Greenspan allowed banks, thrifts, and mortgage originators to engage in all manner of lending standard abrogations. We have detailed many times the I/O, 2/28, Piggy back, and Ninja type loans here. These never should have been permitted to proliferate the way they did. The fact that they did proliferate as they did, in fact, can be laid directly at the doorstep of conservative ideologues, whose mania for deregulation — particularly in the financial-services sector — is what led directly to the policies creating, condoning and even encouraging such dubious financial instruments. Though one might argue, in fact, that this kind of depredation committed by the oligarchical class, with working-class people taking the hit, and with little if any consequence whatsoever to the wealthy, is a kind of terrorism — economic terrorism against working Americans. But don’t expect the experts and anchors at Fox News to ever let you hear that. — Oh, and about those bailouts: Not only were they a success, they also wound up being a lot cheaper than everyone expected. That seems to be a bit of the “history” that never makes it onto Fox News, either.

Continue reading …
A wide-eyed Megyn Kelly is wowed by sketchy Moonie Times report blaming ’08 economic crisis on (Chinese?) terrorists

Click here to view this media Probably the greatest blunder of the Obama White House over the past two years has been its abject failure to make certain the public understood that it was conservative misgovernance that was at the root of the great economic meltdown of 2008 — especially because it was that very downturn that propelled him into office. That failure has functionally given conservatives — the architects of the disaster — the ability to cover their tracks by erecting a narrative in which the blame was instead laid at the doorstep of Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac and minority-lending programs. And that narrative is now widely believed by over half the country. Now the Washington Times is trying to muddy the water even further, running a bizarre and thinly sourced piece claiming that perhaps terrorism — maybe even Chinese terrorists, colluding with radical Islamists, perhaps? — were actually behind the meltdown. Here’s the piece. Evidence outlined in a Pentagon contractor report suggests that financial subversion carried out by unknown parties, such as terrorists or hostile nations, contributed to the 2008 economic crash by covertly using vulnerabilities in the U.S. financial system. The unclassified 2009 report “Economic Warfare: Risks and Responses” by financial analyst Kevin D. Freeman, a copy of which was obtained by The Washington Times, states that “a three-phased attack was planned and is in the process against the United States economy.” But as you can see from reading the piece, Freeman presents no evidence other than the economic catastrophes themselves that these were terrorist attacks. Indeed, it’s nothing but unadulterated wild speculation from start to finish. Nonetheless, Megyn Kelly invited Freeman onto her Fox News yesterday and treated it as if it were potentially the biggest story in the whole wide world. She was duly wowed — even though, as you can see, Freeman couldn’t even tell her whether these were Chinese terrorists or Islamic radicals, or mebbe they were working in collusion! (As if!) No wonder everyone involved in analyzing the markets is pretty much laughing at Freeman and the reporters who gobbled up this nonsense so gullibly. Then, of course, Kelly capped it all off with the classic “minority lending programs did it” narrative as the safe story everyone believes: KELLY: But how could they have done it? Because, you know, I think the conventional wisdom in this country is, uh, you know, you had Fannie and Freddie giving out tons of mortgages that never should have been given out, then you had the Wall Street folks trading these so-called credit default swaps, basically doubling down on the bad investments, and ultimately things just started to implode in a way where, you know, we had to step in, the government bailed out those banks, and we all know the history that happened after there. That’s a pretty remarkably dense thicket of lies that have little or no relationship to reality whatsoever. Let’s try to unpack it a little: — Fannie and Freddie’s role in the economic crash was so minor as to be nearly farcical. As McClatchy explained at the time : As the economy worsens and Election Day approaches, a conservative campaign that blames the global financial crisis on a government push to make housing more affordable to lower-class Americans has taken off on talk radio and e-mail. Commentators say that’s what triggered the stock market meltdown and the freeze on credit. They’ve specifically targeted the mortgage finance giants Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac, which the federal government seized on Sept. 6, contending that lending to poor and minority Americans caused Fannie’s and Freddie’s financial problems. Federal housing data reveal that the charges aren’t true, and that the private sector, not the government or government-backed companies, was behind the soaring subprime lending at the core of the crisis. Subprime lending offered high-cost loans to the weakest borrowers during the housing boom that lasted from 2001 to 2007. Subprime lending was at its height from 2004 to 2006. Federal Reserve Board data show that: * More than 84 percent of the subprime mortgages in 2006 were issued by private lending institutions. * Private firms made nearly 83 percent of the subprime loans to low- and moderate-income borrowers that year. * Only one of the top 25 subprime lenders in 2006 was directly subject to the housing law that’s being lambasted by conservative critics. The “turmoil in financial markets clearly was triggered by a dramatic weakening of underwriting standards for U.S. subprime mortgages, beginning in late 2004 and extending into 2007,” the President’s Working Group on Financial Markets reported Friday. Conservative critics claim that the Clinton administration pushed Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac to make home ownership more available to riskier borrowers with little concern for their ability to pay the mortgages. “I don’t remember a clarion call that said Fannie and Freddie are a disaster. Loaning to minorities and risky folks is a disaster,” said Neil Cavuto of Fox News. Fannie, the Federal National Mortgage Association, and Freddie, the Federal Home Loan Mortgage Corp., don’t lend money, to minorities or anyone else, however. They purchase loans from the private lenders who actually underwrite the loans. It’s a process called securitization, and by passing on the loans, banks have more capital on hand so they can lend even more. This much is true. In an effort to promote affordable home ownership for minorities and rural whites, the Department of Housing and Urban Development set targets for Fannie and Freddie in 1992 to purchase low-income loans for sale into the secondary market that eventually reached this number: 52 percent of loans given to low-to moderate-income families. To be sure, encouraging lower-income Americans to become homeowners gave unsophisticated borrowers and unscrupulous lenders and mortgage brokers more chances to turn dreams of homeownership in nightmares. But these loans, and those to low- and moderate-income families represent a small portion of overall lending. And at the height of the housing boom in 2005 and 2006, Republicans and their party’s standard bearer, President Bush, didn’t criticize any sort of lending, frequently boasting that they were presiding over the highest-ever rates of U.S. homeownership. The “Fannie and Freddie did it” narrative has been ridiculed from a number of market and economic experts. As Barry Riholtz put it: Some people (especially the political hacks) are focusing their energies in the wrong places. According to a recent investigation by Barron’s, Fannie’s biggest problem was not the subprime mortgages they bought — it was the better quality Alt A mortgages that caused their demise … The folks who want to place the entire crisis at FNM/FRE ‘s doorstep miss the point — and let me hasten to add that I was never a fan of the company, and we were short FNM from over a year ago, at $42+ — these people seem to miss all of the big picture issues, and are focsing on minor factor and outright irrelevancies. … While I understand that reducing the complexities of economic history into bumper sticker phrases is politically expedient, it does not help us understand the root cause of the problems. And, it gets in the way of helping us fashion a solution for the future. Hence, why I hold the weasels who are attempting to obscure reality and rewrite history in such disdain. For the non-partisan, non hacks amongst you, for the policy makers and academics and economists who are truly interested in how this came to pass, and what we can do to fix it, the bottom line remains: The CRA was irrelevant to the current crisis, and Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac were mere cogs in a very complex financial machine, with many moving parts. But the primary cause of the mess? Not even close . . . Ritholtz — like hundreds of other economists and market experts who understand what happened — says the primary cause, in fact, were “a nonfeasant Fed, that ignored lending standards, and ultra-low rates.” This nonfeasance under Greenspan allowed banks, thrifts, and mortgage originators to engage in all manner of lending standard abrogations. We have detailed many times the I/O, 2/28, Piggy back, and Ninja type loans here. These never should have been permitted to proliferate the way they did. The fact that they did proliferate as they did, in fact, can be laid directly at the doorstep of conservative ideologues, whose mania for deregulation — particularly in the financial-services sector — is what led directly to the policies creating, condoning and even encouraging such dubious financial instruments. Though one might argue, in fact, that this kind of depredation committed by the oligarchical class, with working-class people taking the hit, and with little if any consequence whatsoever to the wealthy, is a kind of terrorism — economic terrorism against working Americans. But don’t expect the experts and anchors at Fox News to ever let you hear that. — Oh, and about those bailouts: Not only were they a success, they also wound up being a lot cheaper than everyone expected. That seems to be a bit of the “history” that never makes it onto Fox News, either.

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Daily Kos: Rush Limbaugh Encourages Mass Murder Like Radio Rwanda

Rush Limbaugh infuriated the Left on Monday by suggesting the Left never concedes defeat. “But the moment you win the battle, and you know you've won – the war continues. Because these people, they're like cockroaches , they just keep coming back.” The blogger “Louise” at the Daily Kos accused Limbaugh of being like a genocidal maniac in Africa: If you were alive and sentient in 1994, as Limbaugh was, there is one immediate association you think of when you hear a radio personality call the “other side” “cockroaches” – you think of the Rwandan massacre. that is the word that Hutu radio used for months before the massacres to dehumanize the Tutsis, who would become the victims of mass murder perpetrated by their fellow citizens. The Kosmonaut claimed Limbaugh “believes that we have forgotten the Rwandan genocide, and the primary function of dehumanizing language in that horror. Perhaps he thinks that we won't recognize that his own language echoes the genocidal encouragements” of the Rwandan radio broadcasters.” But then she's forced to admit Limbaugh isn't offering evidence that he's advocating mass murder: Limbaugh speaks of a “war” against “the Leftists,” who, like cockroaches, will simply not go away, even after you have beaten them.

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Daily Kos: Rush Limbaugh Encourages Mass Murder Like Radio Rwanda

Rush Limbaugh infuriated the Left on Monday by suggesting the Left never concedes defeat. “But the moment you win the battle, and you know you've won – the war continues. Because these people, they're like cockroaches , they just keep coming back.” The blogger “Louise” at the Daily Kos accused Limbaugh of being like a genocidal maniac in Africa: If you were alive and sentient in 1994, as Limbaugh was, there is one immediate association you think of when you hear a radio personality call the “other side” “cockroaches” – you think of the Rwandan massacre. that is the word that Hutu radio used for months before the massacres to dehumanize the Tutsis, who would become the victims of mass murder perpetrated by their fellow citizens. The Kosmonaut claimed Limbaugh “believes that we have forgotten the Rwandan genocide, and the primary function of dehumanizing language in that horror. Perhaps he thinks that we won't recognize that his own language echoes the genocidal encouragements” of the Rwandan radio broadcasters.” But then she's forced to admit Limbaugh isn't offering evidence that he's advocating mass murder: Limbaugh speaks of a “war” against “the Leftists,” who, like cockroaches, will simply not go away, even after you have beaten them.

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Daily Kos: Rush Limbaugh Encourages Mass Murder Like Radio Rwanda

Rush Limbaugh infuriated the Left on Monday by suggesting the Left never concedes defeat. “But the moment you win the battle, and you know you've won – the war continues. Because these people, they're like cockroaches , they just keep coming back.” The blogger “Louise” at the Daily Kos accused Limbaugh of being like a genocidal maniac in Africa: If you were alive and sentient in 1994, as Limbaugh was, there is one immediate association you think of when you hear a radio personality call the “other side” “cockroaches” – you think of the Rwandan massacre. that is the word that Hutu radio used for months before the massacres to dehumanize the Tutsis, who would become the victims of mass murder perpetrated by their fellow citizens. The Kosmonaut claimed Limbaugh “believes that we have forgotten the Rwandan genocide, and the primary function of dehumanizing language in that horror. Perhaps he thinks that we won't recognize that his own language echoes the genocidal encouragements” of the Rwandan radio broadcasters.” But then she's forced to admit Limbaugh isn't offering evidence that he's advocating mass murder: Limbaugh speaks of a “war” against “the Leftists,” who, like cockroaches, will simply not go away, even after you have beaten them.

Continue reading …