• Bin Laden’s daughter says he was captured then killed • Claims that waterboarding helped search for Bin Laden • 500 Euros found sewn into al-Qaida leader’s clothing 5.10pm BST / 12.10pm ET: A lot of Americans needed reminding exactly who Osama bin Laden was , after his death was announced, according to evidence from Twitter posts and Yahoo searches: At first glance, this looks insane, but there are a few plausible explanations. If you are between the ages of 13 and 17 today, then you were either a toddler or a very young child on 9/11. For the oldest kids in the group, the 2008 presidential election was likely the first major event of their political lives, and bin Laden wasn’t a huge concern for either candidate. Nerdier kids might have been interested in the 2006 election, but even then, Iraq was the main topic of conversation. 4.55pm BST / 11.55am ET: The award-winning investigative news site ProPublica has a good compilation of coverage of the raid that killed Osama bin Laden and the events surrounding it (although it is parochially narrowly in its focus on US sources). But if you’ve been in a cave in, say, Tora Bora, for the past few days ProPublica’s page is an excellent place to start. And here , of course. 4.40pm BST / 11.40am ET: CNN’s national security team tweets: That would be Janet Napolitano, the head of the US department of homeland security. 4.29pm BST / 11.29am ET: On the Guardian’s Comment is Free America site, media commentator Dan Kennedy examines the New York Times’s “tortured line on torture” in the wake of the claims that its use helped produce information leading to the tracking down of Osama bin Laden: The New York Times, as the US’s leading news organisation, has harmed the public discourse by refusing to call torture by its proper name. This latest instance is just another example of how it has tied itself into knots in its ongoing attempt to avoid saying the obvious. 4.09pm: I’m going to hand over the blog to my colleague Richard Adams in the Guardian’s Washington bureau now. Here’s a summary of today’s developments: • Bin Laden’s 12-year-old daughter has told that Pakistani officials US forces captured her father alive before shooting him dead , according to al-Arabiya. • The White House has denied claims by an ex-CIA counterterrorism chief that Bin Laden’s killing was a result of information obtained by enhanced interrogation techniques , including waterboarding. • Bin Laden’s relatives are being treated at a military hospital in Rawalpindi , according to the BBC. • People who lived with Bin Laden at the Abbottebad compound and who remained at the property after the raid are being interrogated by Pakistani intelligence , CNN reported. 3.56pm: A couple of interesting developments from Pakistan: The BBC’s Pakistan correspondent, Aleem Maqbool, tweets that Bin Laden’s relatives are being treated in a military hospital in Rawalpindi. CNN says some people left at the compound after the killing of Bin Laden are in Pakistani custody and are being interrogated , according to a senior Pakistani intelligence source. 3.52pm: Cord Jefferson, on good.is , blogs on the fact that the fifth most popular Bin Laden search is “Who is Osama bin Laden?” citing Yahoo data that says searches related to the al-Qaida leader have jumped nearly 10,000% since Sunday’s killing. Rather than just mock those who don’t know who Bin Laden is, Jefferson makes some salient points: Though he was one of the most important criminals in the world for the last decade, a significant number of people searching Yahoo have no idea who Osama bin Laden was. Thankfully, most of these people are children—two-thirds are aged 13 to 17—but, considering how the entire nation mourns every September 11, it seems a bit outrageous that even young kids don’t know Osama. This raises the question: Is it possible that children are learning about 9/11 but not about the people and organisations behind 9/11? And if so, is it any wonder that many Americans now make blanket condemnations of Islam instead of placing the blame for terrorism where it lies—with fringe rogues like bin Laden? 3.39pm: You may have read about how the US Navy Seals who carried out the attack on the Abbottabad compound destroyed one of their helicopters that was grounded during the raid. Well, the reason they blew it up appears to be that it was very sophisticated technology that they did not want falling into the wrong hands. On the defence technology blog on Aviation Week, Bill Sweetman writes : Well, now we know why all of us had trouble ID’ing the helicopter that crashed, or was brought down, in the Osama raid. It was a secretly developed stealth helicopter, probably a highly modified version of an H-60 Blackhawk. Photos published in the Daily Mail and on the Secret Projects board show that the helicopter’s tail features stealth-configured shapes on the boom and tip fairings, swept stabilizers and a “dishpan” cover over a non-standard five-or-six-blade tail rotor. It has a silver-loaded infra-red suppression finish similar to that seen on some V-22s. No wonder the team tried to destroy it. _ 3.34pm: In a response to the foreign affairs committee report on Afghanistan and Pakistan, the UK foreign secretary, William Hague, has reiterated Britain’s commitment to Afghanistan. He said: The death of Osama Bin Laden, although a positive development in terms of our counter-terrorism effort, does not change our strategy in Afghanistan. We remain committed to our military, diplomatic and development work to build a stable and secure Afghanistan. We will work, with our Afghan and international partners to ensure that Afghanistan can never again be a safe haven for international terrorist groups like al-Qaida. This is a decisive moment. The Taliban should recognise that now is the time to separate themselves from al-Qaida and participate in a peaceful political process. 3.29pm: A New York Times/CBS News poll has shown a boost for Obama’s approval ratings following the killing of Bin Laden. In all, 57% said they now approved of the president’s job performance, up from 46% last month. But more than six in 10 Americans said that killing Bin Laden was likely to increase the threat of terrorism against the United States in the short term and only 16% said they felt safer as a result. With speculation mounting that the US might now leave Afghanistan the poll found that nearly half said the nation should decrease troop levels in Afghanistan. But more than six in 10 also said the United States had not completed its mission in Afghanistan. A USA Today/Gallup poll found 71% gave moderate of great credit to Obama for the operation (compared to 98% credit crediting the US military and 52% Bush). A third of people said they feel a lot more confident on Obama as commander in chief, while 21% feel a little more confident. But more than 6 in 10 say acts of terrorism against the US are likely in the next several weeks, “a significant bump and the highest rate of public nervousness in eight years” reports US Today. 2.59pm: Channel 4′s Lindsey Hilsum tweets that enterprising children in Abbottabad are making the most of the focus on their city: Yesterday at #binladen hse kids were collecting chopper wreckage. Today they’re selling the the bits! @channel4news 2.36pm: A former head of counterterrorism at the CIA has told Time that techniques such as waterboarding did produce the information that eventually led to Bin Laden’s death . The assertion by Jose Rodriguez, who ran the CIA’s counterterrorism Centre from 2002 to 2005 has been rejected by the White House. It also contradicts the conclusions of an investigation by the New York Times ( see 10.38am ). Massimo Calabresi writes: Information provided by KSM and Abu Faraj al Libbi about Bin Laden’s courier was the lead information that eventually led to the location of [bin Laden's] compound and the operation that led to his death,” Rodriguez tells Time in his first public interview. Rodriguez was cleared of charges in the video destruction investigation [relating to videos showing senior al-Qaida officials being interrogated] last year. Rodriguez agrees that other events played a role in developing the intelligence on bin Laden’s whereabouts. And he says that despite widespread focus on KSM, al Libbi’s information was the most important. “Both KSM and al Libbi were held at CIA black sites and subjected to enhanced interrogation techniques,” Rodriguez says. “Abu Faraj was not waterboarded, but his information on the courier was key.” Calebresi writes that reports suggest information on Bin Laden’s courier provided by KSM came weeks or months after he was subjected to enhanced interrogation techniques but Rodriguez says al Libbi’s tips came “just one week after he was subjected to the harsh treatment”. Calebresi writes: One former senior intelligence official says that “once KSM decided resistance was unwise, he then started spilling his guts to the agency and started providing lots of info, like the noms de guerres of couriers and explaining how al-Qaeda worked.” Rodriguez says, “It’s a mistake to say this was about inflicting pain. These measures were about instilling a sense of hopelessness and that led them to compliance.” None of the Bush officials made a clear distinction between inducing compliance and torture. Rodriguez says the US should go back to using enhanced interrogation techniques. 2.19pm: In an interview in the Evening Standard Ken Livingstone has accused Obama of behaving like a “mobster” because Bin Laden was assassinated and not captured alive, my colleague Andrew Sparrow writes on his politics blog . Livingstone also said the scenes of jubilation in the US following Bin Laden’s death would increase the risk of a terrorist attack on London. I just looked at [the pictures of Americans celebrating Bin Laden's death] and realised that it would increase the likelihood of a terror attack on London. That’s very much the American style but I don’t think I’ve ever felt pleased at the death of anybody. The real problem for London is that after America we’re a big target so it’s a very dangerous time at the moment. We should have captured [Bin Laden] and put him on trial. It’s a simple point – are we gangsters or a Western democracy based on the rule of law? This undermines any commitment to democracy and trial by jury and makes Obama look like some sort of mobster. 2.13pm: Karl Vick, on Time.com, assesses the political fallout on Israel. He quotes a couple of commentators as saying that the news is not necessarily good for the Israeli prime minister, Biniyamin Netanyahu, who could face renewed US pressure to cut a deal with the Palestinians: In Yedioth Ahronoth, the estimable Nahum Barnea had the same thought: “Netanyahu was quick to congratulate Obama on the successful operation. He did well to do so. We don’t know what his private thoughts on the matter were. I suspect that he was divided: on the one hand, like most Israelis, he celebrated the victory of good over evil, the sons of light over the sons of darkness. On the other, he realized that the Obama’s political gain is going to make it more difficult for him in his dealings with the US administration.” 1.24pm: In the absence of pictures of the operation that led to the killing of Bin Laden, the photograph of Barack Obama and Hillary Clinton supposedly watching events unfold has become one of the iconic images of the episode. But the CIA director Leon Panetta has made clear that they did not see the shooting of Bin Laden or much else. He told PBS Newshour : Once those teams went into the compound, I can tell you that there was a time period of almost 20 or 25 minutes where we – you know, we really didn’t know just exactly what was going on. And there were some very tense moments as we were waiting for information. But finally, Adm. McRaven came back and said that he had picked up the word “Geronimo,” which was the code word that represented that they got bin Laden. _ 12.54pm: A doctor who sold the piece of land where Bin Laden’s final hideout was built identified the buyer as Mohammad Arshad, a name that matched one of two Pakistani men often seen coming out of the al-Qaida chief’s compound, AP reports. Property records obtained by The Associated Press show Arshad bought adjoining plots in four stages between 2004 and 2005 in Abbottabad, the town where bin Laden hid for up to six years just a short drive from the Pakistani capital Islamabad. Dr Qazi Mahfooz Ul Haq said Wednesday he sold a plot of land to Arshad in 2005. He said the buyer was a “modest, humble type of man” who claimed to be purchasing it for his uncle. There have been suggestions that “Arshad Khan” was the name of the “courier” sought by Americans, whose trail led them to Bin Laden. 12.46pm: Intriguing details of Bin Laden’s possessions and his readiness to flee when he was killed have been revealed by Politico . Jonathan Allen writes: Osama bin Laden had cash totalling 500 Euros and two telephone numbers sewn into his clothing when he was killed — sure signs that he was prepared to flee his compound at a moment’s notice — top US intelligence officials told members of Congress at a classified briefing in the Capitol Tuesday. The evidence of cash — which amounts to about $740 in U.S. dollars — and phone numbers was divulged to support the administration’s belief that bin Laden was prepared to escape the compound if alerted to an impending attack, the source said. Interesting stuff, although it would be surprising if the world’s most wanted man didn’t have an escape plan that could be put into operation with little notice. 12.13pm: Remember Gary Faulkner? He was the sword-wielding American arrested in northern Pakistan while hunting Bin Laden. He has given an interview to ABC saying he flushed Bin Laden out and arguing that he should be entitled to part of the $25 million reward for his capture. Faulkner said: I had a major hand and play in this wonderful thing, getting him out of the mountains and down to the valleys… Someone had to get him out of there. That’s where I came in. I scared the squirrel out of his hole, he popped his head up and he got capped. He also dismissed the idea that Bin Laden had been living at the Abbottabad compound for six years: “He hadn’t been living there for no damn six years. I absolutely flushed him out.” ABC notes Faulkner “has not been mentioned in the government’s detailed account of how the CIA painstakingly tracked down Bin Laden”. 11.50am: The Guardian has video of funeral prayers for Bin Laden and anti-American protests in Pakistan _ 11.42am: Much praise has been heaped on the US navy’s Seal Team 6, which stormed Osama bin Laden’s Abbottabad compound, with a number of glowing tributes penned to the elite unit, formed in the aftermath of the botched US response to the Tehran hostage crisis. But as differing accounts of the operation emerge, my colleague Sam Jones writes that its reputation is not without blemish : In October last year sailors from the unit were dispatched to rescue the British aid worker Linda Norgrove, who had been kidnapped by militants in Afghanistan. Norgrove died during the raid after one of the Seals threw a fragmentation grenade close to where she was sheltering. Initial reports suggested she had been killed by an insurgent’s suicide bomb vest. But when the Seal commanding officer reviewed surveillance video recordings he saw an explosion after one of the Seals threw something in Norgrove’s direction. A number of the Seals were disciplined as a result. The last time the public was made aware of a Seal raid on Pakistani soil was three years ago, when the raiders flew a mile over the border to the town of Angurada. Their high-value targets had fled and those left behind in the compound fought back, resulting in a number of civilian casualties, according to US and Pakistani officials. Seal Team 6 were also part of the joint operation to rescue Jessica Lynch, the US soldier who became an icon for the Iraq war. The rescue was portrayed as a daring assault to rescue a comrade who had been mistreated in the hospital. But Iraqi doctors later contradicted this account , insisting she was treated well and there was no need to storm the hospital as no Iraqi soldiers were present. 11.03am: The implications of Bin Laden’s death for Indonesia, the world’s biggest Islamic country, are examined by International Crisis Group’s Sidney Jones, in the Jakarta Post . She identifies three possible consequences. The first is a temporary shift back to foreign targets. Jones says for the last two years Indonesian extremists have moved away from attacks on symbols of the West but “Bin Laden was such a powerful symbol and so revered in the extremist community, however, that calculations of costs and benefits may be overridden by a felt need to respond somehow to his death. The ubiquitous television images of cheering Americans may strengthen that resolve”. The second is the possibility of revenge attacks, although Jones says planning an attack takes time and Indonesian extremists “do not have a successful track record in this regard”. The third possible consequence is a strengthened attachment to al-Qaida. Jones writes: On 25 January this year, Umar Patek was arrested in Abbottabad, the same town where Bin Laden was living. It was probably not a coincidence (indeed, may have been part of the same operation). Indonesian authorities need to be asking Patek, who remains in detention in Pakistan, exactly what the nature of his communication was with the al-Qaida organization and who else from Southeast Asia is actively working with al-Qaida in propaganda, training, or even operations. In his desire to work with Bin Laden, Patek, a former Jamaah Islamiyah (JI) member who was one of the original Bali bombers, follows in the footsteps of Hambali, the JI leader detained in Guantanamo whose relationship with al-Qaida until his arrest in 2003 is outlined in a recent WikiLeaks document … The death of Bin Laden could lead to a renewed push to bolster these ties or to an intensified propaganda campaign based on al-Qaida materials, especially from AQAP [al-Qaida in the Arabian peninsula], translated into Indonesian. 10.38am: “Did brutal interrogations produce the crucial intelligence that led to the killing of Osama bin Laden?” That is the question being asked by the New York Times and others as Bush administration officials, in the aftermath of the death of the al-Qaida leader, c laim vindication for methods such as waterboarding . More specifically people are asking whether Khalid Sheikh Mohammed, the alleged mastermind of the 9/11 attacks on the US, provided crucial information while being tortured. The Times writes: A closer look at prisoner interrogations suggests that the harsh techniques played a small role at most in identifying Bin Laden’s trusted courier and exposing his hide-out. One detainee who apparently was subjected to some tough treatment provided a crucial description of the courier, according to current and former officials briefed on the interrogations. But two prisoners who underwent some of the harshest treatment — including Khalid Sheikh Mohammed, who was waterboarded 183 times — repeatedly misled their interrogators about the courier’s identity … In 2002 and 2003, interrogators first heard about a Qaeda courier who used the nom de guerre Abu Ahmed al-Kuwaiti, but his name was just one tidbit in heaps of uncorroborated claims … According to an American official familiar with his interrogation, Mr. Mohammed was first asked about Mr. Kuwaiti in the fall of 2003, months after the waterboarding. He acknowledged having known him but said the courier was “retired” and of little significance. It also quotes Tommy Vietor, spokesman for the National Security Council, as saying: The bottom line is this: If we had some kind of smoking-gun intelligence from waterboarding in 2003, we would have taken out Osama bin Laden in 2003. But the Times writes that an al-QaIda operative named Hassan Ghul, captured in Iraq, said Kuwaiti was a trusted courier who was close to Bin Laden, as well as to Mohammed. It says “the details of Mr. Ghul’s treatment are unclear, though the C.I.A. says he was not waterboarded”. 10.12am: Good morning. Welcome to our continuing live coverage of the aftermath of the killing of Osama bin Laden. Doubts are continuing to be cast on the accounts of the raid on the house in Abbottabad, Pakistan, that were initially given by US officials. After White House admissions that early official reports claiming Bin Laden had been armed and cowered behind his wife during the assault were false , al-Arabiya is now reporting that the al-Qaida leader’s 12-year-old daughter, told Pakistani officials US forces captured her father alive before shooting him dead: The [Pakistani] official said a 12-year-old daughter of bin Laden was among the six children rescued from the three-storey compound. The daughter has reportedly told her Pakistani investigators that the US forces captured her father alive but shot him dead in front of family members. According to sources, Bin Laden was staying on the ground floor of the house and was dragged on the floor to the helicopter after being shot dead by US commandos. There were conflicting reports about the second person the US forces took along with them. Some Pakistani officials say it was one of Bin Laden’s sons injured by the US commandos and thrown onto a separate military chopper; others say he was killed in the operation and it was only his dead body that they took along. While any account given by Bin Laden’s family is likely to be treated with scepticism (especially coming via Pakistani security officials), the changing account given by the White House may lend this version of events more credence than it would otherwise have been granted. Osama bin Laden al-Qaida Pakistan Global terrorism United States Obama administration Middle East US foreign policy Haroon Siddique Richard Adams guardian.co.uk
Continue reading …Big day here at the Crooks And Liars Compound. I honestly don’t think I’ve seen John this happy since he beat Simon Le Bon at ping pong. He’s just aglow, spontaneously playing flute solos as he merrily skips between the official C&L polo grounds and croquet fields…we’re all real psyched. Why? Well, it’s always a treat when your blog gets an EXCLUSIVE peek at a MAJOR MOTION PICTURE. (I write in all caps because I JUST FEEL SO STRONGLY ABOUT IT)! I’ll cut to the chase: the cinematic geniuses who created the recent adaptation of Atlas Shrugged are at it again. Originally envisioned as a trilogy, there was ominous talk that the producers might be deterred by unbelievably bad reviews, crap box office, and the general pall of suck that hung over the project like the ghost of a terrible macroeconomic scheme . So we’re of course pleased as punch the producers have found a way to soldier on, while still maintaining their principled stance of wanting to make shloads of money. When your bottom line is suffering, every libertarian warrior knows what to do: cut costs and hope for the best. Good luck guys! (…Oh, and by the way. For anyone who would like more info on collectivism and film: a. NERD ALERT, and b. here’s a primer . And, y’know, it’s probably unfair to claim that f-d up libertarian belief systems are the reason these particular libertarians are so bad at movie-making, but life is so short and libertarians are so sensitive. Let’s go for it)!
Continue reading …DIY chain calls in Ernst & Young following poor performance during recession and failure to secure rescue deal Nearly four thousand jobs are at risk after Focus DIY, Britain’s fourth-largest DIY chain, today called in administrators after failing to clinch a rescue deal. Ernst & Young will be appointed at midnight after the company, which struggled during the recession, admitted that it was close to a default on huge debts and “that there were no alternatives that could be explored any further”. “The directors have sought consent from the business’s lenders to appoint E&Y as the administrators. All stakeholders including staff are being informed,” Focus said in a statement. Its website stopped taking online orders this afternoon, citing a “technical issue”. The chain has 178 stores and employs 3,919 people. The company was reportedly in talks with restructuring firm GA Europe, but failed to agree a deal. Its US private equity owner Cerberus began to look for a buyer for the chain last autumn. Focus was born in 1987 when its founder, Bill Archer, quit Crown Paints to set up a DIY business with £300,000 from remortgaging his house. He and a former business partner bought two small chains, Choice DIY and Focus, and rebranded all 12 stores as Focus DIY. Four venture-capital firms subsequently backed him in a £4.5m buyout of the Focus DIY chain. The business grew rapidly by acquiring rivals Do It All, Great Mills and Wickes (the latter sold no to Travis Perkins in 2005). The group was bought by Cerberus, which took on debts of £180m, for £1 in 2007 and hired former Wickes boss Bill Grimsey to turn it around. Job losses Retail industry Julia Kollewe guardian.co.uk
Continue reading …Liberian mercenaries in Abidjan still resisting three weeks after Alassane Ouattara deposed beaten president Dozens of people have died in Ivory Coast’s commercial capital as the remnants of a militia loyal to Laurent Gbagbo fight on – three weeks after he was deposed . The stubborn resistance in Abidjan is said to come from mainly Liberian mercenaries hired by Gbagbo as a last throw of the dice after he suffered election defeat and his army crumbled. Persistent clashes underline the fragility of post-war security after the power struggle between Gbagbo and his rival Alassane Ouattara , who succeeded him as president. Franck Kodjo, a Red Cross official, told Reuters: “We have seen many dead. We recovered 40 bodies over two hours, but we were forced to stop because we had no room left in our van.” Gbagbo’s refusal to cede power to the democratically-elected Ouattara triggered a renewed civil war which is believed to have killed more than 3,000 people and displaced more than a million. Gbagbo was arrested on 11 April by forces loyal to Ouattara , with assistance from the French military. A commander for the Ivorian army, the FRCI, said the remaining pro-Gbagbo fighters in the Abidjan neighbourhood of Yopougon were mostly Liberians who had crossed the border as guns for hire in the aftermath of the election dispute. Efforts to disarm them have so far failed. “We are in the process of securing the town but there are heavy weapons,” the commander told Reuters. “We’re not the ones firing them, it is those we oppose, the Liberians.” Other parts of Ivory Coast’s main city are reviving after the conflict, with banks reopening and traffic slowly returning to normal. Ivory Coast’s main industry, the cocoa sector, is poised to resume exports of nearly half a million tonnes of beans, exporters said. Ouattara’s government is investigating Gbagbo and his inner circle for alleged human rights abuses during the conflict. He has pledged to set up a South African-style truth and reconciliation commission and has already filled the key post of chairman. Gbagbo is under house arrest in a presidential villa in the northern town of Korhogo, guarded by UN peacekeepers and former rebel forces who supported Ouattara. The former president called for his supporters to allow the country to restart its economy in peace. Gbagbo met a team of mediators including former UN secretary-general Kofi Annan and South African archbishop Desmond Tutu. After the meeting, Tutu said: “We were very thrilled that the former president looked forward to the country returning to normalcy. “This is what we are urging all parties – that the country should become the country it was – peaceful, with security for everyone.” Annan said he encouraged Gbagbo to address the Ivorian people “sooner rather than later” to call for reconciliation. Gbagbo had not given any sign that he disputed Ouattara’s presidency, he added. Ivory Coast Laurent Gbagbo Alassane Ouattara David Smith guardian.co.uk
Continue reading …Struggling tech giant says acquisitions have helped create growth, but pre-tax losses hit $11.2m in first quarter AOL’s display advertising revenue grew for the first time in more than three years in the first three months of 2011, helped by the acquisitions of Huffington Post, TechCrunch and GoViral. However, AOL reported a pre-tax loss of $11.2m for the quarter, down from a $78m profit in the equivalent period last year, as the business continues to restructure. Total revenues fell 17% to $551m – a better figure than analysts had expected – as the company’s US dial-up internet subscription business continued to wither with revenues down 24% to $215m. Tim Armstrong, the AOL chief executive, preferred to focus on the 4% year-on-year increase in total display advertising revenues to $130.5m – the first growth since the final quarter of 2007 – citing it as an “important milestone” in the turnaround of the beleaguered company. AOL said US display revenue grew 11% to $122m – the first time it has grown since the fourth quarter of 2009. Just over $5m of the $12.2m year-on-year growth in first-quarter domestic revenue was “primarily” due to the acquisition of Huffington Post and TechCrunch – bought for $315m and $25m respectively . US growth was 6% excluding acquisitions. Armstrong said the Huffington Post, which was acquired in January, was the fastest integration project he had ever worked on and that the business had experienced a growth rate of about 30% in the first quarter. The company said Huffington Post “exceeded budgeted revenue” in the first quarter. However, international display advertising revenues fell 46% year on year to $8.5m, while advertising through AOL’s third-party network fell 19% to $87.4m. Total advertising revenues fell 11% to $313m, some $40m down year on year. The company said the performance from ongoing businesses was “essentially flat” year on year, taking into account the $41.8m in ad revenue lost from the closure of some of AOL’s European operations and the disposal of assets including Bebo and ICQ. AOL added that profitability was affected by $9m in deal-related expenses, primarily for the acquisitions of the Huffington Post and GoViral – which it acquired for $69m in January – and $8.4m in “incentive compensation expenses” tied to buy-ups made in 2010 and in the first quarter of 2011. The company also took a $27.8m hit in restructuring expenses related to the Huffington Post acquisition and the “reassessment of our operations in India”. •
Continue reading …Click here to view this media [ Flashback to 2004. ] This is an interesting little study via Romanesko: Op-ed columnists and TV’s talking heads build followings by making bold, confident predictions about politics and the economy. But rarely are their predictions analyzed for accuracy. Now, a class at Hamilton College led by public policy professor P. Gary Wyckoff has analyzed the predictions of 26 prognosticators between September 2007 and December 2008. Their findings? Anyone can make as accurate a prediction as most of them if just by flipping a coin. Their research paper, “Are Talking Heads Blowing Hot Air? An Analysis of the Accuracy of Forecasts in the Political Media” will be presented via webcast on Monday, May 2, at 4:15 p.m., at www.hamilton.edu/pundit . The paper will also be available at that address at that time. Questions during the presentation can be posed via Twitter using #hcpundit. The Hamilton students sampled the predictions of 26 individuals who wrote columns in major print media and who appeared on the three major Sunday news shows – Face the Nation, Meet the Press, and This Week – and evaluated the accuracy of 472 predictions made during the 16-month period. They used a scale of 1 to 5 (1 being “will not happen, 5 being “will absolutely happen”) to rate the accuracy of each, and then divided them into three categories: The Good, The Bad, and The Ugly. The students found that only nine of the prognosticators they studied could predict more accurately than a coin flip. Two were significantly less accurate, and the remaining 14 were not statistically any better or worse than a coin flip. The top prognosticators – led by New York Times columnist Paul Krugman – scored above five points and were labeled “Good,” while those scoring between zero and five were “Bad.” Anyone scoring less than zero (which was possible because prognosticators lost points for inaccurate predictions) were put into “The Ugly” category. Syndicated columnist Cal Thomas came up short and scored the lowest of the 26… read on Since a liberal like Krugman tops the list, you won’t hear much about it from the Beltway Villagers. Now check out the bottom of the list: Those scoring lowest – “The Ugly” – with negative tallies were conservative columnist Cal Thomas; U.S. Senator Lindsey Graham (R-SC); U.S. Senator Carl Levin (D-MI); U.S. Senator Joe Lieberman, a McCain supporter and Democrat-turned-Independent from Connecticut; Sam Donaldson of ABC; and conservative columnist George Will. John McCain, Joe Lieberman and Lindsay Graham are at the bottom of the list, but are always on my freaking TV. I’m just sayin’.
Continue reading …Tory MP for Mid Bedfordshire says society ‘saturated in sex’ and teenagers should be taught the ability to ‘just say no’ Teenage girls must be given lessons in how to say no to sex, a Conservative MP has told parliament. Speaking in the Commons on Wednesday, Nadine Dorries, the MP for Mid Bedfordshire, proposed that would result in classes in abstinence, but only for girls aged 13 to 16. She said society was “saturated in sex” and teenagers should be taught that it was as “cool” to say no to sex as to know how to put a condom on their boyfriend. The latest data from the Office for National Statistics show teenage pregnancies are at their lowest rate since the early 1980s. The under-18 conception rate for 2009 was 38.3 conceptions per 1,000 women aged 15 to 17. This represents a fall of 5.9% compared with 40.7 conceptions per 1,000 women aged 15 to 17 in 2008. However, Dorries told MPs the sale of porn magazines in newsagents, and high street shops selling padded bikinis for seven-year-old girls showed “how far the sexualisation of young girls has gone in our society”. “The answer to ending our constant struggle with the incredibly high rate of teenage sexual activity and underage pregnancies lies in teaching our girls and boys about the option of abstinence, the ability to ‘just say no’, as part of their compulsory sex education,” she said. “Peer pressure is a key contributor to early sexual activity in our country. Society is focused on sex. Teaching a child at the age of seven to apply a condom on a banana is almost saying: ‘Now go and try this for yourself’. “Girls are taught to have safe sex, but not how to say no to a boyfriend who insists on sexual relations.” But Chris Bryant, a Labour MP who has investigated Britain’s high rate of teenage pregnancies, said Dorries’ 10-minute rule bill was “the daftest piece of legislation” he had seen. He said: “I am a gay man, so I’m not exactly an expert on heterosexual sex, nor on sex with girls. But … this is not the way to solve any of those problems – for a start, it’s just about girls. You’ve got to talk to the boys and the girls.” He said there was no evidence that teaching abstinence would lead to fewer pregnancies or sexually transmitted diseases. “The single most important thing we can do for any young person is give them the self-confidence to be able to make good decisions for themselves,” he said. He added that he had never understood why teaching pupils how to put a condom on a banana or a cucumber was “of any use to anybody”. Dorries has courted controversy as one of England’s most outspoken politicians. The former nurse has criticised David Cameron’s proposal to create all-women shortlists for prospective MPs, and has been attacked for allegedly claiming expenses for furniture and gardening. She denied this, saying her patio furniture was a present from her mother. Dorries has also campaigned to reduce the time during a pregnancy when an abortion can take place from 24 to 21 weeks. In 2009, she was involved in a motion, discussed at the Trades Union Congress, to reduce the number of women wearing high heels at work. High heels give women lower limb pains, which mean they take time off work, the motion said. MPs voted 67 to 61, majority six, in favour of allowing Dorries to bring forward her bill. It will receive its second reading in January, but is unlikely to become law without government support. Conservatives House of Commons Sex education Schools Sexual health Health Young people Jessica Shepherd guardian.co.uk
Continue reading …Gaddafi regime systematically opened fire on peaceful protests, says international criminal court prosecutor The Gaddafi regime has committed war crimes against Libyan pro-democracy protesters, opening fire “systematically” on peaceful demonstrations, according to a report to be issued today by the prosecutor for the international criminal court, who will seek arrest warrants against top members of regime later this month. The prosecutor, Luis Moreno-Ocampo, has said he will ask judges at the court in The Hague for up to five warrants. He has not named his suspects but in his report to the UN security council today, he will indicate that they include people who gave orders for the alleged atrocities. “It is indeed a characteristic of the situation in Libya that massive crimes are reportedly committed upon instruction of a few persons who control the organisations that execute the orders,” the report says. “Arresting those who ordered the commission of crimes, should the judges decide to issue warrants, will contribute to the protection of civilians in Libya.” In the course of a two-month preliminary investigation, Moreno-Ocampo’s investigators found widespread evidence of crimes against humanity. “Concerning the manner and nature of the crimes, the shooting at peaceful protesters was systematic, following the same modus operandi in multiple locations and executed through security forces,” the report says. “The persecution appears to be also systematic and implemented in different cities. War crimes are apparently committed as a matter of policy.” As well as the use of live ammunition against unarmed demonstrators, the ICC investigation found evidence of a range of abuses including torture, systematic rape, the use of cluster munitions and other heavy weaponry in urban areas, the use of civilians as human shields and the blocking of humanitarian supplies. It says “civilians in Tripoli and other areas are reportedly subject to different forms of persecution because of their suspected association with the uprising. Systematic arrests, torture, killings, deportations, enforced disappearances and destruction of mosques have been reported in Tripoli, al-Zawiya, Zintan and the area of the Nafousa mountains. The victims are allegedly civilians who participated in demonstrations or talked to international media, activists, journalists, as well as citizens of Egypt and Tunisia that were arrested and expelled en masse because of their perceived association with the popular uprising.” The ICC prosecutor’s office is also looking into several reports that anti-government crowds attacked and killed dozens of immigrants from sub-Saharan Africa, who were suspected of being pro-Gaddafi mercenaries. “A number of sub-Saharan Africans were allegedly arrested by the new authorities in Benghazi and it is unclear whether they were innocent immigrant workers or prisoners of war,” it says. The report was commissioned by the security council on 26 February when it referred the case to the ICC. The investigation is highly significant politically as Nato went to war in Libya on “humanitarian grounds” on the strength of security council resolution 1970 authorising “all necessary measures” to protect civilians. If the court approves the arrest warrants it will help insulate the alliance against international criticism of his prolonged campaign in Libya. Moreno-Ocampo will present his first application for an arrest warrant to the ICC’s pre-trial chamber in the next few weeks. “It will focus on those most responsible for crimes against humanity committed in the territory of Libya since 15 February 2011,” he will tell the security council today. The prosecutor told Reuters news agency on Monday that he would initially ask for up to five warrants. If the judges grant his request, the question will be who should carry out the arrests. Moreno-Ocampo will say today that if the Libyan government fails to act, the security council itself “should evaluate” how to do it. It is unclear whether Russia or China would veto the authorisation of Nato to carry out the arrests. That would most likely involve sending troops into Tripoli. Libya Middle East Muammar Gaddafi Julian Borger guardian.co.uk
Continue reading …Departing director of conservation at RSPB vents anger at neglect of UK’s environment A leading green campaigner has sparked a row over the cause of declining wildlife in the UK by accusing farmers of being “fundamentally anti-environment.” Mark Avery, who last week left his post as director of conservation at the RSPB , also says environment ministers have brought little knowledge or enthusiasm to their jobs, attacks successive governments of “muzzling” state agencies meant to protect wildlife, criticises global “over-consumption” in a Guardian article on Wednesday that looks back on 25 years at the charity. Avery attacks “conservative” farmers for what he sees as their failure to reverse the massive population declines in farmland birds – numbers are now at their lowest levels in England since formal attempts to record them began in 1966 – before criticising the body that represents them in England. He says that “at almost every opportunity, the [ National Farmers Union (NFU) ] chooses the option which will harm the environment – it is weak on greenhouse gas reduction measures, in favour of biofuels, argues against improving the effectiveness of farming grants, is against clamping down on pesticide use and wants its members to carry out what will be an ineffective cull of badgers. “The NFU lacks a coherent view of what the future of farming should look like except that the cheques must keep coming from the taxpayer.” Politicians also get short shrift, apart from Conservative John Gummer , now Baron Deben, who was agriculture minister then environment secretary between 1989 and 1997, and Michael Meacher, who never made a Labour cabinet and was sacked as environment minister of state after serving for the first six years of Tony Blair’s tenure as prime minister. “In contrast to today’s politicians, they were keen to set targets for wildlife recovery. Both had a passion for wildlife and both got things done,” Avery goes on, adding that the current Department for Environment, Food and Rural Affairs incumbents Caroline Spelman and Richard Benyon might too “provided they are given time to deliver”. Government agencies such as Natural England “have been neutered, muzzled and tied up out of harm’s way”, says Avery. Without their leadership or critical comment, non-governmental agencies must speak out about “how nature is threatened and where government is failing”. But ordinary people are rebuked too. “Tigers and skylarks get rarer because of the way we live on this planet – putting biofuels in our cars, eating too much meat from livestock fed on grain and just sucking up the world’s resources too quickly and too carelessly. “Rarely does someone shoot a skylark or stamp on its nest but our over-consumption drives species’ declines much more certainly than could a man with a gun.” The attack on farmers drew a furious response from Peter Kendall, the NFU president. “In Mark Avery’s time at the RSPB fertiliser use has reduced by 33%, pesticide use has declined steadily and water quality has improved dramatically. Although some farmland bird populations have dropped, his children have more opportunity to see goldfinch, greenfinch, reed buntings and whitethroat which have all increased in numbers.” Kendall said there had also been drops in populations of some woodland and urban species. “No one has provided a satisfactory explanation for all these changes. Avery has, however, relentlessly pedalled the line that agriculture is the primary cause. Was it because some of the other known factors- domestic cats and dog-walking- are less palatable to RSPB members or was it simply his prejudice against productive agriculture? “We know that the world demand for food will continue to increase while its capacity to produce it will be impaired by issues like water availability and climate change. We believe this country could and should produce more – indeed has a moral duty to do so.” The way forward was “sustainable intensification,” said Kendall. “I want farming to be in a place where it is much less reliant on public support. Ironically, it is Mark himself who wants to make farmers less able to respond to the market and operate efficiently who is guilty of wishing to perpetuate a dependency culture.” He hoped that with Avery’s departure, “the RSPB and the NFU can have a more constructive relationship, and the RSPB will find it possible to celebrate achievements rather than endlessly harping on the negatives.” RSPB Farming Birds Wildlife Conservation Green politics James Meikle guardian.co.uk
Continue reading …Has Doctor Who become too full of cheap shocks for its family audience? Two dads debate whether the programme is safe to watch with their kids Yes: Clever writing, but not great for getting the kids to sleep The new Doctor Who is too dark and convoluted. I’m a lifelong Whovian, but in the Matt Smith era there’s been too much doctorin’ of the Tardis by Steven Moffat and his writers. The opening scene of the new series had the Doctor being shot by an impossible astronaut and dying before he could regenerate. Yes, it was in the future and he may be rescued by a plot twist, but this would be deeply unsettling for young children (and indeed middle-aged dads). Most kids care more about the Doctor than God, and he shouldn’t die just for the sake of a clever plot. There’s too much sex, too. The Doctor should be a father figure, but now every assistant seems to fall in love with him and on Saturday he was snogging River Song. My 10-year-old daughter had to turn away during this section with a cry of “Eerrgh! Yuk!” The Silence – who erase your memories of seeing them – were a classic Who creation and my 12-year-old daughter now has symbols on her arm to remember if she’s seen them (three so far). The series has become increasingly reliant on the internal fears of children. The crack in the bedroom wall that is really a tear in space and time and the Weeping Angels that send you into the past when you blink. Clever writing, but not great for getting the kids to sleep. In the Jon Pertwee and Tom Baker eras, there was a clearer realisation that the monsters were men in rubber suits. It was fairly easy to explain to a child that a church gargoyle was not that likely to come to life and inspire the Brigadier to order “Jenkins, chap with the wings there, five rounds rapid!” The Doctor should be a maverick wanderer, a rebel with a Tardis console, not a superhero. Now every plot seems to centre round the Doctor or his companions as being crucial to the very fabric of the universe. At the end of the David Tennant era the stars went out and the Earth moved, while in the last series we had the Tardis exploding and destroying the universe, at least until some more infuriatingly complex time hopping by Matt Smith. The death of Rory Williams was more gratuitous sensationalism; nice guy Rory is shot and falls through a crack in space and time and is then bought back as an Auton with Rory’s memories who shoots Amy. Sometimes you just yearn for aliens invading a home counties quarry, and a simple good versus evil plot – and with proper Daleks, not the redesigned Teletubby versions . The Christopher Eccleston story The Doctor Dances had it right: scary gas mask monsters but at the end the nanogenes repair the dead, and the Doctor exclaims: “Just this once, everybody lives!” At present the writers seem intent on proving how clever they are through too much complexity and too many cheap shocks. Pete May No: It’s important for kids to learn about fear My seven-year-old son fancies himself as fearless. All it has taken to disprove his belief in his own bravery these past couple of weeks has been to turn on BBC1 on Saturday tea-time. He’ll crouch down at one end of the sofa, curling himself into a ball, until I ask if he wants a cuddle. He’ll scuttle over, and squeeze himself into me, without ever daring to take his eyes off the screen. What’s scared him so much, of course, has been The Silence , the swollen-skulled, black-suited monsters of the opening episodes of the new series of Doctor Who: a bizarre almagam of Reservoir Dogs and John Merrick. Matt Smith, the actor who plays the current Doctor, has already claimed they’re the scariest ever Who monsters . But too scary? Nonsense. Doctor Who’s great gift has been to introduce generations of kids to dread, with the safety net of knowing, first, that the Doctor and his assistants will prevail, one way or another; and second, that the fear will pass in less than an hour. It’s important for kids to learn about fear, to experience the rush of adrenalin it produces, to recognise their own reactions to it, and there’s no better way than Who. It’s in the same family of experience as learning about risk: after a couple of decades of trying to eliminate that factor from play by sanitising playgrounds, it’s now understood that children need to learn to assess risk, and so playgrounds are becoming more challenging again. The similarity between the two experiences lies in the elimination of hazard, that being a danger that cannot be assessed. There’s no hazard in Doctor Who: if it’s too scary, a child can leave the room, or turn off the TV, or hide behind the sofa, like an older generation did when the Daleks rolled on to the screen. Yes, today’s monsters are creepier than the Daleks, but so what? The Hammer version of Dracula was terrifying once, but now it’s about as unsettling as Anne of Green Gables. The threshold of horror rises with every passing generation and always has done, but there’s no reason for Doctor Who to remain stuck in the past. And just as kids like the thrill that comes from leaping around a good playground, so they like being scared. Not too scared. Not so scared they can’t sleep at night, but just so scared they can’t quite tear themselves away from what frightens them. That’s certainly how my son reacted to The Silence. What the best Who monsters do is teach our children that the world is an uncertain place, that there can be dangers in our everyday world. That is true; it’s also something most parents teach their children. What Who also does is remind kids that there is someone doing their best to protect them from these dangers, again something most parents happily do. But the scariest-ever Who monsters? Has Matt Smith already forgotten the Weeping Angels ? Michael Hann Doctor Who Television Science fiction Fantasy BBC1 BBC Television industry Michael Hann Pete May guardian.co.uk
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