Home » Archives by category » News » Politics (Page 146)
Facebook flooded with campaigners’ requests for hard copies of information

Reddit user group called How to annoy Facebook sets out to do just that after data sharing gives rise to fresh privacy concerns A community website appeared to have got the better of Facebook on Thursday after a guerilla campaign overloaded the social network with requests to send out hard copies of personal data it holds on its users. The campaign, blatantly called How to annoy Facebook , was started by a user on the social news site Reddit and quickly became the number three story in its “what’s hot” section. Under some data protection laws in Europe, Facebook has to send a hard copy – likely to be a CD – of your personal data. In the case of the UK and Ireland, it must send out a CD within 40 days. However, the group’s mischief may be somewhat stymied by the fact that Facebook does not have to supply the information in the format requested. The UK information commissioner’s office told the Guardian that Facebook could lawfully send out the data by email, or whichever format was the most convenient. The social network could even direct users to its “export your data” webpage if that satisfied the request. Facebook evidently has been flooded with requests — according to technology blog ZDNet , the company’s data access request team have been forced to send out emails telling users there will be a significant delay in getting their personal data out to them. The amount of data would include a user’s photo gallery, social calendar, wall posts and all other personal data such as date of birth. ZDNet reported that a typical personal data file will be a PDF that runs to more than 1,000 pages and more than 100MB in size. The watchdog website Europe vs Facebook received a 780-page personal information file – 34MB in size, roughly the same as eight MP3 music tracks – when it requested data from Facebook. Facebook had not responded to a request for comment at the time of publication. The online campaign follows fresh privacy concerns about what data is held by Facebook after it launched features last week that automatically share what users are watching, reading and listening to on certain sites. Spotify attracted criticism for the changes, which meant that every song a user listened to was automatically shared on Facebook, unless the user explicitly opted out. The Anglo-Swedish streaming service on Thursday introduced a “private listening” feature in response to users who complained that they didn’t want Facebook friends being notified of every song they listened to. Daniel Ek, co-founder and chief executive of Spotify, announced the changes on Twitter . “We’re rolling out a new client as we speak where you can temporarily hide your guilty pleasures. It works like a browser’s private mode,” he tweeted . “We call it ‘private listening’ and you can find it in the Spotify/File menu and toggle it on/off.” Facebook Spotify Internet Social networking Digital media Lisa O’Carroll Josh Halliday guardian.co.uk

Continue reading …
Government plans to raise speed limit to 80mph

Transport secretary to announce proposed increase in speed limit from 70mph to 80mph at Tory conference The government plans to raise the speed limit to 80mph from 70mph in a victory for the transport secretary, Philip Hammond. Hammond said on Thursday he will launch a consultation later this year with a view to introducing the new limit in 2013. The new policy is part of a determined bid to shift the government on to the side of the motorists after successive governments appeared keen to discourage driving. Hammond is expected to couple the increase with an expansion of 20mph limits in many urban areas. But the motorway proposal is expected to receive stiff opposition from road safety campaigners and environmentalists who point out that cars are far less fuel efficient at the higher speed. Hammond said: “Britain’s roads should be the arteries of a healthy economy and cars are a vital lifeline for many.” he blamed Labour’s “shortsighted and misguided war on the motorist” for penalising drivers. “This government has already scrapped the M4 bus lane, cut central government funding for money-making speed cameras and announced new measures to crack down on boy racers and reckless drivers while standing up for the decent majority,” he said. “Now it is time to put Britain back in the fast lane of global economies and look again at the motorway speed limit which is nearly 50 years old, and out of date thanks to huge advances in safety and motoring technology. “Increasing the motorway speed limit to 80mph would generate economic benefits of hundreds of millions of pounds through shorter journey times. So we will consult later this year on raising the limit to get Britain moving.” The existing 70mph limit was set in 1965. The government argues that cars are significantly safer since then, with a fall of 75% in the numbers of people killed every year on British roads since then. It insists road safety is still a top priority for the government. It also says that up to 49% of drivers are currently breaking the top speed limit. The change was due to be announced at the Tory party conference in Manchester this weekend but was brought forward after news leaked. Greenpeace’s senior transport campaigner Emma Gibson said: “The Saudi oil minister will rub his hands with glee when he learns of Philip Hammond’s decision. At a time when North Sea oil production is going down and we are ever more reliant upon unstable regimes and fragile environments to fuel our cars, the transport secretary’s decision will raise oil consumption and carbon emissions when we need to cut both.” The policy package represents the end of a drawn-out Whitehall battle with Hammond having to fend off the concerns of the climate change secretary, Chris Huhne, and the health secretary, Andrew Lansley. Huhne fought against it as the 10mph increase will see cars use more fuel and so increase pollution. Lansley’s department raised concerns it will see a rise in road casualties. It comes before a conference in which the Tories announce popular policies to remind activists of their own party’s instincts outside the coalition. Several welfare announcements are expected. Transport Road transport Transport policy Allegra Stratton guardian.co.uk

Continue reading …
‘Contagion:’ A Political Thriller in the Obama Era

enlarge Credit: IMDB In the 1970s, the era of Watergate and Vietnam and many more official perfidies, Hollywood gave us a new genre of movies. The bad guys were great big, faceless institutions—corporations or the government, it didn’t matter; or sometimes corporations in cahoots with the government. The good guys were anything but faceless: they had rugged, sexy, sexy faces, that belonged to A-list stars like Robert Redford and Warren Beatty. They played lone-wolf investigators, characters straight out of the film noir tradition: tormented by a longing for justice, all but undone by the fallen state of the world. They usually were identifiably left-wing. For instance “Serpico,” played by Al Pacino, was a cop, but he was also a hippie—fat beard, floppy hat, cuddly dog. Frequently, they were journalists—think “All the President’s Men.” If they weren’t, they acted like journalists, for they were always, at bottom, investigators —even if they were only, like all those Biblical prophets in the Old Testament, accidentally drafted into the role, like Gene Hackman in “The Conversation,” in which he played a surveillance expert who accidentally gathers evidence of a potential murder. In “Three Days of the Condor” Redford returns from lunch to find all his colleagues at the CIA front where he works have been murdered—because, naturally, they had learned to much about a CIA-sponsored effort to manipulate world oil markets. That was the 1970s: never before had so defiantly anti-authoritarian popular culture been so popular. So popular, in fact, that by the end of the decade even middle-of-the-road pablum took on aspects of the general outline, just because that’s the way movies were by then were supposed to be. For instance, in Beatty’s “Heaven Can Wait” (1978), when Warren Beatty bargains with his guardian angel to return to earth, the vessel his soul inhabitants is a stinking corporate tycoon whose schemes which Beatty, of course, cannot but overturn. Things are different now. Investigating is out. “We need to look forward as opposed to looking backwards,” as Barack Obama said concerning the shadowy crimes of the Bush administration. I thought about that recently when I saw “Contagion,” the new thriller about a global epidemic starring Matt Damon. It’s a 1970s conspiracy movie turned inside out. It’s quite the cultural testament for the Age of Obama. The good guy turns out to be Lawrence Fishburn, a researcher at the Centers for Disease Control. He’s a quiet, cool, efficient bureaucrat, infinitely compassion for his colleague out in the field whom he keeps on begging to take time off for herself. (Who needs unions when America is filled with benevolent bosses like that? And, of course, she doesn’t take his advice: she works, and works, and works, to the point of contracting the dread disease herself—isn’t that what we’re all supposed to be doing to guarantee continued employment in our blessed age of austerity?) The media keeps on trying to press him into sensationalism. He’s cool about that, too. He’s human, to be sure: at one point he tells his beloved fiancée about secret plans to evacuate Chicago, giving her a jump on the chaos that ensues. That gets out in the media, and we see him scapegoated for a peccadillo, probably to lose his career, despite his manifest heroism throughout. But he’s even noble in that: willingly, maturely, he graciously prepares to fall on his sword, accepting the consequences of his actions. (For a contrasting view of the CDC as a seventies-conspiracy-style victim, see Steven King’s 1978 novel “The Stand.”) And here’s the point about that: the film is constructed to make us feel ashamed for ever suspecting him in the first place—even though he’s the guy that every other paranoia movie we’ve ever seen, all those ones rooted in the seventies paradigm, has trained us to suspect. We’re made to feel ashamed for identifying with the hectoring media types who victimize him. Of all the panoply of powerful institutions presented in the movie, the media is the only one for whom the viewer is to feel no sympathy. “Nothing spreads like fear” is the advertising tagline. And spreading fear, according to the picture’s logic, is what the media is all about. Indeed, we’re made to loath one investigator in particular—the guy who ends up as the film’s preeminent villain, worse, far worse, in fact than the multinational corporation responsible for the superbug in the first place, who it turns out is really only kinda sorta responsible, because it was all a fluke accident. The bad guy, you see, is a blogger. A really, really evil blogger. A moral monster, in fact. It sets up like this. Jude Law’s Alan Krumwiede is the mad investigator of 1970s paranoia movie fame—the guy who the powers that be always mark for death, after all, he always turns out to be right, and have the powers-that-be’s number. Not here. Krumwiede claims to be on the trail of a conspiracy: that there already exists a remedy, a homeopathic medicine, that can already cure the superbug. Only the powers that be are covering it up because there’s money to be made by developing a nicely corporate vaccine—which the powers that be proceed to do, as millions of people die. But things are not as they seem. How wicked is the blogger character? As the film unfolds he reports on his blog what happens when he contracts the disease, then takes the homeopathic remedy, and is cured. Then, in the last reel, we learn what really happened: he faked having the disease, so he could fake being cured, all to cash in on the investment position he holds in the homeopathic remedy. These days, Serpico goes to jail. Because it turns out he was the bad guy all along. Crazy Serpico, thinking our protectors are actually society’s malefactors. Why do I feel like there’s something Obama-ite about all this? Consider the Lawrence Fishurne character He’s just decent, decent, decent. Dare I say he’s an Obama stand-in—a figurehead for the notion that decent, public-spirited technocrats, acting beyond the constraints of “bumper sticker slogans,” are all we need to set the world aright? It’s a world where the right decisions can only get made when we trust the technocrats to do it behind closed doors, without pesky populist investigators getting in the way. Just like, this week, Obama’s former director of the Office of Management and Budget, and now the vice chairman of global banking at Citigroup, said in The New Republic : In an 1814 letter to John Taylor, John Adams wrote that “there never was a democracy yet that did not commit suicide.” That may read today like an overstatement, but it is certainly true that our democracy finds itself facing a deep challenge: During my recent stint in the Obama administration as director of the Office of Management and Budget, it was clear to me that the country’s political polarization was growing worse—harming Washington’s ability to do the basic, necessary work of governing. If you need confirmation of this, look no further than the recent debt-limit debacle, which clearly showed that we are becoming two nations governed by a single Congress—and that paralyzing gridlock is the result. So what to do? To solve the serious problems facing our country, we need to minimize the harm from legislative inertia by relying more on automatic policies and depoliticized commissions for certain policy decisions. In other words, radical as it sounds, we need to counter the gridlock of our political institutions by making them a bit less democratic. Who could disagree with that? Hippies with fat beards, floppy hats, and cuddly dog; bloggers, maybe. The people who spread fear. Certainly not the trustworthy powers that be who we can always, always count on to have our best interests at heart. Certainly not the whistleblowers —which the Obama administration has targeted as no administration has ever before. The seventies are over, kids. We’re all supposed to surrender to trust.

Continue reading …
Bill O’Reilly Scolds Jon Stewart for Not Knowing About Government’s $16 Muffins

Liberals love to put comedian Jon Stewart up on a pedestal as being the most intelligent man on television aware of all that's impacting the nation. On Wednesday's “Daily Show,” guest Bill O'Reilly of Fox News exposed the host for having missed a major story last week about almost unthinkable waste in government spending (video follows with transcript and commentary): [Dedicated Newsbusters readers! We are up to $2940 of our goal to raise $5000. Help us continue to expose and defeat the insidious bias of the liberal media. Show your appreciation for NewsBusters and get "I Don't Believe the Liberal Media" buttons and bumper stickers, or a Chris Matthews floormat, as our thank you. Donate now! ] BILL O’REILLY, FOX NEWS: Now listen. JON STEWART, HOST: But that's my point. That’s a very… O’REILLY: You've got to downsize the government so they can watch what's happening and make intelligent decisions. It's insane. Right now, look, the $16 muffin. Do we all know what the $16 muffin is? Alright. STEWART: What? O’REILLY: See, you don't even know what the $16 muffin is. STEWART: What neighborhood do you live in? O’REILLY: Yeah. STEWART: Who makes a $16 muffin? O’REILLY: This is great. I'm glad. Look. STEWART: Alright. O’REILLY: $16 muffin, broke the story last week on “The Factor.” You were otherwise occupied, making your little wise remarks. Not reading what's happening. They had a bunch of conferences for pinheads, federal government, and they ordered 250 muffins at $16 apiece. STEWART: That's a lot for muffins. O’REILLY: Yeah! And you know what, I paid for the muffins. STEWART: I understand that. O’REILLY: And so did you. STEWART: I understand that. For Stewart's sake, Reuters reported on September 21: As the U.S. government grapples to find ways to trim the bloated federal deficit, a new report suggests officials might start with cutting out $16 muffins and $10 cookies. “We found the Department (of Justice) spent $16 on each of the 250 muffins served at an August 2009 legal conference in Washington,” said a DOJ Office of Inspector General report released on Tuesday. The DOJ spent $121 million on conferences in fiscal 2008 and 2009, which exceeded its own spending limits and appeared to be extravagant and wasteful, according to the report that examined 10 conferences held during that period. The review turned up the expensive muffins, which came from the Capital Hilton Hotel just blocks from the White House, as well as cookies and brownies that cost almost $10 each. I guess the smartest guy in the room missed this story. Might it have been important if a man he didn't like was in the White House overseeing such waste? Hmmm.

Continue reading …
Teenage sisters sentenced over plot to kill their grandfather, 89

Elder sister, 16, jailed and younger sibling, 14, given rehabilitation order for involvement in family plot to steal money A 16-year-old girl has been jailed and her younger sister given a youth rehabilitation order for their part in a plot to kill their 89-year-old grandfather so they could steal his money. The elderly man, who suffered from dementia, was attacked with bricks at his bungalow in a village near Winchester, Hampshire. In the weeks before, some of those involved in the plot had researched how to kill him on the internet using Google searches such as “1,000 ways to die”, “poisonous toadstools” and “easiest way to kill an old person”. Last month, the elderly victim’s adopted daughter, 49, was jailed for 17 years and her son, 19, was given an indeterminate sentence in a young offenders’ institution after being found guilty of conspiracy to murder. The woman’s older daughter, 16, was also found guilty of conspiracy to murder and was given a 26-month youth detention order at Winchester crown court. Her younger sister, 14, was given a two-year youth rehabilitation order after she was convicted of wounding with intent, but was acquitted of the conspiracy charge. A third girl, aged 17 – the 19-year-old son’s girlfriend – was also found guilty of the conspiracy charge and sentenced to three years’ youth detention. The girls, sitting with social workers, sobbed as the sentences were handed down. Sentencing the two older girls, Mr Justice Foskett said: “The essence of the offence of which you were convicted is that you were prepared to contemplate the death of another individual. I cannot avoid a custodial sentence in your two cases.” Speaking to the younger sister, he said: “Despite your physical appearance, you are still very young and immature. I do not think the public interest calls for a custodial sentence in your case.” The judge described the three girls as “vulnerable” and under the influence of the mother, adding that they had acted out of fear of her. Sentencing the two adults last month, Foskett called the attack “despicable and inhuman”. He said the plot and the attempts to kill the pensioner, who lived with his wife, “will defy belief in the minds of any right-thinking person”. The family, who cannot be named for legal reasons, had launched a campaign to try to scare the OAP to death by smashing a window at his home and cutting the fuel line of his car to try to make it explode. During the six-week trial the jury was told the man was lured outside his home by his daughter pretending to have fallen over. He was knocked to the ground by her son and hit with bricks by the two young girls. The prosecution said the intention was to kill him for his money even though he had generously given cash for cars and horses for the family, which had been squandered. The man survived with cuts and bruises and was able to tell paramedics, who were called by his daughter, he had been hit. He is now in a residential home with his wife. The court heard that the daughter stopped the attack and tried to tell ambulance staff her father had fallen, but the family was arrested. Crime Youth justice Steven Morris guardian.co.uk

Continue reading …
Jia Ashton murder: man pleads guilty

David Simmonds battered Chinese-born economics graduate to death in woodlands near her workplace A 21-year-old man has admitted murdering an economics graduate who was battered to death in woodlands near her workplace. David Simmonds, of Heanor, Derbyshire, pleaded guilty at Nottingham crown court to the murder of 25-year-old Jia Ashton. The body of Chinese-born Ashton was discovered in Sleetmoor Woods, near Somercotes in Derbyshire, on 13 March, three days after she was last seen leaving her job at the chocolate-maker Thorntons. Detectives launched a high-priority inquiry after Ashton’s music teacher husband, Matthew, reported her missing on the evening of 11 March. She was eventually found by a mountain search and rescue dog in Sleetmoor Woods. Detectives think she would have been walking her usual route home down a road known locally as the Yellow Brick Road when she was attacked. Speaking at a media briefing earlier this week, Detective Superintendent Terry Branson said she was subjected to a sustained and brutal attack, in which there was no evidence of any weapons being used. Simmonds, at 1.88 metres (6ft 2in) and 120kg (19 stone), was more than three times the weight of Ashton, who stood at 1.5 metres, weighed 41kg and wore a size two shoe. Branson said: “Whilst I believe this may well have been a chance meeting in the woods on 10 March, thereafter what took place was not chance, not coincidental. “It was a sustained violent and brutal attack on a young woman, a result of which was that she did receive horrendous injuries to her head and significant compression to her chest, resulting in trauma to her heart, which was the cause of her death.” All her injuries were consistent with having been kicked and punched, he added, and there was no evidence of a sexual attack. She was found some distance from the site where detectives believe she was attacked but it is not clear if she ran there or was dragged. Branson said Ashton was last seen leaving Thorntons just after 5pm on 10 March before walking through the woods with her hood up and listening to an MP3 player. Her body was found about 500 metres from some of her belongings, which included her glasses, her music player and earphones, her mobile phone, which had been snapped in two, five buttons from her coat, and an umbrella cover. Her handbag was found around 4.5 metres up a tree close to her body. Detectives believe Simmonds scattered her belongings around the woods to conceal the crime. He also covered her body with various tree branches and logs. Fingerprints and DNA evidence were recovered from her glasses and her phone but Simmonds was not on any national databases so was not matched. He was eventually arrested on 5 May, eight weeks into the investigation, and charged with Ashton’s murder on 6 May after officers searched the local register of homeless people following accounts from witnesses a dishevelled and unkempt man in the woods around the time of the murder. Simmonds, who has a tattoo behind his right ear at the top of his neck, appeared in court wearing a brown long-sleeved shirt and dark jogging bottoms. Ashton’s husband, who was in court with his mother, Sue, stared at Simmonds as he was brought into the dock. Simmonds spoke only to confirm his name and was remanded in custody to appear at Nottingham crown court on 7 October for sentencing. Crime guardian.co.uk

Continue reading …
Bahrain doctors jailed for treating injured protesters

Doctors and nurses given up to 15 years in jail for treating people injured during uprising in Gulf kingdom Bahrain’s special security court has given lengthy jail terms to doctors and nurses who treated injured protesters during the uprising earlier this year, a lawyer said. The court, set up under emergency rule, also sentenced a protester to death for killing a police officer. Mohsen al-Alawi said the tribunal jailed 13 medical professionals for 15 years each. In addition, two doctors were sentenced to 10 years each while five other medics convicted on Thursday were given five years each. The harsh sentences suggest the Sunni authorities in the Gulf kingdom will not relent in punishing those they accuse of supporting the Shia-led opposition and joining protests. Earlier this year, the special court had sentenced two protesters to death for killing a police officer. Al-Alawi said all the defendants, who were charged with anti-state crimes, can appeal against the verdicts. A Bahraini rights group identified the protester sentenced to death as Ali Yousef Abdulwahab. The Bahrain Youth Society for Human Rights said in a statement that another suspect, Ali Attia Mahdi, was convicted on Thursday as Abdulwahab’s accomplice and jailed for life. Hundreds of activists have been imprisoned since March when Bahrain’s rulers imposed martial law to deal with protests by the Shia majority demanding greater rights and freedoms. More than 30 people have been killed since protests began in February, inspired by Arab uprisings elsewhere. The Sunni monarchy responded with a violent crackdown in the strategically important Gulf nation, base for the US navy’s 5th Fleet. Thursday’s verdicts came a day after the tribunal upheld sentences for 21 activists convicted over the protests, including eight political figures who were given life terms on charges of trying to overthrow the monarchy. The sentences reflected the authorities’ unwillingness to cut punishments for those considered central to the uprising, although officials have taken some steps to ease tensions. They include releasing some detainees and reinstating state workers purged for suspected support of the protest movement. The doctors’ trial has been closely watched by rights groups, which have criticised Bahrain’s use of the security court, which has military prosecutors and civilian and military judges, in prosecuting civilians. Shias account for about 70% of Bahrain’s population of some 525,000 people, but claim they face deep-rooted discrimination such as being blocked from key government and security posts. The Sunni dynasty, which has ruled the island for more than 200 years, has retained crucial support from the west and Gulf Arab neighbours through the months of protests and crackdowns. Bahrain’s rulers invited a Saudi-led Gulf force to help them deal with the dissent. Sunni rulers of neighbours including Saudi Arabia and the United Arab Emirates fear that concessions to the protesters in Bahrain could widen the influence of Shia Iran. Bahrain Middle East Arab and Middle East unrest Protest guardian.co.uk

Continue reading …
China launches Tiangong-1 space station test module

The experimental module will stay in orbit for two years as part of China’s ambitious space station project China has launched an experimental module to lay the groundwork for a future space station, underscoring its ambitions to become a major space power. Tiangong-1 was shot into space from the Jiuquan launch centre on the edge of the Gobi desert aboard a Long March 2FT1 rocket. After moving it into orbit, China plans to launch an unmanned Shenzhou 8 spacecraft to practice docking manoeuvres with the module, possibly within the next few weeks. Two more missions, at least one of them manned, are to meet up with it next year for further practice, with astronauts staying for up to one month. The 8.5-tonne module, whose name translates as heavenly palace, is to stay aloft for two years, after which two other experimental modules are to be launched for additional tests before the actual station is launched in three sections between 2020 and 2022. “This is a significant test. We’ve never done such a thing before,” Lu Jinrong, the launch centre’s chief engineer, was quoted as saying by the official Xinhua news agency. The space station, which is yet to be formally named, is the most ambitious project in China’s exploration of space, which also calls for a moon landing, possibly with astronauts. China launched its first manned flight in 2003, joining Russia and the United States as the only countries to launch humans into orbit. However, habitual secrecy and the space programme’s close links with the military have inhibited co-operation with other nations – including with the International Space Station. China Space guardian.co.uk

Continue reading …
Rio Ferdinand loses ‘kiss and tell’ privacy case against Sunday Mirror

Footballer’s claim is dismissed as judge’s ruling favours defendant’s right to freedom of expression Footballer Rio Ferdinand on Thursday lost his privacy action over a “kiss and tell” story published by the Sunday Mirror. The England and Manchester United star was not at the high court in London to hear Mr Justice Nicol dismiss his claim against Sunday Mirror publisher Mirror Group Newspapers. Ferdinand will pay MGN’s legal costs. Ferdinand brought his case for misuse of private information over an April 2010 Sunday Mirror article in which interior designer Carly Storey gave her account of their 13-year relationship in return for £16,000. The judge said: “Overall, in my judgment, the balancing exercise favours the defendant’s right of freedom of expression over the claimant’s right of privacy.” After the judge’s ruling, Sunday Mirror editor Tina Weaver said in a statement: “The Sunday Mirror is very pleased that the court has rejected Rio Ferdinand’s privacy claim. “The judge found that there was a justified public interest in reporting the off-pitch behaviour of the then England captain and discussion of his suitability for such an important and ambassadorial role representing the country. “We are pleased the judge ruled that Mr Ferdinand had perpetuated a misleading public image and the Sunday Mirror was entitled to correct this impression. “There has never been greater scrutiny of the media than now, and we applaud this ruling in recognising the important role a free press has to play in a democratic society.” Ferdinand, who has three children with wife Rebecca, had told the judge at an earlier high court hearing that he was “extremely upset to read the story, particularly because it came out of the blue”. “It has been stressful and embarrassing for me to have to explain it to fellow professionals as well as family members and friends, and it has inevitably put a strain on my relationship with my wife,” he said. “People also started shouting things out at me in the street after the article was published – things like, ‘Where’s your new bird?’” Ferdinand added that he had not met the woman named in the Sunday Mirror story for six years by the time it was published. “Although I am a well-known person I make a clear distinction between my public and private life and do not seek publicity for my personal life,” he said. “I do not see why I should not be entitled to a private life just because I am a famous footballer.” •

Continue reading …

The latest memo coming out of Democracy Corps and Greenberg Quinlan Rosner definitively demonstrates both how narrow a ledge Democrats are sitting on in terms of 2012, and the utter volatility of the mood of the electorate. Without a significant improvement in the real economy — by which I mean the economy in terms of how it feels for regular folks and small businesses, not whether Wall Street guys are still getting their bonuses — the smart money would have to be on a sour election for the incumbent President’s party. Since I’m not seeing a significant economic upturn any time soon, you won’t find me whistling past the graveyard and predicting sweeping Democratic victories. However, the raw and unadulterated anger that many voters feel toward both parties, and the extremist positions the entire Republican Party has been forced to embrace by their tea party base, make this a very unpredictable election. There also are a number of very big variables, each of which could profoundly shake things up. Any of the following three things would clearly have a deep impact on the 2012 election, and all of them in my view are more than 50 percent likely to happen: 1. A European country defaulting on its loans, causing big economic damage to the rest of the worldwide economy. 2. A major bank, either here or in Europe, either going down or needing to be bailed out. And if it happens to any one of them, it could well happen to more. 3. A well-financed (self-financed) third-party candidate running for President. And while I think it’s less than 50-50 that this will happen, I also think that it is entirely possible that the D.C. elites on the supercommittee may end up cutting a deal that delights lobbyists and inside-the-Beltway pundits, but just ends up enraging everyone else — sort of like the lawmakers a couple decades back who were congratulating themselves on their grand bipartisan deal on catastrophic coverage for seniors, but went home to find seniors surrounding and beating on their cars. If the grand bargainers end up cutting things middle-class and senior voters depend on in these tough times, their new Chevy Impalas might end up taking a beating, and the election could get shaken up once again. A lot of people assume that if any of the above big things happen, Obama and the Democrats will be the ones hurt, but big things happening that shake up the fundamental dynamics of the race aren’t necessarily bad if you are a candidate in a tough spot. A wealthy self-funded “centrist” (as defined by the pundits) like Mike Bloomberg jumping into the race would force Obama to his populist left, and that would be a very good thing for him, because when voters are hurting and angry is generally not the best time to run as the most reasonable man in the room. And if a big bank starts to topple, and Obama were to react like he should have done with Citibank in 2009 by taking over and restructuring the bank, and firing the execs, it could show voters that he has learned his lessons and is willing to do the politically tough thing by taking on Wall Street. When voters are this angry, generally big things happen to change the nature of the election. In 1948, Truman had two splinter groups break from the party, was trashed all year long by the elites, and still won. In 1968, George Wallace did better as a third-party candidate than anyone since Teddy Roosevelt in 1912. In 1980, we had John Anderson, and in 1992 we had Ross Perot — and in both years, the challengers that pundits thought were sure losers earlier in the year were big winners. One final historical note: the last two Presidents to win when voters were in a bad mood about the economy were FDR in 1936 and Truman in 1948. They ran as strong populists, giving the Republicans and their wealthy benefactors hell. The messaging will have to be right, and so will the policy decisions between now and next fall, but in these volatile times, voters are looking around for someone — anyone — who they think will actually fight for them when the weight of the world is pressed on their shoulders. Obama and the Democrats need to be those kinds of fighters: taking on the banks and the other wealthy special interests, and taking on Republican extremism full-out. If they truly are, as Obama described himself the other day, “warriors for the middle class,” they will have a chance in 2012.

Continue reading …