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Hosni Mubarak may not quit until the autumn but amending a constitution that afforded him such power can begin sooner It is not easy to predict what will happen next in Egypt’s uprising, but if there is to be significant reform in the post-Mubarak era the route will have to go through several far-reaching constitutional and political changes needed to open up a sclerotic system. Talks on Sunday between the vice-president, Omar Suleiman, and opposition figures produced little of substance – though the meeting with Muslim Brotherhood was a symbolic first. Mistrust, however, remains strong: Essam al-Erian, a leading Brotherhood member, has complained that a statement issued after the meeting had not been signed by the attendees. Crucially there is still no sign Mubarak is going to step down before the autumn – a position now tacitly supported by the US, UK and other western governments. The key question is whether change can take place without his departure – the core demand of the protesters in Cairo’s Tahrir Square. Mohamed ElBaradei, the nearest the divided opposition has to a recognised leader, is insisting the president must go, and has called for a ruling council to serve for a year of transition as a caretaker government to prepare new elections. He also wants the constitution abolished and parliament dissolved. Key changes include amending articles 76 and 77, which describe the powers of the presidency and the system for presidential elections that perpetuated Mubarak’s rule for a fifth consecutive term. Article 88 also needs to be amended to restore full judicial supervision of elections. Another must is article 179, controversially amended in 2007 to include an “anti-terrorism” measure that allows arbitrary arrest, searches and wiretapping without warrant and the transfer of civilian court cases to military tribunals. Unlike the emergency law this is not a temporary measure requiring parliamentary approval but a permanent extension of executive power under the constitution. Suleiman’s statement said only that the emergency would be lifted “in accordance with the security situation”. Debate in Egypt, as the Arabist blog put it , centres on how to proceed with either a new constitution or adapting the current one to the new circumstances. One initiative calls on Mubarak to devolve to Suleiman the responsibilities of managing the transitional period, dissolving the Shura (consultative upper) council and People’s Assembly (lower house) and form a committee of legal experts and independent judges to prepare constitutional amendments. But some experts warn that Mubarak’s immediate departure could make it harder to carry out changes. “If he resigns, the situation will be dangerous because we will have a constitutional vacuum, which means that we will have no chance to amend the constitution,” Ibrahim Darwish, a constitutional lawyer at Cairo University, told al-Masry al-Yom newspaper. Opposition supporters are also demanding the release of detainees belonging to the Muslim Brotherhood, the 6 April and 25 January movements and other groups. Other demands are greater freedom for private media, allowing opposition figures to appear in state-run media and abolishing restrictions on domestic and international media. There are calls too for civilian oversight of the police and security forces and a commitment by the army to supervise the transition. But Sherif Younis, another law professor, urged that change in Egypt be looked at in the broadest possible context. “Treating the constitution as sacred at this time is misguided,” he argued. “Surely the constitution is not meaningless; many institutions function, even if superficially, according to this document. What’s missing from the current debate is an honest discussion about the fact that the constitution exists in a wider context where a state of exception prevails and the exercise of political power often trumps the rule of law.” Hosni Mubarak Egypt Middle East Protest Ian Black guardian.co.uk
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A father attacked by an 8-foot crocodile in northern Australia while swimming with his daughters survived by punching the reptile repeatedly in the snout, reports the Independent . The man suffered two big bites on his back and 10 puncture wounds on his wrist, but the injuries are not life-threatening, said…
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In New Cairo – a satellite city to the east of the capital – life, on the surface at least, seems to have barely changed The grass is cut as finely as ever on the Katameya Heights golf course, and cigars are still being smoked discreetly in the clubhouse. Glancing around the lobby, one could be forgiven for thinking nothing had ever disturbed this gated citadel of Cairo luxury; indeed the ladies’ day Valentine’s tournament is to go ahead as scheduled. There is just one tactful nod to the turmoil that has shaken Egypt to its foundations in the past fortnight: a short letter to members, pinned to a noticeboard by the fountain. “Welcome back – we hope you and your families are all safe,” it reads. “The 18-hole operating hours are as follows.” Barack Obama claims this country “is not going back to what it was”, but in New Cairo – a satellite city to the east of the capital, home to dozens of high-walled residential compounds – life, on the surface at least, seems to have barely changed at all. “Things are back to normal: food is in the shops, the gates are secure, all the cafes are open,” says Wael Hassan, a 34-year-old marketing manager who lives in Al Rehab, one of the oldest private communities in the area. “Naturally people were inconvenienced by the troubles, and no one likes instability. But thankfully things are OK now.”In the nearby courtyard of Costa coffee, a neighbour of Wael’s agreed. “People get tired of revolutions pretty quickly, and when you’re in a self-contained bubble like this it’s hard to associate images on TV with anything that’s happening in real life. So we waited it out and then came out to play; we knew all this disruption wouldn’t last for long.” Yet as Egypt’s pro-change uprising enters its third week, a return to normality in places such as New Cairo is exactly what those camped out 15 miles away in Tahrir Square desperately want to avoid. Carved out of the desert in piecemeal fashion over the past two decades as part of an ambitious and highly controversial urban expansion programme, this elite neighbourhood for many symbolises everything that is wrong with the Mubarak regime. “The corruption and crony capitalism that New Cairo was built on goes to the heart of this government’s contempt for the Egyptian people,” says Hamdy Fakharany, an activist lawyer who has been challenging land sales in the area through the courts. Last year he won a landmark victory after proving that desert plots in Madinaty – a 13sq mile New Cairo compound worth £1.9bn developed by a company with close ties to the Mubarak family – was sold by the Egyptian government at a fraction of the market price. Now judges have ordered the sale agreement to be annulled, threatening similar development contracts with the same fate and throwing the entire district’s future into chaos. “When they sold off our public land to their friends, they did it because they knew they could get away with it – they were not afraid of the people,” says Fakharany, who believes that up to 26,000sq miles of desert land has been misappropriated in Egypt over the past few years, the cumulative size of five nearby Arab countries. “My court cases, and now this revolution, means they can’t be that complacent anymore.” The nepotism that marked New Cairo’s astonishing growth in recent years is not the only reason it has come to symbolise Egypt’s perceived backsliding under Mubarak. As a refuge for the upper classes fleeing Cairo’s demographic explosion, New Cairo also stands as a glaring example of the growing divide between rich and poor that characterised the government of the prime minister Ahmed Nazif – an economic reformist, and one of those who lost his job in Mubarak’s recent reshuffle. Nazif oversaw a replacement of progressive fiscal policies with a flat-rate income tax, refused to raise the minimum wage above £3.50 a month, and presided over a rise in the proportion of those living below the poverty line – who now account for 40% of the population. And yet, despite the contrast between New Cairo and the plethora of poor, redbrick ashwa’iyat (informal neighbourhoods) nearby, attitudes to the current protests do not split neatly along class lines. “Lots of people from here travelled to join the demonstrations, even when their parents told them not to,” says Salma Tariq, a 26-year-old New Cairo resident. “Yes our families have done well out of the regime and you might think that we have an interest in preserving the status quo, but in reality the youth here have the same frustrations as anyone else in Egypt: we want freedom, we want to stop being afraid of the police, we want a chance to shape our own future.”When the uprising started many of the young men in this neighbourhood split into groups and alternated between going to the protests and staying home to defend our properties from looters. Some people I know were fleeing the country, and one got on a private jet to Greece – but these were the minority. As the labourers tending to half-built villas begin to drift back to work, and upscale franchised coffee chains roll back their shutters, the rhythms of life in New Cairo are slowly returning to normal. But that doesn’t mean that nothing has been altered. “Look at those protesting in Tahrir: you have the poor, but you also have young people who are the cream of the elite,” says Prof Ahmed Okasha, a psychiatrist based in New Cairo. “This revolution has changed the character of the Egyptian people and broken their fear; that applies as much to this town as it does to anywhere else. Some here will cling on to their privileges, but their children are with the protesters. No one will be able to go on pretending nothing has happened for long.” Egypt Middle East Jack Shenker guardian.co.uk
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Pro-democracy campaigners call for further mass protests as government concessions fail to win over Muslim Brotherhood Leading opposition groups in Egypt, including the Muslim Brotherhood, are standing by a demand that President Hosni Mubarak resign before there can be a political agreement to end two weeks of mass protests against his regime. Pro-democracy campaigners called another mass demonstration for Tuesday to keep up the pressure on Mubarak to quit in the face of the government’s attempts to marginalise the street protests as no longer relevant because political talks are under way. In Washington, Barack Obama expressed optimism about developments in Egypt. “Obviously Egypt has to negotiate a path, and I think they’re making progress,” he said. But there remains considerable suspicion within the opposition about the intentions of Mubarak’s vice-president, Omar Suleiman, who is overseeing the political transition and leading the negotiations, particularly after the continued arrest of opposition activists and fresh harassment of the press. Mubarak’s new cabinet, installed after he sacked the previous one in an attempt to placate protesters, held its first meeting today and promptly announced a 15% pay rise for government employees in an apparent attempt to buy support among workers hit by sharply rising food prices. The government also promised investigations into official corruption and widespread fraud that delivered the ruling party its large victory in last year’s parliamentary election. The curfew was relaxed by an hour. But the government’s attempts to return Egypt to normality with a call for a return to work and an end to the demonstrations met with only partial success. Banks opened for a second day but the stock exchange, which the government hoped would be trading, remained closed, as did schools and many businesses. The value of the Egyptian pound fell sharply. Suleiman met major opposition groups, including the outlawed Muslim Brotherhood, yesterday and made a series of concessions in the hope of defusing the protests. But Muslim Brotherhood members who attended the meeting said today that they “will continue in dialogue only if people’s demands are respected”. The Islamist group said this required “the immediate resignation of President Mubarak” as well as the dissolving of parliament, the release of political prisoners and the lifting of oppressive emergency laws. Other opposition leaders, including Mohamed ElBaradei, were sensitive to not being used to undermine the street protests and also said that Mubarak must quit for political change to take place. The leftwing Nasserist party has pulled out of talks until the president resigns. Mubarak has said he intends to remain in office until elections in September. Groups representing demonstrators across Egypt have said they will not end the protests until Mubarak has gone. They also want to see parliament dissolved and the lifting of the oppressive state of emergency among other measures. In Tahrir square, Cairo, tens of thousands of demonstrators turned out again today despite the government’s attempts to marginalise the protesters by suggesting that with political negotiations underway, they are no longer relevant. The military has said it is under orders to reopen the road through the square, a move that would greatly weaken the demonstrations. Protesters sought to prevent any surprise assault by sleeping inside the tracks of the army’s tanks and armoured vehicles. Unable to remove the demonstrators, the government is apparently trying to diminish their profile. The military was ordered not to permit foreign journalists to enter Tahrir square until they had press cards issued by the Egyptian government, which the information ministry said would not be available for at least two days. More activists have been arrested, it was reported, including an independent film-maker, Samir Eshra, and Abdel-Karim Nabil Suleiman, who blogs under the name Karim Amer. Amer was the first blogger to be prosecuted in the country when he was jailed for four years in 2007 for insulting Islam and the president. He was released last November. Washington has had to repeatedly shift policy on Egypt over the last fortnight. Obama called last week for Mubarak to begin the transition to democracy now, but has been forced to accept that he may stay in office until September. In the meantime, it has thrown its support behind Suleiman, to the distress of some of the government’s opponents. The White House spokesman, Robert Gibbs, elaborating on Obama’s comment about “progress”, backed Suleiman. He said that since the protests began Mubarak had said he would stand down and his son would not seek to succeed him. Steven Cook, a Middle East specialist at the Council on Foreign Relations, acknowledged the concerns about Suleiman. “He is not known to be a progressive thinker. Nobody would consider him to be a democrat.” Asked about criticism of the Obama administration for its seemingly constant policy switches, Cook said the administration had been dealt this hand when Mubarak nominated Suleiman as his vice-president. “The administration is being hammered but it has no leverage to influence events,” Cook said. Hosni Mubarak Egypt Middle East Protest Obama administration United States Chris McGreal Ewen MacAskill guardian.co.uk
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Chocolate lovers, rejoice: Your beloved treat may actually be healthier than fruit juice. A comparison of cocoa products to fruit juice powders suggests dark chocolate has more antioxidant power than juices, as well as more of certain chemicals that are good for your heart, the New York Daily News reports….
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A Florida man is accused of committing a hate crime after allegedly stabbing another man for being Muslim—a fact he learned while the two were talking about religion. Bradley Kent Strott, 52, became angry when he found out about the other man’s religion. He “grabbed the victim by his…
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AOL’s purchase of the Huffington Post is drawing plenty of muted cheers—and a few harsh critiques. Most seem to agree that both sides come out ahead. “The content rollup has begun,” writes Michael Wolff at MediaWeek , and new media is becoming old media—”if it’s lucky.” Calling the buy…
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Ahh, fireplaces: cozy, romantic, and … as bad for you as car exhaust fumes? Apparently so: New research reveals that breathing in the smoke from open fires or wood-burning stoves can lead to cancer, and heart and lung disease. The airborne particles in the smoke are particularly harmful because they’re…
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Longtime California Rep. Jane Harman will leave Congress to head up the Woodrow Wilson Center, she said in an email to constituents today. “This is an excruciating decision because the distinction of representing the smartest constituents on earth will never be surpassed,” Harman wrote, according to the AP . “But shaping…
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Al Jazeera has obtained footage showing violent clashes between Mubarak loyalists and pro-democracy protesters on the night between February 2 and 3. In one clip, Mubarak loyalists are seen driving into a crowd of pro-democracy protesters, who then set upon them. In another, shots are fired on protesters on a bridge. Al Jazeera’s Andrew Simmons in Cairo has more. [Warning: the images in this footage may disturb some viewers.]
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