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Sarah Palin’s mystery bus tour keeps US media guessing on 2012 bid

Speculation grows that former Alaska governor will enter 2012 presidential race, as teasing tactics eclipse political rivals Sarah Palin has arrived in Philadelphia on day three of a mystery bus tour that is swamping US media coverage of the Republican race for the White House, leaving her rivals struggling to win attention. Palin, who began her road trip in Washington, is refusing to provide an itinerary for the media, in what is being interpreted as payback for the hostility she faced in the 2008 election. “It’s not really an intention to play cat and mouse,” she said. But the tactic has worked spectacularly to her advantage, with reporters gleefully turning her tour into a chase and guessing game about her next stop. Reporters are enjoying the novelty so much that there is even a Twitter hashtag, #wheressarah, logging sightings and speculating on her next venue. When reporters do catch her, the inevitable question is whether she intends to join other Republicans in seeking the nomination to take on Barack Obama in 2012. She insists she has not made up her mind. “I don’t know, I honestly don’t know,” she says. The 2008 Republican vice-presidential candidate may be engaged in an elaborate tease but, after a few months in which she largely dropped out of public view, the bus tour has renewed speculation that she is contemplating joining the contest. She even admitted to reporters she had been thinking about what kind of campaign she might run, saying it would be non-traditional and unconventional – a bit like her bus trip. She spent Tuesday at a hotel near the site of the battle of Gettysburg, in Maryland. Journalists gathered in the morning outside her bus but she had slipped out earlier to view the battlefield in peace. The media then followed her bus to Philadelphia, where she visited the sites associated with the 1776 declaration of independence. Her trip, accompanied by husband Todd and the rest of the family, has included the capital, George Washington’s home at Mount Vernon and Fort McHenry in Baltimore, where the British laid siege in 1814. She will almost certainly go to Boston, scene of the Tea Party. But there is speculation, too, that she will go to New Hampshire, where the second round of the Republican nomination contest will be held, a sign that political ambition rather than a historical lesson is at the forefront of her mind. She is also planning to visit Iowa, where the first round will be held and where she is to attend the premiere of a documentary about her time as Alaska’s governor. Replying to reporters’ questions about whether she will stand, she said: “It’s still a matter of looking at the field and considering much. There truly is a lot to consider before you throw yourself out there in the name of service to the public because it is so all-consuming.” She has given only one interview, to Fox’s Greta Van Susteren, the only reporter allowed on the bus. Asked why she was not providing reporters with an itinerary, Palin, who has an intense dislike of much of the media, said: “They want, kind of, the conventional idea of, ‘we want a schedule, we want to follow you, we want you to bring us along with you’. I want them to have to do a little bit of work on a tour like this, and that would include not necessarily telling them beforehand where every stop is going to be. The media can figure out where we’re going if they do their investigative work.” The game partly explains the renewed media interest in Palin. But the attention also reflects the lack of excitement about the present Republican field. Mitt Romney, the former governor of Massachusetts and Republican frontrunner, is due to announce his candidacy formally in New Hampshire on Thursday. A Gallup poll of Republicans and Republican-leaning independents published on Tuesday put Romney on 17%, with Palin in second place on 15%, followed by Ron Paul on 10%, Newt Gingrich on 9%, Herman Cain on 8%, Tim Pawlenty on 6%, Michele Bachmann on 5%, and Jon Huntsman, Rick Santorum and Gary Johnson all on 2%. These candidates have had a hard time getting on air and when they do they are almost inevitably asked about Palin. Bachmann, who is to declare within the month, was invited on to ABC and asked how she differed from Palin. Bachmann deflected the question, saying they were friends. Pawlenty was interviewed at the weekend and showed signs of irritation when asked about Palin. Palin described the field as quite strong but predicted “there will be more strong candidates jumping in” and wondered about the Texas governor, Rick Perry, and others coming in. She added: “The field isn’t set yet, not by a long shot.” Sarah Palin US elections 2012 Republicans United States US politics Barack Obama Ewen MacAskill guardian.co.uk

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Sarah Palin’s mystery bus tour keeps US media guessing on 2012 bid

Speculation grows that former Alaska governor will enter 2012 presidential race, as teasing tactics eclipse political rivals Sarah Palin has arrived in Philadelphia on day three of a mystery bus tour that is swamping US media coverage of the Republican race for the White House, leaving her rivals struggling to win attention. Palin, who began her road trip in Washington, is refusing to provide an itinerary for the media, in what is being interpreted as payback for the hostility she faced in the 2008 election. “It’s not really an intention to play cat and mouse,” she said. But the tactic has worked spectacularly to her advantage, with reporters gleefully turning her tour into a chase and guessing game about her next stop. Reporters are enjoying the novelty so much that there is even a Twitter hashtag, #wheressarah, logging sightings and speculating on her next venue. When reporters do catch her, the inevitable question is whether she intends to join other Republicans in seeking the nomination to take on Barack Obama in 2012. She insists she has not made up her mind. “I don’t know, I honestly don’t know,” she says. The 2008 Republican vice-presidential candidate may be engaged in an elaborate tease but, after a few months in which she largely dropped out of public view, the bus tour has renewed speculation that she is contemplating joining the contest. She even admitted to reporters she had been thinking about what kind of campaign she might run, saying it would be non-traditional and unconventional – a bit like her bus trip. She spent Tuesday at a hotel near the site of the battle of Gettysburg, in Maryland. Journalists gathered in the morning outside her bus but she had slipped out earlier to view the battlefield in peace. The media then followed her bus to Philadelphia, where she visited the sites associated with the 1776 declaration of independence. Her trip, accompanied by husband Todd and the rest of the family, has included the capital, George Washington’s home at Mount Vernon and Fort McHenry in Baltimore, where the British laid siege in 1814. She will almost certainly go to Boston, scene of the Tea Party. But there is speculation, too, that she will go to New Hampshire, where the second round of the Republican nomination contest will be held, a sign that political ambition rather than a historical lesson is at the forefront of her mind. She is also planning to visit Iowa, where the first round will be held and where she is to attend the premiere of a documentary about her time as Alaska’s governor. Replying to reporters’ questions about whether she will stand, she said: “It’s still a matter of looking at the field and considering much. There truly is a lot to consider before you throw yourself out there in the name of service to the public because it is so all-consuming.” She has given only one interview, to Fox’s Greta Van Susteren, the only reporter allowed on the bus. Asked why she was not providing reporters with an itinerary, Palin, who has an intense dislike of much of the media, said: “They want, kind of, the conventional idea of, ‘we want a schedule, we want to follow you, we want you to bring us along with you’. I want them to have to do a little bit of work on a tour like this, and that would include not necessarily telling them beforehand where every stop is going to be. The media can figure out where we’re going if they do their investigative work.” The game partly explains the renewed media interest in Palin. But the attention also reflects the lack of excitement about the present Republican field. Mitt Romney, the former governor of Massachusetts and Republican frontrunner, is due to announce his candidacy formally in New Hampshire on Thursday. A Gallup poll of Republicans and Republican-leaning independents published on Tuesday put Romney on 17%, with Palin in second place on 15%, followed by Ron Paul on 10%, Newt Gingrich on 9%, Herman Cain on 8%, Tim Pawlenty on 6%, Michele Bachmann on 5%, and Jon Huntsman, Rick Santorum and Gary Johnson all on 2%. These candidates have had a hard time getting on air and when they do they are almost inevitably asked about Palin. Bachmann, who is to declare within the month, was invited on to ABC and asked how she differed from Palin. Bachmann deflected the question, saying they were friends. Pawlenty was interviewed at the weekend and showed signs of irritation when asked about Palin. Palin described the field as quite strong but predicted “there will be more strong candidates jumping in” and wondered about the Texas governor, Rick Perry, and others coming in. She added: “The field isn’t set yet, not by a long shot.” Sarah Palin US elections 2012 Republicans United States US politics Barack Obama Ewen MacAskill guardian.co.uk

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Washington moves to classify cyber-attacks as acts of war

Pentagon has concluded that the laws of armed conflict can be widened to embrace cyberwarfare The US government is rewriting its military rule book to make cyber-attacks a possible act of war, giving commanders the option of launching retaliatory military strikes against hackers backed by hostile foreign powers. The Pentagon has concluded that the laws of armed conflict can be widened to embrace cyberwarfare, in order to allow the US to respond with the use of force against aggressive assaults on its computer and IT infrastructure. The move, to be unveiled in a US department of defence strategy document next month, is a significant step towards the militarisation of cyberspace, with huge implications for international law. Pentagon officials disclosed the decision to the Wall Street Journal , saying it was designed to send a warning to any hacker threatening US security by attacking its nuclear reactors, pipelines or public networks such as mass transport systems. “If you shut down our power grid, maybe we will put a missile down one of your smokestacks,” an official said. The new strategy would adapt the existing right of self-defence contained in the UN charter by bringing cyberweapons under the definition of armed attacks. Joel Reidenberg, a professor at Fordham University in New York who teaches on IT law, said the policy was an important recognition that new forms of warfare can harm Americans, “and that the US will protect its citizens in their 21st-century activities.” Sami Saydjari, a former Pentagon cyber expert who now runs a consultancy called Cyber Defense Agency, said the rule change was a logical and reasonable next step. “The US is vulnerable to sabotage in defence, power, telecommunications, banking. An attack on any one of those essential infrastructures could be as damaging as any kinetic attack on US soil.”But other cyber specialists warned the new provision would be extremely hard to implement and could escalate the militarisation of the internet. Jody Westby, co-author of the UN publication The Quest for Cyber Peace, said attacks are difficult to track and trace back to their origins, often making it impossible to determine who is behind them. She also called for more diplomatic efforts to increase co-operation between governments rather than widening military options. “Sabre-rattling like this in the cyber age could backfire on the US, as it could spark further cyber-attacks on US infrastructure that could be massively destructive for American civilians.” The Obama administration signalled its intentions two weeks ago when the White House released its vision for the future of cyberspace. “When warranted, the US will respond to hostile acts in cyberspace as we would to any other threat to our country,” it said, adding that such responses included “all necessary means” including military ones. The US is considered especially prone to cyber-attacks because millions of computers in America have been infected and because its military networks are so highly computerised. Alan Paller, research director at the Sans Institute, which trains computer security professionals, said military and defence computers in the US have come under attack from foreign states at least since 2003, with losses including key technical data for the $300bn F35 fighter. “The military knows its systems are under constant and increasingly sophisticated attacks,” he said. The threat was underlined at the weekend when arms manufacturer Lockheed Martin announced its computer systems had come under a “tenacious attack” on 21 May, though the company said it had thwarted the assault. US analysts have their sights particularly on China and Russia as potential sources of state-sponsored cyberwarfare. A congressional panel has warned that China had the capability of hitting federal networks connected via the internet, such as the national electricity grid, in a way that “could paralyse the US”. Russia was blamed in 2008 for a computer attack on the US Central Command which oversees the wars in Afghanistan and Iraq. Russia was also implicated in more localised cyber attacks on Georgia and Estonia . The US has also been implicated in cyber sabotage. It has been suggested that Stuxnet, the computer worm unleashed last year against Iran, was the work of the Israeli government, backed by Washington. Westby pointed out that the US has not denied the claim. “It seems we’re happy to launch our own cyber-attacks when it suits us. That’s hardly good diplomacy.” US national security United States Internet Computing Ed Pilkington guardian.co.uk

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Washington moves to classify cyber-attacks as acts of war

Pentagon has concluded that the laws of armed conflict can be widened to embrace cyberwarfare The US government is rewriting its military rule book to make cyber-attacks a possible act of war, giving commanders the option of launching retaliatory military strikes against hackers backed by hostile foreign powers. The Pentagon has concluded that the laws of armed conflict can be widened to embrace cyberwarfare, in order to allow the US to respond with the use of force against aggressive assaults on its computer and IT infrastructure. The move, to be unveiled in a US department of defence strategy document next month, is a significant step towards the militarisation of cyberspace, with huge implications for international law. Pentagon officials disclosed the decision to the Wall Street Journal , saying it was designed to send a warning to any hacker threatening US security by attacking its nuclear reactors, pipelines or public networks such as mass transport systems. “If you shut down our power grid, maybe we will put a missile down one of your smokestacks,” an official said. The new strategy would adapt the existing right of self-defence contained in the UN charter by bringing cyberweapons under the definition of armed attacks. Joel Reidenberg, a professor at Fordham University in New York who teaches on IT law, said the policy was an important recognition that new forms of warfare can harm Americans, “and that the US will protect its citizens in their 21st-century activities.” Sami Saydjari, a former Pentagon cyber expert who now runs a consultancy called Cyber Defense Agency, said the rule change was a logical and reasonable next step. “The US is vulnerable to sabotage in defence, power, telecommunications, banking. An attack on any one of those essential infrastructures could be as damaging as any kinetic attack on US soil.”But other cyber specialists warned the new provision would be extremely hard to implement and could escalate the militarisation of the internet. Jody Westby, co-author of the UN publication The Quest for Cyber Peace, said attacks are difficult to track and trace back to their origins, often making it impossible to determine who is behind them. She also called for more diplomatic efforts to increase co-operation between governments rather than widening military options. “Sabre-rattling like this in the cyber age could backfire on the US, as it could spark further cyber-attacks on US infrastructure that could be massively destructive for American civilians.” The Obama administration signalled its intentions two weeks ago when the White House released its vision for the future of cyberspace. “When warranted, the US will respond to hostile acts in cyberspace as we would to any other threat to our country,” it said, adding that such responses included “all necessary means” including military ones. The US is considered especially prone to cyber-attacks because millions of computers in America have been infected and because its military networks are so highly computerised. Alan Paller, research director at the Sans Institute, which trains computer security professionals, said military and defence computers in the US have come under attack from foreign states at least since 2003, with losses including key technical data for the $300bn F35 fighter. “The military knows its systems are under constant and increasingly sophisticated attacks,” he said. The threat was underlined at the weekend when arms manufacturer Lockheed Martin announced its computer systems had come under a “tenacious attack” on 21 May, though the company said it had thwarted the assault. US analysts have their sights particularly on China and Russia as potential sources of state-sponsored cyberwarfare. A congressional panel has warned that China had the capability of hitting federal networks connected via the internet, such as the national electricity grid, in a way that “could paralyse the US”. Russia was blamed in 2008 for a computer attack on the US Central Command which oversees the wars in Afghanistan and Iraq. Russia was also implicated in more localised cyber attacks on Georgia and Estonia . The US has also been implicated in cyber sabotage. It has been suggested that Stuxnet, the computer worm unleashed last year against Iran, was the work of the Israeli government, backed by Washington. Westby pointed out that the US has not denied the claim. “It seems we’re happy to launch our own cyber-attacks when it suits us. That’s hardly good diplomacy.” US national security United States Internet Computing Ed Pilkington guardian.co.uk

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Ratko Mladic is granted parting wish before extradition to The Hague

Former Bosnian Serb general allowed to visit daughter’s grave ahead of flight to Netherlands and Scheveningen prison Ratko Mladic was flown to the Netherlands on Tuesday night to face charges at The Hague war crimes tribunal for his role in the killing of thousands of Muslims in the Bosnian war after an emotional final day in Serbia. The former Bosnian Serb general was flown into Rotterdam airport on a small Serbian government jet, and then transferred by helicopter to a 15 sq metre cell in a special unit in Scheveningen prison, a brick castle-like jail in a leafy suburb of The Hague yards from the North Sea coast. “In the detention unit, he will be introduced to the regulations and the rules of the unit and of the tribunal, he will be give a copy of the indictment and then a medical examination,” said Nerma Jelacic, the spokeswoman for the International criminal tribunal for the former Yugoslavia at The Hague. “He will be held in a isolation cell on his own for at least few days so that his assimilation can be monitored, and after that he will be in a cell in one of the three wings of the detention unit.” After the first few days, Mladic will be able to mix with the other 36 war crimes defendants of various nationalities, including other Serbs, Croats and Bosnian Muslims. They have an exercise yard, computers, televisions, art classes and even massage on request. The tribunal’s prosecutor, Serge Brammertz, will give a statement on Wednesday, and Mladic is expected to appear before judges by Friday to hear his indictment for the worst crimes committed in Europe since the Nazi era. Before Mladic left Belgrade he was granted a parting wish – insistently repeated from the time of his arrest – to visit the grave of his daughter, Ana, who killed herself in 1994 with his favourite revolver. Her motive was reportedly despair at her father’s role in the Bosnian slaughter but if she left a note it was never made public. Mladic, who always insisted she had been killed by his enemies, was allowed to linger for 10 minutes, lighting a candle at the black granite grave in a Belgrade cemetery before being driven away in an armoured police motorcade. The visit angered some of the relatives of the Bosnian dead. Kadira Gabeljic, whose husband and two sons were killed in the Srebrenica slaughter, told the Associated Press: “He was allowed to do it, and I am still searching for my children for the past 16 years, ever since Srebrenica happened. “My husband had been found, but what about my children? I will wait for years. I might even die before their complete remains are found.” After a 16-year manhunt, Mladic’s journey from Balkan fugitive to prisoner in the Netherlands unfolded at remarkable speed. The 69-year old former Yugoslav officer, one of the world’s most wanted men, was arrested at his cousin’s house in a northern Serbian village on Thursday and faced an extradition hearing the same night. His lawyer, Milos Saljic, insisted he was not well enough physically or mentally to stand trial, and tried to slow the proceedings by sending his appeal by post at the last possible moment on Monday, but Serbia’s war crimes court rejected it almost as soon as it arrived on Tuesday. According to Saljic, the ex-general’s wife and sister arrived for a tearful farewell in the early afternoon, bringing with them a large suitcase of clothes he will need, and by the evening the 69-year-old former commander was on a flight to The Hague. At his first appearance at the tribunal, Mladic will hear the charges against him, for genocide, crimes against humanity and war crimes. In particular, he is charged with overseeing the execution of 8,000 Muslim men and boys from Srebrenica, whose bodies were found in mass graves after his troops had overrun the eastern Bosnian town. He is also held responsible for the three-year siege of Sarajevo, during which an estimated 10,000 of the Bosnian capital’s residents were killed. Mladic will have 30 days to decide how to plead, and then there could be many months of preparations before the trial begins. Ultra-nationalists staged rallies in Belgrade and at Mladic’s childhood home in eastern Bosnia but they were easily contained and did nothing to deflect the determination of Serbia’s president, Boris Tadic, to deliver Mladic to The Hague and thus remove the most serious obstacle to Serbia’s eventual EU membership. Tadic has also pledged to go after the last Serb war crimes suspect still at large, Goran Hadzic, as well as the suspected network of followers and state officials thought to have sustained and concealed Mladic in his 16 years on the run. There had been fears that Mladic’s arrest might trigger a dangerous backlash among Serb officers with the same Yugoslav army roots, but the demonstrations were thinner and less fiery that those which greeted the arrest of the Bosnian Serb political leader, Radovan Karadzic, three years ago. The flame of ultra Serb nationalism appears to be guttering, although it could be replaced with a quieter long-lasting resentment. Rasim Ljajic, one of Tadic’s ministers, has acknowledged that the government could be voted out at the next elections as a result of Mladic’s extradition. Ratko Mladic Serbia Bosnia and Herzegovina Europe European Union United Nations War crimes Netherlands Julian Borger Robert Booth guardian.co.uk

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Ratko Mladic is granted parting wish before extradition to The Hague

Former Bosnian Serb general allowed to visit daughter’s grave ahead of flight to Netherlands and Scheveningen prison Ratko Mladic was flown to the Netherlands on Tuesday night to face charges at The Hague war crimes tribunal for his role in the killing of thousands of Muslims in the Bosnian war after an emotional final day in Serbia. The former Bosnian Serb general was flown into Rotterdam airport on a small Serbian government jet, and then transferred by helicopter to a 15 sq metre cell in a special unit in Scheveningen prison, a brick castle-like jail in a leafy suburb of The Hague yards from the North Sea coast. “In the detention unit, he will be introduced to the regulations and the rules of the unit and of the tribunal, he will be give a copy of the indictment and then a medical examination,” said Nerma Jelacic, the spokeswoman for the International criminal tribunal for the former Yugoslavia at The Hague. “He will be held in a isolation cell on his own for at least few days so that his assimilation can be monitored, and after that he will be in a cell in one of the three wings of the detention unit.” After the first few days, Mladic will be able to mix with the other 36 war crimes defendants of various nationalities, including other Serbs, Croats and Bosnian Muslims. They have an exercise yard, computers, televisions, art classes and even massage on request. The tribunal’s prosecutor, Serge Brammertz, will give a statement on Wednesday, and Mladic is expected to appear before judges by Friday to hear his indictment for the worst crimes committed in Europe since the Nazi era. Before Mladic left Belgrade he was granted a parting wish – insistently repeated from the time of his arrest – to visit the grave of his daughter, Ana, who killed herself in 1994 with his favourite revolver. Her motive was reportedly despair at her father’s role in the Bosnian slaughter but if she left a note it was never made public. Mladic, who always insisted she had been killed by his enemies, was allowed to linger for 10 minutes, lighting a candle at the black granite grave in a Belgrade cemetery before being driven away in an armoured police motorcade. The visit angered some of the relatives of the Bosnian dead. Kadira Gabeljic, whose husband and two sons were killed in the Srebrenica slaughter, told the Associated Press: “He was allowed to do it, and I am still searching for my children for the past 16 years, ever since Srebrenica happened. “My husband had been found, but what about my children? I will wait for years. I might even die before their complete remains are found.” After a 16-year manhunt, Mladic’s journey from Balkan fugitive to prisoner in the Netherlands unfolded at remarkable speed. The 69-year old former Yugoslav officer, one of the world’s most wanted men, was arrested at his cousin’s house in a northern Serbian village on Thursday and faced an extradition hearing the same night. His lawyer, Milos Saljic, insisted he was not well enough physically or mentally to stand trial, and tried to slow the proceedings by sending his appeal by post at the last possible moment on Monday, but Serbia’s war crimes court rejected it almost as soon as it arrived on Tuesday. According to Saljic, the ex-general’s wife and sister arrived for a tearful farewell in the early afternoon, bringing with them a large suitcase of clothes he will need, and by the evening the 69-year-old former commander was on a flight to The Hague. At his first appearance at the tribunal, Mladic will hear the charges against him, for genocide, crimes against humanity and war crimes. In particular, he is charged with overseeing the execution of 8,000 Muslim men and boys from Srebrenica, whose bodies were found in mass graves after his troops had overrun the eastern Bosnian town. He is also held responsible for the three-year siege of Sarajevo, during which an estimated 10,000 of the Bosnian capital’s residents were killed. Mladic will have 30 days to decide how to plead, and then there could be many months of preparations before the trial begins. Ultra-nationalists staged rallies in Belgrade and at Mladic’s childhood home in eastern Bosnia but they were easily contained and did nothing to deflect the determination of Serbia’s president, Boris Tadic, to deliver Mladic to The Hague and thus remove the most serious obstacle to Serbia’s eventual EU membership. Tadic has also pledged to go after the last Serb war crimes suspect still at large, Goran Hadzic, as well as the suspected network of followers and state officials thought to have sustained and concealed Mladic in his 16 years on the run. There had been fears that Mladic’s arrest might trigger a dangerous backlash among Serb officers with the same Yugoslav army roots, but the demonstrations were thinner and less fiery that those which greeted the arrest of the Bosnian Serb political leader, Radovan Karadzic, three years ago. The flame of ultra Serb nationalism appears to be guttering, although it could be replaced with a quieter long-lasting resentment. Rasim Ljajic, one of Tadic’s ministers, has acknowledged that the government could be voted out at the next elections as a result of Mladic’s extradition. Ratko Mladic Serbia Bosnia and Herzegovina Europe European Union United Nations War crimes Netherlands Julian Borger Robert Booth guardian.co.uk

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Paul Ryan’s budget and another front in the War on Women

Click here to view this media The budget proposal put forth by Paul Ryan is a vicious and cruel all-out attack on everyone under the age of 55, but the cuts to Medicare and Medicaid that the Ryan plan propose would be felt in a particularly acute way by women, who make up more than half of the beneficiaries of both programs, and women retire closer to the poverty line than men do. Women who are alone, who either never married or who are divorced or widowed and never remarried are particularly vulnerable. The attack on Medicare is one that rallies everyone. Not everyone over 55 is a psychopath who couldn’t care less so long as they get theirs. I honestly think that Paul Ryan was counting on people over 55, the largest republican voting bloc out there, not giving a damn so long as they got to keep theirs. I think he is so steeped in Randianism that he was actually taken aback by the pushback he got from people who actually care about their kids and their younger siblings and everyone else who paid in all their adult lives and stand to get rogered roundly if Ryan’s scheme sees the light of day. The CBO, the non-partisan number-crunching office of Congress, estimates that the Ryan scheme would double the out-of-pocket healthcare expenses of seniors. The estimated annual cost of $12,000 for medical coverage would leave grandma eating catfood in the homeless shelter. On average, female seniors have an annual income of only $14,000. Of that annual income, about $12,000 comes from Social Security . (Could you live on $2000 per year?) Here is the bottom line: Ryan’s plan would amount to transferring the entire monthly Social Security benefit for female seniors to private health insurance companies. I can’t possibly sum it up any more succinctly than Senator Barbara Boxer did when she said “This is a sick proposal,” during a press conference with other Senate Democrats last week. As bad as that is, the assault on Medicaid is even worse. Women comprise about 70% of all Medicaid beneficiaries, and while Medicaid has been demonized and branded as welfare, as “free” healthcare for “those people.” The right-wing social conservatives have been very successful in projecting the face of Medicaid as an inner city “welfare mother” with several children, presumably with different fathers. That is the implication, anyway, when GOP politicians dismiss Medicaid as a progenitor of promiscuity . But in reality, most Medicaid recipients are elderly people in nursing homes, and idea of making Medicaid a block grant that states could use to deliver healthcare as they saw fit would only make matters worse. States have already mucked up their end of the joint federal-state program, and block grants would make matters far worse . The CBO estimates that Republicans’ proposed plan to block-grant Medicaid would reduce federal program expenditures by 35 percent by 2022 and by 49 percent in 2030 relative to current law. In return, states would have greater flexibility to restructure Medicaid benefits. How governors would actually use this flexibility is another matter. Medicaid is flexible right now. The Center on Budget and Policy Priorities reports that about 60 percent of state Medicaid spending consists of expenditures to cover people or to reimburse services that are not required under federal law. Given Medicaid’s low per-person cost and its relatively restrained projected cost growth, there’s little room to comfortably cut. Safety-net services are already shoestring operations. Under-funded and stressed, they have many shortcomings. There is no way to meet the above spending reduction targets without shifting costs and risks onto the states, covering markedly fewer people and services, or further underpaying Medicaid providers. No one can firmly say how states would respond to the reduced federal support. I fear that’s precisely the point. Block grants provide both states and the federal government with useful political cover to cut important benefits. If a particular state eliminates Medicaid home care services or by dropping the working poor from coverage, Congressional Republicans can say: “Don’t blame us. That’s what this state chose to do.” Meanwhile governors can say, with equal justification: “Don’t blame us. We’re doing the best we can, given limited federal resources.” I wonder who the care of those elderly and disabled people would fall to if Medicaid went away? I can tell you who it would fall to — it would fall to women, mostly in their forties and fifties, women would have to leave the workplace to care for their elderly parents or disabled siblings or children, high-need individuals whose nursing home care would no longer be paid for. This in turn would reduce the amount of benefit those women would be eligible for upon retirement, thereby assuring the transfer of every single penny of the retirement benefits women worked all their adult lives for, to private companies. And so it goes. Yes, there is a war on women, and it isn’t just being waged against those in their childbearing years. They really are out to get us all. And no, I’m not paranoid. It’s only paranoia when the threat is imaginary, and this one is not; it is quite real. This post originally appeared at Show Me Progress and is part of a series I am writing as a blogging fellow for the Strengthen Social Security Campaign , a coalition of more than 270 national and state organizations dedicated to preserving and strengthening Social Security.

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Paul Ryan’s budget and another front in the War on Women

Click here to view this media The budget proposal put forth by Paul Ryan is a vicious and cruel all-out attack on everyone under the age of 55, but the cuts to Medicare and Medicaid that the Ryan plan propose would be felt in a particularly acute way by women, who make up more than half of the beneficiaries of both programs, and women retire closer to the poverty line than men do. Women who are alone, who either never married or who are divorced or widowed and never remarried are particularly vulnerable. The attack on Medicare is one that rallies everyone. Not everyone over 55 is a psychopath who couldn’t care less so long as they get theirs. I honestly think that Paul Ryan was counting on people over 55, the largest republican voting bloc out there, not giving a damn so long as they got to keep theirs. I think he is so steeped in Randianism that he was actually taken aback by the pushback he got from people who actually care about their kids and their younger siblings and everyone else who paid in all their adult lives and stand to get rogered roundly if Ryan’s scheme sees the light of day. The CBO, the non-partisan number-crunching office of Congress, estimates that the Ryan scheme would double the out-of-pocket healthcare expenses of seniors. The estimated annual cost of $12,000 for medical coverage would leave grandma eating catfood in the homeless shelter. On average, female seniors have an annual income of only $14,000. Of that annual income, about $12,000 comes from Social Security . (Could you live on $2000 per year?) Here is the bottom line: Ryan’s plan would amount to transferring the entire monthly Social Security benefit for female seniors to private health insurance companies. I can’t possibly sum it up any more succinctly than Senator Barbara Boxer did when she said “This is a sick proposal,” during a press conference with other Senate Democrats last week. As bad as that is, the assault on Medicaid is even worse. Women comprise about 70% of all Medicaid beneficiaries, and while Medicaid has been demonized and branded as welfare, as “free” healthcare for “those people.” The right-wing social conservatives have been very successful in projecting the face of Medicaid as an inner city “welfare mother” with several children, presumably with different fathers. That is the implication, anyway, when GOP politicians dismiss Medicaid as a progenitor of promiscuity . But in reality, most Medicaid recipients are elderly people in nursing homes, and idea of making Medicaid a block grant that states could use to deliver healthcare as they saw fit would only make matters worse. States have already mucked up their end of the joint federal-state program, and block grants would make matters far worse . The CBO estimates that Republicans’ proposed plan to block-grant Medicaid would reduce federal program expenditures by 35 percent by 2022 and by 49 percent in 2030 relative to current law. In return, states would have greater flexibility to restructure Medicaid benefits. How governors would actually use this flexibility is another matter. Medicaid is flexible right now. The Center on Budget and Policy Priorities reports that about 60 percent of state Medicaid spending consists of expenditures to cover people or to reimburse services that are not required under federal law. Given Medicaid’s low per-person cost and its relatively restrained projected cost growth, there’s little room to comfortably cut. Safety-net services are already shoestring operations. Under-funded and stressed, they have many shortcomings. There is no way to meet the above spending reduction targets without shifting costs and risks onto the states, covering markedly fewer people and services, or further underpaying Medicaid providers. No one can firmly say how states would respond to the reduced federal support. I fear that’s precisely the point. Block grants provide both states and the federal government with useful political cover to cut important benefits. If a particular state eliminates Medicaid home care services or by dropping the working poor from coverage, Congressional Republicans can say: “Don’t blame us. That’s what this state chose to do.” Meanwhile governors can say, with equal justification: “Don’t blame us. We’re doing the best we can, given limited federal resources.” I wonder who the care of those elderly and disabled people would fall to if Medicaid went away? I can tell you who it would fall to — it would fall to women, mostly in their forties and fifties, women would have to leave the workplace to care for their elderly parents or disabled siblings or children, high-need individuals whose nursing home care would no longer be paid for. This in turn would reduce the amount of benefit those women would be eligible for upon retirement, thereby assuring the transfer of every single penny of the retirement benefits women worked all their adult lives for, to private companies. And so it goes. Yes, there is a war on women, and it isn’t just being waged against those in their childbearing years. They really are out to get us all. And no, I’m not paranoid. It’s only paranoia when the threat is imaginary, and this one is not; it is quite real. This post originally appeared at Show Me Progress and is part of a series I am writing as a blogging fellow for the Strengthen Social Security Campaign , a coalition of more than 270 national and state organizations dedicated to preserving and strengthening Social Security.

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After Democrats won a special congressional election in New York State, New York Times congressional reporter Carl Hulse seemed comfortable leading the early cheers for Democrats looking to win back the House of Representatives, in Tuesday’s “Political Memo,” ” Surprise Victory in New York Invigorates Democrats Looking to 2012 .” It’s not something the Times does after Republican wins in special or off-year elections – those victories are typically downgraded as unimportant and atypical, like the Times treated the 2009 G.O.P. wins in governors’s races in Virginia and New Jersey, which turned out to be accurate harbingers of electoral success in 2010. Sal Pace, the Democratic leader of the State House in Colorado, was already preparing to run for Congress in a district captured by Republicans last year, but his party’s special election victory last week in a conservative district in upstate New York made the decision all the easier. Kathleen C. Hochul's recent victory in New York has members of both parties and independent analysts predicting a more competitive race next year for control of the House. More Hulse cheerleading: Buoyed by the New York surprise and bolstered by the prospect of a larger and friendlier electorate in a year when President Obama will be running, House Democrats say they can argue credibly that they are poised to cut into the Republican majority, though they were careful not to predict a takeover, which would require a gain of 24 seats. …. But the victory in New York was galvanizing for Democrats, and for now at least has given them confidence that they can use Medicare to press their broader case that Republicans are going too far in their drive to cut spending and reduce the reach of government while continuing to provide tax breaks for the wealthy. Democrats intend to seize on that issue, which could help them recapture older voters, who rallied to Republicans in the last election. …. The Democratic argument against the Republican position on Medicare could also be undercut if the White House and Congressional Democrats and Republicans reach agreement on a deal to raise the national debt ceiling that includes substantial steps to rein in the growth of Medicare. Democrats say the Medicare plan is just one element of an emerging campaign message that will help them topple Republicans as they try to tie the Medicare overhaul to other elements of the conservative agenda being pursued by the House majority. Hulse ended by listing specific hopeful spots for Democrats. Depending on how redistricting goes, Democrats also see opportunities for gains in Iowa, Nevada, New Hampshire, New York and Texas as well as other states.

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Egyptians protest over ‘virginity tests’ on Tahrir Square women

Activists call for investigation into abuse after Egyptian general admits tests were conducted and defends practice Egyptian activists will hold an online protest on Wednesday to press the military leadership to investigate soldiers who abused pro-democracy demonstrators, including women who were detained and forced to take “virginity tests”. The interim authority, formed after Hosni Mubarak was ousted in February, has come in for increasing criticism from the youth movement for the slow pace of its reforms, and intolerance of dissent. The abuse of the women, which was confirmed by a senior army official, has caused particular anger, and prompted a storm of protest on the internet. The Supreme Council of the Armed Forces had previously denied claims by Amnesty International that 18 women detained in March were subjected to virginity checks and threatened with prostitution charges. But an Egyptian general told an American television network on Monday that tests were in fact conducted, and defended the practice. “The girls who were detained were not like your daughter or mine,” the general, who requested anonymity, told CNN . “These were girls who had camped out in tents with male protesters in Tahrir Square, and we found … molotov cocktails and [drugs].” He said the tests were conducted so that the women would not be able to claim that they had been sexually abused while in custody. “We didn’t want them to say we had sexually assaulted or raped them, so we wanted to prove that they weren’t virgins in the first place,” the general said. “None of them were [virgins].” Amnesty condemned the general’s comments and called for a full investigation. “This general’s implication that only virgins can be victims of rape is a long-discredited sexist attitude and legal absurdity,” a statement said. “When determining a case of rape, it is irrelevant whether or not the victim is a virgin. The army must immediately instruct security forces and soldiers that such ‘tests’ are banned.” The women were detained on 9 March, nearly a month after the revolution that forced Mubarak from power, when soldiers cleared Tahrir Square after men in civilian clothes attacked protesters. One of the female victims, Salwa Hosseini, 20, told Amnesty that she and the other women were forced to remove their clothes before being strip-searched by a female guard. Male soldiers looked into the room, and took pictures, she said. The women were also beaten and given electric shocks, Amnesty reported. The growing dissatisfaction with the interim government is increasingly clear. While the military council has pledged to organise elections this year and hand over to a civilian government, tens of thousands of people appeared in Tahrir Square last week to demand faster reforms. Youth activists have said that additional, online protests are necessary because Egypt’s mainstream media treads too softly around the military, a taboo carried over from Mubarak’s reign. The new rulers have shown themselves to be thin-skinned, with a military prosecutor summoning a prominent blogger and a television journalist after they criticised the army during a talkshow. Three other journalists were also called in for questioning on Tuesday. They were all released without charge. In a statement , the Arabic Network for Human Rights Information condemned the military council for “dispersing fear” among the media and the judiciary. The group said that three judges were also under investigation for appearing on talkshows where they criticised the use of military courts for civilian cases and called for judicial reform. Egypt Arab and Middle East unrest Middle East Africa Xan Rice guardian.co.uk

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