Party to draw up policy in key areas in series of bold strokes • Interactive: What do you think should be in Labour’s policy review? Ed Miliband’s famous blank piece of paper, Labour’s policy prospectus, will start to be coloured in this weekend when the party’s policy forum meets on Saturday in the suburbs of Wrexham. The aim will be to start to achieve something no opposition party has managed in the last 30 years — to bounce back to power in just one term. That goal has led Labour’s leaders to decide they need to act with more haste than previously thought. The concept of a leisurely, academic disordered policy review, if ever true, is being disowned. The era of low-risk leadership is about to end with some bolder strokes on policy, personnel and party reform. Lessons are being drawn from a slew of books on the Tories in opposition. Tim Bale’s Conservative Party: Thatcher to Cameron has reminded Labour of how it took the Tories an extraordinary five years from the loss of power under John Major to the basic admission that it was perceived as the selfish, nasty party. Peter Snowden’s Back from the Brink is another guide to how slow parties can be to respond to crises in public perception. By contrast Labour has rushed to admit error. But Labour is also subtly reworking the policy review process. Figures such as the policy review coordinator Liam Byrne would probably admit the hydra-headed reviews, set up November on a largely ad hoc basis, lacked coherence. No fewer than 19 reviews were announced, on what externally looked like a random basis. The advantage was that it gave every shadow cabinet member something to do, such as – in one review – explore the causes of loneliness. But it hardly provided the overarching narrative that Lord Mandelson, a veteran of policy reviews under Neil Kinnock, said the party needed in his Progress speech this week. The foreign policy review conducted by Douglas Alexander seems only to be looking at Brazil, Russia, India and China, an important, but hardly sufficient foreign policy theme. No exploration of Labour’s increasingly questioned pro-Europeanism is being attempted. By contrast, Harriet Harman, the shadow international development secretary, has appointed no fewer than six sub-reviews. Yet there is no discernible review into the economy. Ominously for those who have memories of how Gordon Brown would often disengage from collective policy making, Ed Balls, the shadow chancellor, is not conducting any specific review of economic policy. The official explanation is that he is overseeing other economic related reviews. In an attempt to bring some order to the process, the policy reviews have all now been rearranged under one of four sub-heads – rebuilding the economy to help the squeezed middle, keeping the promise for the next generation, renewing responsibility, and our place in the world. Some groups have met six or so times, drawing in as many outside experts as an unfashionable party four years from power can gather. Progress is uneven. The shadow transport secretary Maria Eagle, currently in Amsterdam looking at their tram system, pretty well knows her policy destination — free travel for young people, reintegrate the mainline rail system, prioritise buses over trains and devolve power to regional transport authorities. Other policy groups seem not have gone beyond clearing the undergrowth. Byrne argues the starting point is understanding why the public rejected Labour. In a speech yesterday he said: “If we want to win back the people’s trust to lead again, we have to understand how the public see us and why. Therein starts the business of renewal. This is perhaps the first great lesson from oppositions which stay in opposition for a long time. Oppositions that stay in opposition are the parties that fail to confront and take on the weaknesses the public see in them.” While this was true of the Tories after 1997, Labour after 1979 was not much better. “It was an incredible eight years before [Neil] Kinnock embarked on a major exercise of his own – talking to the public about the way they saw things. This is not a mistake we are going to repeat,” Byrne says. The aim this weekend is to provide some signposts leading to something more specific at autumn party conference, including something close to definitive on a replacement to tuition fees. On the squeezed middle, Miliband believes the centre-ground of politics has shifted from public service reform to a rebalanced economy, an issue belatedly addressed by Mandelson and now being taken up by the shadow business secretary John Denham. Critical to this squeeze is not just better balanced growth, but also lack of childcare and social care, constraining the amount of time the middle class, especially the second earner, can work. Miliband’s second chosen theme is the promise of Britain, the contract that the next generation should fare as well as the current generation. Social housing is now seen by Labour as the biggest barrier to young people getting on. This allows him to offer optimism, the ingredient he is convinced can win him the election – one the Tories, with the emphasis on the deficit, cannot offer. Byrne argues the Conservatives returned to power after only a term in opposition precisely because Margaret Thatcher engaged in an argument about what her party was for. Miliband has to be equally clear about the future. The review’s final leg will be responsibility, in the benefit queue and the boardroom. The party is going to try to renew social insurance, and to try to leapfrog the Tories on welfare. None of this answers the pressing question of the deficit, Labour’s dire polling on economic competence or Miliband’s own personal ratings. Last week Balls alarmed some by coming close to admitting he has bet the whole farm on his judgment that Osborne’s cuts will seriously kill growth. It may take two years for him to know if he or Osborne is right. In the meantime, to rebuild trust, Balls will look at new credible fiscal rules so an authoritative independent body can warn if Labour was about to head off on an unsustainable spending splurge. There is also dark talk of a mechanism to address waste in public spending. A party elder may be asked to set up an inquiry into the issue. Miliband is attempting something rare – shifting the centre of British politics to the left from the position of opposition, rather than from government. By next year he may remember what the Australian prime minister John Howard once said to William Hague: “You know, William, there’s only one thing harder than the first year in opposition … It’s the second.” • Interactive: What do you think should be in Labour’s policy review? Labour Ed Miliband Patrick Wintour guardian.co.uk
Continue reading …Senior Tory MPs in dialogue with MEPs who are seeking to prevent a toughening of Europe’s climate targets • The bloody fight for the green soul of the Conservative party David Cameron has promised to intervene in the intensifying row over rebel Tory MEPs who are trying to prevent a toughening of Europe’s climate targets. At prime minister’s questions, he told MPs that Downing Street enforcers would be talking to the MEPs who are threatening to revolt in a Brussels vote to raise the EU carbon cutting target from 20% to 30% of emissions by 2020. The rebellion threatens to dent the green credentials of the prime minister and the coalition. Senior Tory ministers told the Guardian they were “in dialogue” with their colleagues in the European parliament. The energy minister, Charles Hendry, said: “It is clearly
Continue reading …Senior Tory MPs in dialogue with MEPs who are seeking to prevent a toughening of Europe’s climate targets • The bloody fight for the green soul of the Conservative party David Cameron has promised to intervene in the intensifying row over rebel Tory MEPs who are trying to prevent a toughening of Europe’s climate targets. At prime minister’s questions, he told MPs that Downing Street enforcers would be talking to the MEPs who are threatening to revolt in a Brussels vote to raise the EU carbon cutting target from 20% to 30% of emissions by 2020. The rebellion threatens to dent the green credentials of the prime minister and the coalition. Senior Tory ministers told the Guardian they were “in dialogue” with their colleagues in the European parliament. The energy minister, Charles Hendry, said: “It is clearly
Continue reading …Federal Reserve chairman Ben Bernanke holds a press conference on the state of the US economy. Follow it here live 2.10pm ET: You can watch Ben Bernanke in his full glory live via this video stream helpfully provided by the Federal Reserve. 2.01pm ET: And this just in from the Federal Reserve: The Federal Reserve Board and the Federal Open Market Committee on Wednesday released the attached table and charts summarizing the economic projections made by Federal Reserve Board members and Federal Reserve Bank presidents for the June 21-22 meeting of the Committee. Everyone likes large PDF files of charts, right. Well here they are . 1.50pm ET: Just before the Bernanke press conference kicks off, the Federal Open Markets Committee has issued its latest decision on monetary policy – and the news is (as expected) no change in interest rates. The devil is in the detail, as always. In its accompanying statement the FOMC said: Information received since the Federal Open Market Committee met in April indicates that the economic recovery is continuing at a moderate pace, though somewhat more slowly than the Committee had expected. Also, recent labor market indicators have been weaker than anticipated. The slower pace of the recovery reflects in part factors that are likely to be temporary, including the damping effect of higher food and energy prices on consumer purchasing power and spending as well as supply chain disruptions associated with the tragic events in Japan. Household spending and business investment in equipment and software continue to expand. However, investment in nonresidential structures is still weak, and the housing sector continues to be depressed. Inflation has picked up in recent months, mainly reflecting higher prices for some commodities and imported goods, as well as the recent supply chain disruptions. However, longer-term inflation expectations have remained stable. Consistent with its statutory mandate, the Committee seeks to foster maximum employment and price stability. The unemployment rate remains elevated; however, the Committee expects the pace of recovery to pick up over coming quarters and the unemployment rate to resume its gradual decline toward levels that the Committee judges to be consistent with its dual mandate. Inflation has moved up recently, but the Committee anticipates that inflation will subside to levels at or below those consistent with the Committee’s dual mandate as the effects of past energy and other commodity price increases dissipate. However, the Committee will continue to pay close attention to the evolution of inflation and inflation expectations. To promote the ongoing economic recovery and to help ensure that inflation, over time, is at levels consistent with its mandate, the Committee decided today to keep the target range for the federal funds rate at 0 to 0.25 per cent. The Committee continues to anticipate that economic conditions – including low rates of resource utilization and a subdued outlook for inflation over the medium run – are likely to warrant exceptionally low levels for the federal funds rate for an extended period. The Committee will complete its purchases of $600 billion of longer-term Treasury securities by the end of this month and will maintain its existing policy of reinvesting principal payments from its securities holdings. The Committee will regularly review the size and composition of its securities holdings and is prepared to adjust those holdings as appropriate. The Committee will monitor the economic outlook and financial developments and will act as needed to best foster maximum employment and price stability. Now then, what does all that mean in English? Let’s discuss that. For only the second time, Federal Reserve chairman Ben Bernanke will take the microphone for an open press conference today at 2.15pm ET – at a moment when fears that the US economy is sliding back into recession, thanks to anaemic growth, lacklustre job creation and the lasting effects of the financial market and housing meltdown going back three years. The climate for the US economy has certainly got worse since Bernanke debut press conference – and this afternoon appearance before the media should see more probing questions about how the Federal reserve intends to handle monetary policy going forward. Join us here as we watch Bernanke in action in Washington DC – and feel free to leave your comments below. Ben Bernanke US economy US economic growth and recession US Interest rates Economics United States Richard Adams guardian.co.uk
Continue reading …Federal Reserve chairman Ben Bernanke holds a press conference on the state of the US economy. Follow it here live 2.10pm ET: You can watch Ben Bernanke in his full glory live via this video stream helpfully provided by the Federal Reserve. 2.01pm ET: And this just in from the Federal Reserve: The Federal Reserve Board and the Federal Open Market Committee on Wednesday released the attached table and charts summarizing the economic projections made by Federal Reserve Board members and Federal Reserve Bank presidents for the June 21-22 meeting of the Committee. Everyone likes large PDF files of charts, right. Well here they are . 1.50pm ET: Just before the Bernanke press conference kicks off, the Federal Open Markets Committee has issued its latest decision on monetary policy – and the news is (as expected) no change in interest rates. The devil is in the detail, as always. In its accompanying statement the FOMC said: Information received since the Federal Open Market Committee met in April indicates that the economic recovery is continuing at a moderate pace, though somewhat more slowly than the Committee had expected. Also, recent labor market indicators have been weaker than anticipated. The slower pace of the recovery reflects in part factors that are likely to be temporary, including the damping effect of higher food and energy prices on consumer purchasing power and spending as well as supply chain disruptions associated with the tragic events in Japan. Household spending and business investment in equipment and software continue to expand. However, investment in nonresidential structures is still weak, and the housing sector continues to be depressed. Inflation has picked up in recent months, mainly reflecting higher prices for some commodities and imported goods, as well as the recent supply chain disruptions. However, longer-term inflation expectations have remained stable. Consistent with its statutory mandate, the Committee seeks to foster maximum employment and price stability. The unemployment rate remains elevated; however, the Committee expects the pace of recovery to pick up over coming quarters and the unemployment rate to resume its gradual decline toward levels that the Committee judges to be consistent with its dual mandate. Inflation has moved up recently, but the Committee anticipates that inflation will subside to levels at or below those consistent with the Committee’s dual mandate as the effects of past energy and other commodity price increases dissipate. However, the Committee will continue to pay close attention to the evolution of inflation and inflation expectations. To promote the ongoing economic recovery and to help ensure that inflation, over time, is at levels consistent with its mandate, the Committee decided today to keep the target range for the federal funds rate at 0 to 0.25 per cent. The Committee continues to anticipate that economic conditions – including low rates of resource utilization and a subdued outlook for inflation over the medium run – are likely to warrant exceptionally low levels for the federal funds rate for an extended period. The Committee will complete its purchases of $600 billion of longer-term Treasury securities by the end of this month and will maintain its existing policy of reinvesting principal payments from its securities holdings. The Committee will regularly review the size and composition of its securities holdings and is prepared to adjust those holdings as appropriate. The Committee will monitor the economic outlook and financial developments and will act as needed to best foster maximum employment and price stability. Now then, what does all that mean in English? Let’s discuss that. For only the second time, Federal Reserve chairman Ben Bernanke will take the microphone for an open press conference today at 2.15pm ET – at a moment when fears that the US economy is sliding back into recession, thanks to anaemic growth, lacklustre job creation and the lasting effects of the financial market and housing meltdown going back three years. The climate for the US economy has certainly got worse since Bernanke debut press conference – and this afternoon appearance before the media should see more probing questions about how the Federal reserve intends to handle monetary policy going forward. Join us here as we watch Bernanke in action in Washington DC – and feel free to leave your comments below. Ben Bernanke US economy US economic growth and recession US Interest rates Economics United States Richard Adams guardian.co.uk
Continue reading …It’s rare that anyone in any U.S. administration says something remotely critical of Saudi Arabia, or mentions a controversial subject for fear of annoying the Saudis. So when Secretary of State Clinton did so this morning she had to have considered her words with some care and thought. From the NY Times : WASHINGTON – Hillary Rodham Clinton’s advocacy for women’s rights – as First Lady, Senator and now Secretary of State – is well known. And yet she found herself facing criticism for not being outspoken enough on one issue: Saudi Arabia’s ban on women driving. In a series of letters and statements this month, a coalition of Saudi activists has pressed Mrs. Clinton to use the State Department’s bully pulpit to support its campaign against the kingdom’s ban, expressing disappointment earlier Tuesday that she had not yet spoken out. Then she did. “What these women are doing is brave and what they are seeking is right,” Mrs. Clinton said, when asked about the criticism at an appearance with Secretary of Defense Robert M. Gates and their Japanese counterparts at the State Department. Of the women’s campaign, she added, “I am moved by it, and I support them.” The campaign — waged largely online inside Saudi Arabia — called on women to drive in collective protest last Friday, an event that appeared to draw a much smaller number than organizers had hoped. Maureen Dowd, who on her good days can write a decent column, had some praise for her comments but wished that Clinton had been more forceful, urging her to Sing Out, Hillary . It would have been thrilling if Hillary 2011 had simply channeled Hillary 1995, when, as first lady, she made her bodacious speech in Beijing, declaring that “women’s rights are human rights.” In her memoir, Hillary wrote that, despite pressure against it, she was determined to give that speech because she was fed up with “the crucial concerns of women” getting sacrificed “to diplomatic, military and trade issues.” So it was startling on Monday when Saudi women activists, struggling to bring the Arab Spring to the medieval House of Saud by urging women to drive, chided Hillary for her silence. Clinton’s office responded that the secretary had used “quiet diplomacy” — raising the issue, and more pressing ones, in a call with the Saudi foreign minister on the Day of Driving Dangerously. By Tuesday, the secretary of state — who has worked hard for women under the radar and whose legacy will be shaped by her support of women’s rights around the world — realized that she needed to be a bit louder.
Continue reading …It’s rare that anyone in any U.S. administration says something remotely critical of Saudi Arabia, or mentions a controversial subject for fear of annoying the Saudis. So when Secretary of State Clinton did so this morning she had to have considered her words with some care and thought. From the NY Times : WASHINGTON – Hillary Rodham Clinton’s advocacy for women’s rights – as First Lady, Senator and now Secretary of State – is well known. And yet she found herself facing criticism for not being outspoken enough on one issue: Saudi Arabia’s ban on women driving. In a series of letters and statements this month, a coalition of Saudi activists has pressed Mrs. Clinton to use the State Department’s bully pulpit to support its campaign against the kingdom’s ban, expressing disappointment earlier Tuesday that she had not yet spoken out. Then she did. “What these women are doing is brave and what they are seeking is right,” Mrs. Clinton said, when asked about the criticism at an appearance with Secretary of Defense Robert M. Gates and their Japanese counterparts at the State Department. Of the women’s campaign, she added, “I am moved by it, and I support them.” The campaign — waged largely online inside Saudi Arabia — called on women to drive in collective protest last Friday, an event that appeared to draw a much smaller number than organizers had hoped. Maureen Dowd, who on her good days can write a decent column, had some praise for her comments but wished that Clinton had been more forceful, urging her to Sing Out, Hillary . It would have been thrilling if Hillary 2011 had simply channeled Hillary 1995, when, as first lady, she made her bodacious speech in Beijing, declaring that “women’s rights are human rights.” In her memoir, Hillary wrote that, despite pressure against it, she was determined to give that speech because she was fed up with “the crucial concerns of women” getting sacrificed “to diplomatic, military and trade issues.” So it was startling on Monday when Saudi women activists, struggling to bring the Arab Spring to the medieval House of Saud by urging women to drive, chided Hillary for her silence. Clinton’s office responded that the secretary had used “quiet diplomacy” — raising the issue, and more pressing ones, in a call with the Saudi foreign minister on the Day of Driving Dangerously. By Tuesday, the secretary of state — who has worked hard for women under the radar and whose legacy will be shaped by her support of women’s rights around the world — realized that she needed to be a bit louder.
Continue reading …Police give chase to boy in pyjamas who reached 50mph in car taken from his mother’s house A barefoot seven-year-old boy wearing pyjamas hit speeds of 50mph while driving a car for 20 miles before Michigan police eventually forced him to stop. The boy was stopped in a 55mph zone in Caseville Township only after two police cars gave chase and forced him to slow down. He had set off from his mother’s house in the Pontiac Sunfire with the intention of driving to his father’s house 15 miles away. “He was crying and just kept saying he wanted to go to his dad’s,” said the Caseville police chief, Jamie Learman. Police began looking for the car at 10.15am on Monday after receiving a call from someone who had spotted an underage driver. The boy was staying with his mother in Huron County’s Sheridan Township, 110 miles north of Detroit. She had worked a night shift and was unaware her son and the car were gone. The boy had hoped to drive to his father’s home in Filion, also in northern Michigan. Police pulled him over about 15 miles to the west. Learman told the Detroit Free Press he feared the boy would crash as the car veered to the right on a rural road and skidded wildly. “When that happened, he seemed to be increasing his speeds,” Learman said. He sped ahead and tried to box in the car with the help of a Huron County sheriff’s deputy, who was behind in another vehicle. “I slowed down, he slowed down and eventually stopped,” Learman said. Huron County sheriff, Kelly Hanson, said the prosecutor’s office and child welfare officials were reviewing the matter. The prosecutor “is going to want to know things like … where did he learn how to drive?” Hanson said. “I’m just glad he didn’t get hurt, and no one else got hurt,” Learman said. “I can just imagine the stop signs and other things he didn’t stop for. I’m just assuming a seven-year-old didn’t follow the traffic laws.” Michigan United States guardian.co.uk
Continue reading …Dmitry Medvedev’s support for democracy rings hollow as his justice ministry refuses to register People’s Freedom party for this year’s polls President Dmitry Medvedev’s attempts to portray Russia as a flourishing democracy were dealt another blow when a liberal opposition party was barred from taking part in forthcoming elections. Medvedev has promised to increase political competition but the justice ministry announced in a statement that it was refusing to register the People’s Freedom party (PFP), a coalition whose leaders include the former prime minister Mikhail Kasyanov, and activist Boris Nemtsov. The ministry said that the party could not be registered because some listed members were under-age, some were “dead souls” – already deceased at the time of the party’s founding conference in December – and some did not live at the addresses provided in documents filed by the party. It also identified other alleged violations. Kasyanov accused the prime minister, Vladimir Putin, of engineering the refusal because the PFP posed “serious risks” for him. “It’s clear that Putin has taken the decision not to allow our party to take part in the elections,” Kasyanov said, adding that as a result the parliamentary poll this December “cannot be considered fair”. Vladimir Ryzhkov, another leader of the party, said that launching an appeal would be pointless. “To apply to the courts now would mean going in a vicious circle and like a sheep running again and again into the same gate,” he said. The polls are expectedto be a pallid affair. Last month, Putin created the All-Russia People’s Front to boost the flagging fortunes of his United Russia party, which dominates the duma and should preserve a large swath of seats. Also last month, the billionaire metals tycoon Mikhail Prokhorov agreed to head Right Cause, a small party that appears to support Medvedev’s modernising agenda. The Communist party, the misleadingly named Liberal Democratic party headed by ultra-nationalist Vladimir Zhirinovksy, and the Fair Russia party will also compete as nominal opponents to United Russia. Critics say the Kremlin has consistently quelled sharply oppositionist parties in recent years by refusing registration and imposing other legal obstacles to participation in elections. In April, the European court of human rights ruled that the dissolution of Ryzhkov’s Republican party in 2007 was unjustified. Russia Dmitry Medvedev Vladimir Putin Tom Parfitt guardian.co.uk
Continue reading …US military fears cutting troop numbers in Afghanistan too quickly could jeopardise entire mission Unless Barack Obama has a sudden change of heart, his address to the nation will privately disappoint many of the senior commanders in Isaf – the International Security and Assistance Force – and provide them with immediate logistical problems. The military had been expecting an initial withdrawal of between 3,000 and 5,000 troops. That can be achieved relatively easily by reducing the number of back-up staff in Afghanistan. The ratio of fighters to support personnel is out of kilter at the moment, so this would help to rationalise the “teeth to tail” numbers. A further 5,000 soldiers out by the end of the year is more of a problem. In military circles this target is described as “challenging”. That means it is going to be a real headache, potentially disrupting plans for this summer’s fighting season, and the strategy for the autumn. Speaking ahead of the speech, Professor Michael Clarke, director of the Royal United Services Institute thinktank, warned the US needed to keep “as many combat units intact for as long as possible” or risk “snatching defeat from the jaws of victory”. But the likelihood now is that the US will have to start withdrawing one of its brigades in the autumn, to meet the first end of year deadline, and then synchronise the withdrawal of others through 2012 to get all 33,000 surge troops out of Afghanistan within the White House timetable. There will not be a second fighting season at full strength, which is what commanders wanted. All talk of a “conditions-based withdrawal”, the phrase used by Downing Street and the White House to provide reassurance to the generals, appears to have been abandoned. The conditions driving this process now are political ones. In early 2013, the US will still have more
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