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North sea oil spill ‘worst for a decade’

The government has described the leak as ‘substantial’ and estimates that it could be several hundred tonnes An oil spill in the North Sea is estimated to amount to several hundred tonnes, making it the biggest such leak in more than a decade, according to UK government figures. The spill – far greater than annual totals dating back to 2001 – was described as “substantial” by the Department of Energy and Climate Change (Decc). The total amount of oil discharged into the North Sea in 2009 was 50.93 tonnes. Shell, which operates the Gannet Alpha platform about 112 miles east of Aberdeen, said the subsea well was shut on Wednesday, but it has not confirmed the quantity of the leak. A Decc spokesman said the energy firm is still trying to “completely halt” any further leakage. The spokesman said: “Although small in comparison to the Macondo, Gulf of Mexico, incident, in the context of the UK continental shelf, the spill is substantial – but it is not anticipated that oil will reach the shore and indeed it is expected that it will be dispersed naturally. “The UK continental shelf oil spill record is strong, which is why it is disappointing that this spill has happened. We take any spill very seriously and we will be investigating the causes of the spill and learning any lessons from the response to it.” He added: “Current estimates are that the spill could be several hundred tonnes. “However, it is always very difficult and takes time to get an accurate assessment of the size of a spill and this is subject to ongoing revision. “So these estimates are subject to continuing analysis and change. The Maritime and Coastguard Agency are making twice-daily flights to monitor the situation.” Mick Borwell, from the offshore industry body Oil and Gas UK, said he is convinced the energy firm is doing all it can to tackle the problem. “Any oil company operating in the UK takes oil spill, any volume of oil spill, very seriously,” he told BBC Radio Scotland’s Good Morning Scotland programme. “It’s one of the reasons we have one of the most robust response mechanisms to oil spills. “I think this level of spill is not normal for the UK continental shelf and I’m absolutely convinced that Shell are doing what they need to do to deal with it.” He added: “It’s important to remember that oil degrades and disperses very quickly in the marine environment, more so as the weather conditions increase. “The UK strategy for dealing with an oil spill is to wait and see how it behaves.” Environment groups raised their concerns for wildlife in the area. Stuart Housden, director of RSPB Scotland, said: “We know oil of any amount, if in the wrong place, at the wrong time, can have a devastating impact on marine life. Currently thousands of young auks – razorbills, puffins and guillemots – are flightless and dispersing widely in the North Sea during late summer. So they could be at serious risk if contaminated by this spill. “If Shell is confident that the situation is now under control we must now start to assess what happened and make sure the relevant precautions are in place to stop this happening again.” Oil spills Oil Oceans Oil Energy Fossil fuels Oil and gas companies Energy industry Royal Dutch Shell Wildlife Marine life Birds guardian.co.uk

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Matt Dowd: Rick Perry Could Have Trouble in a General Election Because He Sounds a Lot Like George Bush

Click here to view this media What do you know? Matt Dowd actually said something I agree with on one of these Sunday bobblehead shows. While discussing Texas Gov. Rick Perry’s recent entry into the Republican presidential primary race, Dowd said two things I agree with about Rick Perry: One, I think it would be unwise for anyone to underestimate him. And two, he’s going to have trouble in the general election because he sounds too much like George W. Bush. I think he’s going to have trouble if he gets the nomination for other reasons that Dowd did not mention here as well. Sounding too much like Bush might be the least of his problems. The Texas Democratic Party has a host of other reasons he may not fair too well in the general election here — Meet Rick Perry . Lots of good stuff there on Perry’s record as Governor of Texas, so go check it out, but here’s a taste. Transcript of Dowd’s remarks from ABC News : TAPPER: You — you followed his career in Texas for a long — probably longer than you want to admit. DOWD: Twenty-five years. Twenty-five years. I took his filing when he was a Democrat, ran as a Democrat at the Texas Democratic Party. This guy is an incredible campaigner. And for me, having watched George Bush and having worked for George Bush and having known Rick Perry, he is actually a better campaigner at this point than George Bush was. Now, part of his problem is, he sounds a lot like George Bush. He looks like a president, though, if you look at the picture, but he sounds and has similar mannerisms to George Bush. I don’t think that’s as much of a problem in the Republican primary; it could be a problem in the general election. But don’t underestimate this guy. This guy took apart an incumbent Republican U.S. senator who had an 85 percent approval rating and beat her by 20 points in the primary by being tea party before tea party became cool. And on a final note to Matt Dowd, being part of that astroturf “tea party” ain’t exactly looking so “cool” right now. Their disapproval numbers are climbing after this debt ceiling debacle and I suspect they’re going to go higher as they continue to prove themselves to anyone who is paying attention as not having the interests of working Americans at heart. And as Karoli already noted here , it seems they’re having a bit of a problem with attendance at some of their rallies as well.

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Open Thread: Obama’s Approval Rating Falls to New Low

On Sunday, for the first time in his presidency, President Obama's approval rating fell to 39% in the latest Gallup poll. In comparison, former President George W. Bush's approval rating didn't fall to 39% until his second term in office in fall 2005. Do you think Obama's approval could fall even lower in the coming months? Let us know your thoughts in the comments. Earlier this month, a Rasmussen poll found that 34.8% of adults consider themselves to be Democrats, so the 39% approval rating could represent Obama's base support group and not fall much lower. However, the low approval rating does prove troubling for Obama's campaign. As David Paul Kuhn explains at RealClearPolitics , That’s what Obama’s 39 percent signifies. Republicans may not have to win it. Obama is on track to lose it. No one number predicts presidential prospects. But if you must pick one, pick the presidential approval rating. There is a range where the floor gives out. There have been 10 incumbent campaigns since the close of the Second World War. Only W won with an approval below 50 percent. Yet Gerald Ford lost in the same range. There's no magic number. But Obama must likely be in, at least, the high 40s to win term two. Does that mean he’s Grover Cleveland or Carter? It’s worth recalling how bad it got for Carter. His rating bobbed in the low 30s and high 20s in 1979. And Carter still made a race of it. Obama will too. The opponent will matter. Perhaps 39 percent matters most there. It affirms that the right candidate can beat him. Does that fertilize pragmatism? Maybe. Do you think campaign season will bring new vigor to Obama's numbers? Or do you think his numbers will continue falling?

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Cesc Fábregas signs Barcelona contract to finalise Arsenal departure

• Midfielder completes transfer on five-year contract • Barcelona say Fábregas deal worth potential £34m Cesc Fábregas left London with tears in his eyes and urged Arsenal to stick with Arsène Wenger – describing the coach as “the best person I have met in football”. The Catalan also insisted that Jack Wilshere and Aaron Ramsey have the talent to take control of Arsenal’s midfield for the future. Wilshere, he said, will be the England captain within three years and that Ramsey is on course to become Arsenal’s “next star”. The saga finally came to an end on Monday when Fábregas was at long last presented as a Barcelona player after a three-year pursuit. He said that he was very happy to fulfil a childhood dream but admitted that there were “mixed emotions.” He admitted that the frustration of not winning anything in the last six years weighed heavily and revealed that he had been unable to articulate his gratitude during his last meeting with Wenger without crying. “I spoke to [Wenger] on Friday to say goodbye and got very emotional because he has been like a father figure,” Fábregas said. “I couldn’t even talk when I wanted to say how grateful I was for what he has done to me, so I had to send a message afterwards saying thanks for everything. If it was not for him I would not be here today to live my dream. I will never have enough words to say how grateful I am. I went from being a boy to a man and they gave me absolutely everything in football. I have mixed emotions. Life goes on: Arsenal will always be there, the fans will always be there. Players come and go; the club will always be bigger than them.” “At Arsenal, there were finals and semi-finals but we always lacked that little extra push to win something. That was hard to take. It was not that we didn’t win titles it was that we kept going through the same routine, the same things happening to us and us messing up. I gave everything for Arsenal but it didn’t show in the [trophy] cabinet because I only won one FA Cup. That is the biggest regret I will have in my career – not to be able to lift a trophy as Arsenal captain.” Fábregas also noted his sadness at the way that he ultimately left the Emirates. “I will have time to talk about [my departure]. I am sure I will do an interview especially for them [the Arsenal fans] at some stage,” he said. “I am sorry I couldn’t say anything for the last two and half months, Arsenal would not allow me to talk, I was disappointed and upset about that but it had to be like that. I still have, personally, a great relationship with them and I am disappointed to have maybe lost [the affection of] some of the fans. “I am sorry I couldn’t say anything, I am sorry. I was very, very sad to be leaving. I spent a third of my life there – eight years.” Despite those frustrations, Fábregas added: “If Arsenal want to keep being the club they have been, they must always remain under his [Wenger's] control because he is the best and everyone respects him. He will always be the best person I have met in football.” He also insisted that Arsenal have the squad to continue to compete. “But I am sure that they will be a strong team again – they are one of the biggest teams in the world. They will be OK without me as they were without Vieira, without Henry, without Bergkamp,” Fábregas said. “There is not even a question [over whether or not Arsenal's midfield is in good hands]. I have seen them play for years, both Aaron and Jack. Jack will be the England captain in the next two or three years, there is no doubt. You don’t have to be a magician to see that. He has the passing game and he will be an even better player in the future. There is not even a question in my mind about that. As for Aaron: his engine is unbelievable, his final ball will get better and he will be the next big star at Arsenal. They are winners and they will be amazing for the club for sure.” Cesc Fábregas Arsenal Barcelona Transfer window Sid Lowe guardian.co.uk

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This campaign strategy doesn’t many any sense at all to me. I don’t know what good appealing to the middle will do when so many Democratic voters are disgusted enough not to vote at all. We’re in the middle of economic devastation unknown in our lifetime, and we’d like to see our president show more concern about that than his own reelection: Obama’s jobs agenda, which he plans to tout on his Midwestern tour, calls for $30 billion to rebuild roads, bridges and ports; improvements to the patent system to spur innovation; trade deals with a trio of countries to boost exports; a $40-billion extension of unemployment insurance benefits; and renewal of the current one-year reduction of the payroll tax at a cost of up $120 billion. A range of economists and Democratic critics call those ideas inadequate. Asked about Obama’s support for free-trade deals with South Korea, Colombia and Panama, Dean Baker, co-director of the Center for Economic and Policy Research, a center-left think tank, said, “I would think they would be embarrassed to mention it.” “These are small countries, and we already have a lot of trade with them,” he added. Obama’s policies “are just not big enough to make much of a difference,” said Robert Reich, who was Labor secretary under President Clinton. Alternative ideas have been floating up from Democratic think tanks, elected officials and strategists: Peter R. Orszag, Obama’s former budget director, advocates tripling the size of the payroll tax break — essentially wiping out the payroll tax entirely — and keeping the rate low as long as unemployment remains high. This is one of the stupider ideas I’ve seen. In addition to robbing Social Security by cutting those taxes, people aren’t going to spend that money on anything more than the increased price of food and gas. There won’t be any left over to stimulate the economy in any meaningful way. Others are pressing Obama to take advantage of low interest rates and borrow money to underwrite a far larger public works program. Such a plan would spur enough long-term economic growth to pay off the extra debt, supporters argue. Mark Zandi, an economist who has advised the Obama administration, suggests making it easier for homeowners to refinance mortgages at today’s extremely low rates. The idea would be to eliminate charges that currently make it too costly for some people to refinance. He also advises changing immigration policies so that foreign students with advanced degrees find it easier to stay in the U.S. Still, “There’s no magic bullet here,” Zandi said. White House aides counter that large-scale, costly ideas stand little chance of getting through the Republican-controlled House. But it’s no sure bet that Congress will go along with smaller-scale ideas either. Republican leadership aides said the GOP was supportive of the trade deals and a patent overhaul, although both have stalled several times this year. Obama’s call for renewing the payroll tax cut has drawn fire from some Republicans, who argue it would worsen the deficit, and the GOP has also opposed his plan to extend unemployment insurance. Pollster Stanley B. Greenberg, who polled for Clinton’s White House, said voters had little patience for political leaders who limited policy proposals to what the opposition would support. White House officials can “get trapped in ‘what can get through Congress’ and the constraints of that debate,” Greenberg said, recalling similar arguments in the Clinton years. “Voters want you to break out of that” and answer the question, “What are you battling for?” he said. The complaints about Obama come not only from long-standing critics, but from some who have been supportive in the past. One Democratic congressman who has defended Obama to fellow liberals said he told White House officials at a recent meeting that they seemed to have Stockholm syndrome — embracing the Republican view that deficit reduction should be a major national priority, in the manner of hostages who come to sympathize with their captors. Obama “sat in the room with Republicans so long talking about deficit reduction that he seems to be parroting the same lines,” said the congressman, speaking on the condition of anonymity to discuss private meetings.

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Essex police charge man over water fight planned on BlackBerry Messenger

A 20-year-old is due in court after police discover plans for a Colchester water fight circulating on BBM and Facebook A man will appear before magistrates in September for attempting to organise a citywide water fight on his mobile phone. The 20-year-old from Colchester, south-east England, was arrested on Friday after Essex police discovered the plans circulating on the BlackBerry Messenger service and Facebook. The unnamed man has been charged with “encouraging or assisting in the commission of an offence” under the 2007 Serious Crime Act, police said. He was arrested the day the water fight was due to take place along with another 20-year-old man. He has been bailed to appear before Colchester magistrates on 1 September. The second man was released without charge. The BlackBerry Messenger service, a closed communications network, was the social network of choice for organising many of the raids on shops and businesses during the riots across parts of England last week. A police spokesman declined to disclose whether Essex police had been monitoring the messenger service since the riots. “Essex police use appropriate measures for whatever the crime and wherever our investigations lead us,” he said. Speaking during last Thursday’s parliamentary debate on the riots, David Cameron said he would investigate whether social-networking sites should be shut down if they helped to “plot” crime. The prime minister said he would “look at whether it would be right to stop people communicating via these websites and services when we know they are plotting violence, disorder and criminality”. He has received support from some Tory backbenchers, including Louise Mensch, who likened such a ban to closing a stretch of rail network after an accident. In 2008 there was a spate of mass water fights in UK towns and cities that were organised through social networking . Most remained peaceful. This month a water fight attended by thousands of young Iranians attracted the attention of Tehran’s morality police and led to a series of arrests. Social networking BlackBerry Facebook Police Mobile phones Internet Shiv Malik guardian.co.uk

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Warren Buffett calls for higher taxes for US super rich

• ‘Mega-rich get extraordinary tax breaks’ • Investor says move needed to tackle US debts • Strong Tea Party opposition to tax rises The days of ‘coddling’ America’s super-rich with low taxes must end if its debt problems are ever to be solved, according to billionaire investor Warren Buffett. Buffett has called on US politicians to impose higher taxes on his fellow wealthy Americans, who he says are currently indulged with an unfairly generous tax regime. Writing in the New York Times on Monday , Buffett argued that the richest members of US society are not making a fair contribution to repairing the country’s finances. “While the poor and middle class fight for us in Afghanistan, and while most Americans struggle to make ends meet, we mega-rich continue to get our extraordinary tax breaks,” wrote Buffett, whose personal fortune was estimated at $50bn (£30bn) by Forbes this year. “These and other blessings are showered upon us by legislators in Washington who feel compelled to protect us, much as if we were spotted owls or some other endangered species. It’s nice to have friends in high places,” the 80-year old investor added. Buffett, a long-time critic of the US tax system, has calculated that he handed over 17.4% of his income as tax last year – a lower proportion than any of the 20 other people who work in his office. Under the debt ceiling deal agreed in Washington, a “super committee” of 12 congressmen and senators must find $1.5tn worth of savings and cuts to help cut America’s national debt. Tax rises are hugely unpopular with elements within the Republican party, with the Tea Party movement adamant that America should balance its books by cutting public spending. Buffett argues that this super-committee should raise the tax rate paid by those earning more than $1m a year, including earnings from capital gains which are currently taxed at a lower rate than ordinary income. Those raking in upward of $10m a year could then pay even more. The package of tax cuts brought in by President George W Bush are set to expire at the end of 2012, although they could be extended. Many of the leading Republicans who hope to challenge Barack Obama at the next presidential election have argued for lower taxation to stimulate the US economy. On Saturday Rick Perry, the governor of Texas, argued that it was an “injustice” that almost a half of all Americans currently pay no federal income tax. “Spreading the wealth punishes success while setting America on a course for greater dependency on government,” Perry argued as he announced his bid for the 2012 Republican nomination . It was not clear whether Perry hopes to increase the percentage of US citizens paying federal income tax by bringing more of them into better-paid jobs, or by lowering the income tax threshold. Either way, Buffett argues that the US political class should be looking at the other end of the spectrum. As he put it: “My friends and I have been coddled long enough by a billionaire-friendly Congress. It’s time for our government to get serious about shared sacrifice.” Warren Buffett US economy US domestic policy United States Graeme Wearden guardian.co.uk

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Markets make calmer start to the week

• FTSE 100 rises in early trading • Italian public holiday helps steady nerves • Gold falls back from recent records • Japanese economy not as sickly as feared Calm returned to financial markets on Monday following last week’s turbulence, as traders awaited fresh developments in the European debt crisis. Most major stock markets posted early gains, and the only major swing on the foreign exchange was a sharp fall in the swiss franc. Gold lost ground, falling back from its recent highs. In London the FTSE 100 rose by 41 points in early trading, hitting 5361.89, as City workers enjoyed a more sedate session after recent volatility. “A calmer tone has settled over the markets after last week’s turmoil,” said Jane Foley, senior currency strategist at Rabobank. There was widespread encouragement that the Japanese economy shrank by 0.3% between April and June, a smaller contraction than feared. In Japan, the Nikkei index closed 1.37% higher, with other stock markets in the region also registering solid gains. Foley said the Japanese GDP data, and encouraging US retail sales data released last Friday, had prompted “a collective sigh of relief across the global investment community”. Franco-German summit in focus Traders said that a public holiday in Italy – the source of much of the fear that swept markets in recent days – had helped to steady investors’ nerves. However, the picture could change on Tuesday when Nicolas Sarkozy and Angela Merkel will hold crucial discussions on the future of the eurozone . The talks, taking place in Paris, will consider how the two biggest eurozone economies can prevent the region’s debt crisis escalating further. Failure to agree clear plans could prompt another sell-off in the financial markets, traders believe. “If nothing is agreed tomorrow then we could see another market wobble,” said Michael Hewson, analyst at CMC Markets. “I’m afraid we’ll see more delays and more prevarication … and the markets are losing patience.” One option to resolve the euro crisis would be for weaker countries to issue “eurobonds”, backed by the rest of the community. France and Germany, though, have indicated that eurobonds are not on the agenda this week. Hewson warned that the financial markets are currently “in the eye of the storm”, suggesting that Monday’s placid scenes may be short-lived. A week to forget Last week’s drama began with heavy losses as the European debt crisis threatened Italy and Spain, sending the FTSE 100 to its fourth triple-digit fall in a row – a record . The recovery then stumbled on Wednesday over fears about the French banking sector, which prompted another sell-off . The blue chip index ended with two days of triple-digit gains, clawing back 6% of its total value . “Many traders will doubtless welcome a quiet start to the week after the extreme volatility that has been seen of late,” said Cameron Peacock, analyst at IG Markets. Peacock pointed out that the markets could be moved by US manufacturing data due for release later on Monday. At 2.30pm BST, the European Central Bank will reveal how much it spent in the last week buying up the sovereign debt of Italy and Spain. Akif Ince, credit data analyst at Markit, reported that the cost of insuring corporate and government debt had declined on Monday – a sign of “positive sentiment” in the market. “While we seem to be retracing for the time being, there are many moving parts and an air of uncertainty is lingering in the market as ideas of eurobonds and naked sovereign CDS [credit default swap] bans re-emerge,” Ince added. The Swiss franc fell by 2% against other currencies, following reports that the Swiss Central Bank was planning to peg the currency against the euro. The Swiss franc has soared in recent months as investors sought a safe haven. Gold, the other classic refuge, dropped around 0.5% to $1,740 an ounce. Stock markets Market turmoil Global economy FTSE Dow Jones Currencies Graeme Wearden guardian.co.uk

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Argentina’s president, Cristina Kirchner, wins election primary

Cristina Fernández de Kirchner achieves 50% of votes, 38 percentage points ahead of her nearest rival, Raúl Alfonsín Argentina’s president, Cristina Fernández de Kirchner, has taken a major step towards re-election in the country’s first national primary. With more than 96% of the ballots counted, Kirchner had just over 50%, the government election authority said. She was nearly 38 percentage points ahead of the closest candidate, the centrist Radical Civic Union party congressman Raúl Alfonsín. The former president Eduardo Duhalde, of a conservative faction of the Peronist party, was third, also with 12%. Sunday’s primary elections were a nationwide opinion poll because most parties had already chosen their candidates and voters could cast ballots for any party’s candidate. To avoid a runoff, the winning candidate in the October elections must get at least 45% of the vote, or 40% with a lead of at least 10 points over the closest contender. The results showed Kirchner had no real competitor. Her two main opponents, Alfonsín and Duhalde, fared worse than expected, and the electoral law prohibits them from joining forces and forming a new alliance. If Kirchner gets a similar result in the first round of voting on 23 October, she will win a third term for her centre-left faction of the Peronists. Kirchner succeeded her husband, Néstor Kirchner, in 2007. Her victory was widely attributed to popular support for her husband, whom many Argentinians credited with reviving the county’s economy after its collapse in 2001, when Argentina suffered an acute financial crisis and defaulted on its sovereign debt. In 2008 her popularity rating fell below 30% after a four-month tax revolt by farmers, an important force in the country. But strong economic growth since then has helped to create jobs, increase wages and allow the government to extend welfare programmes. The death of her husband in October 2010 pushed her popularity ratings up again. Argentina Cristina Kirchner guardian.co.uk

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Google looks to ‘supercharge’ Android with Motorola Mobility

Google to acquire US mobile company’s smartphone business to ‘supercharge the Android ecosystem’ Google is to acquire Motorola Mobility, the US mobile company’s smartphone business, in a $12.5bn (£7.6bn) cash deal. The takeover will boost Google’s increasing dominance in the nascent smartphone and tablet computer market. The $40 a share deal is a 63% premium on Motorola Mobility’s closing price on the New York Stock Exchange on Friday. Larry Page, Google chief executive, said: “Motorola Mobility’s total commitment to Android has created a natural fit for our two companies. Together, we will create amazing user experiences that supercharge the entire Android ecosystem for the benefit of consumers, partners and developers. I look forward to welcoming Motorolans to our family of Googlers.” Sanjay Jha, chief executive of Motorola Mobility, added: “This transaction offers significant value for Motorola Mobility’s stockholders and provides compelling new opportunities for our employees, customers, and partners around the world. “We have shared a productive partnership with Google to advance the Android platform, and now through this combination we will be able to do even more to innovate and deliver outstanding mobility solutions across our mobile devices and home businesses.” The deal represents Google’s biggest challenge yet to Apple, which has led the way in the smartphone and tablet markets with the iPhone and iPad. Other manufacturers, including Samsung and HTC, will be free to release phones using Google’s Android software. Google will run Motorola Mobility as a separate business. The takeover also pits Google, which has traditionally avoided involvement in hardware, against the manufacturing giant Nokia. The move comes just six months after the Finnish phone maker signed a strategic deal with Microsoft in an effort to rebuild its ailing fortunes. Motorola was the first mobile maker to partner with Google and release phones based on its Android operating system. Motorola spun off Mobility as a separate business in January this year. The manufacturing division primarily produces smartphones, such as the Motorola Droid and the Defy, but also makes tablet computers and digital set-top boxes. Analysts have long predicted that half of the world’s smartphones will be using Android software by the end of 2012, as manufacturers have rushed to adopt Google’s operating system rather than develop their own. The deal is subject to US regulatory approval, which could prove a larger hurdle than usual given that Google’s Android division is already being probed by anti-trust investigators. The companies said they expect the takeover to be completed in late 2011 or early 2012. Andy Rubin, senior vice president of mobile at Google, said: “We expect that this combination will enable us to break new ground for the Android ecosystem. “However, our vision for Android is unchanged and Google remains firmly committed to Android as an open platform and a vibrant open source community. We will continue to work with all of our valued Android partners to develop and distribute innovative Android-powered devices.” Google Mobile phones Telecoms Telecommunications industry Android Software Smartphones Digital media Media business Josh Halliday guardian.co.uk

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