For many years, conservatives have been claiming that Paul Krugman makes up economic data to support his political conclusions. Proving the point, the New York Times columnist said Monday, “Nothing in the [ClimateGate email] correspondence suggested any kind of scientific impropriety,” and in the truly damning message from Phil Jones, the former head of Britain's Climatic Research Unit, “it’s clear that he’s talking about making an effective graphical presentation, not about suppressing evidence”: Back in 2009 climate skeptics got hold of more than a thousand e-mails between researchers at the Climate Research Unit at Britain’s University of East Anglia. Nothing in the correspondence suggested any kind of scientific impropriety; at most, we learned — I know this will shock you — that scientists are human beings, who occasionally say snide things about people they dislike. But that didn’t stop the usual suspects from proclaiming that they had uncovered “Climategate,” a scientific scandal that somehow invalidates the vast array of evidence for man-made climate change. And this fake scandal gives an indication of what the Wisconsin G.O.P. presumably hopes to do to Mr. Cronon. After all, if you go through a large number of messages looking for lines that can be made to sound bad, you’re bound to find a few. In fact, it’s surprising how few such lines the critics managed to find in the “Climategate” trove: much of the smear has focused on just one e-mail, in which a researcher talks about using a “trick” to “hide the decline” in a particular series. In context, it’s clear that he’s talking about making an effective graphical presentation, not about suppressing evidence. But the right wants a scandal, and won’t take no for an answer. No scientific impropriety? Jones was just making an effective graphical presentation? Well, as NewsBusters reported last February, Jones himself, in an interview with the BBC, admitted that he manipulated data. Of course, given his background, it's not at all surprising Krugman wouldn't consider this a scientific impropriety. Former Times ombudsman Daniel Okrent in May 2005 said the Nobel Laureate “has the disturbing habit of shaping, slicing and selectively citing numbers in a fashion that pleases his acolytes but leaves him open to substantive assaults.” With that in mind, let's examine what Krugman now claims was just an “effective graphical presentation.” As Marc Sheppard wrote in December 2009, “[T]he decline Jones so urgently sought to hide was not one of measured temperatures at all, but rather figures infinitely more important to climate alarmists — those determined by proxy reconstructions.” He continued: Jones was working on a cover chart for a forthcoming World Meteorological Organization report [ PDF ], “WMO Statement on the Status of the Global Climate in 1990,” when he wrote the e-mail. As the graph would incorporate one reconstruction of his own plus one each from Michael Mann and Keith Briffa, Jones was informing them that he had used the trick on Mann's series at the same 1980 cutoff as MBH98, but found it necessary to use 1960 as the cutoff on the Briffa series. In February 2010, Jones admitted this to the BBC: “[It] was absolutely necessary to remove the incorrect impression given by the tree rings that temperatures between about 1960 and 1999 (when the email was written) were not rising, as our instrumental data clearly showed they were.” In simple terms, Briffa's tree-ring data showed a decline in temperatures between 1960 and 1999 that weather stations around the world disagreed with. So, Jones spliced into Briffa's data set the real “instrumental” numbers for that period thereby “hiding the decline.” This should raise eyebrows for a number of reasons. First, Jones and Company gave no notification to folks receiving this data — including the Intergovernmental Panel and Climate Change — that Briffa's numbers included instrumental data. But more importantly, as the tree-ring numbers deviated so demonstrably from the observed temperature data between 1960 and 1999, why should anyone believe they're accurate for any periods in the past that can't be confirmed with instrumentation? The entire global warming myth depends on tree-ring data that was grossly errant for forty years in the last century. This makes the decline ClimateGate scientists were trying to hide FAR MORE serious than most people believe. I guess we can now include Krugman on this list. That folks care what this man has to say about anything is astounding.
Continue reading …We join Metropolitan police officers of the Territorial Support Group on the March for the Alternative protest against government spending cuts Cameron Robertson
Continue reading …Man known as Duch admits to overseeing torture and death of 16,000 people but says UN-backed tribunal wrong to convict him The man who admitted to overseeing the torture and killing of 16,000 people as the Khmer Rouge’s chief prison warden is appealing against his 19-year jail sentence for war crimes and crimes against humanity. Kaing Guek Eav – who is also known as Duch – appeared before court in Cambodia on Monday. He is the only person so far to be tried by a special UN-backed tribunal set up to investigate and prosecute officials from the Marxist regime whose four-year rule in the 1970s led to the deaths of up to 1.7 million people. The 68-year-old Duch was originally given a 35-year jail term last July . But the sentenced was commuted to 19 years owing to time already served and other technicalities, a move that was widely criticised. Victims and relatives of the Khmer Rouge have expressed outrage by the reduced sentence. Defence lawyers have argued that Duch was wrongfully convicted because the tribunal – known as the Extraordinary Chambers in the Courts of Cambodia – was supposed to try only senior Khmer Rouge leaders. The lawyers argue that Duch was not a top leader and was merely following orders. Duch told the court on Monday that his case hinged upon “personal jurisdiction” – whether the court had authority to prosecute him. His lawyer, Kar Savuth, said: “Duch was just a minor secretary who had no real authority to make any real decisions or do anything contradictory to the orders of the upper echelon. “He was of course a perpetrator, but he received orders from his superiors like at other prisons. How could he be considered to be one of those most responsible for the crimes?” Kar argued that his client was a victim of selective prosecution, since the court has not sought to indict chiefs of the Khmer Rouge’s other 195 prisons, where he said far more people died than under Duch. During his 77-day trial, Duch admitted to overseeing the deaths of up to 16,000 people who passed through the gates of Toul Sleng prison – also known as S-21 – in the Cambodian capital, Phnom Penh. Prisoners were accused of being enemies of the regime, and many were tortured into making false confessions. Torture methods included pulling out prisoners’ toenails, administering electric shocks and waterboarding – a form of simulated drowning. Prosecutors have also appealed the sentence, seeking life in prison for Duch, and were scheduled to present their appeal on Tuesday. On Monday, prosecutors rebutted the defence’s arguments, saying Duch’s lawyers should have raised the question of “personal jurisdiction” during the trial phase and that his indictment was legitimate because S-21 was the Khmer Rouge’s largest and most important prison. “S-21 was operated as a tool by the security apparatus to smash any [subversives] in its ranks,” Chea Leang told the court. “S-21 had the scope to cover the whole country.” A ruling was expected “in the next few months”,” said a tribunal spokesman, Reach Sambath. In June the UN-backed court is to try four senior Khmer Rouge leaders: Nuon Chea, the chief ideologist; Khieu Samphan, its former head of state; Ieng Sary, its foreign minister; and his wife Ieng Thirith, who was minister for social affairs. Critics say the tribunal – which has took 10 years and $100m to set up – has been too slow to investigate potential suspects and bring them to trial. The court has also faced allegations of corruption and has been stonewalled by the Cambodian government and the prime minister, Hun Sen, a former Khmer Rouge military commander. The Khmer Rouge leader, Pol Pot, died in 1998. Cambodia Human rights War crimes Torture guardian.co.uk
Continue reading …Prominent writer detained by police as Chinese authorities continue crackdown on dissent Chinese police have arrested prominent writer Ran Yunfei for challenging the ruling Communist party, according to people close to the blogger. Ran, a writer and magazine editor from south-west Sichuan province who had been detained without charge for more than a month, was formally arrested on the charge of inciting subversion of state power, Wang Yi, a Christian activist in Sichuan and a friend of Ran said. Ran, 46, was detained by police in Chengdu on 20 February as unrest across the Middle East generated online calls for similar “jasmine revolution” protests in China. The charge of inciting subversion was also used to jail Liu Xiaobo, the dissident who won the Nobel peace prize, which infuriated Beijing. “Basically, it’s the crime of expressing your opinions,” said Wang, formerly a legal scholar. “In this case, too, the prosecutors will probably use essays that Ran has published on the internet.” Nobel laureate Liu has been serving an 11-year sentence since 2009 for co-writing the Charter 08 manifesto, which calls for sweeping political reform and is seen as one of the boldest challenges to Communist rule in recent years. The Chinese authorities are seeking to stifle any potential challenge to their power before a party leadership handover in late 2012. Wang said Ran’s wife received the arrest notice on Monday, although it was dated last Friday, the day a court sentenced another leading dissident in Sichuan, Liu Xianbin (who is not related to Liu Xiaobo), to 10 years in prison for urging democratic reform. Rights campaigners said that long sentence could augur tough punishment for other detained activists. The arrest was confirmed by another person close to Ran, who asked not to be named out of fear of retribution for speaking to foreign reporters. Police also searched Ran’s home in February and confiscated his computer, according to Reporters Without Borders. Ran’s formal arrest could culminate in a trial and a maximum prison sentence of five years. The authorities have detained dozens of lawyers, bloggers and dissidents in what rights groups say is China’s harshest crackdown on dissent in recent years. More than 100 activists, many of them active on Twitter and blogging sites, have been detained, subjected to monitoring and intimidation by the security forces or have gone missing since late February, particularly after the online calls for “jasmine” gatherings, according to Amnesty International. Prosecutors could order further investigations of Ran and it could be up to four months or more before his fate becomes clear, Wang said. He and others familiar with Ran said they did not know specifically what triggered the arrest. Ran was a signatory of Charter 08. “The government on the one hand prevents freedom of the press and disallows the free flow of information, and on the other hand … conceals the truth,” Ran wrote on his Twitter account on 14 February. “It’s no wonder that rumours are prevalent under these circumstances.” China Human rights Blogging guardian.co.uk
Continue reading …Witnesses say forces fired teargas at up to 4,000 demonstrators in the southern city of Deraa and that shots were heard Security forces in Syria are reported to have fired teargas and fired shots in the air as anti-government protests flared again in the southern city of Deraa . The unrest followed clashes in Latakia over the weekend in which at least 12 people died and promises by the authorities to lift emergency laws restricting public gatherings and allowing arrests on the grounds of national security. A witness told Associated Press that forces had fired tear gas as up to 4,000 people protested in Deraa. He said security forces fired tear gas at first. He also heard gunfire, although it appeared guns were being fired in the air. A witness told Reuters news agency demonstrators had converged on a main square in the city, chanting “We want dignity and freedom” and “No to emergency laws”. Security forces have struggled to deal with unrest in the southern city and other centres but authorities have held out the prospect of decisions that would “please the Syrian people” in the next two days. An announcement by president Bashar al-Assad was promised by the vice-president Farouq al-Shara speaking on Lebanese Hezbollah’s al-Manar television. There were no details. Turkish prime minister Recep Tayyip Erdogan said he had spoken to the Syrian president twice over the weekend urging reforms. “They told us they were working on political parties … we hope these measures are actually implemented rather than remaining promises,” Erdogan said. “We did not receive a negative answer when we urged Mr Assad to listen to the voice of people. I hope he makes the announcement today or tomorrow … It is impossible for us to remain silent in the face of these events, we have a 800km-long border with Syria.” Syria Arab and Middle East unrest Middle East Protest James Meikle guardian.co.uk
Continue reading …Click here to view this media I think it’s amazing that anyone has ever taken Newt Gingrich seriously as a potential presidential candidate in the first place given the fact that his main purpose in life seems to be trying to figure out more ways to line his own pocket, even if it means attempting to scam doctors out of $5000 so they can win one of his “awards” that Rachel talked about here — Newt Gingrich Shady Fundraising Pitch Tries to Scam Doctors for $5000 : But apparently Bill Press thinks that the flip-flopping on Libya is going to finally be enough to do him in since it’s laid bare the fact that any of his positions on Libya are nothing but knee-jerk reactions opposing whatever President Obama is doing. From CNN’s Reliable Sources : KURTZ: But speaking of semantics, let’s look at Newt Gingrich, what he said a couple of weeks ago, and what he says now about a U.S. military action in Libya. Now, this has gotten some traction on cable and on the Web. I haven’t seen any newspapers stories about it. Here’s a guy who’s gearing up to run for president. Why not more attention to what you would have to call a flip- flop? PRESS: I think there should be a lot of attention to this. And frankly, I think it has maybe destroyed Newt’s chances of being taken seriously as a presidential candidate. KURTZ: Destroyed his chances? PRESS: Seriously… Yes, right. Early on, to make a mistake like this so publicly, I think is a fatal flaw. And it shows him as just somebody who’s — he’s for it if Obama is against it. He’s against it if Obama’s for it. RUBIN: And I think this does revive the concerns about Newt, which is that he’s unpredictable, that he’s sort of in every pie and on every side simultaneously. KURTZ: I like politicians who unpredictable, but I don’t think that they should be doing a 180 within two weeks, yes.
Continue reading …In the Sunday New York Times obituary for liberal Democrat 1984 vice-presidential nominee Geraldine Ferraro, Douglas Martin presented her as “hounded” by sexist anti-abortion conservatives who would metaphorically persecute her to death: The abortion issue, magnified because she was Roman Catholic and a woman, plagued her campaign. Though she opposed the procedure personally, she said, others had the right to choose for themselves. Abortion opponents hounded her at almost every stop with an intensity seldom experienced by male politicians. Writing in The Washington Post in September 1984, the columnist Mary McGrory quoted an unnamed Roman Catholic priest as saying, “When the nuns in the fifth grade told Geraldine she would have to die for her faith, she didn’t know it would be this way.” For young people who may not remember, McGrory was a liberal and very partisan Democrat columnist. It's especially appalling that the Times would still be quoting an anonymous priest suggesting Ferraro was being persecuted for her faith — when she was being questioned for utterly rejecting her church's teachings about the sanctity of unborn life.
Continue reading …• I don’t want to look too flighty on my résumé • Is it OK to admit a mistake in taking a job? At the start of each week, we publish the problems that will feature in this Saturday’s Dear Jeremy advice column in the Guardian Work supplement, so readers can offer their own advice and suggestions. We then print the best of your comments alongside Jeremy’s own insights. Here are this week’s dilemmas – what are your thoughts? Problem one: I don’t want to look too flighty on my résumé I joined my current employer as a temp for a month in April 2007. I then left for six months because I got what was (at the time) my dream job in a small advertising agency. This was a major change in career direction for me, but they were unwilling to take me on permanently. I came back to my current employer in December 2007, left again in August 2008 for three months to try advertising once again, but that didn’t work out either. So I came back in December 2008 and have been at the company ever since. I am working on contract on a specific project, which is soon to end. I have been promoted twice and am a valued member of the team with excellent performance appraisals. I enjoy working here and there may be a permanent role in the offing, but I am not sure if it will be one that will interest me. I have spent some time analysing what went wrong with my abortive career change and the feedback I was given (I wasn’t the right personality or skills fit with their existing teams). I have realised I should focus on larger, more structured companies and look for roles where my enthusiasm for improving systems and processes is useful (rather than the possibly threatening way it was seen in smaller, more staid companies). I also think that advertising was too much of a change whereas something midway between my old career and new ambitions would make a lot more sense. My current role is a step in that direction as it is based in a large media organisation. Prior to this I spent three years working for one employer and seven years working for another, so overall my career has been quite stable. How do I present this history accurately and honestly in a résumé so I don’t look like I have something to hide but equally, potential employers won’t see me as someone likely to leave. Should I drop the second three-month stint in advertising and just explain (if I get an interview) that there was a short gap in the middle of my most recent employment? Problem two: Is it OK to admit a mistake in taking a job? I got a new job six months ago, but it’s not working out for lots of reasons. Should I take something temporary to save my rapidly disappearing sanity, or hold out for something more permanent? I have started applying for jobs and have been offered a six-month contract at my last employer (they’d love to have me back) which could turn permanent, although there is no guarantee of this. Do I take the temporary job to get out and apply for other roles? Or do I stick with what I have – despite being miserable to the point of crying every day – and wait for something permanent? Will a prospective employer see my decision to move for what it is – a bad fit – or think I am fickle? I can’t leave with no job because I have a mortgage to pay. What are your thoughts? • For Jeremy’s and readers’ advice on a work issue, send a brief email to dear.jeremy@guardian.co.uk . Please note that he is unable to answer questions of a legal nature or reply personally Work & careers Graham Snowdon guardian.co.uk
Continue reading …Incorrect radioactivity readings given by Fukushima officials were ‘absolutely unforgivable’, says government High levels of radioactivity in water leaking from a reactor at the Fukushima Daiichi nuclear power plant resulted from a partial meltdown of fuel rods, Japanese officials have said. Contamination in a pool of water in the turbine building of the No 2 reactor was found to be 100,000 times normal levels, the plant’s operator, Tokyo Electric Power [Tepco], said. On Sunday, the firm had said the figure was 10m times higher , a mistake the government’s chief spokesman, Yukio Edano, said was “absolutely unforgivable”. “On one hand, I do think the workers at the site are getting quite tired,” Edano told reporters. “But these radiation tests are being used for making various decisions on safety … they are absolutely unforgivable.” Edano said partial meltdown had probably occurred when the plant was hit by the tsunami on the 11 March, adding that there was no evidence of subsequent meltdown. Four of the facility’s six reactors have yet to be made safe, while efforts are continuing to pump in fresh water to prevent a far more dangerous full meltdown. “The radiation seems to have come from fuel rods that were partially melted down and came into contact with the water used to cool the reactor,” Edano said. “Steam may have condensed … carrying water from within the containment vessel.” He said priority had been given to ensuring that the contaminated water does not seep into the soil or out to sea. But the government’s nuclear and industrial safety agency [Nisa] said that radioactive iodine-131 of 1,150 times the maximum allowable level had been detected in seawater about 1.5km (1 mile) north of drainage outlets serving four of Fukushima’s reactors. Airborne radiation has been confined to the reactor buildings, and work to remove contaminated water from the structures continued on Monday. Recent setbacks to attempts to cool the reactors, and the realisation that the crisis is far from over, has added to the plight of tens of thousands of people living near the power station. Sakae Muto, Tepco’s vice-president, said: “Regrettably, we don’t have a concrete schedule at the moment to enable us to say how many months, or years it will take [to make the plant safe].” About 70,000 people within a 20km radius of the Fukushima plant were evacuated soon after the disaster, while a further 130,000 people living in a 20-30km radius have been told the stay indoors. The government said it had no plans to widen the evacuation zone. Fukushima prefecture authorities do not have any exact figures on how many people remain in the 20-30km radius. Many have left voluntarily after days of living without essential supplies and services. Media reports say that many truck drivers are refusing to enter the zone, fearing radiation exposure. The government created confusion last week when it advised people in the latter group to consider leaving the area. It insisted the advice was given due to concern for their quality of life, not exposure to harmful levels of radiation. According to public broadcaster NHK, self-defence force personnel in the evacuation zone said that 30 people had yet to leave the 20km evacuation zone, and that 10 had indicated they wanted to remain in their homes. Evacuees have been urged not to return to the area to collect belongings while the plant remains unstable. Residents who return, even temporarily, would expose themselves to “great risk of radiation contamination”, Edano said. “It is very likely that the 20km area is contaminated and there is a significant risk to health,” he said. Local authorities reported, however, that some people had already returned. Others forced out of their homes are coming to terms with the possibility that they may never be able to return. Even if they do, the many residents who depended on Tepco for employment accept that with the plant ruined, their chances of finding work in the area are close to nil. A large number of evacuees have already moved twice since the nuclear crisis began, and could be forced to move on again if the situation worsens and the evacuation zone is expanded. “We’re assuming that in a worse case scenario we might also be subject to evacuation,” Norio Hattori, a disaster official in Nihonmatsu, said, adding that he had sent his own daughter to Tokyo. Some of the refugees are already beginning to accept an early return home is impossible, and that a vast area surrounding the Fukushima plant could be condemned as a nuclear wasteland. “If it had been an earthquake or a tsunami, we could have gone home again, but because it’s radiation, we can’t,” said Tokuko Sujimoto. Her home, in the village of Namie, was so close to the plant she heard the first reactor explosion on 12 March. She said her husband had watched from the roof of their house as a cloud of smoke rose from the reactor, before the couple decided to flee. Yoshimoto Nogi, who had a job at the Fukushima plant until he retired last summer, said he had no hopes of going home this year. “It’s going to take a year or two. It is not a question of months,” said Nogi. “Even if the nuclear plant is stabilised tomorrow, I don’t think the government is going to tell us it is safe to go back any time soon.” Japan disaster Japan Nuclear power Energy Justin McCurry Suzanne Goldenberg guardian.co.uk
Continue reading …There are plenty of wonderful and original teen fantasy titles which have nothing to do with either I can’t remember the last time I read a good teen fantasy/SF book. In fact, every time I go out to look for one I get bombarded by books about vampires and werewolves. So I was wondering: could you suggest to me a new and orignial fanstasy/SF read? Yours faithufully, Alex Although wolves and bloodsuckers are very much in vogue right now, there are plenty wonderful and original teen fantasy titles which have nothing to do with either of them (see my reply to Readerholic) . And you could add Jan Mark’s The Eclipse of the Century and Useful Idiots or Diana Wynne Jones’s Hexwood or Homewood Bounders to the list too. For further SF, Neil Gaiman’s American Gods, Ursula le Guin’s The Dispossessed or anything by Anne McCaffery or Terry Pratchett would also fit the bill, as would prize-winning classics of the genre such as I Robot, a collection of short stories by Isaac Asimov, Dune by Frank Herbert or Cat’s Cradle by Kurt Vonnegut. Science fiction Teen books Julia Eccleshare guardian.co.uk
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