Research suggests pre-emptive mass culling of cattle may not be necessary The mass culling of cattle and funeral pyres that blighted the countryside during the 2001 foot and mouth epidemic may not be needed if the disease comes back, according to scientists who have shown that it is detectable in cattle up to 24 hours before they become infectious. This could provide a window to quarantine infected animals and stop the spread of the disease to neighbouring farms. The researchers also found that cattle infected with the foot and mouth virus remained infectious for an average of only 1.7 days, much less than previously thought. At least 6 million animals were culled during the 2001 outbreak, most of them sheep. The Royal Society estimated losses of about £3.1bn to agriculture and the food chain, and about £2.5bn was spent by the government in compensation for slaughtered animals and payments for disposal and cleaning up. There were only 2,030 confirmed infections, but millions more animals were culled – killed pre-emptively because they lived near infected farms. Had government advisers understood more about the disease, it might have been possible to control it without mass culling. “The reason those animals were culled was because they may already have been infected by the time we knew they were at risk,” said Mark Woolhouse of the Centre for Immunity, Infection and Evolution at the University of Edinburgh. “What this suggests is a window where we can detect animals before that has happened so there’s no need, in that case, for the pre-emptive culling.” Mark Woolhouse of the Centre for Immunity, Infection and Evolution at the University of Edinburgh, said: Woolhouse added: The new research is published in the journal , shows there here is this short window, a day or two, where we can tell a cow is infected with foot and mouth disease but it’sthe disease can be detected but the animal not yet infectious to other cows – even under ideal conditions it doesn’t transmit the virus. . “If we could detect and remove animals in that window of opportunity, then they won’t have the chance to infect to infect other animals.” The new research is published in the journal Science . For the study, a team led by Bryan Charleston of the Institute for Animal Health in Pirbright infected cows with foot and mouth disease in the laboratory and then watched how the virus spread to uninfected cows. The time from infection to the onset of clinical signs was approximately four days. The animals became infectious at around the same time and stayed that way for, on average, 1.7 days. Until now, scientists had thought that cattle became infectious up to four days before they showed clinical signs, and then remained infectious for up to four to eight days afterwards. But Charleston also found there was a point where virus detection was possible before the animals became infectious. “After an animal becomes infected, you can start to detect virus in blood and in nasal samples approximately two to three days later, that’s before they show clinical signs and before they are able to transmit the virus,” he said. The government’s chief vet, Nigel Gibbens, said: “While these types of tests aren’t currently practical for use on the ground during an outbreak, we are continuing to fund their development and are working with the Institute of Animal Health so the best possible tests and equipment is available. Quick reporting of suspect cases of the disease by farmers and veterinarians and selective culling of animals, with vaccination where that can make an effective contribution to control, remain the best way of stopping this disease.” The 24-hour window allows farmers and scientists to isolate and cull the infected herd before they can spread the infection to neighbouring herds. “It’s not the animals that are infected that are saved, it’s the ones they might have put at risk, all the animals in the next-door farms,” said Woolhouse. Joe Brownlie , emeritus professor of veterinary pathology at the Royal Veterinary College, said the pre-emptive culling policy in 2001 was “quite draconian” and the new research would prevent the death of large numbers of animals in future. “Many of us have had difficult times justifying and living with what happened. This is exciting and very important science.” A spokesperson for the National Farmers Union described the study as an “important development”. “The outbreaks of foot and mouth disease in 2001 and 2007 show just how devastating this disease is for farm businesses and the wider rural economy. “It’s clear that the researchers are some way from developing a reliable on-farm test and the protocols that may be needed in its application. Nevertheless, this is a valuable development that could help control FMDV spread during future outbreaks.” Translating the research into a practical technology for the field will take some time. “This we can do in the laboratory, we can detect infections before the animals are infectious – it is going to be a significant challenge to do that in the field during an epidemic,” said Woolhouse. “As a result of the work we’re reporting today, we know that such an approach could be much more effective than we’ve realised before, so this is definitely an avenue we should be pursuing.” Apart from the 2001 foot and mouth epidemic, a smaller outbreak of the disease in 2007 was localised to a farm near Guildford, when 60 animals tested positive. Foot and mouth Rural affairs Alok Jha guardian.co.uk
Continue reading …Iranian power struggle between president and supreme leader sees arrests and claims of undue influence of chief of staff Close allies of Iran’s president, Mahmoud Ahmadinejad, have been accused of using supernatural powers to further his policies amid an increasingly bitter power struggle between him and the country’s supreme leader, Ayatollah Ali Khamenei. Several people said to be close to the president and his chief of staff, Esfandiar Rahim Mashaei , have been arrested in recent days and charged with being “magicians” and invoking djinns (spirits). Ayandeh , an Iranian news website, described one of the arrested men, Abbas Ghaffari, as “a man with special skills in metaphysics and connections with the unknown worlds”. The arrests come amid a growing rift between Ahmadinejad and Khamenei which has prompted several MPs to call for the president to be impeached. On Sunday, Ahmadinejad returned to his office after an 11-day walkout in an apparent protest over Khamenei’s reinstatement of the intelligence minister, who the president had initiallyasked to resign. Ahmadinejad’s unprecedented disobedience prompted harsh criticism from conservatives who warned that he might face the fate of Abdulhassan Banisadr, Iran’s first post-revolution president who was impeached and exiled for allegedly attempting to undermine clerical power. Ayatollah Mesbah Yazdi, a hardline cleric close to Khamenei, warned that disobeying the supreme leader – who has the ultimate power in Iran – is equivalent to “apostasy from God”. Ahmadinejad has so far declined to officially back Khamenei’s ruling over Heydar Moslehi, the minister at the centre of the row. In the first cabinet meeting since the president returned, Moslehi was absent. Khamenei’s supporters believe that the top-level confrontation stems from the increasing influence of Mashaei, an opponent of greater involvement of clerics in politics, who is being groomed by Ahmadinejad as a possible successor. But the feud has taken a metaphysical turn following the release of an Iranian documentary alleging the imminent return of the Hidden Imam Mahdi – the revered saviour of Shia Islam, whose reappearance is anticipated by believers in a manner comparable to that with which Christian fundamentalists anticipate the second coming of Jesus. Conservative clerics, who say that the Mahdi’s return cannot be predicted, have accused a “deviant current” within
Continue reading …Clegg’s party fears long-term damage to activist base as Labour seeks to capitalise on public anger at spending cuts The Liberal Democrats are bracing themselves for the loss of up to 600 seats in Thursday’s local elections in England, prompting fears that their activist base across the country could be devastated. The elections for 9,000 seats in 279 English authorities are being seen as the first electoral verdict on the coalition’s spending cuts, with Labour expecting major gains and senior Lib Dems admitting they face punishment in some areas for the role they have played in the coalition. Richard Kemp, leader of the Lib Dems in the Local Government Association, said: “We’re doing well against the Tories, not so well against Labour. We will make losses as any governing party does. We will clearly, undoubtedly lose seats. 300 would be a good day, 600 would be a bad day.” He said serious losses would damage the party’s campaigning strength. “A political party is like an army. You have your generals in London but most of the work is done by the sergeants, the local councillors. If you take the councillors out there will be nothing left in terms of local activities and campaigns, you reduce campaigning efficiency.” Labour is expected to make major gains across the country, symbolically taking control from the Lib Dems in Sheffield, where Nick Clegg has his constituency. It has also targeted Newcastle upon Tyne and Hull. Tory-held North Warwickshire, Trafford, Dudley and Walsall are believed to be vulnerable to Labour, which has also put efforts into Dover. Labour is also hoping to seize control in Ipswich, Lincoln, Leeds, Blackburn and Darwen, and North Tyneside and to make significant gains in Birmingham, the biggest council – where the Tories and Lib Dems have been in coalition for seven years – paving the way to seize back control next year. Steve Bedser, a Labour councillor in the Kings Norton ward and agent for Longbridge, a target for the party, said: “As a Labour politician, knocking on doors is a joy compared with 2008 when it was really quite soul-destroying. There are a lot of people angry and worried about the cuts. We’re finding that our vote is now very highly motivated and the Tory vote locally is quite static.” Liberal Democrats Local elections 2011 Local politics Local government Labour Elections 2011 Polly Curtis guardian.co.uk
Continue reading …Click here to view this media I think Sarah Palin might have had to block everyone that follows her in any way shape or form on Twitter this week after her attack on President Obama for “pussy-footing around” on the release of the photos of a dead Osama bin Laden. For anyone that is on Twitter that wants to take a look at this search of her name , the comments on there are pretty brutal, not that I feel sorry for her. TPM has more on her Tweet — Palin: Obama ‘Pussy-Footing’ By Not Releasing Photo Of Dead Bin Laden : Just three days after the world learned President Obama ordered a daring special operations mission resulting in the death of Osama bin Laden, Sarah Palin has come around to claim he’s “pussy-footing around” — specifically by not immediately releasing photos of the deceased al Qaeda leader. To underscore the irony, Palin claims the pictures should be released “as warning to others seeking America’s destruction” — one day after numerous reports had her moving in a more pragmatic direction on foreign policy. Palin took to Twitter, one of her go-to modes of communications, moments after news broke that Obama would not release the bin Laden photos. “Show photo as warning to others seeking America’s destruction. No pussy-footing around, no politicking, no drama;it’s part of the mission,” she said. It’s unclear why she thinks photos of bin Laden’s corpse will scare suicidal terrorists. It’s unclear what Sarah Palin thinks about most anything other than how to be a flame thrower and make sure she lines her pocket while doing it, so this doesn’t some as much of a surprise to me. And as Media Matters noted, of course this is nothing but more double-speak out of Palin — VIDEO: Palin Was For Killing Terrorists In Pakistan Before She Was Against It . Color me not shocked after watching her in action over the last few years. Hardball’s Chris Matthews, Salon’s Joan Walsh and the Washington Post’s Eugene Robinson discussed Palin’s flame throwing and sadly poor Robinson found himself having to argue on the same side as Palin with whether these photos should be released or not. The big difference there of course is Robinson would like to put an end to any of the conspiracy theories out there and was advocating for the public’s right to know that they actually did kill bin Laden. Palin on the other hand is just doing what she can to raise her profile so she can make as much money as possible at her next event where someone is silly enough to pay her to show up and speak. I don’t necessarily care if the photos are released for all of the obvious reasons that have been discussed ad nauseum in the press, but I would like to see some other information they gathered that confirmed his death because I do agree with Eugene Robinson that the public does has a right to know they’re being told the truth. That said, I’ll be more than happy to finally see the grifter Sarah Palin’s fifteen minutes of fame finally be up and for the media to quit reporting on what this nitwit posts on her Twitter page or Facebook without making her come on the air for follow up.
Continue reading …Labour MP Ann Clwyd also says Foreign Office is stonewalling Manning’s mother in not responding to letter The foreign secretary William Hague is “playing an avoidance game” over the case of Bradley Manning, the US soldier accused of downloading and leaking classified cables to WikiLeaks, according to Ann Clwyd, a Labour MP. The former human rights envoy to Iraq has also accused the Foreign Office of “continued stonewalling” of Manning’s mother, Susan. The charges against Manning include “aiding the enemy” – a capital crime. Manning’s mother wrote to the foreign secretary three weeks ago, asking British consular officials to visit her son in military prison to check on his physical and mental health, which she said was deteriorating. At the time she wrote her letter, Manning, 23, had been in custody since last May in conditions that provoked widespread criticism of the US military and government . He was being held in solitary confinement and on suicide watch, which required him to be stripped to just a smock at night and checked on repeatedly. Following sustained protests from human rights campaigners and others over his conditions, Manning has recently been transferred from Quantico, Virginia to a “more open” military facility in Fort Leavenworth, Kansas. But Clwyd has criticised the FCO for not responding to Susan’s letter. A response should, she said, have been received in a week. “They seem to be playing some kind of avoidance game,” she said. Last Tuesday, Alistair Burt, parliamentary under secretary of state at the FCO, was forced by Clwyd to admit in the House of Commons that it has not had any discussions with the UN special rapporteur on torture, Juan Méndez, on the case of Bradley Manning. Burt also refused to answer questions from Clwyd about Susan Manning’s request for consular assistance. “Susan Manning also asked for any help that could be given, in Washington and elsewhere, to the family if they so request it,” Clywd said. “At the very least, Mrs Manning, who is very concerned by the situation of her son, should have had the courtesy of a reply.” Burt said the FCO is “limited in both what we can say and what we can do in this case” because Manning has apparently said he does not consider himself a UK citizen. That response, said Clwyd, is “disingenuous”. She pointed out that the FCO has already confirmed that although Manning does not hold a UK passport he is British by descent because his mother is Welsh. “Their refusal to respond to Susan Manning or support Bradley Manning can’t be [because of] a genuine confusion over his nationality, the responsibility the British government have for him or the conditions in which he is being held,” she said. “There is no room for genuine confusion over these issues,” she added, pointing to comments by Méndez, who has been investigating whether Manning’s treatment to date amounted to “cruel, inhumane or degrading treatment” or torture. “This avoidance game they are playing can only be completely deliberate,” she said. In her letter, Susan Manning wrote that she visited her son in Quantico marine base in February, travelling with her sister, Manning’s aunt and his uncle, but only she was allowed to see Manning. “I was very distressed by seeing Bradley. Being in prison is having a damaging effect on him physically and mentally,” she wrote. “I am worried that his condition is getting worse. I would like someone to visit him who can check on his conditions. If Bradley’s being a British national means that someone from the British embassy can visit him, then I would like to ask if you can make that happen. I do not believe that Bradley is in a position to be able to request this himself, so I am asking as his mother on his behalf.” Susan Manning, who divorced Bradley’s American father, Brian, when her son was a teenager, also asked Hague for consular support on her own behalf. “If I try [to] visit Bradley again, can someone from the British embassy help me and other members of Bradley’s family to deal with the US marine authorities and help with any other arrangements we have to make?” On 4 April, the FCO minister Henry Bellingham said the British embassy in Washington had expressed MPs’ concerns about the soldier’s treatment to the Obama administration. The FCO confirmed the foreign secretary’s office had received the letter, and said: “We will carefully consider Mrs Manning’s letter and will reply to her shortly.” Bradley Manning United States William Hague Foreign policy Amelia Hill Esther Addley guardian.co.uk
Continue reading …Maybe bin Laden’s death is just the cover story the Democrats have needed all along. You have to figure: None of them are happy about going home and telling the voters they’re cutting popular social programs, right? And they know where all the money’s going. If we pull out of Afghanistan, a major budget problem is solved: Early on in a Senate Foreign Relations Committee hearing about Afghanistan today, Medea Benjamin of Code Pink interrupted a discussion about whether the United States should maintain current troop levels or draw down to a smaller force focused on counter-terrorism operations. “There is another opinion—just leave,” she said. Senator John Kerry (D-MA), the committee’s chairman, quickly gaveled the hearing into a brief recess, and Benjamin left the room. Had she stuck around, she might have been surprised to hear the number-two Democrat in the Senate essentially echo her position. Senator Dick Durbin (D-IL), the Democratic Party whip, asked by far the hearing’s most important question and one of the most pointed by a Democratic leader to date: “If you believe that resolution of this conflict by military means is highly unlikely and not a realistic basis for US policy, how can we send one more American soldier to fight and die in Afghanistan?” he said. Durbin noted that “Afghanistan has been a graveyard of empires,” and repeatedly invoked the human cost borne by American soldiers. “We are now in a very sterile conversation about diplomacy and foreign policy,” he said. “The reality is they’re fighting and dying over there. And the question is—how long will we keep sending them?” Aside from Durbin, other senators who attended the hearing—both Republican and Democrat—voiced serious concerns about extended commitments to Afghanistan. Not one openly called for staying the current course. Senator Richard Lugar (R-IN) cited President Obama’s recent $100 billion budget request for fighting the war in fiscal year 2012, along with a strategy that “appears to be devoted to remaking the economic, political, and security culture of that country,” and said that “it is exceedingly difficult to conclude that our vast expenditures in Afghanistan represent a rational allocation of our military and financial assets.” Lugar’s concerns were echoed by Senator Robert Menendez (D-NJ), who said plainly that “I’ve been supportive of the administration so far, but I have a real hard time as we move forward. ” Menendez wondered aloud whether there was “an amount of money or plan that can actually work here.” The only other Republican to speak, Senator Bob Corker (R-TN), also raised questions about the amount of money being spent. “I think the one thing that would stun the American people on the ground in Afghanistan, is how much we are investing in this country, and what we are investing in,” he said.
Continue reading …Findings challenge view of continent as a place of famine and poverty One in three Africans is middle class, a rising group of consumers to rival those of China and India, researchers have found. Record numbers of people in Africa own houses and cars, use mobile phones and the internet and send their children to private schools and foreign universities, according to the African Development Bank. Mthuli Ncube, the bank’s chief economist, said the findings should challenge long-held perceptions of Africa as a continent of famine, poverty and hopelessness. “Hey you know what, the world please wake up, this is a phenomenon in Africa that we’ve not spent a lot of time thinking about,” Ncube said. “There is a middle class that is driven by specific factors such as education and we should change our view and work with this group to create a new Africa and make sure Africa realises its full potential.” Ncube said the study used an absolute definition of middle class, meaning people who spend between $2 and $20 a day, which he believed was appropriate given the cost of living for Africa’s nearly 1 billion people. The study found that, by last year, Africa’s middle class had risen to about 34% of the continent’s population, or about 313m people – up from around 111m (26%) in 1980 and 196m (27%) in 2000. The growth rate of the middle class over the past 30 years was about 3.1%, slightly faster than that of the total population. Tunisia, Morocco and Egypt had proportionately the biggest middle classes in Africa, while Liberia, Burundi and Rwanda had the smallest. The Africa middle classes are more likely to have salaried jobs or own small businesses. They tend not to rely entirely on public health services, seeking more expensive medical care. The middle classes tend to have fewer children and spend more on their nutrition and schooling. Sales of fridges, TVs and mobile phones have surged in virtually every African country in recent years, the report said. Possession of cars and motorcycles in Ghana, for example, has gone up by 81% in the past five years. “They own houses and they account for the bulk of housing ownership,” Ncube said. “They own cars – people are driving cars in Lagos, in Kampala, in Harare, in Ouagadougou – it’s the same middle class. You can even see it in the consumption of petrol. The bulk of them are consuming ICT services and mobile telephony, although the poor are also consumers of mobile telephone services.. They would also send their children to school, preferably private schools, but also schools outside the continent. The same class is sending their children to universities outside their home country, in South Africa, in Australia, in Canada, naturally Europe – France is a bigger absorber from the French-speaking countries – and the US.” The middle class was responsible for at least half of Africa’s GDP of $1.6tn, he added. The trend reflected years of sustained economic growth, with sub-Saharan Africa projected at 5.5% this year. “This has implications,” Ncube said. “How should the rest of the world engage with Africa, given this middle class? I think it means that those who want to invest should take the opportunity and look for partners within Africa to invest jointly with.” The focus of aid and development assistance would also have to change in the next 10 to 15 years, he argued. “It will have to concentrate less on the bottom of the pyramid and move to the middle, which means it has to be supportive of private sector initiatives, which then are the way middle class people conduct their lives.” Africa has a relatively young population and has seen millions migrate from rural areas to cities, where shopping malls with designer labels and smart coffee shops are springing up across the continent. Ncube acknowledged that a widening, internet-literate middle class could pose a threat to autocratic leaders, as seen in Egypt and Tunisia. “The middle class is a source of democracy in Africa in a sense that they are custodians of democracy. They are the people who are educated, they know how to vote, they know what they want, they’ve got interests to protect. Supporting this class in a way also helps institution building in Africa. But the research found that poverty remains deeply entrenched, with 61% of Africa’s population living on less than $2 a day. An estimated 21% earn only enough to spend $2 to $4 a day, leaving about 180 million people vulnerable to economic shocks that could knock them out of the new middle class. At the top of the pyramid, an elite of about 100,000 Africans had a collective net worth of 60% of the continent’s gross domestic product in 2008, the report said. Social mobility David Smith guardian.co.uk
Continue reading …Findings challenge view of continent as a place of famine and poverty One in three Africans is middle class, a rising group of consumers to rival those of China and India, researchers have found. Record numbers of people in Africa own houses and cars, use mobile phones and the internet and send their children to private schools and foreign universities, according to the African Development Bank. Mthuli Ncube, the bank’s chief economist, said the findings should challenge long-held perceptions of Africa as a continent of famine, poverty and hopelessness. “Hey you know what, the world please wake up, this is a phenomenon in Africa that we’ve not spent a lot of time thinking about,” Ncube said. “There is a middle class that is driven by specific factors such as education and we should change our view and work with this group to create a new Africa and make sure Africa realises its full potential.” Ncube said the study used an absolute definition of middle class, meaning people who spend between $2 and $20 a day, which he believed was appropriate given the cost of living for Africa’s nearly 1 billion people. The study found that, by last year, Africa’s middle class had risen to about 34% of the continent’s population, or about 313m people – up from around 111m (26%) in 1980 and 196m (27%) in 2000. The growth rate of the middle class over the past 30 years was about 3.1%, slightly faster than that of the total population. Tunisia, Morocco and Egypt had proportionately the biggest middle classes in Africa, while Liberia, Burundi and Rwanda had the smallest. The Africa middle classes are more likely to have salaried jobs or own small businesses. They tend not to rely entirely on public health services, seeking more expensive medical care. The middle classes tend to have fewer children and spend more on their nutrition and schooling. Sales of fridges, TVs and mobile phones have surged in virtually every African country in recent years, the report said. Possession of cars and motorcycles in Ghana, for example, has gone up by 81% in the past five years. “They own houses and they account for the bulk of housing ownership,” Ncube said. “They own cars – people are driving cars in Lagos, in Kampala, in Harare, in Ouagadougou – it’s the same middle class. You can even see it in the consumption of petrol. The bulk of them are consuming ICT services and mobile telephony, although the poor are also consumers of mobile telephone services.. They would also send their children to school, preferably private schools, but also schools outside the continent. The same class is sending their children to universities outside their home country, in South Africa, in Australia, in Canada, naturally Europe – France is a bigger absorber from the French-speaking countries – and the US.” The middle class was responsible for at least half of Africa’s GDP of $1.6tn, he added. The trend reflected years of sustained economic growth, with sub-Saharan Africa projected at 5.5% this year. “This has implications,” Ncube said. “How should the rest of the world engage with Africa, given this middle class? I think it means that those who want to invest should take the opportunity and look for partners within Africa to invest jointly with.” The focus of aid and development assistance would also have to change in the next 10 to 15 years, he argued. “It will have to concentrate less on the bottom of the pyramid and move to the middle, which means it has to be supportive of private sector initiatives, which then are the way middle class people conduct their lives.” Africa has a relatively young population and has seen millions migrate from rural areas to cities, where shopping malls with designer labels and smart coffee shops are springing up across the continent. Ncube acknowledged that a widening, internet-literate middle class could pose a threat to autocratic leaders, as seen in Egypt and Tunisia. “The middle class is a source of democracy in Africa in a sense that they are custodians of democracy. They are the people who are educated, they know how to vote, they know what they want, they’ve got interests to protect. Supporting this class in a way also helps institution building in Africa. But the research found that poverty remains deeply entrenched, with 61% of Africa’s population living on less than $2 a day. An estimated 21% earn only enough to spend $2 to $4 a day, leaving about 180 million people vulnerable to economic shocks that could knock them out of the new middle class. At the top of the pyramid, an elite of about 100,000 Africans had a collective net worth of 60% of the continent’s gross domestic product in 2008, the report said. Social mobility David Smith guardian.co.uk
Continue reading …Gallery: Photos of art stolen by Nazis from Italian and French collections and retrieved by the Allies
Continue reading …Gallery: Photos of art stolen by Nazis from Italian and French collections and retrieved by the Allies
Continue reading …