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Continue reading …• Public sector borrowing hit £15.9bn last month • City analysts were expecting £13.2bn • Bank of England minutes hint at more QE Government borrowing hit a record high for an August last month, as higher spending put Britain’s public finances under renewed pressure. And with the UK economy weakening, the Bank of England has signalled it stands ready to pump more money into the economy, possibly as soon as next month. The government’s preferred measure, public sector net borrowing excluding the impact of banking bailouts, rose to £15.9bn last month, the highest August figure on record, and compared with £14bn a year ago, according to the Office for National Statistics. It was also higher than the £13.2bn expected in the City. The ONS also reported that the government had borrowed less in previous months than originally thought, but City analysts warned that George Osborne is still likely to miss his borrowing targets for this year. Borrowing in the financial year so far was revised lower by £4.6bn to £51.5bn, mainly because of a recalculation of local government data and income tax receipts, the ONS said. The International Monetary Fund said this week that if UK growth turns out weaker than expected the government should ease the pace of its deficit reduction plans. The IMF slashed its forecast to 1.1% economic growth this year from 1.5%, and to 1.6% for 2012, down from 2.3%. Osborne has so far resisted pressure to reconsider his austerity measures. The minutes of the Bank’s monetary policy committee meeting a fortnight ago showed all nine members voted to keep interest rates unchanged, and only one member, the American economist Adam Posen, backed more quantitative easing. However, the tone of the minutes suggests the debate is shifting towards more economic stimulus – probably before Christmas. “For some members a continuation of the conditions seen over the past month would probably be sufficient to justify an expansion of the asset purchase programme at a subsequent meeting,” the minutes said. This “strongly suggests that QE2 is set to be launched in the very near future,” said Samuel Tombes, UK economist at Capital Economics. Public finances under pressure Commenting on the public finances, Howard Archer of IHS Global Insight warned that Osborne will miss his targets if the economy deteriorates. “If the overall performance of the first five months was replicated through the rest of the fiscal year, public borrowing would come in around £127bn, compared to the targeted £122bn,” Archer said. “However, it is highly likely that the public finances will be increasingly pressurised by muted economic activity eating into tax revenues and pushing up unemployment benefit claims, so the shortfall currently looks set to be appreciably more than this.” Chris Williamson, chief economist at Markit, said the ONS data was a blow to the government’s deficit reduction targets. “There seems little hope that the government will hit its spending targets this year, as slower growth means less tax revenues and higher welfare spending,” Williamson said. Speaking before the latest public finance figures were released Danny Alexander, chief secretary to the Treasury, said the government would not be knocked off course by the IMF’s lower forecasts . Fears over the health of the public finances were stoked this week when the Financial Times found a £12bn black hole. Its calculation, based on the Office for Budget Responsibility’s methodology, found that the structural deficit is 25% bigger than previously thought . Economists said the government would be reluctant to resort to any drastic measures such as a 2.5% VAT hike to plug the gap this year, but added it increased the chances of more cutbacks further out, with austerity likely to last into the next parliament. Government borrowing Economics Bank of England Quantitative easing Public finance Julia Kollewe guardian.co.uk
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Continue reading …A lawyer for a US man detained in Aruba is criticizing prosecutors’ re-enactment of the purported drowning of his client’s travel partner. (Sept. 20)
Continue reading …Bears entertain a crowd at Qingdao Forest Wildlife World with their ability to jump rope, ride bicycles, and rollerblade. (Sept. 21)
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Continue reading …Prime minister writes to National Trust to reassure it that planning reforms will ensure ‘appropriate protections for our magnificent countryside’ David Cameron has written to the National Trust to reassure the organisation over proposals to shake up the planning system. The prime minister said new laws were designed to “achieve a balance” between the environmental, social and economic dimensions of developments, saying the “beautiful British landscape is a national treasure” and expressing determination to protect the UK’s “magnificent countryside”. “Poorly designed and poorly located development is in no one’s interest,” he wrote. The trust has been leading a campaign to oppose the reforms, which are currently the subject of consultation. Cameron’s letter, seen by the Daily Telegraph , reads: “Let me say at the outset that I absolutely share and admire your commitment to the countryside, and wholeheartedly agree that policymakers have an enormous responsibility to our environment. “Both as prime minister, as a rural constituency MP and as an individual, I have always believed that our beautiful British landscape is a national treasure. We should cherish and protect it for everyone’s benefit.” Ministers are pushing through plans to replace more than 1,000 pages of planning regulations with just 52 in the National Planning Policy Framework . The change is controversial because it writes into the rules a “presumption in favour of sustainable development”. Campaigners fear swaths of England could be concreted over as urban sprawl gathers pace. Cameron insisted sustainable development would be defined to include a reference to the environment and the social impact of proposed projects. He wrote: “Our reform proposals are intended to simplify the system, strengthen local participation and secure sustainable development. “I believe that sustainable development has environmental and social dimensions as well as an economic dimension, and we fully recognise the need for a balance between the three. “Indeed, the purpose of the planning system as a whole, and of our proposals for it, is to achieve such a balance.” Cameron added: “We must ensure the appropriate protections for our magnificent countryside. “This is why our reforms will maintain protections for the green belt, for national parks and areas of outstanding natural beauty. “It will introduce a new local green space designation which local communities can use to protect open places they value.” However, he also warned campaigners that new developments were essential to boost Britain’s stalling economy. He said businesses should be able to expand and that the difficulty encountered by first-time buyers in getting on the property ladder was “unacceptable”. Fiona Reynolds, the director general of the National Trust, welcomed the comments, saying: “Our primary concern for the planning system is that it should be a neutral framework which balances the needs of society, the environment, as well as the economy. “It is a great relief to hear from the prime minister that there is no intention to change this over-riding purpose. “We will now do everything in our power to help shape the National Planning Policy Framework into a robust system which enables the people making the decisions to guide good development to the right places. “Planning minister Greg Clark has invited us to work with him to ensure the detail of the document reflects this brief, and we are keen to do so.” David Cameron The National Trust Planning policy Rural affairs guardian.co.uk
Continue reading …Liberal Democrat minister says Britain’s biggest asset is government with ‘clear plan’ for getting country’s deficit under control The chief secretary to the Treasury, Danny Alexander, has insisted the government will stick to its deficit reduction plan despite a downgrading of the UK economy growth forecast by the International Monetary Fund. The Liberal Democrat minister told BBC Radio 4′s Today programme that Britain’s biggest asset was a government with a “clear plan” for getting the country’s deficit under control. “The message I am taking from what the IMF have said is that we should stick to our plans,” he said. “What we are seeing around the world are doubts about politicians’ ability to stick to their plans and take tough action. We have done that, and it is a prize we shouldn’t sacrifice at all.” Alexander also dismissed reports that some cabinet ministers were calling for an increase in spending of up to £5bn to help boost growth. The Liberal Democrat leader, Nick Clegg, is preparing to use his keynote speech on the closing day of the party conference today to reaffirm the government’s commitment to tackling the deficit, despite critics warning that the cuts programme risks choking off growth. With the IMF’s decision to downgrade the growth forecast heightening fears of a double-dip recession, Clegg will acknowledge that the recovery is “fragile” and warn of a “long, hard road ahead”. But he will say the Liberal Democrats are interested not in doing the “easy thing” but the “right thing”. Alexander quashed reports that cabinet ministers believe the chancellor, George Osborne, could increase capital spending on roads, broadband and other infrastructure projects by up to £5bn in order to stimulate economic growth without abandoning the deficit reduction strategy. The speculation was fuelled after comments by the business secretary, Vince Cable, that the government had to find a way of getting a stimulus going “without compromising the deficit reduction programme”. “There is a flexibility built into the government’s policy,” he said. “It is perhaps not widely understood.” Alexander said he did not recognise the £5bn figure, adding: “At a time when we are seeing real economic problems around the world, real pressure on countries that haven’t set out clear plans to deal with their deficits, we in this country have a major asset, which is a government that has a clear plan which it is sticking to. “So we have set out the spending plans that we have, but we are going to use the money that we have as intelligently as possible.” “We recognise that, as a government, we have to strain every sinew to do things that help support the economy to grow, and capital spending is a very important part of that. “We are engaged in the second phase of our growth review, looking at how we can invest in infrastructure.” A Treasury spokesmandenied that there was any shift in position, saying: “We have our spending plans and we are sticking to them.” Speaking at a fringe meeting on Tuesday, the Liberal Democrat minister, Chris Huhne, said: “We’ve got to be more creative and imaginative about bringing forward more spending.”However, on Wednesday, he said he believed there was “no room” in the budget for such a move. Huhne said there was a “very dangerous” global economic situation following the IMF’s decision to downgrade the UK growth forecast. He called on the Bank of England to pump more cash into the British economy, saying a further round of quantitative easing (QE) would be “sensible” given the “flatness” of growth, but dismissed talk of proposals for a £5bn spending increase. “One of the great achievements of the government has been to get the deficit down and get us out of the danger zone, despite the fact that we have a much bigger budget deficit than a lot of the countries that have been through crises,” he said. “But it’s about getting private spending going, private investment going because we don’t have the room to do that on the budget.” Huhne also backed Clegg’s call for some capital spending projects that have already been approved to be brought forward at an earlier stage. He said: “As Nick was discussing, bringing forward capital projects if we can to accelerate them from plans which might have had them further back in the comprehensive spending review period, bring them forward to help get them going.” Economic policy Danny Alexander Nick Clegg Chris Huhne Liberal Democrat conference 2011 Liberal Democrat conference Liberal-Conservative coalition Tax and spending Liberal Democrats IMF Recession Global economy Economics Hélène Mulholland guardian.co.uk
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