What will ‘Fox & Friends’ Monday-morning coverage of the near government shutdown look like? According to the show’s tagline, it will involve “coffee, smiles, fear and terror.” When you set out to mock a show that already mocks itself so well, there’s only so much you can do. But the ‘SNL’ cast did a good job of giving the real Steve Doocy, Gretchen Carlson and Brian Kilmeade a run for their money. Kilmeade (Bobby Moynihan) is practically gleeful when he notes that he’s just assuming that this would have been the first government shutdown in the history of our country, and Carlson’s (Vanessa Bayer) indictment of the kid on “Modern Family” as being evidence that fat Mexicans are taking the jobs of American kids thanks to Michelle Obama’s healthy eating program is ‘Fox & Friends’ logic at its finest. Once the jobs issue enters the discussion, the trio go to an interview with an isolationist “border war expert” played by Helen Mirren. Watching Mirren attempt to mask her refined British accent under a Texan drawl to talk about reverse anchor babies is delightful in and of itself. WATCH:
Continue reading …UPDATE: 11:20 p.m. — Perhaps the most convincing evidence so far that human error explains the initial omission of Brookfield’s results comes from our colleagues at the Brookfield Patch. On election night, they reported a vote total for Brookfield that exactly matches the vote total Kathy Nickolaus did not include in the County level count until Thursday. As Joe Petrie and Lisa Sink of the Brookfield Patch reported on Thursday (via Mickey Kaus): On election night, the City of Brookfield reported that Prosser received 10,859 votes from city residents, or 76 percent of the vote, compared to the 3,456 votes cast for challenger JoAnne Kloppenburg. The Brookfield Patch reported those numbers in a story with chart posted about 12:30 a.m. election night. [Brookfield City Clerk Kristine] Schmidt said her office also posted the results on the city’s web site before going home on election night. WASHINGTON — Faith in America’s electoral-tabulation processes took a hit late this week when a Wisconsin county clerk who announced a bombshell correction: nearly 15,000 missed votes, which dramatically upended the state’s supreme court race. The clerk described her mistake as “human error … which is common in this process.” While an ongoing review by state election officials will ultimately provide the best evidence, both turnout statistics and historical precedent generally support her claim. Unofficial tallies for Tuesday’s special election gave Democratic-backed challenger JoAnne Kloppenberg an extremely slim lead over incumbent Wisconsin Justice David Prosser — just 204 votes out of nearly 1.5 million cast. But on Thursday, Waukesha County Clerk Kathy Nickolaus announced that the early counts had missed roughly 15,000 votes, mostly due to the omission of the entire city of Brookfield. Kloppenberg’s revision put Prosser ahead by 6,744 votes, leaving Kloppenberg hard-pressed to catch up. Reviews of the election turnout statistics by Craig Gilbert of the Milwaukee Journal Sentinel and by FiveThirtyEight’s Nate Silver show that the revised Waukesha results appear more plausible than those initially reported. As Gilbert wrote, the addition of nearly 15,000 votes “puts that county’s turnout rate more in line with the neighboring GOP strongholds of Ozaukee and Washington counties.” The Huffington Post created the following chart, which compares the turnout in last year’s general gubernatorial election to that from last week: Wisconsin Voter Turnout Plot 1 Powered by Tableau Statewide turnout was lower for last week’s special election than in November’s election, but the level of turnout correlates strongly within individual counties. That’s why the circles in the chart form a diagonal line (Each circle represents an individual county, and the size of each circle represents its number of registered voters). But the originally reported Tuesday turnout for Waukesha County was lower than the its 2010 vote totals would have suggested. The new votes added in the revised count brings the county’s turnout number for this week more closely into line with the statewide pattern. Wisconsin Democrats have expressed doubt about Nickolaus’ claims, given her longstanding ties to the state GOP. She worked for the Wisconsin Republican Caucus for 13 years, including the period during which Prosser served as minority leader and speaker in the state Assembly. State election officials have questioned the delay in reporting the error and are reviewing the Waukesha County results. Ultimately, the best evidence will come from the poll books that poll workers use to record whether a voter has cast a ballot and, in the event of a recount, from the actual ballots. University of Wisconsin political scientist Charles Franklin (who co-founded Pollster.com, the forerunner of HuffPost Pollster) lent credence to Nickolaus’ amended results, however, arguing that Waukesha County’s vote “appears to be corroborated by reports from the city on election night, by a Democratic election official and by the plausibility of the corrected data.” So just how common is this the sort of error that Nickolaus claims she made on election night? Michael McDonald, a George Mason University professor who studies voter turnout and closely monitors election results, said they are “not uncommon … we see these sorts of errors happen all the time.” Recent history bears him out: In the 1988 Democratic primary in Delaware, a keypunch error gave Samuel Beard 2,800 votes more than he received in a race against incumbent Lt. Gov. S.B. Woo. Although Beard had claimed victory, the error was not discovered until two days after the primary and reversed its result, putting Woo ahead by just 71 votes. The initial count in New York’s 2001 Democratic mayoral primary gave Mark Green a roughly 30,000-vote lead over Fernando Ferrar, but an “official machine count” conducted a week later reduced that margin by 18,029 votes after election officials discovered 42,000 votes that had been counted twice. The final official count narrowed Green’s margin to just 15,981 votes. Unofficial returns in the 2002 Alabama governor’s race showed incumbent Democrat Don Siegelman narrowly defeating Republican challenger Bob Riley. But a late-night recount conducted by Republican officials in Baldwin County revealed what they described as a “computer glitch” that gave Riley a statewide lead of 3,195 votes. Although Democrats suspected foul play — the recount had occurred after Democratic party observers had gone home for the night — Siegelman ultimately dropped efforts to obtain a statewide recount. Folllowing New York’s 2008 presidential primary, a New York Times review found “about 80 election districts among the city’s 6,106 where Mr. Obama supposedly did not receive even one vote, including cases where he ran a respectable race in a nearby district.” A formal review later found hundreds of small anomalies in vote reporting in individual districts. The Times reported election lawyers representing both Barack Obama and Hillary Clinton agreeing that it is “not uncommon” to see such mistakes “made by weary inspectors rushing on election night to transcribe columns of numbers.” Similarly, high-profile recounts in the 2008 Minnesota Senate race, the 2004 Washington governor’s race and in the 2000 presidential race in Florida have exposed similar examples of human error in the initial tallies. McDonald said we are “blissfully unaware” of small election-night mistakes in most cases “because you had a definitive winner and the election result is not changed … It’s only on these close races where these warts are exposed.” McDonald said he has found discrepant numbers even in the final certified results. “I’ll go back and ask the election officials why the numbers don’t add up, and they’ll say, ‘Oh, we made an error,”” he said. Since correcting such errors requires action by a court, he said, “election administrators will generally just let those errors persist” as long as they do not affect the election outcome. “If you’re a pollster,” McDonald added, “you talk about the margin of error. People who delve into election administration often talk about the ‘margin of the election.’” If we ignore that potential for error, he warns, we “probably have unrealistic confidence about how human beings actually do large, complex tasks.” [Correction: The original version of this story incorrectly characterized the procedure used to record whether an individual registrant has voted. In Wisconsin, poll books are used by poll workers to record whether individuals have voted, but voters do not sign in.]
Continue reading …Jim VandeHei and Mike Allen, both of Politico, wrote Sunday that Speaker John Boehner's line to his conservative critics should be: “You are winning, and winning decisively. So stop your whining.” While the victors of some specific political battles of late may be in dispute, they write, “the broader trajectory of politics, stretching back to the spring of 2009, is not. The Republican — and, yes, the tea party — agenda is not only ascendant, it’s driving the debate over reshaping government at every level.” Check out a larger experpt below the break, and give us your thoughts in the comments. Jubilant top Republicans told POLITICO in interviews that they plan to use the momentum from the budget fight to take a hard line with President Barack Obama in the fiscal fights of the months ahead. And the GOP leaders said they believe their new advantage in the national debate will lift the party’s presidential candidates — none of whom right now looks capable of beating Obama. “The debate is now on our side of the field,” Sen. John Thune (R-S.D.) said from Sioux Falls. “This is just the opening act. But these upcoming debates are not going to be about whether we’re going to reduce the cost and size of government, but how much. That’s very good ground for Republicans to fight on.” Newt Gingrich, the former House speaker and a 2012 presidential hopeful, told us: “When you see [Democratic governors] Jerry Brown [of California] and you see Andrew Cuomo [of New York] wrestling with spending, and inevitably wrestling with the unions who elect them, you know you’re in a different era.” Obama himself seems to be responding to the GOP's push, with his senior adviser David Plouffe announcing Sunday that the president will deliver a major speech Wednesday laying out a more aggressive path for deficit reduction — including reform of entitlements, particularly Medicare and Medicaid. Messaging is all well and good – the GOP seems to have a clear advantage rhetorically – but is that translating into significant policy gains? How do you measure the success of the conservative agenda? Is in synonymous with Republican success?
Continue reading …The levels of radiation in milk from Japan’s leaking nuclear reactor are the highest ever detected in tests in Little Rock, Ark. The level of iodine-131 in the milk is three times higher than the EPA’s “maximum containment level” set for safe exposure. But the milk is not yet considered…
Continue reading …If you’re going to compete in the consumer electronics business then you’d better have a solid grasp of industrial design and materials science. Otherwise, you’re just another manufacturer trying to eke profit from drab slabs of commodity plastic. With the exception of the MacBook, Apple’s entire Mac lineup is currently cut from aluminum. However, Apple’s been caught experimenting with its newly acquired Liquidmetal materials recently, even as rumors swirl around new ultra-lightweight and durable carbon fiber components and enclosures. Speculation about the latter has been fueled by an Apple patent application for a process that would use carbon fiber materials woven into the reinforced device housings of mobile telephones, laptops, desktops, and tablets. Interestingly enough, the patent app was filed by Kevin M. Kenney (developer of the first all carbon fiber bicycle frame) on behalf of Apple back in 2009, a man who changed his job title to “Senior Composites Engineer at Apple Inc.” on LinkedIn at some point after March 1st (according to Google cache). Of course, a carbon fiber laptop is far from unique — just reference the Sony G11 from 2007 or 2008′s Voodoo Envy 133 if you want to see how it’s done. But if Apple makes a wholesale shift to carbon fiber in the months ahead then you can expect the horde of mee-too OEMs to follow suit a year later. See the before and after LinkedIn profiles for Kenney after the break. Continue reading Apple hires carbon fiber expert to posit composites Apple hires carbon fiber expert to posit composites originally appeared on Engadget on Mon, 11 Apr 2011 09:25:00 EDT. Please see our terms for use of feeds . Permalink
Continue reading …Moammar Gadhafi has accepted a peace plan forged by African Union leaders. The proposal involves an immediate ceasefire and launching a dialogue between the Libyan government and rebel forces. There was no mention of a withdrawal of Gadhafi security forces from cities, as the rebels have demanded. “The brother leader’s…
Continue reading …George Monbiot and others at best misinform and at worst distort evidence of the dangers of atomic energy Soon after the Fukushima accident last month , I stated publicly that a nuclear event of this size and catastrophic potential could present a medical problem of very large dimensions. Events have proven this observation to be true despite the nuclear industry’s campaign about the “minimal” health effects of so-called low-level radiation. That billions of its dollars are at stake if the Fukushima event causes the “nuclear renaissance” to slow down appears to be evident from the industry’s attacks on its critics, even in the face of an unresolved and escalating disaster at the reactor complex at Fukushima. Proponents of nuclear power – including George Monbiot, who has had a mysterious road-to-Damascus conversion to its supposedly benign effects – accuse me and others who call attention to the potential serious medical consequences of the accident of “cherry-picking” data and overstating the health effects of radiation from the radioactive fuel in the destroyed reactors and their cooling pools. Yet by reassuring the public that things aren’t too bad, Monbiot and others at best misinform, and at worst misrepresent or distort, the scientific evidence of the harmful effects of radiation exposure – and they play a predictable shoot-the-messenger game in the process. To wit: 1) Mr Monbiot, who is a journalist not a scientist, appears unaware of the difference between external and internal radiation Let me educate him. The former is what populations were exposed to when the atomic bombs were detonated over Hiroshima and Nagasaki in 1945; their profound and on-going medical effects are well documented. [1] Internal radiation, on the other hand, emanates from radioactive elements which enter the body by inhalation, ingestion, or skin absorption. Hazardous radionuclides such as iodine-131, caesium 137, and other isotopes currently being released in the sea and air around Fukushima bio-concentrate at each step of various food chains (for example into algae, crustaceans, small fish, bigger fish, then humans; or soil, grass, cow’s meat and milk, then humans). [2] After they enter the body, these elements – called internal emitters – migrate to specific organs such as the thyroid, liver, bone, and brain, where they continuously irradiate small volumes of cells with high doses of alpha, beta and/or gamma radiation, and over many years, can induce uncontrolled cell replication – that is, cancer. Further, many of the nuclides remain radioactive in the environment for generations, and ultimately will cause increased incidences of cancer and genetic diseases over time. The grave effects of internal emitters are of the most profound concern at Fukushima. It is inaccurate and misleading to use the term “acceptable levels of external radiation” in assessing internal radiation exposures. To do so, as Monbiot has done, is to propagate inaccuracies and to mislead the public worldwide (not to mention other journalists) who are seeking the truth about radiation’s hazards. 2) Nuclear industry proponents often assert that low doses of radiation (eg below 100mSV) produce no ill effects and are therefore safe. But , as the US National Academy of Sciences BEIR VII report has concluded, no dose of radiation is safe, however small, including background radiation; exposure is cumulative and adds to an individual’s risk of developing cancer. 3) Now let’s turn to Chernobyl. Various seemingly reputable groups have issued differing reports on the morbidity and mortalities resulting from the 1986 radiation catastrophe. The World Health Organisation (WHO) in 2005 issued a report attributing only 43 human deaths directly to the Chernobyl disaster and estimating an additional 4,000 fatal cancers. In contrast, the 2009 report, “Chernobyl: Consequences of the Catastrophe for People and the Environment” , published by the New York Academy of Sciences, comes to a very different conclusion. The three scientist authors – Alexey V Yablokov, Vassily B. Nesterenko, and Alexey V Nesterenko – provide in its pages a translated synthesis and compilation of hundreds of scientific articles on the effects of the Chernobyl disaster that have appeared in Slavic language publications over the past 20 years. They estimate the number of deaths attributable to the Chernobyl meltdown at about 980,000. Monbiot dismisses the report as worthless , but to do so – to ignore and denigrate an entire body of literature, collectively hundreds of studies that provide evidence of large and significant impacts on human health and the environment – is arrogant and irresponsible. Scientists can and should argue over such things, for example, as confidence intervals around individual estimates (which signal the reliability of estimates), but to consign out of hand the entire report into a metaphorical dustbin is shameful. Further, as Prof Dimitro Godzinsky, of the Ukranian National Academy of Sciences, states in his introduction to the report: “Against this background of such persuasive data some defenders of atomic energy look specious as they deny the obvious negative effects of radiation upon populations. In fact, their reactions include almost complete refusal to fund medical and biological studies, even liquidating government bodies that were in charge of the ‘affairs of Chernobyl’. Under pressure from the nuclear lobby, officials have also diverted scientific personnel away from studying the problems caused by Chernobyl.” 4) Monbiot expresses surprise that a UN-affiliated body such as WHOmight be under the influence of the nuclear power industry, causing its reporting on nuclear power matters to be biased. And yet that is precisely the case. In the early days of nuclear power, WHO issued forthright statements on radiation risks such as its 1956 warning: “Genetic heritage is the most precious property for human beings. It determines the lives of our progeny, health and harmonious development of future generations. As experts, we affirm that the health of future generations is threatened by increasing development of the atomic industry and sources of radiation … We also believe that new mutations that occur in humans are harmful to them and their offspring.” After 1959, WHO made no more statements on health and radioactivity. What happened? On 28 May 1959, at the 12th World Health Assembly, WHO drew up an agreement with the International Atomic Energy Agency (IAEA); clause 12.40 of this agreement says: “Whenever either organisation [the WHO or the IAEA] proposes to initiate a programme or activity on a subject in which the other organisation has or may have a substantial interest, the first party shall consult the other with a view to adjusting the matter by mutual agreement.” In other words, the WHO grants the right of prior approval over any research it might undertake or report on to the IAEA – a group that many people, including journalists, think is a neutral watchdog, but which is, in fact, an advocate for the nuclear power industry. The IAEA’s founding papers state : “The agency shall seek to accelerate and enlarge the contribution of atomic energy to peace, health and prosperity through the world.” Monbiot appears ignorant about the WHO’s subjugation to the IAEA, yet this is widely known within the scientific radiation community. But it is clearly not the only matter on which he is ignorant after his apparent three-day perusal of the vast body of scientific information on radiation and radioactivity. As we have seen, he and other nuclear industry apologists sow confusion about radiation risks, and, in my view, in much the same way that the tobacco industry did in previous decades about the risks of smoking. Despite their claims, it is they, not the “anti-nuclear movement” who are “misleading the world about the impacts of radiation on human health.” • Helen Caldicott is president of the Helen Caldicott Foundation for a Nuclear-Free Planet and the author of Nuclear Power is Not the Answer [1] See, for example, WJ Schull, Effects of Atomic Radiation: A Half-Century of Studies from Hiroshima and Nagasaki (New York: Wiley-Lis, 1995) and DE Thompson, K Mabuchi, E Ron, M Soda, M Tokunaga, S Ochikubo, S Sugimoto, T Ikeda, M Terasaki, S Izumi et al. “Cancer incidence in atomic bomb survivors, Part I: Solid tumors, 1958-1987″ in Radiat Res 137:S17-S67 (1994). [2] This process is called bioaccumulation and comes in two subtypes as well, bioconcentration and biomagnification. For more information see: J.U. Clark and V.A. McFarland, Assessing Bioaccumulation in Aquatic Organisms Exposed to Contaminated Sediments, Miscellaneous Paper D-91-2 (1991), Environmental Laboratory, Waterways Experiment Station, Vicksburg, MS and H.A. Vanderplog, D.C. Parzyck, W.H. Wilcox, J.R. Kercher, and S.V. Kaye, Bioaccumulation Factors for Radionuclides in Freshwater Biota, ORNL-5002 (1975), Environmental Sciences Division Publication, Number 783, Oak Ridge National Laboratory, Oak Ridge, TN. Nuclear power Energy Japan disaster Japan guardian.co.uk
Continue reading …Firefighters are battling out-of-control wildfires scorching nearly 400 square miles across Texas. (April 11)
Continue reading …BEIJING: China on Sunday reported a surprise quarterly trade deficit of $1.02 billion, the first in six years as it settles to rebalance its export oriented economy to boost domestic consumption in the next five years.The $1.02 billion deficit from January to March this year was in contrast to trade surplus of $13.91 billion in the first quarter of last year, according to figures released by the General…
Continue reading …WASHINGTON Conflict and violence are holding back global economic growth and trapping 1.5 billion people in dire poverty, the World Bank said Sunday, calling for an international effort to break the cycle. In countries affected by repeated cycles of political and criminal violence, poverty rates are 20 percentage points higher than in other countries, the World Bank said in a new report. “If we are to break the cycles of violence and lessen the stresses that drive them, countries must develop more legitimate, accountable and capable national institutions…
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