The August Monthly Treasury Statement released by the government today reveals that Uncle Sam ran a $134.2 billion deficit in August. That figure was $44.7 billion, or 48%, higher than the $90.5 billion deficit seen in August 2010. The year-over-year deficit increase occurred because outlays increased by 19% to over $303 billion, while receipts went up by 3% to $169 billion. Gee, that wasn't difficult to express, was it? But it was apparently too difficult for the Associated Press's Martin Crutsinger to communicate to his readers. Of the eight figures and percentages noted in the opening paragraph, only one — the August 2011 deficit — appears in his report . Crutsinger's defense may be that he wanted to concentrate on year-to-date figures. But that objection, if raised, rings hollow, given that he wasted several paragraphs falsely rehashing the past decade's fiscal history while completely failing to explain why spending continues to increase even though the 2009-2010 stimulus program is supposedly over. Here are excerpts from Crutsinger's Tuesday afternoon report (bolds and numbered tags are mine): Federal deficit totaled $1.23T through August The federal budget deficit reached $1.23 trillion in August. The third straight $1 trillion-plus deficit adds pressure on Congress and the White House to reach agreement on a long-term plan to trim government spending. [1] The Treasury Department said the deficit grew by $134.2 billion last month. At that rate, [2] the nonpartisan Congressional Budget Office projects the deficit will total $1.28 trillion when the budget year ends in September. That would nearly match last year's $1.29 trillion imbalance and come in below the record $1.41 trillion hit in fiscal 2009. [3] … Interest on the debt is the fastest growing category of the budget, according to the Treasury report. Payments totaled $233 billion through August, up 15 percent from the same period a year ago. Revenues totaled $2.06 trillion through August, up 7.6 percent from a year ago. Tax receipts have increased as more people have gone back to work. Government spending totaled $3.3 trillion through August, an increase of 3.8 percent from the same period in 2010. [4] … Obama has also recommended a series of tax hikes to pay for his $447 billion job-creation proposal. [5] He wants Congress to limit itemized deductions for charitable contributions and other deductions taken by families making over $250,000 a year, close loopholes for oil and gas companies, [6] change the tax treatment of corporate jets and require investment fund managers to pay higher taxes on certain income. … The government last recorded a budget surplus in 2001, when revenues were $127 billion greater than spending. The surpluses were expected to total $5.6 trillion over the next decade. [7] But the deficits grew again after President George W. Bush won approval for broad tax cuts … [8] Higher spending on unemployment insurance and food stamps, and a sharp contraction in tax revenues, widened the deficit. And it grew even more after the Obama administration backed a $787 billion stimulus program [4] to boost the economy. Notes: [1] — Why this situation hasn't put pressure on President Obama to refrain from new spending initiatives — especially of the type that did not work the first time around — is unexplained. [2] — “At that rate” of $134 billion per month, the deficit will be well over the number Crutsinger identified. The words weren't needed. [3] — As explained previously ( go here for the original methodology write-up), in fiscal 2009 the government recognized huge losses relating to TARP investments before they actually occurred or could reasonably be predicted. This was designed to dump all of the bad news into that year and to artificially create an impression of spending control in future years. In fiscal 2010, the government “discovered” that its losses wouldn't be so large to the tune of $115 billion , and arbitrarily reduced outlays by that amount. A similar smaller such adjustment has also occurred in fiscal 2011. A graphic showing an adjusted rundown yearly receipts, spending and deficits is here . Unsurprisingly, it shows that spending has increased significantly in every fiscal year since 2007. [4] — If the stimulus spending is done, all other things being equal, spending should have decreased by $393 billion, or about half of the two-year, $787 billion cost of the stimulus plan. But spending has continued to climb. Crutsinger never explains why. The truth is, again as seen at this graphic , that spending increased by 30% from fiscal 2007 to 2010, and is on track to increase yet again this year. [5] — Only in AP Land could $447 in current spending be “paid for” with tax increases spread over 10 years. Someone who knows Crutsinger should ask to borrow money for lunch, tell him they'll “pay him back” slowly over 10 years, and record his reaction. Let me know if he says “yes”; I'll be right over. [6] — Unless I'm missing something, what I've learned about the so-called “oil company loopholes” is that they represent legitimate out-of-pocket business expenses that any business would expect to be able to deduct from revenue to arrive at taxable income. If anyone can demonstrate that this is not the case, I want to hear about it. [7] — The $5.6 trillion in “expected” surpluses was a CBO projection which failed to recognize the Internet bubble which was already well under way when the report was released. It was obviously bogus the day it was published, and remains so over a decade later. [8] — This is so tired. As shown numerous times, in the four years after the “Bush tax cuts” of 2003 were enacted, federal receipts increased by 44% . Blaming the tax cuts for “lost revenue” assumes economic behavior would have been the same during those years if the cuts hadn't been enacted, which is ridiculous. The bottom line is that, as so many predicted when it happened, the Obama administration used the stimulus to increase the government's spending baseline to the point where any suggestion that outlays should be reduced to below $300 billion a month is considered outrageous — even though the government was spending less than $230 a month just four years ago. You'll never see Martin Crutsinger or anyone else at the AP acknowledge that basic truth. Cross-posted at BizzyBlog.com .
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Continue reading …Click here to view this media Republican presidential candidate Rick Santorum told supporters in Lancaster, South Carolina Tuesday that the Social Security retirement age had to be increased because “people are living too long.” “Does anybody in this room believe that somebody that 62 years old is too old to work in America today?” Santorum asked. “Social Security was established for people who were too old to work and therefore they needed the support of the federal government.” “Now back in 1936 we probably did and that made sense. Why? Because life expectancy in 1936 was 61. It’s now 80… So you have a situation where things have changed, and for our young people it will even be longer. We keep gaining about a month every few years, we gain in life expectancy. And so the idea that we’re going to keep the Social Security program locked in on a 1937 actuarial chart makes no sense at all.” He continued: “Do you know what your life expectancy at 65 is? Eighty-five. So you have folks living at least 20 years… Ronald Reagan saw this problem and said, ‘Look, we have to do the common sense thing. We have to phase the retirement age back.’ What did he do? Twenty-five years from 1983 he started to phase it back. And we did and that’s where we are right now. We are in the middle of a phase up to age 76 which will be normal retirement age.” “Well, we need to continue to do that. Not radically. But look at where the revenues are coming in and where the expenses are and we need to adjust everything from cost of living increase for high income seniors is one thing. We can look at retirement ages. And again, you still will be able to retire at 62 and take Social Security, you’ll just get a slightly smaller benefit. Why? Because we can’t afford the benefit structure we have because people are living too long.”
Continue reading …Rachel Rose Hartman's Tuesday item for Yahoo! News's “The Ticket” blog carried a misleading headline (” Audience at tea party debate cheers leaving uninsured to die “) implying that the majority, if not all, of the audience at Monday's GOP presidential debate thought that the critically injured who are uninsured should be left to die. In reality, only a handful cheered and/or laughed in response to Wolf Blitzer's question. Despite this headline, Hartman did acknowledge in her lede that “if you're uninsured and on the brink of death, that's apparently a laughing matter to some audience members at last night's tea party [sic] Republican presidential debate.” She then recounted how Blitzer, who moderated the joint debate with the Tea Party Express organization, turned to Rep. Ron Paul and “asked a hypothetical question…about how society should respond if a healthy 30-year-old man who decided against buying health insurance suddenly goes into a coma and requires intensive care for six months.” The writer failed to point out that the CNN host actually hounded Rep. Paul over his hypothetical. Both her account and the video included with her post left out the part of their exchange before the Texas congressman's “freedom” answer: BLITZER: You're a physician, Ron Paul. So, you're a doctor. You know something about this subject. Let me ask you this hypothetical question: a healthy, 30-year-old young man has a good job, makes a good living, but decides, you know what? I'm not going to spend 200 or $300 a month for health insurance, because I'm healthy. I don't need it. But you know, something terrible happens. All of a sudden, he needs it. Who's going to pay for it? If he goes into a coma, for example, who pays for that? REP. RON PAUL: Well, in a society that you accept welfarism and socialism, he expects the government to take care of him. BLITZER: Well, what do you want? PAUL: But what he should do is whatever he wants to do, and assume responsibility for himself. My advice to him would have a major medical policy, but not before- BLITZER: But he doesn't have that. He doesn't have it and he's- and he needs intensive care for six months. Who pays? PAUL: That's what freedom is all about: taking your own risks. (audience cheers and applauds) This whole idea that you have to prepare and take care of everybody- (audience cheers and applauds) BLITZER: But Congressman, are you saying that society should just let him die? Hartman later noted how “the audience got involved” and that “several loud cheers of 'yeah!' followed by laughter could be heard in the Expo Hall at the Florida State Fairgrounds in response to Blitzer's question.” So, despite twice acknowledging that it was only “several” members of the audience, the Yahoo! News headline made it seem like it was a lot more people involved. Towards the end of her article, the Yahoo! News writer somehow thought it appropriate to turn to a pseudo-conservative, Andrew Sullivan, instead of a mainstream center-right figure for commentary on the exchange from the debate. Despite his endorsement of same-sex “marriage” and his equating of Sarah Palin with Hitler , Hartman still labeled Sullivan a “conservative”: Conservative Andrew Sullivan writing for The Daily Beast's The Dish Tuesday noted that the United States obligates society to save someone in an emergency room. “America, moreover, has a law on the books that makes it a crime not to treat and try to save a human being who walks into an emergency room. So we have already made that collective decision and if the GOP wants to revisit it, they can,” Sullivan wrote. Sullivan also decried the audience reaction, writing: “Maybe a tragedy like the death of a feckless twentysomething is inevitable if we are to restrain healthcare costs. But it is still a tragedy. It is not something a decent person cheers.”
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