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Media’s Debt Ceiling Hysteria Ignores How Bonds, Budgets and Taxes Work

If you believe every word uttered by hysterical news anchors and political commentators lately, you would think the world ends August 2nd if the debt ceiling isn't raised. Not only isn't this true, it's another indication of the press's total ignorance about our nation's budget and/or their willingness to lie to the American people in order to get taxes raised. Let's start our truth dig by looking at the monthly debt payments so far this fiscal year: Interest Expense Fiscal Year 2011 May $30,858,726,707.77 April $28,895,123,159.28 March $24,460,282,823.69 February $21,759,253,957.26 January $21,122,729,715.18 December $104,700,174,845.03 November $19,396,316,137.56 October $24,142,491,931.22 Fiscal Year Total $275,335,099,276.99 As you can see, since October, we've made interest payments of $275 billion. Some press members have suggested that us just making interest payments is some bizarre sleight of hand, but in reality, with the exception of treasuries that are either maturing or being called, interest is by far the greatest monthly expense associated with our debt. All we have to do is make those interest payments, and our debt remains in good standing. To give us a better understanding of what this really costs, here are some of the total interest outlays for previous years: 2010 $413,954,825,362.17 2009 $383,071,060,815.42 2008 $451,154,049,950.63 2007 $429,977,998,108.20 2006 $405,872,109,315.83 2005 $352,350,252,507.90 2004 $321,566,323,971.29 2003 $318,148,529,151.51 2002 $332,536,958,599.42 2001 $359,507,635,242.41 2000 $361,997,734,302.36 As interest rates haven't risen this year, we should likely expect our total interest expenses to be close to last year's $414 billion. Let's now look at our monthly tax receipts : FY 2011 October…………………………………………………………. 145,951 November……………………………………………………… 148,970 December……………………………………………………… 236,875 January…………………………………………………………. 226,550 February ……………………………………………………….. 110,656 March …………………………………………………………… 150,894 April ……………………………………………………………… 289,543 May………………………………………………………………. 174,911 Year-to-Date ……………………………………………….. 1,484,350 Notice how each and every month the amount of taxes we collect far exceeds our interest expense? So far in fiscal 2011, we have brought in $1.48 trillion in receipts and only made interest payments of $275 billion. Does it look to you like we're going to have to default on those payments, or that our creditors should be at all concerned about our ability to make said payments? Quite the contrary, the way our treasury paper has been trading this year, investors don't seem to be at all concerned with America's ability to pay them back. Here's a five year chart of our 10-year Treasury note: The number on the right axis is interest rate; the bottom is years. As you can see, our T-notes are currently paying close to their lowest rate so far this year. As bonds trade inversely to price, this means that investors are willing to pay more for our T-notes today than they were earlier in the year. This suggests that there not only isn't any panic going on in the credit markets concerning our debt, but that people are more bullish on it than there were just a few months ago. The same is true for our stock market which after a correction earlier in the year is now approaching recovery highs: Does it look to you like stock investors are worried about this looming debt ceiling? Obviously not, for these folks are intelligent enough to understand that our current tax receipts are running about ten percent ahead of last year's. This means we could average for the year about $200 billion per month, and that our debt service is covered with roughly two months of revenues. This also means that there's enough coming in monthly to pay Social Security and Medicare recipients with absolutely no difficulty. Consider that last August, we brought in $164 billion in receipts. As it should be equal to or greater than that this year, we will easily afford the roughly $35 billion of interest expense without raising the debt ceiling. Our monthly Social Security and Medicare outlays in May were $51 billion. Assuming they're close to the same in August, we'd still be left with $78 billion to pay military members, and a variety of other things. Will we have enough to meet all of our obligations? Certainly not. Like what's happened in the past, many government employees and contractors would be given IOUs. BUT, unlike what the Obama-loving media are telling people, we won't have to default on our debt, we won't have to forego payments to America's seniors, and we won't have to hold back the salaries of our military members in the field. Just imagine how much different this debate would be if our press were actually presenting the truth to the people rather than the hysteria-driving nonsense that's been on display of late. Readers are advised that all the data in this piece – with the exception of the T-note and stock index charts – came directly from the Treasury Department.

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Media’s Debt Ceiling Hysteria Ignores How Bonds, Budgets and Taxes Work

If you believe every word uttered by hysterical news anchors and political commentators lately, you would think the world ends August 2nd if the debt ceiling isn't raised. Not only isn't this true, it's another indication of the press's total ignorance about our nation's budget and/or their willingness to lie to the American people in order to get taxes raised. Let's start our truth dig by looking at the monthly debt payments so far this fiscal year: Interest Expense Fiscal Year 2011 May $30,858,726,707.77 April $28,895,123,159.28 March $24,460,282,823.69 February $21,759,253,957.26 January $21,122,729,715.18 December $104,700,174,845.03 November $19,396,316,137.56 October $24,142,491,931.22 Fiscal Year Total $275,335,099,276.99 As you can see, since October, we've made interest payments of $275 billion. Some press members have suggested that us just making interest payments is some bizarre sleight of hand, but in reality, with the exception of treasuries that are either maturing or being called, interest is by far the greatest monthly expense associated with our debt. All we have to do is make those interest payments, and our debt remains in good standing. To give us a better understanding of what this really costs, here are some of the total interest outlays for previous years: 2010 $413,954,825,362.17 2009 $383,071,060,815.42 2008 $451,154,049,950.63 2007 $429,977,998,108.20 2006 $405,872,109,315.83 2005 $352,350,252,507.90 2004 $321,566,323,971.29 2003 $318,148,529,151.51 2002 $332,536,958,599.42 2001 $359,507,635,242.41 2000 $361,997,734,302.36 As interest rates haven't risen this year, we should likely expect our total interest expenses to be close to last year's $414 billion. Let's now look at our monthly tax receipts : FY 2011 October…………………………………………………………. 145,951 November……………………………………………………… 148,970 December……………………………………………………… 236,875 January…………………………………………………………. 226,550 February ……………………………………………………….. 110,656 March …………………………………………………………… 150,894 April ……………………………………………………………… 289,543 May………………………………………………………………. 174,911 Year-to-Date ……………………………………………….. 1,484,350 Notice how each and every month the amount of taxes we collect far exceeds our interest expense? So far in fiscal 2011, we have brought in $1.48 trillion in receipts and only made interest payments of $275 billion. Does it look to you like we're going to have to default on those payments, or that our creditors should be at all concerned about our ability to make said payments? Quite the contrary, the way our treasury paper has been trading this year, investors don't seem to be at all concerned with America's ability to pay them back. Here's a five year chart of our 10-year Treasury note: The number on the right axis is interest rate; the bottom is years. As you can see, our T-notes are currently paying close to their lowest rate so far this year. As bonds trade inversely to price, this means that investors are willing to pay more for our T-notes today than they were earlier in the year. This suggests that there not only isn't any panic going on in the credit markets concerning our debt, but that people are more bullish on it than there were just a few months ago. The same is true for our stock market which after a correction earlier in the year is now approaching recovery highs: Does it look to you like stock investors are worried about this looming debt ceiling? Obviously not, for these folks are intelligent enough to understand that our current tax receipts are running about ten percent ahead of last year's. This means we could average for the year about $200 billion per month, and that our debt service is covered with roughly two months of revenues. This also means that there's enough coming in monthly to pay Social Security and Medicare recipients with absolutely no difficulty. Consider that last August, we brought in $164 billion in receipts. As it should be equal to or greater than that this year, we will easily afford the roughly $35 billion of interest expense without raising the debt ceiling. Our monthly Social Security and Medicare outlays in May were $51 billion. Assuming they're close to the same in August, we'd still be left with $78 billion to pay military members, and a variety of other things. Will we have enough to meet all of our obligations? Certainly not. Like what's happened in the past, many government employees and contractors would be given IOUs. BUT, unlike what the Obama-loving media are telling people, we won't have to default on our debt, we won't have to forego payments to America's seniors, and we won't have to hold back the salaries of our military members in the field. Just imagine how much different this debate would be if our press were actually presenting the truth to the people rather than the hysteria-driving nonsense that's been on display of late. Readers are advised that all the data in this piece – with the exception of the T-note and stock index charts – came directly from the Treasury Department.

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Chris Matthews Says ‘D–king Around’ Five Days After Halperin’s Suspension

In the wake of Mark Halperin's suspension by MSNBC for calling President Obama the D-word, there have been numerous vulgarities aired on the network further proving his offense wasn't what he said but who he said it about. After MSNBC allowed numerous F-bombs during its Independence Day coverage of the Casey Anthony trial, Matthews uttered a D-word of his own on Tuesday's “Hardball” (video follows with transcript and commentary, vulgarity warning): CHRIS MATTHEWS: The world’s watching Greece last week, and the parliament finally got its act together and pushed through a serious budget. All of a sudden the world was at ease and we had a serious sense of relief. You don’t think they’re going to be watching the most important country in the world, us, when we start dicking around with stuff, and we don’t get it done? You don’t think they’re not going to notice we’re not getting it done? That it’s four o’clock in the morning and it’s August 3rd or August 5th or August 8th and we still haven’t gotten it done? You don’t think they’re not, there’s going to be a world watching this and saying, “They’re blowing it? There’s something wrong with America today?” So, five days after Halperin was suspended for calling Obama the D-word, Matthews used a version of it to describe all of our national elected officials if an agreement isn't reached on the debt ceiling. This came a day after numerous F-bombs were broadcast during MSNBC's Independence Day coverage of the Casey Anthony trial. Speaking of F-bombs, MSNBC intentionally aired one during last Monday's “The Last Word.” Yet the only MSNBCer to be suspended or disciplined in any way so far was been Halperin. It sure seems vulgarity is quite acceptable on this so-called “news” network – as long as it's not directed at the President, that is.

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Chris Matthews Smears the ‘Scary’ GOP as the ‘Wahhabis of American Government’

MSNBC's Chris Matthews on Tuesday escalated his attack on the Republican Party, comparing them to a violent sect of Islam. The Hardball host frothed, ” Well, the GOP has become the Wahhabis of American government, willing to risk bringing down the whole country in the service of their anti-tax ideology.” Discussing the debt ceiling vote, Matthews placed all of the blame on the right. In a tease for the segment, he fumed, “The Tea Party Republicans who are ready to bring down this country's economy in the name of ideology. This is really getting serious, and I believe scary, what's really being perpetrated here.” [See Video below. MP3 audio here .] Of course, Matthews is the same person who slammed Tea Party conservatives as unthinking ” haters “who just lash out at Barack Obama with cheap comments. On Tuesday, the MSNBC anchor said of Republicans: “The party's being driven by fanatics and they're determined to bounce America's savings bonds and have the United States begin to become like Greece.” Talking to Democratic Senator Claire McCaskill, Matthews hyperbolically wondered if Republicans want to “go right off the cliff and take this country into Greece, into the way the world watches us go down the hill.” A partial transcript of the exchanges can be found below: 5:01 CHRIS MATTHEWS: Also, is the Republican Party willing to risk economic armageddon in the name of religion, that is the religion of no taxes? Well, the GOP has become the Wahhabis of American government, willing to risk bringing down the whole country in the service of their anti-tax ideology. This is no phony crisis. If you're not careful, if we're not careful, the country risks becoming Greece. Not ancient Greece, by the way, current Greece. 5:15 MATTHEWS: The Tea Party Republicans who are ready to bring down this country's economy in the name of ideology. This is really getting serious, and I believe scary, what's really being perpetrated here. Possibly, the defaulting of United States government on our debt in the world. The party's being driven by fanatics and they're determined to bounce America's savings bonds and have the United States begin to become like Greece. 5:20 MATTHEWS: And I look around me with fanatics. I see fanatics, mostly on the right, some of the left. It seems to me that they're quite willing when I hear them talking, your own colleague Senator Roy Blunt dismissing the debt ceiling deadline saying, quote, “the deadline is never really a deadline. I don't think world markets are going to get roiled and I don't think our creditors are not going to get paid.” And here's someone from the far right, Michele Bachmann dismissing the consequences of not raising the debt ceiling. Let's listen to her now. MICHELE BACHMANN: Well, first of all it isn't true that government would default on its debt, because, very simply the Treasury Secretary can pay the interest on the debt first and then from there we have to just prioritize our spending. MATTHEWS: This, to me, is scary. What's your view? That these people are willing to go right into armageddon, not face the warning signs. Go right off the cliff and take this country into Greece, into the way the world watches us go down the hill. SENATOR CLAIRE MCCASKILL: Yeah. It's a real problem, compromise has become a dirty word and, frankly, our countries has been the greatest country on the planet, because our democracy learned the art of compromise. And now compromise is something the two ends of the spectrums don't want to see happen and we're going to suffer for it. You know, the other thing is frustrating about this, Chris, that I think they are trying to tell the American people that when we raise the debt limit we're asking for permission to spend more money. That's not true. All we're doing is making good on the spending that's already occurred. This would be like going out and buying a new car. These guys all voted for this spending. They all voted for the things that put us in this deficit position and now they're saying they don't want to pay the bill. It's like they bought a new car and don't want to make payments. It is defaulting, and we will default on obligations our government has, whether it's the people who are getting a Social Security check or to our military pay or whether it's to our debt that we have to pay, and all of those things would have serious and significant consequences. People need to quit trying to win elections and start solving the problem.

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Someone Needs to Tell Fox’s Mike Emanuel What the Definition of ‘Class Warfare’ Is

Click here to view this media While discussing how things are going on the “negotiations” with raising the debt ceiling Neil Cavuto fill-in Chris Cotter brought in someone who I assume is supposed to be one of Fox’s “news reporters”, Mike Emanuel, and not someone they would admit is an opinion commentator, and it seems he’s got a pretty messed idea about just what “class warfare” entails. Apparently in his world, it’s daring to call out a party for participating in it. COTTER: I have to tell you Mike, from cool to cold, right over your shoulder there at the White House, they’ve toughened their language in recent days haven’t they? What are they saying about this August 2nd deadline in the negotiations on both sides? EMANUEL: Well we heard it from President Obama last Wednesday when he did a news conference and may have lectured or scolded some members of Congress to get their work done. Then the Vice President’s been out a couple of times speaking to friendly audiences. Just yesterday in Chicago talking to the National Education Association and again did a little class warfare in terms of saying the Republicans are only out to help the rich. Here’s more from the Vice President. Note to Emanuel, pointing out someone engaging in class warfare is not waging class warfare. There’s a difference. Apparently he’s hoping that the viewers of their network don’t have enough sense to recognize this and sadly if you watch them for any other reason than to debunk or mock what goes on their airways, he and the producers of this show who put him on the air in the first place to spout this nonsense are probably right with that assumption. There is class warfare going on in America right now and it’s the rich who are winning it.

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Oil Reserves

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Oil Reserves

Speaking just for myself, I think that President Obama tapping into America's strategic oil reserve was an extremely unwise and dangerous move. They can say that the didn't do it for political purposes, but until the cows come home and set up housekeeping, I still won't believe it. The reason being that, at best, it is a temporary measure which will be nothing more than a blip on the radar screen of the world's crude oil prices. Whatever fleeting effect it causes will do absolutely nothing to ease our real problem of depending on people who hate our guts to keep our cars and industries running. Why has it been impossible for all our presidents and both political parties to face the fact that the only energy supplies we can really rely on are the ones that exist below the lands and the waters of The United States of America? I have come to believe that there is something much more sinister than the Sierra Club and Greenpeace that prevents us from exploiting our plentiful energy resources, something organized and dirty with the strings being pulled in the highest political offices and the most prestigious corporate boardrooms in the world. But that's another subject for another time. Let's get back to the one at hand. The oil we take out of our reserves will have to be replaced at whatever the price happens to be at the time we replace it, which could very well be higher than it is now. And even worse than that, was this truly a strategic need or a political need? I personally opt for the latter. I think it was political and foolish. Our strategic oil reserves are supposed to guard against a time when something happens that critically disrupts our flow of oil and threatens to shut the country down. To provide fuel so our planes can fly and our defenses can be maintained. Fuel to be used to harvest and move food around the nation in case of a worldwide breakdown, which looks entirely possible in the next few years. What do we do when the fanatics close down the Persian Gulf or blow up the pipelines in Saudi Arabia? What if we sustain a major domestic attack? Our strategic oil reserves should be for the defense of this country, not to bolster the sagging poll numbers of a reckless president. What do you think?

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Santorum accuses Obama of creating ‘only 240 million jobs’

Click here to view this media CNN host Ali Velshi gave Republican presidential candidate Rick Santorum some math advice Tuesday after the former Pennsylvania senator claimed President Barack Obama’s economic stimulus had resulted in 30 million fewer jobs. “[Obama] passed a huge stimulus package that now we know, over the past two quarters, has actually cost American jobs, and that’s from the report of his own administration,” Santorum asserted. “They claimed in December that by the end of last year that they created 280 million jobs, and now they’re saying that they created only 240 million jobs.” “Senator, I’m going to ask you to restate that, I’ve never heard that in my life,” Velshi interrupted. “If you look at the report that came out on Friday, the President’s own economic advisers said that the jobs stimulus package actually created fewer jobs over the period of time, since the stimulus package went in place than it did when they reported back in December. In other words, there’s 30 million less jobs as a result of the stimulus package,” Santorum explained. “That’s not a loss of jobs, Senator, that’s a smaller aggregation of jobs,” Velshi noted. “You can’t go on a campaign, a national campaign with this kind of math Senator. It’s just incorrect.” “One report says that there were 280 and now there are 240,” Santorum insisted. “I know you’ve got a lot of interviews to do. You might want to check that math,” Velshi advised. “It’s dangerous to go around saying that the stimulus didn’t create jobs.” “Look it up,” Santorum said. “Let’s not make a campaign slogan out of something that’s incorrect. I think you might thank me for the guidance but it’s your campaign so you do what you see fit,” Velshi added. “Let’s just be clear: that’s just not right information.” Think Progress pointed out that there are currently 13.9 million people unemployed, and only 153 million in the entire U.S. labor force. “If the Obama administration had created 240 to 280 million jobs, the unemployment crisis would have been solved several times over, and America would have so many jobs that it would need to start employing workers from all over the world just to fill all the available positions,” Think Progress’ Pat Garofalo wrote.

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[Video Not Safe For Work] Elon James White, one of our favorite comedians and a Netroots Nation stalwart, channels a lot of people sentiments in this video. It might be NSFW, but White says a lot of things that need saying. It’s part of the ACLU’s campaign to End the War on Drugs : June 2011 marked the 40th anniversary of President Richard Nixon’s declaration of a “war on drugs” — a war that has cost roughly a trillion dollars, has produced little to no effect on the supply of or demand for drugs in the United States, and has contributed to making America the world’s largest incarcerator. The war on drugs has sent millions of people to prison for low-level offenses, and seriously eroded our civil liberties and civil rights while costing taxpayers billions of dollars a year, with nothing to show for it except our status as the world’s largest incarcerator. There are 2.3 million people behind bars in this country — that is triple the amount of prisoners we had in 1987 — and 25 percent of those incarcerated are locked up for drug offenses. Taxpayers spend almost $70 billion a year on corrections and incarceration. A far more sensible way to deal with a public health problem like drug addiction is to provide treatment, which study after study has shown is more effective than incarceration. Through advocacy and litigation, the ACLU has been seeking an end to this failed war on drugs and our costly addiction to incarceration for decades. Go here to read more about the ACLU’s work to end to excessively harsh crime policies that result in mass incarceration and stand in the way of a just and equal society. There is a series of posts on the subject at the ACLU’s Blog of Rights . Be sure to check it out.

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God Bless America

Independence day 2011 god bless America God Bless America (Erika Bolton) HAPPY 4TH OF JULY SterlingSlown says: God Bless America http://t.co/bMsyx34 and our cheap Iphones

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Google Maps-powered training bike simulates Tour de France, refuses to speak English

Poor France. The nation known mostly for its food and wine only has a few major sporting events to call its own, yet we — great, fat and lazy America — have pwned its most iconic one for seven years . That legacy could still live on — if you don’t mind shelling out $1299 and sweating all over your living room floor, that is. Powered by Google Maps and touted as the official trainer of Le Tour de France, comes a Pro-Form training bike so hardcore, it even simulates potholes. Ok, we made that last part up, but it does allow you to feel the burn of 24 pre-set courses, or one of your own punishing design . For the ultra-committed indoor enthusiast, there’s also Intelligent Wind Resistance and a 20 percent incline / decline feature that’ll match the ups and downs of real life outdoor cycling without the hassle of the actual outdoors. Honestly, it’s a bit much and we can’t really see this thing taking off with the New Year’s Eve resolution set, but if you’ve always wanted that biker’s derriere , this is your trainer. Google Maps-powered training bike simulates Tour de France, refuses to speak English originally appeared on Engadget on Tue, 05 Jul 2011 07:02:00 EDT. Please see our terms for use of feeds . Permalink

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