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Can Growing a Beard Help You Go Green?

This is one way to enjoy responsibly: Budweiser is encouraging men across America to grow a beard and save a million gallons of water. Last year the brewery says 1,200 employees skipped shaving for one week prior to World Environment Day, saving about 42,000 gallons of water. They say the average shave uses 3-10 gallons of

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Barack Obama will give a major speech on the Mideast at 11:40am ET today, in which he’ll share his vision of the role America should play in a region that’s been battling unrest for four months now. Josh Gerstein provides a primer on Politico . Your ears should perk up…

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What Kind of God Do Wall Street Bankers Believe In?

Click here to view this media There was a pretty amazing moment Tuesday during the JPMorgan Chase shareholders meeting . A woman from the group Illinois People’s Action, Dawn Dannenbring, who as a shareholder had the right to speak at the meeting, said to CEO Jamie Dimon: “As a person of faith, my God believes you shouldn’t take advantage of people when they are down. Do you believe in the same God I believe in?” Dimon was apparently a little taken aback, answering, “That’s a hard one to answer.” Well, I’m sure on one level it was. He wouldn’t have known what religion the woman was, or what she truly thought about God. He probably has never been asked his theological views in his job as JPMorgan Chase CEO before. But even though I have no knowledge whatsoever of Jamie Dimon’s faith or theology, I feel extremely confident in saying I know the answer: it would be “no.” I don’t know what Dannenbring’s religion is, but it is clear she comes out of the historic faith tradition that takes the idea of a God caring about justice for regular people seriously. From the God of Genesis condemning Cain for not being his brother’s keeper, to Old Testament prophets who condemned their societies for throwing poor people out of their homes and leaving people to starve in the streets, to Jesus telling people to treat the weak and poor with mercy and help the least of these, the Judeo-Christian Bible shows us a God who cares deeply about economic justice and the downtrodden. And it isn’t just the Bible: pretty much every major religion, and every major ethical system ever developed, shares fundamental notions of fairness, compassion, honesty, treating others as you would want to be treated, and looking out for those weaker and poorer than you. These ideas are thousands of years old, and are the basis of a decent civilization. Now I know some people in the financial industry who are fine people. Some of them understood the flaws in our financial system, and helped make constructive proposals on financial reform. Some of them invested the old-fashioned way, in great companies that are creating new jobs in America. But it seems apparent that most of the top executives and traders of the biggest financial institutions in America — the six Too Big To Fail banking conglomerates that own assets equivalent to 64 percent of our GDP — tend to get deeply confused by any question related to this kind of moral, ethical, or religious set of values because they don’t think about them in any way in their work lives. Some — the people who blatantly steal bigger and bigger sums of money from their own companies and clients — have no ethical code at all. But even for most of those who do, the ethical code is constructed so that it allows them to abuse everyone outside of his or her own firm: what they believe is that their sole obligation is to their shareholders. Period. The bank clerks and secretarial staff don’t get paid very well and don’t share in the big bonuses handed out every quarter. Their clients sometimes get the short end of the stick, as these firms have frequently and notoriously traded against their clients’ interest. Their mortgage holders have been cheated over and over again, as the courts and more and more government investigators have been finding. The small businesspeople who accept debit and credit cards from the big banks have been forced to pay exorbitant swipe fees for years. Beyond these moral failings with the people they deal with most closely, these big bankers seem to have no ethics about other people in general. After gambling recklessly with other people’s money, creating the biggest financial panic since the crash of 1929, needing to take a massive government bailout (TARP ain’t the half of it, check out this article about the free money they got from the Fed), wrecking the world economy and throwing 8 million Americans out of work, and then handing themselves record bonuses the year after the crash, they seem to feel not even an iota of shame. One Wall Street banker even compared Obama to Hitler for daring to suggest they pay a fair share of taxes. Now, after outspending reformers more than 500 to 1 during the legislative fight over financial reform last year, and weakening the bill in some important ways, these same Wall Street bankers are trying to roll back the best of the reforms we did win, and they are trying to weasel out of any liability over destroying the housing market. On derivatives regulation, on swipe fee reform, on the Consumer Financial Protection Bureau, and on helping homeowners with underwater mortgages, the big banks on definitely on the wrong side. They don’t want any oversight; they don’t want to negotiate with anyone over anything; they don’t want to help anyone they have wronged or anyone in financial stress; they don’t want to pay another dime in taxes even as they make record profits and take home record bonuses. They don’t care who they hurt, as long as they stay wealthy and overwhelmingly powerful. So look, I’m not going to claim to know whether a God of compassion, mercy, and justice exists. But I do feel quite confident in stating there is no way Jamie Dimon could believe in such a God, and still act the way he does as CEO of JPMorgan Chase.

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Barack Obama throws full US support behind Middle East uprisings

• President unveils shift in American policy towards Arab nations • ‘Status quo not sustainable,’ he warns region’s autocracies • Sets out two-state solution to Israel-Palestine conflict • Tells Syria’s al-Assad to lead transition or ‘get out of way’ President Barack Obama has sought to realign US policy on the Middle East, promising to shift from the long-held American backing for autocratic regimes to support for the pro-democracy movements and to set out the shape of an Israeli-Palestinian peace deal. “The status quo is not sustainable,” Obama said in a major speech at the state department in Washington on Thursday, the first on the Middle East since he spoke in Cairo in 2009. In a speech dubbed Cairo Two, he threw US weight behind the protesters, saying: “We face a historic opportunity. We have embraced the chance to show that America values the dignity of the street vendor in Tunisia more than the raw power of the dictator … After decades of accepting the world as it is in the region, we have a chance to pursue the world as it should be.” He was addressing criticism that America has been behind the curve in response to the pro-democracy movements sweeping the region. As well as support for the newly emerging democracies in Egypt and Tunisia, he criticised long-term US allies such as Bahrain, where America has a huge naval base, for its suppression of democracy movements. The US had been criticised as inconsistent in issuing only a mild rebuke to Bahrain. But Obama said: “We have insisted publicly and privately that mass arrests and brute force are at odds with the universal rights of Bahrain’s citizens, and will not make legitimate calls for reform go away.” He also addressed what he has previously said was one of the main sources of Middle East antagonism towards the west, the Israeli-Palestinian conflict. He set out the parameters of a deal and called on Israel to act boldly. It comes at a time when there is stalemate in the Israeli-Palestinian peace process. Although the US has long recognised that the boundaries of a Palestinian state should be based on those that existed before the 1967 Arab-Israeli war, it was a significant shift for Obama to stress this in his speech. “The United States believes that negotiations should result in two states, with permanent Palestinian borders with Israel, Jordan, and Egypt, and permanent Israeli borders with Palestine. The borders of Israel and Palestine should be based on the 1967 lines, with mutually agreed swaps, so that secure and recognised borders are established for both states,” he said. Although he prefaced this by saying that Israel’s security remained a core US aim in the Middle East, it marks a move towards the Palestinians. Obama is due to see the Israeli prime minister, Binyamin Netanyahu, in Washington on Friday. “As for Israel, our friendship is rooted deeply in a shared history and shared values,” Obama said. “Our commitment to Israel’s security is unshakeable. And we will stand against attempts to single it out for criticism in international forums. But precisely because of our friendship, it is important that we tell the truth: the status quo is unsustainable, and Israel too must act boldly to advance a lasting peace.” He stopped short of calling for the Syrian leader, Bashar al-Assad, to step down from office but told him he had a choice. “The Syrian people have shown their courage in demanding a transition to democracy. President Assad now has a choice: he can lead that transition or get out of the way,” Obama said. The speech made no mention of other autocracies such as Saudi Arabia, on which America depends for oil. He said that Osama Bin Laden’s death had changed the dynamic in the Middle East. “Bin Laden was no martyr,” Obama said. “He was a mass murderer who offered a message of hate – an insistence that Muslims had to take up arms against the west, and that violence against men, women and children was the only path to change. He rejected democracy and individual rights for Muslims in favour of violent extremism.” It is the most important speech he has made on the Middle East since one in Cairo in June 2009, in which he called for a new beginning in relations between the US and the Muslim world after a decade dominated by 9/11 and the Iraq war. He focused then on a need for an Israeli-Palestinian peace, a deal in which Iran would give up any nuclear weapons ambitions, and ways to neutralise extremism. He also promised to close Guantanamo. Obama’s speech comes after intensive debate within the White House between those arguing that the US should be at the forefront of the democracy movement and those whose concern is US national security and protection of oil supplies. The few billion dollars proposed so far is not comparable to the vast sums the US sent to Europe after 1945, and some of it has already been announced by the World Bank and the IMF. The speech was aimed at a global audience, with the state department providing simultaneous translation into Arabic and Farsi, and was deliberately timed for midday in Washington so that it could be watched live in the evening in the Middle East. The White House view is that the best way to support democracy is through economic reform, and drew comparisons with the massive injection of American aid to Europe after the war, and with the support given to central and eastern Europe in 1989. The US is to relieve Egypt of up to $1bn in debt and lend or guarantee up to $1bn. The World Bank, the IMF and other multilateral institutions are to provide a further $2bn-3bn. The White House sees the investment as essential to help deal with problems such as unemployment in Egypt, where a majority of the population is under 30 and youth unemployment is estimated at 30%. The problem for Obama domestically is that Americans may look at the high unemployment rates in the US, officially around 9%, though the real figure may be double that, and question why billions are being sent overseas. Arab and Middle East unrest Barack Obama Middle East United States Ewen MacAskill guardian.co.uk

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John Boehner Stuck Between Tea Party And A Hard Place

DAYTON, Ohio (Reuters) – This John Boehner was not the John Boehner that Tea Party leaders in the room thought they knew. Compared to the Boehner who talked tough on spending ahead of last November’s elections, the one who showed up at Club 55, just off Interstate 75 in Troy in southwestern Ohio, struck them as timid. The private April 25 meeting was convened by the Speaker of the House of Representatives at the request of Tea Party leaders, who were seething over recent Republican compromises, most notably on the 2011 budget. One of the 25 or so leaders, all from Boehner’s district, asked him if Republicans would raise America’s $14.3 trillion debt limit. According to half a dozen attendees interviewed by Reuters, the most powerful Republican in Washington said “yes.” “And we’re going to have to raise it again in the future,” he added. With the mass retirement of America’s Baby Boomers, he explained, it would take 20 years to balance the U.S. budget and 30 years after that to erase the nation’s huge fiscal deficit. That answer incensed many of the Tea Party activists, for whom raising the debt limit is anathema. “You could have knocked me out of my chair,” said Denise Robertson, a computer programer who belongs to the Preble County Liberty Group. “Fifty years?” She said “my fantasy now” is someone will challenge Boehner in the 2012 Republican primaries. “If we could find someone good to run against him, I’d campaign for them every day,” Robertson said. “I am sick of the tears,” she added, a sarcastic reference to Boehner’s famous propensity to cry. “I want results.” Fed up with “broken promises,” some Tea Party activists have already moved beyond the fantasy stage and aim to “primary” Republicans who have let them down — that is, challenge them in primaries. Some talk of long-shot attempts to unseat leaders like House Majority Whip Eric Cantor. Led by Boehner, Republicans in Congress are at odds with Democrats and the White House over how to raise the limit on how much debt the United States can afford. President Barack Obama’s administration warns of global financial chaos if lawmakers do not increase the current cap of $14.3 trillion. Boehner, in a May 9 speech in New York, did insist that any increase to the debt limit include “cuts in trillions.” But conservatives expect the Republicans will not uphold his demand. If the Republicans lose the debt limit battle, more Tea Party groups say they will aggressively seek candidates to challenge establishment figures in the 2012 primaries. “At this point, all of them are potential targets,” said Dawn Wildman, president of the SoCal Tax Revolt Coalition, who lives in San Diego. “All the way up to Boehner.” FAILURE AN OPTION? Born in the days after Obama took office in early 2009 in a wave of conservative anger at corporate bailouts and hefty government spending to stem the Great Recession, the Tea Party movement has come a long way in just two years. After failing to halt the passage of Obama’s health reform bill, Tea Partiers staffed phone banks, knocked on doors to get out the vote and played a major role in gaining 63 seats for the Republicans in the 2010 elections. The biggest midterm election year swing since 1938 delivered a large House majority for the Republicans and made gains in the Democratic-controlled Senate. Flush with victory, Tea Partiers dived headfirst into local and state politics in 2011 — the results of which are expected to affect the state and national elections of 2012. Their primary foe is still America’s progressive left — it is a given in Ohio, for instance, that the top target for 2012 is Democratic U.S. Senator Sherrod Brown. But now more than ever before the full force of their ire is directed at the Republican Party establishment. Dozens of interviews with Tea Party activists across the country paint a picture of a conservative movement whose members gave the Republican Party in Washington a chance to prove it was serious about fiscal responsibility after years of running up deficits under Obama’s predecessor George W. Bush. And many Republican politicians promised to uphold the Tea Party’s central tenets — constitutionally limited government, lower taxes and the free markets. “They certainly talked the talk before the election,” said Tim Dake of the Wisconsin Grandsons of Liberty. “They told us what they knew we wanted to hear and sought us out.” After the election, not so much. “All of a sudden they stopped taking our calls and were no longer interested in what we had to say,” Dake said. Hoping for meaningful change, they watched as either the same people — Boehner and Cantor — or party loyalists took up leadership positions in the House. Then came the first real battle of the new Congress that mattered to the Tea Party — cutting spending in the 2011 budget. Instead of $100 billion in cuts the Republicans promised in their “Pledge to America” unveiled last September, Republicans and Democrats agreed on $38 billion. When the Congressional Budget Office said the real spending reduction was $352 million that set many Tea Partiers boiling. “They volunteered that damn promise of $100 billion, we didn’t ask for it,” said Randy Keller of the Bowling Green Southern Kentucky Tea Party. “They seem to think that we can’t handle simple math. We in the Tea Party are so angry we can’t stand it.” Not raising America’s debt ceiling has now taken on even greater importance for Tea Party groups. The April 25 meeting with Boehner and inside accounts of others between House Republicans and Tea Partiers in their districts hint at a party trying to manage expectations ahead of the real debt limit debate. The trouble is while compromise is a trademark of Washington politics, to many Tea Partiers it is a dirty word. According to Ned Ryun, head of American Majority, which provides training for conservative activists, the Republicans’ problem is they mistook their November victory as a sign the Tea Party backed them because its members are conservatives. “The Republican establishment suffers from a weird belief that somehow the Tea Party will fall in line because it is an adjunct of the Republican Party,” he said. “But the Tea Party is not and never will be an arm of the Republican Party.” That leaves Boehner stuck between the Tea Party and a hard place. If he pushes too hard on cuts, that will rattle the Republican Party’s powerful Wall Street wing, potentially roiling the markets and unsettling the broader electorate. But backing down will also hurt him. “After accusations he didn’t do enough in the budget battle, Boehner has to have something real to take back to conservatives or he’s in trouble,” said James McCormick, a professor of political science at Iowa State University. “He’s boxed in between two components of the Republican Party. Obama knows that and is not under the same pressure.” If the Republicans falter, the search for establishment targets will kick into a higher gear — with freshmen, or those elected in 2010 seen as the easiest to unseat as they are new. “The Tea Party will almost certainly primary those they want to get rid of,” said Larry Sabato, a politics professor at the University of Virginia. “They are not out to rebuild the Republican Party. They are out to take over the Republican Party and make it more like the Tea Party.” “If it takes some Republican defeats along the way to make that happen, then that is what they’ll do,” he added. ‘SCREW UP A FREE LUNCH IN A SOUP KITCHEN’ When night fell on election day last November 2, Tea Partiers across the country were flat out exhausted. Most activists in the amorphous movement are unpaid. Many have full-time jobs as well as volunteering for the cause. In the run-up to the election an army of volunteers learned the mechanics of electioneering: from manning phone banks to knocking on doors to get people to the polls. Ana Puig of the Kitchen Table Patriots in Bucks County, Pennsylvania, says her group staffed a “Liberty Headquarters” 12 hours a day for four months, made 36,000 phone calls, knocked on 20,000 doors and handed out 5,000 yard signs, helping to elect conservative Pat Toomey to the U.S. Senate. “The Republicans would not have been able to achieve those results by itself,” said Puig. “We reached the folks the Republican Party could not.” This is the real power of the Tea Party in its raw form: the ability to get voters to the polls. Tea Party activists in many states describe with contempt an “atrophied” Republican Party machine that in some places they have taken over or ignored entirely. “The Ohio state Republican Party would screw up a free lunch in a soup kitchen,” said Ralph King of the Cleveland Tea Party, a sentiment echoed elsewhere, though less colorfully. After the election, Tea Party groups in many states immersed themselves in local and state politics — a task made easier by massive Tea Party-infused gains for Republicans at the state level. Groups in states like Wisconsin, Indiana, New Hampshire and Ohio have pushed “right to work” bills to take on the unions. Others have backed voter identification bills, under consideration now in 25 states, which conservatives say would prevent voter fraud. Democrats say these bills would lower the turnout for minority, low-income and elderly voters. In Texas, Tea Parties have pushed hard for cuts to the state budget. Social conservatives have used new Republican majorities in state houses to pass some bills targeting abortions. Others are pushing gun rights legislation. And in many states Tea Party groups have pushed back against Obama’s healthcare reform — dubbed “Obamacare.” In Ohio activists are nearing the 386,000 signatures needed for a statewide ballot in November challenging the mandate that individuals obtain health insurance. “We needed time to breathe,” said Chris Littleton, head of the Ohio Liberty Council, who said he is happy control of Washington is divided in the short term because it has allowed Tea Party groups in Ohio “to build up infrastructure.” “By not having a federal agenda flying at us, we have been able to focus more on local and state politics in 2011,” he said, “before we go back to federal politics in 2012.” There has been some media attention devoted recently to the fact that attendance at Tea Party rallies, the hallmark of the early days of the movement, has dwindled. But Tea Partiers say they are too busy learning how the political system works — prior to 2009 most had little or no political experience — and that rallies produce few results. “Rallies get people off the couch,” Wisconsin Grandsons of Liberty’s Dake said. “But the return on investment from all the work and money that you have to put into them is not very high. What we’ve found is that people want to have an impact, even if it is just at the local level.” Though the anger may burn with a lower intensity than the white-hot rage of the early days, it still burns — and the Tea Party is trying to put that to good use. “You can’t sustain that kind of anger for long, it drains you,” said Jim Lefler of the Southwest Michigan Tea Party. “We’ve learned to channel our anger to get results.” ‘OUR WAR NOW IS WITH THE REPUBLICANS’ Irrespective of their immersion on local politics, however, the Tea Party movement has maintained its laser focus on the national political scene. Despite their fervent opposition to Obama’s health reform, few appear impressed by the symbolic vote in January in the House to repeal the law — it never stood a chance in the Democratic-controlled Senate, let alone reached Obama’s desk. “That vote was just so Republicans could go home and campaign by saying they voted to repeal Obamacare,” said Paul Keith, chairman of the Bowling Green Southern Kentucky Tea Party. “That vote was meaningless, it was crap.” “The things that matter to us are what the Republicans control. Where if they don’t cooperate, there is no deal.” The fiscal 2011 budget was one such thing. In their “Pledge to America” the party promised spending cuts of $100 billion “in the first year alone and putting us on a path to begin paying down the debt, balancing the budget, and ending the spending spree in Washington.” Not only did Tea Party members around the country note which Republicans voted for the 2011 budget — especially those who ran as fiscal conservatives last year — they are also aware of the 59 Republicans who voted against it. Tea Party members in Ohio, for instance, know three House Republicans held the Tea Party line — Jim Jordan, Steve Chabot and Jean Schmidt — while nine did not, including Boehner. For some Tea Party groups the budget was too much. So they want to target RINOs — Republicans In Name Only, a pejorative term conservatives use for moderate Republicans. “There isn’t any urgency among the establishment Republicans,” said Phillip Dennis of the Dallas Tea Party. “They just don’t get that we elected them not because we love them, but only because they weren’t Democrats.” “Our war now is with the Republican Party,” he added. “We need to send home a whole boatload of RINOs.” So far the only high-profile attempt to “primary” a moderate Republican in 2012 is Indiana, where conservative state treasurer Richard Mourdock is challenging Senator Dick Lugar, who has steadfastly refused to change his views. But others are mentioned as possible. Utah Senator Orrin Hatch is one, though no challenger has yet come forward. Tea Party groups in a number of states are eyeing potential candidates for House races, but say their searches are still in the early stages. Perhaps the highest-profile member of the House whom Tea Partiers hope to unseat is Eric Cantor. Karen Hurd of the Virginia Tea Party Alliance is working on a two-pronged strategy to challenge him. The House Majority leader is considered conservative by many, but Hurd says he is a RINO. Hurd is compiling an “information campaign” highlighting his record, including voting for the unpopular 2008 bank bailout. If the campaign gains traction, Hurd wants to find a challenger, though she acknowledges that is a tall order. Cantor’s is a safe seat and he can raise a lot of money. “Right now Cantor is impregnable, but if we can make him vulnerable then he can be primaried,” Hurd said. “A few years ago challenging Cantor was inconceivable. The big change now is that while it’s a huge challenge, it’s not impossible.” Others, like Dake of the Wisconsin Grandsons of Liberty, are waiting to see how their Republicans vote in the near future. The more they stray from the fiscal conservative line, the more likely they will be challenged. “It’s still early in the year,” he said. “We’ll give them a couple more votes before we decide.” ‘NOT ONE HAND WENT UP’ Tea Party leaders who attended the April 25 meeting with John Boehner — a member of his office confirmed much of the account given by those who spoke to Reuters — recall he put on a nice spread: quiche, fruit, some “nice cheese” and such. But the assembled leaders found his answers on raising the debt limit unpalatable. Ron Musilli, 62, a native of Troy, recalls asking Boehner what leverage points the Republicans planned to focus on in debt limit talks with the White House and Senate Democrats. “We haven’t figured that out yet,” he recalls Boehner replied. Musilli says that was “a little disconcerting. My kids will be retiring in 50 years, so I like to see a plan to reduce the deficit before then.” When someone asked what happened to the bold-talking John Boehner of October 2012, the Speaker became frustrated and responded with a question: “Would you have the United States default on its obligations?” For many, the short answer is yes. Gene Clem, a spokesman for the Michigan Tea Party Alliance, says at a meeting of 120 activists from 12 Michigan counties at the end of April he asked who wanted to raise the debt limit. “Not one hand went up,” he said. “Not one.” Others want the Republicans to force the Democrats to agree to major cuts before they raise the debt limit. Boehner and other Republicans have talked tough in recent days about slashing spending. Now the onus is on them to deliver. The University of Virginia’s Sabato said the Republicans’ predicament is they cannot do enough to please a movement that wants drastic cuts and dislikes compromise. “The Tea Party wants to take it (the debt limit debate) to the brink,” he said. “The Republicans won’t go there because they know the price will be too high for them.” The Republicans’ corporate wing would prefer a mix of gradual spending cuts and tax increases, which conflicts with the Tea Party’s ideals of both lower taxes and spending. Matt Kibbe, CEO of FreedomWorks, which has provided logistical support for some Tea Party groups, said corporate support for the banking sector bailout, the stimulus package and even for healthcare reform had been unpopular with Tea Party activists. That has created what Kibbe called “a growing divide” between the Tea Party and corporate America. ‘NOT QUALIFIED TO BE DOG CATCHER’ Tea Party groups learned some tough lessons in the 2010 election. First, they often split the vote between them when going up against establishment figures. Hoping to avoid the same mistakes, the Michigan Tea Party Alliance, a coalition of Tea Party groups across the state, is working out guidelines to agree on one challenger per seat. The other main drawback in 2010 was that Tea Party neophytes often chose candidates whose track records or background made them unelectable. Possibly the prime example of that was Christine O’Donnell, who beat a moderate candidate in the Republican primary for the U.S. Senate seat in Delaware, but whose campaign foundered in part over embarrassing revelations of dabbling in witchcraft. Some establishment Republicans claim poor Tea Party choices cost them the Senate. “Let’s face it, we had people who were solidly unqualified for dog catcher, let alone the office they were running for,” said SoCal Tax Revolt Coalition’s Wildman. “The other thing we are learning now is what happens when naive people get into high office,” she added of some of the freshmen the Tea Party helped elect. “So we are learning how to vet candidates properly.” While being a complete outsider was seen as a plus last year, Tea Party groups are now looking for conservative candidates with a track record and name recognition. Some in the movement have run or plan to run for office at the local level. But they will not be ready for primetime until they have worked their way up the political ladder, which is some years off at best. “The biggest challenge we are facing is finding people to run,” said Ken Emanuelson of the Dallas Tea Party. “We need an experienced person with a political track record. It may take several cycles to get the right people in place.” But even an unsuccessful run can be bad news for an establishment candidate, forcing them to spend time and vast sums of money, plus move further to the right to win the primary. In short, incumbents fear primary challenges. “I get a lot of feedback from people locally and from around the country and it’s pretty clear the Republicans do not want us to influence the primaries in 2012,” said Jane Aitken of the New Hampshire Tea Party Coalition. “They hate us, but they are terrified of us too.” “But whether the Republicans want us to or not, we are going to influence the primaries next year.” American Majority’s Ryun says he expects a few high-profile Republicans may be beaten in primaries next year. But the Tea Party is expected to find easier targets among the freshmen of 2010. After two years their name recognition will not be that high and many of them are in marginal seats. Even if challenges for high-profile establishment figures prove unsuccessful, they will get the attention of others. “It would send a message to all other Republicans,” the University of Virginia’s Sabato said. “If it could happen to someone as powerful as, say, Eric Cantor, it could certainly happen to you.” WINNING THE PARTY’S SOUL How that plays out in the general election is an open question. While the Tea Party will have an out-sized impact on Republican primaries, its success in November 2012 will depend on how acceptable its candidates are to the broader electorate. The fierce battles going on at the state level over collective bargaining rights or spending cuts are also a factor to watch, as, thanks in part to the Tea Party, those fights are further to the right than the debate in Washington. “There is very little doubt in my mind that establishment Republicans are very worried,” said James Henson, a politics professor at the University of Texas. “They are having to watch their right flank and may end up leveraged in the middle.” “A lot of people are thinking in the abstract that cutting taxes and spending is good,” he added. “But the question is what challenges the reality poses for the Republicans.” Henson also says “divisions the Tea Party has created within the Republican Party have already complicated the party’s presidential race,” as some candidates will wait until the battle for the party’s soul has been decided. That leaves what almost every Tea Party activist interviewed described essentially as a lackluster field. Conservative New Jersey Governor Chris Christie’s name was the only one mentioned consistently with any excitement in informal polling for this article, even though he says he will not run. Another candidate who has raised some interest is Herman Cain, a political outsider and former pizza chain CEO. Minnesota Representative Michele Bachmann has courted the Tea Party actively, but her name was barely mentioned. In one small survey of 68 Tea Party leaders in Ohio conducted in April by the Ohio Liberty Council, in which respondents were asked who they wanted for president, Christie won with 15 votes. Bachmann got four votes, level with real estate tycoon Donald Trump, who said on Monday he would not run. At the back of the pack, alongside former Pennsylvania Senator Rick Santorum and Barack Obama, was former Massachusetts Governor Mitt Romney with zero votes. In general polls, Romney currently leads the Republican pack, but the health reform he passed in office — dubbed “Romneycare” — is despised by conservatives for its similarities to Obama’s health reform. “Romneycare is the kiss of death for his campaign,” said Christen Varley of the Greater Boston Tea Party. Just how bad is the divide between the Tea Party and the Republican establishment? “Could the Tea Party harm the Republicans?” said Stuart Rothenberg of the Rothenberg Political Report. “If it pushes too hard then it could fracture the Republican Party.” For some people on the ground like Colleen Conley of the Rhode Island Tea Party, a bit of party fracturing might not be a bad idea. “If the Republicans can’t come through on their promises,” she said, “maybe the party needs to be blown up.” (Additional reporting by David Morgan, Corrie MacLaggan and James B. Kelleher; Editing by Jim Impoco and Claudia Parsons) Copyright 2010 Thomson Reuters. Click for Restrictions.

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Newcastle scrapyard blaze closes city streets

Two people treated for minor injuries and residents evacuated as black smoke drifts over city Fifty firefighters are tackling a spectacular fire in the east end of Newcastle upon Tyne that has sent clouds of black smoke billowing over the famous Byker Wall flats. Residents have been warned to stay inside and shut all doors and windows as thick smoke poured from tyres and oil-soaked car wrecks at a scrapyard in nearby Albion Row. A small number of local people were evacuated from their homes in Northumberland Row but are expected to be allowed back within hours. Six staff working at the yard left after raising the alarm, when smouldering smoke in a six-month-old pile of scrap suddenly burst into flames. The column of smoke could be seen from miles and led to anxious calls to police from people across Northumbria and county Durham. Hundreds of people gathered to watch as crews fought to stop the fire spreading to a neighbouring timber yard. The scrapyard’s managers said there was a 2,000-litre fuel store on the site, and emergency services are trying to check whether the scrap contained potentially dangerous chemicals. Two people have been treated by paramedics for minor injuries. No other buildings have been affected. Northumbria police closed local roads, including Leighton Street and Byker Bank, which runs by the 1960s Byker Wall above the Tyne. A further two roads, Ford and Lime Streets, were later closed and Albion Row was sealed off. The alarm was raised at 12.25pm. It has been too dangerous for forensic teams to start checking for possible causes of the blaze. The Byker Wall was designed as a “village in the sky” by the architect Ralph Erskine. Its 620 flats and maisonettes were built in the 1970s and have been the setting for many TV series and films. Newcastle Martin Wainwright guardian.co.uk

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Newcastle scrapyard blaze closes city streets

Two people treated for minor injuries and residents evacuated as black smoke drifts over city Fifty firefighters are tackling a spectacular fire in the east end of Newcastle upon Tyne that has sent clouds of black smoke billowing over the famous Byker Wall flats. Residents have been warned to stay inside and shut all doors and windows as thick smoke poured from tyres and oil-soaked car wrecks at a scrapyard in nearby Albion Row. A small number of local people were evacuated from their homes in Northumberland Row but are expected to be allowed back within hours. Six staff working at the yard left after raising the alarm, when smouldering smoke in a six-month-old pile of scrap suddenly burst into flames. The column of smoke could be seen from miles and led to anxious calls to police from people across Northumbria and county Durham. Hundreds of people gathered to watch as crews fought to stop the fire spreading to a neighbouring timber yard. The scrapyard’s managers said there was a 2,000-litre fuel store on the site, and emergency services are trying to check whether the scrap contained potentially dangerous chemicals. Two people have been treated by paramedics for minor injuries. No other buildings have been affected. Northumbria police closed local roads, including Leighton Street and Byker Bank, which runs by the 1960s Byker Wall above the Tyne. A further two roads, Ford and Lime Streets, were later closed and Albion Row was sealed off. The alarm was raised at 12.25pm. It has been too dangerous for forensic teams to start checking for possible causes of the blaze. The Byker Wall was designed as a “village in the sky” by the architect Ralph Erskine. Its 620 flats and maisonettes were built in the 1970s and have been the setting for many TV series and films. Newcastle Martin Wainwright guardian.co.uk

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Barack Obama’s Middle East speech – live coverage

Follow live updates as President Obama makes a key speech on the ‘Arab spring’ and the US’s role in the Middle East 4.20pm BST / 11.20am ET: PJ Crowley, the former State Department spokesman, tweets his thoughts on what Obama needs to do today: We’ll find out in about 20 minutes or so. 4.10pm BST / 11.10am ET: The New York Times puts Obama’s speech today into the context of a busy week for Middle East diplomacy: Thursday’s speech at the State Department is designed to be the first in a series of rhetorical opportunities for the president. On Friday, he will meet with Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu for a conversation that will be closely watched by the Jewish community in the United States. And this weekend, Mr Obama will address the American Israel Public Affairs Committee, the largest pro-Israel lobby in the United States. Together, the post-speech events will give the president a chance to assert his support for Israel early in the 2012 campaign cycle. 4pm BST / 11am ET: If you want to watch Obama’s speech from the State Department from the comfort of your computer or iPad, the White House is offering a live video stream here . Good morning from Washington DC, where Barack Obama’s speech on the remarkable ‘Arab spring’ and the shape of US foreign policy in the region is eagerly awaited. Obama is scheduled to begin speaking at 11.40am eastern time, that’s 4.40pm BST and 6.40pm EEST in Damascus. Here’s how the Guardian’s Washington bureau chief Ewen Macaskill previewed the speech earlier today , saying it is Obama’s most important speech on the region since his visit to Cairo in 2009: The speech will deal mainly with the Arab spring, hailing the benefits of democracy and respect for human rights, in spite of America’s long-time support for authoritarian regimes in the region. Senior Obama administration officials, briefing on the speech, said he will take a fresh look at the Middle East after a decade of tension and division. With the winding down of the Iraq war and the death of Osama bin Laden, “we are turning a page”, one official said, adding that the democracy movements reinforced this. My colleague Matthew Weaver has done an excellent job blogging the latest Middle East unreast and anticipation of Obama’s speech today, which you can read right here . Barack Obama Arab and Middle East unrest US foreign policy Obama administration Middle East United States Egypt Syria Israel Libya Tunisia Palestinian territories Richard Adams guardian.co.uk

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Barack Obama’s Middle East speech – live coverage

Follow live updates as President Obama makes a key speech on the ‘Arab spring’ and the US’s role in the Middle East 4.20pm BST / 11.20am ET: PJ Crowley, the former State Department spokesman, tweets his thoughts on what Obama needs to do today: We’ll find out in about 20 minutes or so. 4.10pm BST / 11.10am ET: The New York Times puts Obama’s speech today into the context of a busy week for Middle East diplomacy: Thursday’s speech at the State Department is designed to be the first in a series of rhetorical opportunities for the president. On Friday, he will meet with Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu for a conversation that will be closely watched by the Jewish community in the United States. And this weekend, Mr Obama will address the American Israel Public Affairs Committee, the largest pro-Israel lobby in the United States. Together, the post-speech events will give the president a chance to assert his support for Israel early in the 2012 campaign cycle. 4pm BST / 11am ET: If you want to watch Obama’s speech from the State Department from the comfort of your computer or iPad, the White House is offering a live video stream here . Good morning from Washington DC, where Barack Obama’s speech on the remarkable ‘Arab spring’ and the shape of US foreign policy in the region is eagerly awaited. Obama is scheduled to begin speaking at 11.40am eastern time, that’s 4.40pm BST and 6.40pm EEST in Damascus. Here’s how the Guardian’s Washington bureau chief Ewen Macaskill previewed the speech earlier today , saying it is Obama’s most important speech on the region since his visit to Cairo in 2009: The speech will deal mainly with the Arab spring, hailing the benefits of democracy and respect for human rights, in spite of America’s long-time support for authoritarian regimes in the region. Senior Obama administration officials, briefing on the speech, said he will take a fresh look at the Middle East after a decade of tension and division. With the winding down of the Iraq war and the death of Osama bin Laden, “we are turning a page”, one official said, adding that the democracy movements reinforced this. My colleague Matthew Weaver has done an excellent job blogging the latest Middle East unreast and anticipation of Obama’s speech today, which you can read right here . Barack Obama Arab and Middle East unrest US foreign policy Obama administration Middle East United States Egypt Syria Israel Libya Tunisia Palestinian territories Richard Adams guardian.co.uk

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Next Top Model

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Next Top Model

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