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What happens across the Mediterranean matters more to the EU than the US. Yet so far its voice has

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Middle East exposes chasm in coalition foreign policy outlook

Tory MPs think their partners have pro-Islamist sympathies while Lib Dems see the Conservative approach as simplistic MPs were given a stark warning this week: “We’ve already lost Turkey, Lebanon is gone too” – and now the west can’t afford to lose Egypt. The bearer of this message was Mort Zuckerman, the American newspaper and property mogul. He was in Westminster as a guest of the neoconservative Henry Jackson Society, which boasts Michael Gove and Nick Boles among its supporters. This week it has felt, to contort Clarissa Eden’s words, as if the Suez canal has been, if not flowing through the corridors of the Palace of Westminster, then at least making them a bit damp. Attention was very much elsewhere, yes. But people have also felt clueless, up the Suez without the proverbial. They have struggled to recall three pieces of insight about the Middle East. Anyone with something to say on Egypt has been in demand. Zuckerman told me that he easily filled his schedule with meetings with MPs where he told them: “We need to keep Egypt from going Islamist.” Zuckerman’s concerns help explain why the government’s response to the situation has been so faltering: there is a split among the political classes, and particularly Conservatives, over the issue. Zuckerman speaks for some who are not sure they would like Egyptian democracy at any cost. Despite all the caveats about the relative profile and strength of the Muslim Brotherhood, its rise has dominated most conversations. Its dominance would lead to Egypt becoming actively hostile to Israel and boosting Hamas in Gaza, throwing out the strategic balance of the region. Labour’s Douglas Alexander urged caution – was the Brotherhood’s low profile due to its being “surprised” or down to shrewdness? Further, he cautioned, contra Zuckerman, that the governing party in Turkey is not an extremist party. The west will have to get to a more subtle view on the relative merits of Erdogan’s party in Turkey v Hamas v the Muslim Brotherhood soon. But it’s between the two coalition parties that Suez may be more problematic. Some Tories suspect their Lib Dem coalition partners of pro-Islamist sympathies: they point to the manifesto call for “pressure on Israel and Egypt to end the blockade of Gaza”, which they believe was the Lib Dems taking the “Muslim Brotherhood line against the Egyptian government on Hamas”. The Lib Dem candidate at the general election for Bethnal Green and Bow was linked to the East London mosque, which has been accused by some of extremism, and across the country the party has used foreign policy to try to win Muslim votes – most notably with its opposition to the war in Iraq. The Lib Dems think that many Tories take a simplistic approach to the Middle East. One of Nick Clegg’s closest advisers on foreign affairs says: “There are some of them [Tories] that take the view there is no such thing as a moderate Islamic party. I am very confident that’s not the view Nick takes – he is much more moderate.” David Cameron has been circumspect, the adviser points out. Cameron’s chief of staff, Ed Llewellyn, who is the major foreign policy influence on the prime minister, has had to manage not only Lib Dem instincts but also Cameron’s head of strategy, Steve Hilton. To the ire of the foreign policy establishment, Hilton has been urging what could be summed up as a “big society foreign policy” on the PM. Insiders say that Hilton, whose parents fled Hungary in 1956 after the Soviets crushed the revolution there, feels strongly that Britain should keep well back. If the west tries to determine the course of events in Egypt – encouraging Hosni Mubarak to go more quickly or less – it will go wrong. He is even said to have an open mind on the idea of the Muslim Brotherhood being part of a post-Mubarak government. Many Foreign Office mandarins are predictably dismissive of Hilton. They say that his approach is just a slightly Tory reworking of the former foreign secretary David Miliband’s talk of a “citizen surge”. But while it’s to the relief of Tory neocons that Cameron’s utterances yesterday show he hasn’t listened, it is being suggested that Clegg might yet take up the theme. Foreign policy isn’t even mentioned in the coalition agreement. This week has been a reminder of the potential it has to divide the coalition.It is the kind of thing that brought Andy Coulson out in hives: an American academic who thinks that having lots of bohemians living next to each other is the key to economic growth. Well, he’s coming to Downing Street to advise the government. Richard Florida is famous for devising “bohemian indices”, “gay indices” and “diversity indices” for cities. His theory is that metropolitan regions with high concentrations of technology workers, artists, musicians, and gay men and women – whom he describes as “high bohemians” – tend to have higher levels of economic development. Living in a fluid personal and professional environment – think beanbags, open-plan warehouses and white boards – they are the “creative class”. Their creativity attracts businesses and capital and as a cohort they should be tended to as engines of an area’s growth. Making your city more appealing to these people would be a better way of regeneration an area than big public works projects. The coalition is trying to put Florida’s theory into practice. Cameron has spoken of his wish to create a creative hub to help Stratford’s post-Olympics regeneration. Some question whether Florida is right. They say it is education levels rather than the presence of “high bohemians” that creates a developed metropolitan hub. Coulson once tried to spike the government’s general wellbeing index, an attempt to gauge the happiness of the nation. A bohemian index would be an early test of whether Craig Oliver, the new Coulson, is going to play nicely. Egypt Foreign policy Conservatives Liberal Democrats Allegra Stratton guardian.co.uk

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News Bulletin – 1935GMT update

The main headlines on Al Jazeera English, featuring the latest news and reports from around the world.

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Arab leaders are taking pre-emptive action against people power

Pledges to stand down from Hosni Mubarak and Ali Abdullah Saleh of Yemen signal a new trend across the Middle East President Ali Abdullah Saleh, who famously compares ruling Yemen to “dancing on the heads of snakes”, tapped into the restive mood of the Arab world today by announcing that he would not stand for re-election in 2013. Scepticism may well be in order. Saleh has made similar promises before – and has still held on to power since 1978. And his timing – in advance of a planned Yemeni “day of rage”, looked suspicious. But his pledge, just hours after Egypt’s Hosni Mubarak said he would stand down this year, is part of what it is starting to look like a trend across the Middle East. Stunned by events in Tunisia and Egypt, and with rumblings of serious unrest from Algeria to Jordan, authoritarian leaders are taking pre-emptive action to inoculate themselves against the “contagion” of people power. All face anger over unemployment, poverty and corruption. Maintaining food and fuel subsidies, raising salaries and shuffling cabinets are useful options. Ending repression and starting meaningful political reform is much harder. “Just a short time ago people tried to argue that the Tunisian crisis was an isolated case and that it was different from any other Arab country,” said Marwan Muasher, a former Jordanian minister who is now with the Carnegie Foundation . “It is now difficult, if not impossible, to make the same argument with Egypt … in turmoil. If the largest Arab country is faced with unrest, people need to draw the right lessons.” The biggest casualty so far of this early “Arab spring” has been the phenomenon of the president-for-life – and the related issue of dynastic republican succession that has so often accompanied it. Until the Egyptian unrest 82-year-old Mubarak had no designated successor and was seen as still likely to run for a seventh term in September. Failing that, there was a good chance he would be succeeded by his banker son Gamal, a key figure in the ruling National Democratic Party. Tawrith (succession) has been endlessly debated. No longer. “Where’s daddy now?” asked a scornful poster in Tahrir Square. Direct succession was not on the cards in Tunisia, where the flight of Zine el-Abidine Ben Ali on 14 January electrified the Arab world. But the kleptocratic role of his wife’s family and his son in-law Sakher al-Materi were bitter reminders of the untrammelled power of a “semi-mafia” presidency. Saleh had signalled before that he might not stand again. But even if he did not, his son Ahmed had been groomed to follow him. So by rejecting MPs’ accusations of backing “hereditary” rule Saleh made a major concession he must hope, like Mubarak and Egypt’s generals, will allow the regime to survive. But the trend is only partial. Libya’s Muammar al-Gaddafi – the veteran of them all, with 42 years in power – remains as vigorous and eccentric as ever. Talk of the succession of his reformist-minded son, Seif al-Islam, has faded recently in the face of resistance by the old guard.Still, another son, Mutasim, is a rising star as his father’s national security adviser. Syria, bastion of Arab nationalism and close ally of Iran that is far from the orbit of US power, is another significant exception. It is 10 years since President Bashar al-Assad succeeded his late father Hafez and, despite slick PR and economic liberalisation, there has been no easing of his grip on a repressive regime that is widely seen as a bulwark against sectarianism. In the mostly placid, wealthy monarchies of the Gulf, where there is little political life and succession is always hereditary, the odd man out could be the island state of Bahrain. This is where the Sunni King Hamad and his Al-Khalifa dynasty rule over a restive Shia majority angry at discrimination and corruption. The forthcoming “day of rage”, and others planned in the coming days in Syria and Algeria, will be closely watched across a suddenly hopeful and nervous region. Middle East Egypt Yemen Tunisia Protest Ian Black guardian.co.uk

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Anderson Cooper ‘punched in the head’ 10 times by pro-Mubarak thugs

Click here to view this media CNN’s Anderson Cooper said Wednesday that he and his crew were violently attacked by pro-Mubarak forces as they tried to make their way through the streets of Cairo. “Anderson Cooper punched 10 times in the head as pro-Mubarak mob surrounds him and his crew at Cairo rally,” Maan News Agency’s George Hale tweeted . Cooper described his ordeal on CNN’s American Morning . “I just tried to make my way to Liberation Square and got as far as the Egyptian Museum and with my team: Marion Fox, my producer and Neil, my cameraman,” he began. “One man grabbed Neil’s camera and started screaming, ‘no, no,’ trying to take the camera from him. We intervened peacefully, and literally that was the switch that ignited the crowd, and they just set upon us, punching us, kicking us,” Cooper continued. “We had, I mean, literally a mob of people surround us just, you know, I got punched in the head probably a good ten times or so, and we literally ended up being turned around by the crowd, and we had tried to walk because we didn’t want to run because if we started to run, the crowd would, you know, sense fear and attack us even more,” he said. “All of us are fine. My producer was roughed up, my female producer was roughed up by the crowd as well. They clearly do not want cameras present in the square and are incredibly hostile to any media.” “Down in the crowd, can you even make out which side is which?” asked CNN host TJ Holmes. “Who is who? Who is coming after and attacking you guys you?” “Well, it’s clear. I know exactly who is attacking us, it’s the pro mubarak forces, no doubt about it.”

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Among pro-Mubarak crowds during rock throwing

An Al Jazeera web producer among pro-Mubarak crowds during the beginning of Wednesday’s rock throwing. Gunfire, likely the army attempting to disperse the crowds, can be heard in the background.

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http://www.youtube.com/v/rUen4i9QtrI?f=user_uploads&app=youtube_gdata Originally posted here: GazaEgy

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Mubarak supporters on horseback ride through the crowded streets of Egypt, brandishing whips, where clashes have erupted into violence. (And yes, that is a camel.)

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Israel raise security concerns

The violence unfolding in Egypt is causing concern across the border in Israel.

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Mubarak supporters rally in Cairo

Pro-Mubarak supporters storm the streets of Cairo, some on horses and camels shouting slogans of support of Mubarak.

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