Gallup: GOP +15 (Yikes!) – Democrat Mass Extinction Event
There’s one big mother wave heading for the polling booths of this country: The final USA Today/Gallup measure of Americans’ voting intentions for Congress shows Republicans continuing to hold a substantial lead over Democrats among likely voters, a lead large enough to suggest that regardless of turnout, the Republicans will win more than the 40 seats needed to give them the majority in the U.S. House. The results are from Gallup’s Oct. 28-31 survey of 1,539 likely voters. It finds 52% to 55% of likely voters preferring the Republican candidate and 40% to 42% for the Democratic candidate on the national generic ballot — depending on turnout assumptions. Gallup’s analysis of several indicators of voter turnout from the weekend poll suggests turnout will be slightly higher than in recent years, at 45%. This would give the Republicans a 55% to 40% lead on the generic ballot, with 5% undecided. Unprecedented is way too timid a description of those numbers. It’s a Democrat Mass Extinction Event. The equivalent of the asteroid that took out the dinosaurs. It’s an electeroid! I’ve been calling for a 56 seat gain in the House. I think I may be way too low.
Gallup: GOP +15 (Yikes!) – Democrat Mass Extinction Event
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on November 1, 2010. Filed under